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Archive for the 'PI Finds' Category

History Was Made in Last Sunday’s 49ers-Bengals Game

Posted by Neil Paine on September 28, 2011

On Monday, John Adair tweeted this about Sunday's San Francisco-Cincinnati game:

The 13-8 final score of the 49ers-Bengals game, according to Pro-Football-Reference, has never happened before in NFL history #49ers

How did he find that? Using the Game Scores PI tool, he was able to look for all games that ever had a 13-8 score:

Rk Week Day Date Winner/tie Loser/tie PtsW PtsL YdsW TOW YdsL TOL
1 3 Sun September 25, 2011 boxscore W San Francisco 49ers @ Cincinnati Bengals 13 8 226 1 228 3
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/28/2011.

Pretty neat, right?

Here's another one for you -- last week's Saints-Texans game was only the 2nd in NFL history with a 40-33 score:

Rk Week Day Date Winner/tie Loser/tie PtsW PtsL YdsW TOW YdsL TOL
1 3 Sun September 24, 1989 boxscore W New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins 40 33 411 2 524 2
2 3 Sun September 25, 2011 boxscore W New Orleans Saints Houston Texans 40 33 454 2 473 1
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/28/2011.

So think of this feature the next time you see a score that just looks strange, and you too might uncover an historic final score first.

14 Comments | Posted in History, PI Finds, Site Features

2011 Hall of Fame Polls: Willie Roaf

Posted by Neil Paine on February 2, 2011

After covering Dermontti Dawson yesterday, we now come to the other offensive lineman in this year's group of Hall of Fame finalists: Willie Roaf. The facts on Roaf's career:

NumYrs Players whose career was of similar quality and shape
3 Stan Jones*, Gary Zimmerman*, Lou Creekmur*, Jim Parker*, Jonathan Ogden, Ralph Neely, Bob Brown*, Dick Stanfel, Tony Boselli, Gene Upshaw*
4 Tony Boselli, Gary Zimmerman*, Lou Creekmur*, Jonathan Ogden, Bob Brown*, Richmond Webb, Gene Upshaw*, Jim Parker*, Tom Newberry, Ralph Neely
5 Jonathan Ogden, Lou Creekmur*, Gary Zimmerman*, Bob Brown*, Tony Boselli, Marvin Powell, Larry Allen, Logan Mankins, Ralph Neely, Jim Parker*
6 Jonathan Ogden, Lou Creekmur*, Gary Zimmerman*, Jim Lachey, Bob Brown*, Marvin Powell, Mike Kenn, Gene Upshaw*, Kent Hull, Bob Vogel
7 Gary Zimmerman*, Bob Vogel, Dick Stanfel, Marvin Powell, Mike Kenn, Jonathan Ogden, Bob St. Clair*, Rosey Brown*, Lou Creekmur*, George Kunz
8 Gary Zimmerman*, Bob Vogel, Gene Upshaw*, Bob Brown*, Rosey Brown*, Randall McDaniel*, Stan Jones*, Marvin Powell, Jonathan Ogden, Ron Mix*
9 Gary Zimmerman*, Bob Vogel, Marvin Powell, Jim Tyrer, Rosey Brown*, Gene Upshaw*, Bob St. Clair*, Tom Mack*, Walt Sweeney, Alan Faneca
10 Gary Zimmerman*, Jim Tyrer, Rosey Brown*, Walter Jones, Alan Faneca, Bob Brown*, Lou Creekmur*, Tarik Glenn, Gene Upshaw*, Bob Vogel
11 Gary Zimmerman*, Jim Tyrer, Rosey Brown*, Walter Jones, John Hannah*, Jonathan Ogden, Mike Webster*, Richmond Webb, Bob Brown*, Alan Faneca
12 Gary Zimmerman*, John Hannah*, Gene Upshaw*, Rosey Brown*, Walter Jones, Richmond Webb, Jonathan Ogden, Randall McDaniel*, Jim Tyrer, Jim Ringo*
13 John Hannah*, Gary Zimmerman*, Gene Upshaw*, Jonathan Ogden, Rosey Brown*, Randall McDaniel*, Jim Ringo*, Walter Jones, Jim Tyrer, Art Shell*
Career Gary Zimmerman*, Jonathan Ogden, John Hannah*, Forrest Gregg*, Walter Jones, Rosey Brown*, Gene Upshaw*, Art Shell*, Jim Tyrer, Jim Ringo*
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/2/2011.

What's the verdict on Roaf?

