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Archive for the 'Play Index' Category
Site Features: Check Out the Play Index!
Here's another reminder for everyone to check out the Pro-Football-Reference Play Index. In case you don't already know about the PI, it's a set of research tools that allow you to create customizable queries on our database, save the results, and share them with others. With the PI, you can:
- Use the Player Season Finder to search through every player's stats (since 1920) for single or combined seasons that match your criteria.
- Use the Player Game Finder to search through our game logs (since 1960) for individual games that match your criteria.
- Use the Player Touchdown Finder to search through every TD since 1940 for plays that match your criteria.
- Use the Team Game Finder to isolate specific games or seasons matching certain criteria.
- Use the Super Bowl Play Finder to search through every play in Super Bowl History (we'll be adding 2009 soon as well -- our apologies for the delay!)
- Use the PFR Draft Finder to search through every NFL and AFL draft pick.
- Use our Boxscore Search Tools to find head-to-head results, or all-time games matching a particular score.
And best of all, these features are 100% free to use!
So go ahead, give them a try, and you'll wonder how you ever got along without them.
6 Comments | Posted in Announcements, P-F-R News, Play Index, Site Features
2011 Hall of Fame Polls: Willie Roaf
After covering Dermontti Dawson yesterday, we now come to the other offensive lineman in this year's group of Hall of Fame finalists: Willie Roaf. The facts on Roaf's career:
- Tied for 94th in career games started (189); 30th among offensive linemen; 12th among offensive tackles
- 11x Pro Bowler, 3x 1st Team All-Pro
- Tied with Anthony Munoz and Jonathan Ogden for most Pro Bowl selections by an offensive tackle
- 7th among O-linemen in raw career Approximate Value (146); 3rd among tackles
- 76th overall in career weighted Approximate Value (110)
- 6th-best OL and 3rd-best T ever according to career weighted AV
- Starting LT for '02-'04 Chiefs offenses that averaged the 16th-, 52nd-, and 24th-most yards per play, respectively, since merger
What's the verdict on Roaf?
12 Comments | Posted in Best/Worst Ever, Great Historical Players, HOF, PI Finds, Play Index, Player articles
Site Features: Check Out the Play Index!
Here's another reminder for everyone to check out the Pro-Football-Reference Play Index. In case you don't already know about the PI, it's a set of research tools that allow you to create customizable queries on our database, save the results, and share them with others. With the PI, you can:
- Use the Player Season Finder to search through every player's stats (since 1920) for single or combined seasons that match your criteria.
- Use the Player Game Finder to search through our game logs (since 1960) for individual games that match your criteria.
- Use the Player Touchdown Finder to search through every TD since 1940 for plays that match your criteria.
- Use the Team Game Finder to isolate specific games or seasons matching certain criteria.
- Use the Super Bowl Play Finder to search through every play in Super Bowl History (we'll be adding 2009 soon as well -- our apologies for the delay!)
- Use the PFR Draft Finder to search through every NFL and AFL draft pick.
- Use our Boxscore Search Tools to find head-to-head results, or all-time games matching a particular score.
And best of all, these features are 100% free to use!
So go ahead, give them a try, and you'll wonder how you ever got along without them.