12 Comments | Posted in Best/Worst Ever, Great Historical Players, HOF, PI Finds, Play Index, Player articles

2011 Hall of Fame Polls: Jerome Bettis

Posted by Neil Paine on January 28, 2011

Yesterday's poll on Marshall Faulk was truly a no-brainer, with 98.6% of PFR readers considering him HoF-worthy. So let's challenge the voters with a more interesting question: is Jerome Bettis a Hall of Famer?

The facts on Bettis' career:

NumYrs Players whose career was of similar quality and shape
3 Robert Holmes, Don Bosseler, Marion Barber, Kevan Barlow, Howie Ferguson, Floyd Little*, Gary W. Anderson, Napoleon Kaufman, Travis Henry, Marshawn Lynch
4 Ted Brown, Lynn Chandnois, Reggie Bush, Brian Westbrook, John Riggins*, Greg Pruitt, Floyd Little*, Dickie Post, Kevin Mack, Alex Webster
5 Brian Westbrook, Frank Gore, Sam Cunningham, Neal Anderson, Delvin Williams, John Brockington, John Riggins*, Larry Csonka*, Jim Taylor*, Sherman Smith
6 John Brockington, Sherman Smith, Sam Cunningham, John Riggins*, Jim Taylor*, Neal Anderson, Delvin Williams, Chuck Muncie, Don Perkins, Larry Csonka*
7 Sam Cunningham, Don Perkins, Tony Nathan, Neal Anderson, Delvin Williams, John Riggins*, Floyd Little*, Mark van Eeghen, Earnest Byner, Larry Csonka*
8 Floyd Little*, Corey Dillon, Don Perkins, Neal Anderson, Earnest Byner, John Riggins*, Earl Campbell*, Greg Pruitt, Jim Taylor*, Ollie Matson*
9 Corey Dillon, Floyd Little*, Earnest Byner, John Riggins*, Jim Taylor*, Ollie Matson*, Ken Willard, Greg Pruitt, Don Perkins, Chuck Muncie
10 Corey Dillon, Floyd Little*, Freeman McNeil, Jim Taylor*, Earnest Byner, Ollie Matson*, Leroy Kelly*, John Riggins*, Ken Willard, John L. Williams
11 Corey Dillon, Freeman McNeil, John Riggins*, Earnest Byner, Floyd Little*, James Brooks, Jim Taylor*, Ollie Matson*, Greg Pruitt, Leroy Kelly*
12 Corey Dillon, John Riggins*, Earnest Byner, Freeman McNeil, Larry Csonka*, James Brooks, Ollie Matson*, Floyd Little*, Herschel Walker, Jim Taylor*
13 Corey Dillon, Earnest Byner, John Riggins*, Ollie Matson*, Freeman McNeil, Larry Csonka*, James Brooks, Floyd Little*, Herschel Walker, Jim Taylor*
Career Corey Dillon, Earnest Byner, Ollie Matson*, Freeman McNeil, Larry Csonka*, James Brooks, Floyd Little*, Herschel Walker, Jim Taylor*, John L. Williams
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/28/2011.

So what do you think about Bettis?

49 Comments | Posted in Great Historical Players, HOF, PI Finds, Running Backs

Site Features: Two Play Index Additions

Posted by Neil Paine on January 14, 2011

A quick note on two features Sean recently added to the Pro-Football Reference Play Index:

8 Comments | Posted in Announcements, P-F-R News, PI Finds, Play Index, Site Features

PI Finds: Final 2010 Team Adjusted Rushing Yards per Attempt, SRS-Style

Posted by Neil Paine on January 6, 2011

As a follow-up to the 2010 team passing ratings I posted Tuesday, I ran the same process on team rushing performances. The formula for adjusted rushing yards per attempt was:

ARY/A = (Rush Yds + 18 * Rush TD) / Rush Att

(The 18 comes from Chase's post on the value of TDs.)

Using the PFR Team Game Finder, I plugged every team single-game rushing performance of the 2010 season into the formula above, then adjusted for strength of schedule and game location using an SRS-style recursive loop. The result was a set of ratings that best predicted every game according to these equations:

Home ARY/A = Lg Avg  ARY/A + .5*HFA + Home Rush Offense Rating + Away Rush Defense Rating

Away ARY/A = Lg Avg ARY/A - .5*HFA + Away Rush Offense Rating + Home Rush Defense Rating

Here were the ratings (again, negative is good for defenses):

4 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index, Simple Rating System, Site Features, Statgeekery

PI Finds: Final 2010 Team Adjusted Net Passing Yards per Attempt, SRS-Style

Posted by Neil Paine on January 4, 2011

Taking into account opponent and game location, which 2010 teams had the best passing offenses and defenses according to Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt? Let's use the PFR team Game Finder and Doug's SRS methodology (or, if you prefer, Chase's Rearview Adjusted Yards Per Attempt methodology) to find out...

With the team game finder, I called up every team passing performance of the 2010 season. Using the CSV option, I dumped the results into Excel and was quickly able to create a table listing the home and road teams' passing stats for each game of the season:

2010 Game-by-Game Passing Stats

From there, I set up an SRS-style recursive loop where every game's home and road ANY/A are predicted by the following formulae:

Home ANY/A = Lg Avg  ANY/A + .5*HFA + Home Pass Offense Rating + Away Pass Defense Rating

Away ANY/A = Lg Avg ANY/A - .5*HFA + Away Pass Offense Rating + Home Pass Defense Rating

Here were the results (negative is good for defenses):

4 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Simple Rating System, Site Features, Statgeekery

PI Finds: Patriots Shellack Jets

Posted by Neil Paine on December 8, 2010

In honor of the Patriots' vicious beatdown of the Jets Monday night, here are some stats from the Team Game Finder...

New England's romp featured the 2nd-biggest margin of victory in any 2010 game:

Points
Rk Tm Year Date Opp W# G# Day Result PF PA PD
1 OAK 2010 2010-10-24 @ DEN 7 7 Sun W 59-14 59 14 45
2 NWE 2010 2010-12-06 NYJ 13 12 Mon W 45-3 45 3 42
3 DET 2010 2010-10-10 STL 5 5 Sun W 44-6 44 6 38
4 GNB 2010 2010-11-07 DAL 9 9 Sun W 45-7 45 7 38
5 ATL 2010 2010-09-19 ARI 2 2 Sun W 41-7 41 7 34
6 NYG 2010 2010-11-07 @ SEA 9 8 Sun W 41-7 41 7 34
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/8/2010.

It also tied the 2nd-biggest rout in Monday Night Football history:

Points
Rk Tm Year Date Opp W# G# Day Result PF PA PD
1 BAL 2005 2005-12-19 GNB 15 14 Mon W 48-3 48 3 45
2 MIA 1986 1986-11-24 NYJ 12 12 Mon W 45-3 45 3 42
3 NWE 2010 2010-12-06 NYJ 13 12 Mon W 45-3 45 3 42
4 SEA 2005 2005-12-05 @ PHI 13 12 Mon W 42-0 42 0 42
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/8/2010.

11 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index, Simple Rating System, Site Features, Totally Useless, Trivia

PI Finds: Most Overtime Games by One Team

Posted by Neil Paine on December 1, 2010

Today we have an inquiry from PFR reader Jose:

"No one seems to know the answer to this question: What is the record for most OT games in a season by one team?"

Thanks to an upgrade made to the Play Index Team Game Finder by S-R president Sean Forman, we can now use PFR's site tools to answer this question.

Just go to the Team Game Finder, select "Search for Season Games matching criteria," and check the OT radio button at the bottom left-hand side of the finder interface ("Overtime Game"=Yes). Click "Get Results," and here's what you come up with:

Rk Tm Year W L T W-L% Count
1 Carolina Panthers 2003 4 1 0 0.800 5
2 Green Bay Packers 1983 2 3 0 0.400 5
3 Atlanta Falcons 2002 1 2 1 0.375 4
4 Cleveland Browns 1986 3 1 0 0.750 4
5 Cleveland Browns 1989 1 2 1 0.375 4
6 Arizona Cardinals 1997 1 3 0 0.250 4
7 Arizona Cardinals 1995 2 2 0 0.500 4
8 Denver Broncos 1985 2 2 0 0.500 4
9 Denver Broncos 2007 2 2 0 0.500 4
10 Minnesota Vikings 1994 2 2 0 0.500 4
11 Minnesota Vikings 1995 2 2 0 0.500 4
12 New York Jets 2004 1 3 0 0.250 4
13 San Diego Chargers 2002 3 1 0 0.750 4
14 San Francisco 49ers 2001 3 1 0 0.750 4
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/1/2010.

This includes regular-season + OT games, but you can select either of those individually as well.