2 Comments | Posted in Announcements, P-F-R News, Play Index, Site Features
Site Features: Two Play Index Additions
A quick note on two features Sean recently added to the Pro-Football Reference Play Index:
- Team & Opponent 2nd-half scores added to Team Game Finder - In the past, we just listed 1st-half and final point totals for games, making it impossible to answer questions like, "Which team scored the most points in a game where they were held scoreless in the second half?" But now that Sean added "Second Half Score" to the criteria, you can find the answer:
Points Score by quarter Score by half Rk Tm Year Date Opp W# G# Day Result OT PF PA PD Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OQ1 OQ2 OQ3 OQ4 H1 H2 OH1 OH2 1 CHI 2006 2006-10-29 SFO 8 7 Sun W 41-10 41 10 31 24 17 0 0 0 0 0 10 41 0 0 10 2 CIN 1983 1983-11-20 HOU 12 12 Sun W 38-10 38 10 28 17 21 0 0 3 0 0 7 38 0 3 7 3 CRD 1950 1950-10-22 @ WAS 5 5 Sun W 38-28 38 28 10 10 28 0 0 7 7 7 7 38 0 14 14 4 PIT 1973 1973-10-07 SDG 4 4 Sun W 38-21 38 21 17 17 21 0 0 0 0 0 21 38 0 0 21 5 CHI 1971 1971-10-10 NOR 4 4 Sun W 35-14 35 14 21 7 28 0 0 0 7 0 7 35 0 7 7 6 CHI 1980 1980-11-09 WAS 10 10 Sun W 35-21 35 21 14 21 14 0 0 0 0 14 7 35 0 0 21 7 CHI 1987 1987-10-04 @ PHI 3 3 Sun W 35-3 35 3 32 7 28 0 0 0 3 0 0 35 0 3 0 8 NOR 1980 1980-12-07 @ SFO 14 14 Sun L 35-38 OT 35 38 -3 14 21 0 0 0 7 14 14 35 0 7 28 9 NYG 1985 1985-12-08 @ HOU 14 14 Sun W 35-14 35 14 21 14 21 0 0 0 14 0 0 35 0 14 0 10 NYJ 1985 1985-11-03 @ IND 9 9 Sun W 35-17 35 17 18 14 21 0 0 0 3 7 7 35 0 3 14 11 PIT 1990 1990-12-23 CLE 16 15 Sun W 35-0 35 0 35 21 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 0 0 0 12 SDG 1979 1979-12-09 @ NOR 15 15 Sun W 35-0 35 0 35 14 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 0 0 0 13 SDG 2007 2007-10-28 HOU 8 7 Sun W 35-10 35 10 25 14 21 0 0 0 3 0 7 35 0 3 7 14 SEA 2003 2003-11-16 DET 11 10 Sun W 35-14 35 14 21 14 21 0 0 7 7 0 0 35 0 14 0 15 SFO 2008 2008-11-16 STL 11 10 Sun W 35-16 35 16 19 7 28 0 0 0 3 6 7 35 0 3 13 16 NYG 1945 1945-10-07 @ PIT 1 1 Sun W 34-6 34 6 28 6 28 0 0 0 6 0 0 34 0 6 0 17 RAM 1972 1972-09-17 NOR 1 1 Sun W 34-14 34 14 20 13 21 0 0 0 7 0 7 34 0 7 7 18 SEA 1977 1977-12-11 @ KAN 13 13 Sun W 34-31 34 31 3 14 20 0 0 21 0 3 7 34 0 21 10 - Total Offense added to Player Season & Game Finders - We have always featured yards from scrimmage (rushing yards + receiving yards) in the PI finders, but that category doesn't help us rank the performances of QBs who pass and run. Enter Total Offense, which equals Rushing Yards + Passing Yards - Sack Yards. Here are the single-game leaders (1960-2010):
Passing Rushing Total Yds Rk Player Age Date Lg Tm Opp Result G# W# Day Cmp Att Yds TD Int Att Yds TD TotOff 1 Warren Moon* 34-028 1990-12-16 NFL HOU @ KAN W 27-10 14 15 Sun 27 45 527 3 0 4 2 0 529 2 Boomer Esiason 35-207 1996-11-10 NFL ARI @ WAS W 37-34 10 11 Sun 35 59 522 3 4 3 1 0 523 3 Dan Marino* 27-038 1988-10-23 NFL MIA NYJ L 30-44 8 8 Sun 35 60 521 3 5 1 0 0 521 4 Phil Simms 30-344 1985-10-13 NFL NYG @ CIN L 30-35 6 6 Sun 40 62 513 1 2 2 5 0 518 5 Vince Ferragamo 28-246 1982-12-26 NFL RAM CHI L 26-34 8 8 Sun 30 46 509 3 2 1 2 0 511 6 Drew Brees 27-308 2006-11-19 NFL NOR CIN L 16-31 10 11 Sun 37 52 510 2 3 0 0 0 510 7 Elvis Grbac 30-084 2000-11-05 NFL KAN @ OAK L 31-49 9 10 Sun 39 53 504 2 2 1 3 1 507 8 Y.A. Tittle* 36-004 1962-10-28 NFL NYG WAS W 49-34 7 7 Sun 27 39 505 7 0 1 1 0 506 9 Jake Plummer 29-317 2004-10-31 NFL DEN ATL L 28-41 8 8 Sun 31 55 499 4 3 2 5 0 504 10 Doug Williams 25-099 1980-11-16 NFL TAM @ MIN L 30-38 11 11 Sun 30 55 486 4 2 2 13 0 499 11 Steve Young* 30-338 1992-09-13 NFL SFO BUF L 31-34 2 2 Sun 26 37 449 3 1 7 50 0 499 12 Tommy Kramer 31-240 1986-11-02 NFL MIN @ WAS L 38-44 9 9 Sun 20 35 490 4 1 3 8 0 498 13 Joe Namath* 29-116 1972-09-24 NFL NYJ @ BAL W 44-34 2 2 Sun 15 28 496 6 1 1 1 0 497 14 Billy Volek 28-235 2004-12-19 NFL TEN @ OAK L 35-40 14 15 Sun 40 60 492 4 1 1 1 1 493 15 Matt Hasselbeck 27-095 2002-12-29 NFL SEA @ SDG W 31-28 16 17 Sun 36 53 449 2 2 7 42 1 491 16 Boomer Esiason 29-173 1990-10-07 NFL CIN @ RAM W 34-31 5 5 Sun 31 45 490 3 0 2 0 0 490 17 Ken O'Brien 25-298 1986-09-21 NFL NYJ MIA W 51-45 3 3 Sun 29 43 479 4 1 1 8 0 487 18 Neil Lomax 25-303 1984-12-16 NFL STL @ WAS L 27-29 16 16 Sun 37 46 468 2 1 3 18 1 486 19 Don Meredith 25-214 1963-11-10 NFL DAL @ SFO L 24-31 9 9 Sun 30 48 460 3 1 3 24 0 484 20 Kurt Warner 36-156 2007-11-25 NFL ARI SFO L 31-37 11 12 Sun 34 48 484 2 2 0 0 0 484 And the single-season leaders:
Games Passing Rushing Total Yds Rk Player Year Age Draft Tm Lg G Cmp Att Yds TD Int Sk SkYds Att Yds TD TotOff 1 Drew Brees 2008 29 2-32 NOR NFL 16 413 635 5069 34 17 13 92 22 -1 0 4976 2 Dan Marino* 1984 23 1-27 MIA NFL 16 362 564 5084 48 17 13 120 28 -7 0 4957 3 Daunte Culpepper 2004 27 1-11 MIN NFL 16 379 548 4717 39 11 46 238 88 406 2 4885 4 Tom Brady 2007 30 6-199 NWE NFL 16 398 578 4806 50 8 21 128 37 98 2 4776 5 Dan Fouts* 1981 30 3-64 SDG NFL 16 360 609 4802 33 17 19 134 22 56 0 4724 6 Matt Schaub 2009 28 3-90 HOU NFL 16 396 583 4770 29 15 25 149 48 57 0 4678 7 Jay Cutler 2008 25 1-11 DEN NFL 16 384 616 4526 25 18 11 69 57 200 2 4657 8 Kurt Warner 2001 30 STL NFL 16 375 546 4830 36 22 38 233 28 60 0 4657 9 Warren Moon* 1990 34 HOU NFL 15 362 584 4689 33 13 36 252 55 215 2 4652 10 Rich Gannon 2002 37 4-98 OAK NFL 16 418 618 4689 26 10 36 214 50 156 3 4631 11 Peyton Manning 2010 34 1-1 IND NFL 16 450 679 4700 33 17 16 91 18 18 0 4627 12 Dan Marino* 1986 25 1-27 MIA NFL 16 378 623 4746 44 23 17 119 12 -3 0 4624 13 Warren Moon* 1991 35 HOU NFL 16 404 655 4690 23 21 23 174 33 68 2 4584 14 Jeff Garcia 2000 30 SFO NFL 16 355 561 4278 31 10 24 155 72 414 4 4537 15 Philip Rivers 2010 29 1-4 SDG NFL 16 357 541 4710 30 13 38 227 29 52 0 4535 16 Dan Fouts* 1980 29 3-64 SDG NFL 16 348 589 4715 30 24 32 210 23 15 2 4520 17 Mark Brunell 1996 26 5-118 JAX NFL 16 353 557 4367 19 20 50 257 80 396 3 4506 18 Peyton Manning 2004 28 1-1 IND NFL 16 336 497 4557 49 10 13 101 25 38 0 4494 19 Drew Bledsoe 1994 22 1-1 NWE NFL 16 400 691 4555 25 27 22 139 44 40 0 4456 20 Trent Green 2004 34 8-222 KAN NFL 16 369 556 4591 27 17 32 227 25 85 0 4449
8 Comments | Posted in Announcements, P-F-R News, PI Finds, Play Index, Site Features
What Does the Season Series Tell Us About Playoff Matchups?
All four of this weekend's playoff matchups feature rematches of regular-season games:
| Patriots vs. Jets | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rk | Tm | Year | Date | Opp | W# | G# | Day | Result | |
| 1 | NWE | 2010 | 2010-12-06 | NYJ | 13 | 12 | Mon | W 45-3 | |
| 2 | NWE | 2010 | 2010-09-19 | @ | NYJ | 2 | 2 | Sun | L 14-28 |
| Steelers vs. Ravens | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rk | Tm | Year | Date | Opp | W# | G# | Day | Result | |
| 1 | PIT | 2010 | 2010-12-05 | @ | BAL | 13 | 12 | Sun | W 13-10 |
| 2 | PIT | 2010 | 2010-10-03 | BAL | 4 | 4 | Sun | L 14-17 | |
| Falcons vs. Packers | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rk | Tm | Year | Date | Opp | W# | G# | Day | Result | |
| 1 | ATL | 2010 | 2010-11-28 | GNB | 12 | 11 | Sun | W 20-17 | |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rk | Tm | Year | Date | Opp | W# | G# | Day | Result | |
| 1 | CHI | 2010 | 2010-10-17 | SEA | 6 | 6 | Sun | L 20-23 | |
How much extra information (above & beyond the Simple Rating System) can we glean from these previous matchups of playoff foes?
10 Comments | Posted in Play Index, Simple Rating System, Statgeekery
Site Features: Total Offensive TDs Added to TD Finder Criteria
Player Touchdown Finder - Pro-Football-Reference.com
At the end of last week, Sean was able to add a new category to the Player Touchdown Finder: Combined Offensive TDs (rushing + receiving).
To use this new feature, just look under "Touchdown Type" and select "Offensive". It will allow you to execute queries like this one for the most offensive TDs in a playoff game since 1940:
2 Comments | Posted in Announcements, Play Index, Site Features
PI Finds: Final 2010 Team Adjusted Rushing Yards per Attempt, SRS-Style
As a follow-up to the 2010 team passing ratings I posted Tuesday, I ran the same process on team rushing performances. The formula for adjusted rushing yards per attempt was:
ARY/A = (Rush Yds + 18 * Rush TD) / Rush Att
(The 18 comes from Chase's post on the value of TDs.)
Using the PFR Team Game Finder, I plugged every team single-game rushing performance of the 2010 season into the formula above, then adjusted for strength of schedule and game location using an SRS-style recursive loop. The result was a set of ratings that best predicted every game according to these equations:
Home ARY/A = Lg Avg ARY/A + .5*HFA + Home Rush Offense Rating + Away Rush Defense Rating
Away ARY/A = Lg Avg ARY/A - .5*HFA + Away Rush Offense Rating + Home Rush Defense Rating
Here were the ratings (again, negative is good for defenses):
4 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index, Simple Rating System, Site Features, Statgeekery
Site Features: Check Out the Play Index!
This is just a quick reminder for everyone to check out the Pro-Football-Reference Play Index. In case you don't already know about the PI, it's a set of research tools that allow you to create customizable queries on our database, save the results, and share them with others. With the PI, you can:
- Use the Player Season Finder to search through every player's stats (since 1920) for single or combined seasons that match your criteria.
- Use the Player Game Finder to search through our game logs (since 1960) for individual games that match your criteria.
- Use the Player Touchdown Finder to search through every TD since 1940 for plays that match your criteria.
- Use the Team Game Finder to isolate specific games or seasons matching certain criteria.
- Use the Super Bowl Play Finder to search through every play in Super Bowl History (we'll be adding 2009 soon as well -- our apologies for the delay!)
- Use the PFR Draft Finder to search through every NFL and AFL draft pick.
- Use our Boxscore Search Tools to find head-to-head results, or all-time games matching a particular score.
And best of all, these features are 100% free to use!
So go ahead, give them a try, and you'll wonder how you ever got along without them.
10 Comments | Posted in Announcements, P-F-R News, Play Index, Site Features
Site Features: Approximate Value Leaderboards!
In a move that's admittedly long overdue, we've added Doug's Approximate Value metric to a variety of places throughout the site:
- Leaderboards: Single-Season, Career, Career (Active), Year-by-Year, Weighted Career, Weighted Career (Active), & Yearly League
- Player Pages: Stat tables, Similar Players, leaderboard appearances, weighted career AV listing
- Franchise Pages: Team listing, Season index, franchise career register
And as always, you can search for AV leaders using the PFR Play Index's Season Finder (example).
Also, we overhauled the main AV page to make it more user-friendly, added a sub-page for Doug's extended explanation of the method, and created a blog category for AV to make it easier to find past and future posts that feature the stat.
11 Comments | Posted in Announcements, Approximate Value, P-F-R News, Play Index, Site Features
PI Finds: Patriots Shellack Jets
In honor of the Patriots' vicious beatdown of the Jets Monday night, here are some stats from the Team Game Finder...
New England's romp featured the 2nd-biggest margin of victory in any 2010 game:
| Points | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rk | Tm | Year | Date | Opp | W# | G# | Day | Result | PF | PA | PD | |
| 1 | OAK | 2010 | 2010-10-24 | @ | DEN | 7 | 7 | Sun | W 59-14 | 59 | 14 | 45 |
| 2 | NWE | 2010 | 2010-12-06 | NYJ | 13 | 12 | Mon | W 45-3 | 45 | 3 | 42 | |
| 3 | DET | 2010 | 2010-10-10 | STL | 5 | 5 | Sun | W 44-6 | 44 | 6 | 38 | |
| 4 | GNB | 2010 | 2010-11-07 | DAL | 9 | 9 | Sun | W 45-7 | 45 | 7 | 38 | |
| 5 | ATL | 2010 | 2010-09-19 | ARI | 2 | 2 | Sun | W 41-7 | 41 | 7 | 34 | |
| 6 | NYG | 2010 | 2010-11-07 | @ | SEA | 9 | 8 | Sun | W 41-7 | 41 | 7 | 34 |
It also tied the 2nd-biggest rout in Monday Night Football history:
| Points | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rk | Tm | Year | Date | Opp | W# | G# | Day | Result | PF | PA | PD | |
| 1 | BAL | 2005 | 2005-12-19 | GNB | 15 | 14 | Mon | W 48-3 | 48 | 3 | 45 | |
| 2 | MIA | 1986 | 1986-11-24 | NYJ | 12 | 12 | Mon | W 45-3 | 45 | 3 | 42 | |
| 3 | NWE | 2010 | 2010-12-06 | NYJ | 13 | 12 | Mon | W 45-3 | 45 | 3 | 42 | |
| 4 | SEA | 2005 | 2005-12-05 | @ | PHI | 13 | 12 | Mon | W 42-0 | 42 | 0 | 42 |
11 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index, Simple Rating System, Site Features, Totally Useless, Trivia
PI Finds: Most Overtime Games by One Team
Today we have an inquiry from PFR reader Jose:
"No one seems to know the answer to this question: What is the record for most OT games in a season by one team?"
Thanks to an upgrade made to the Play Index Team Game Finder by S-R president Sean Forman, we can now use PFR's site tools to answer this question.
Just go to the Team Game Finder, select "Search for Season Games matching criteria," and check the OT radio button at the bottom left-hand side of the finder interface ("Overtime Game"=Yes). Click "Get Results," and here's what you come up with:
| Rk | Tm | Year | W | L | T | Count | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Panthers | 2003 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.800 | 5 |
| 2 | Green Bay Packers | 1983 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.400 | 5 |
| 3 | Atlanta Falcons | 2002 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.375 | 4 |
| 4 | Cleveland Browns | 1986 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.750 | 4 |
| 5 | Cleveland Browns | 1989 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.375 | 4 |
| 6 | Arizona Cardinals | 1997 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | 4 |
| 7 | Arizona Cardinals | 1995 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 4 |
| 8 | Denver Broncos | 1985 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 4 |
| 9 | Denver Broncos | 2007 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 4 |
| 10 | Minnesota Vikings | 1994 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 4 |
| 11 | Minnesota Vikings | 1995 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 4 |
| 12 | New York Jets | 2004 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.250 | 4 |
| 13 | San Diego Chargers | 2002 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.750 | 4 |
| 14 | San Francisco 49ers | 2001 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.750 | 4 |
This includes regular-season + OT games, but you can select either of those individually as well.
8 Comments | Posted in Announcements, PI Finds, Play Index
PI Finds: Every Thanksgiving QB Performance Since 1960
In honor of the holiday tomorrow, I thought I'd put together a list of every Thanksgiving QB performance since 1960. Using the PFR Player Game Finder to find Thursday games, I cross-referenced the results against this list of historical Thanksgiving dates. Here's what I eventually came up with:
10 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index
PI Finds: Pats-Colts, By The Numbers
In honor of this Sunday's battle between two of the NFL's fiercest rivals, let's use the PFR Team Game Finder to take a look at the New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts' head-to-head stats during the Brady-vs-Manning era (2001-09, including the playoffs -- but excluding '08, when Brady was injured and missed the game).
First, the overall game results:
| Team | Games | Wins | Losses | Ties | WPct | PF | PA | PtDiff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0.636 | 324 | 265 | 59 |
| Colts | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0.364 | 265 | 324 | -59 |
And the results just in Foxboro, the location of Sunday's game:
| Team | Games | Wins | Losses | Ties | WPct | PF | PA | PtDiff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.667 | 156 | 121 | 35 |
| Colts | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.333 | 121 | 156 | -35 |
6 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index, Site Features
PI Finds: Searching for Vick/Eagles Milestones at PFR
If you were watching the Philly-Washington game on Monday night, you knew that Michael Vick and the Eagles were setting records right & left because the MNF crew pointed them out on-screen as they happened. But do you ever wish you could search for those kinds of milestones yourself? Using the Pro-Football-Reference.com Play Index, you can. Here are some Vick/Eagles milestones I searched for on Tuesday morning, as soon as we loaded the Eagles game into the database:
(Please note that I'm not picking on the Redskins here, or rubbing in their loss -- this is merely a demonstration of our site tools, and the MNF game is a good example because a lot of milestones were reached.)
17 Comments | Posted in History, PI Finds, Play Index, Site Features
PI Finds: The Rivers Index
Last week, I showed you how to set up an "expected W-L" method for a quarterback using the Play Index Team Game Finder, the QB's gamelogs, and a logistic regression formula. I found that our test case, Philip Rivers, should have been expected to win 27.7 games over the last 3 seasons (prior to the Chargers' win over Houston) based on his passing performance, but in actuality only won 24 games, a difference of -3.7 wins. Without context, though, that number doesn't really mean anything -- is that a lot, or a little? Today, I'm going to answer that question by comparing every QB's actual and expected W-L records, something I like to call "The Rivers Index" (in an homage to Doug's Manning and Dungy Indices).
27 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index, Quarterbacks, Statgeekery
PI Finds: Best Scoring Differentials by Quarter
Which teams have played the best in each quarter so far this season? Using the data in the PFR Team Game Finder and a little Excel wizardry, you can answer this question.
At the Game Finder, check the radio button next to "Search for Cumulative Season Games", click the red "current" text under Years, and tell the finder to sort by "First Quarter Score":
1 Comment | Posted in General, PI Finds, Play Index, Site Features
PI Finds: Should Philip Rivers Have Won More Games?
Using the PFR Play Index's Player Season Finder, you can run custom individual leaderboards across multiple seasons. For instance, here are the NFL leaders in Adjusted Yards per Attempt over the past three years:
| Rk | Player | From | To | Tm | G | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | AY/A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philip Rivers | 2008 | 2010 | SDG | 40 | 827 | 1270 | 10912 | 77 | 27 | 8.85 |
| 2 | Drew Brees | 2008 | 2010 | NOR | 39 | 1010 | 1480 | 11791 | 84 | 39 | 7.92 |
| 3 | Aaron Rodgers | 2008 | 2010 | GNB | 40 | 856 | 1346 | 10483 | 70 | 29 | 7.86 |
| 4 | Tony Romo | 2008 | 2010 | DAL | 35 | 771 | 1213 | 9536 | 63 | 30 | 7.79 |
| 5 | Matt Schaub | 2008 | 2010 | HTX | 34 | 796 | 1198 | 9552 | 54 | 31 | 7.71 |
| 6 | Tom Brady | 2008 | 2010 | NWE | 24 | 525 | 801 | 6076 | 40 | 17 | 7.63 |
| 7 | Peyton Manning | 2008 | 2010 | CLT | 39 | 961 | 1425 | 10686 | 75 | 30 | 7.60 |
| 8 | Ben Roethlisberger | 2008 | 2010 | PIT | 34 | 670 | 1057 | 8383 | 48 | 29 | 7.60 |
| 9 | Kurt Warner | 2008 | 2009 | CRD | 31 | 740 | 1111 | 8336 | 56 | 28 | 7.38 |
| 10 | Donovan McNabb | 2008 | 2010 | TOT | 38 | 771 | 1291 | 9440 | 52 | 29 | 7.11 |
As you can see, the leader (by far) is San Diego's Philip Rivers. In fact, 10th-ranked McNabb is closer to #2 Brees than Brees is to Rivers!
Statistically, it's tough to find a QB since 2008 who can touch Rivers. However, his team hasn't enjoyed the same lofty success: the Chargers are 24-16 over the past 3 years -- a respectable record, but one seemingly out of place next to Rivers' gaudy passing numbers. This disconnect between individual accomplishments and team performance has haunted many a quarterback in the past, and is now is the main reason Rivers isn't held up in the same group as Brady, Manning, Roethlisberger, and Brees as a quarterback. QBs are supposed to win, we're told, not amass seemingly empty stats.
26 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index, Quarterbacks, Statgeekery
PI Finds: Not Your Typical 6-1 Pats
Stop me if you've heard this one before: At 6-1, the New England Patriots boast the NFL's top record despite a roster that looks less than overwhelming on paper. So does this mean 2010 will be another one of those patented Patriot seasons where they're somehow on top when the dust clears? Let's go to the PFR Play Index's Team Game Finder and break down the numbers...
17 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index, Site Features
Checkdown: Team Game Finder
Searching for the most rushing yards in a loss or the fewest pass attempts by a team in a game is so much easier using the Team Game Finder. Check it out before the season starts.
Comments Off | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index
Tony Romo’s career stats aren’t as misleading as I thought
If you go to PFR's leaderboard page, you can see that Tony Romo ranks 4th all time in yards per pass attempt, and all three quarterbacks ahead of him retired by 1960. Romo also ranks first in net yards per attempt (PFR has NY/A data beginning in 1969, which is the earliest year for which we have complete individual sack data) and first in adjusted net yards per attempt among all players. You can use PFR-'s play index to see a list of the top active quarterbacks in yards per attempt, and I've heard multiple sources cite Romo's incredible career average in that category.
My initial take when I heard such propaganda was that is was incredibly misleading. Why?
1) Romo obviously plays in a much more pass-friendly era than nearly every quarterback in league history.
2) Romo, because he was an undrafted free agent, didn't see the field during his early years. Young quarterbacks tend to play poorly, and sitting on the bench during your first couple of years will help boost your career averages, especially when you have only played for a few seasons. Which brings me to ...
3) Romo just turned 30 years old in April; he hasn't yet played during the final years of his career, when most quarterbacks tend to kill their career averages. For example, the Patriots Steve Grogan retired with a career yards per attempt average of 7.48, but from age 25 to 34, Grogan averaged 7.98 yards per attempt. Romo, unless he retires early, will sink his career averages at least a little bit by the end of his career.
42 Comments | Posted in History, Play Index