8 Comments | Posted in Announcements, PI Finds, Play Index

PI Finds: Every Thanksgiving QB Performance Since 1960

Posted by Neil Paine on November 24, 2010

In honor of the holiday tomorrow, I thought I'd put together a list of every Thanksgiving QB performance since 1960. Using the PFR Player Game Finder to find Thursday games, I cross-referenced the results against this list of historical Thanksgiving dates. Here's what I eventually came up with:

10 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index

PI Finds: Pats-Colts, By The Numbers

Posted by Neil Paine on November 18, 2010

In honor of this Sunday's battle between two of the NFL's fiercest rivals, let's use the PFR Team Game Finder to take a look at the New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts' head-to-head stats during the Brady-vs-Manning era (2001-09, including the playoffs -- but excluding '08, when Brady was injured and missed the game).

First, the overall game results:

Team Games Wins Losses Ties WPct PF PA PtDiff
Patriots 11 7 4 0 0.636 324 265 59
Colts 11 4 7 0 0.364 265 324 -59

And the results just in Foxboro, the location of Sunday's game:

Team Games Wins Losses Ties WPct PF PA PtDiff
Patriots 6 4 2 0 0.667 156 121 35
Colts 6 2 4 0 0.333 121 156 -35

6 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index, Site Features

PI Finds: Searching for Vick/Eagles Milestones at PFR

Posted by Neil Paine on November 17, 2010

If you were watching the Philly-Washington game on Monday night, you knew that Michael Vick and the Eagles were setting records right & left because the MNF crew pointed them out on-screen as they happened. But do you ever wish you could search for those kinds of milestones yourself? Using the Pro-Football-Reference.com Play Index, you can. Here are some Vick/Eagles milestones I searched for on Tuesday morning, as soon as we loaded the Eagles game into the database:

(Please note that I'm not picking on the Redskins here, or rubbing in their loss -- this is merely a demonstration of our site tools, and the MNF game is a good example because a lot of milestones were reached.)

17 Comments | Posted in History, PI Finds, Play Index, Site Features

PI Finds: The Rivers Index

Posted by Neil Paine on November 11, 2010

Last week, I showed you how to set up an "expected W-L" method for a quarterback using the Play Index Team Game Finder, the QB's gamelogs, and a logistic regression formula. I found that our test case, Philip Rivers, should have been expected to win 27.7 games over the last 3 seasons (prior to the Chargers' win over Houston) based on his passing performance, but in actuality only won 24 games, a difference of -3.7 wins. Without context, though, that number doesn't really mean anything -- is that a lot, or a little? Today, I'm going to answer that question by comparing every QB's actual and expected W-L records, something I like to call "The Rivers Index" (in an homage to Doug's Manning and Dungy Indices).

27 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index, Quarterbacks, Statgeekery

PI Finds: Best Scoring Differentials by Quarter

Posted by Neil Paine on November 9, 2010

Which teams have played the best in each quarter so far this season? Using the data in the PFR Team Game Finder and a little Excel wizardry, you can answer this question.

At the Game Finder, check the radio button next to "Search for Cumulative Season Games", click the red "current" text under Years, and tell the finder to sort by "First Quarter Score":

1 Comment | Posted in General, PI Finds, Play Index, Site Features

PI Finds: Should Philip Rivers Have Won More Games?

Posted by Neil Paine on November 5, 2010

Using the PFR Play Index's Player Season Finder, you can run custom individual leaderboards across multiple seasons. For instance, here are the NFL leaders in Adjusted Yards per Attempt over the past three years:

Rk Player From To Tm G Cmp Att Yds TD Int AY/A
1 Philip Rivers 2008 2010 SDG 40 827 1270 10912 77 27 8.85
2 Drew Brees 2008 2010 NOR 39 1010 1480 11791 84 39 7.92
3 Aaron Rodgers 2008 2010 GNB 40 856 1346 10483 70 29 7.86
4 Tony Romo 2008 2010 DAL 35 771 1213 9536 63 30 7.79
5 Matt Schaub 2008 2010 HTX 34 796 1198 9552 54 31 7.71
6 Tom Brady 2008 2010 NWE 24 525 801 6076 40 17 7.63
7 Peyton Manning 2008 2010 CLT 39 961 1425 10686 75 30 7.60
8 Ben Roethlisberger 2008 2010 PIT 34 670 1057 8383 48 29 7.60
9 Kurt Warner 2008 2009 CRD 31 740 1111 8336 56 28 7.38
10 Donovan McNabb 2008 2010 TOT 38 771 1291 9440 52 29 7.11

As you can see, the leader (by far) is San Diego's Philip Rivers. In fact, 10th-ranked McNabb is closer to #2 Brees than Brees is to Rivers!

Statistically, it's tough to find a QB since 2008 who can touch Rivers. However, his team hasn't enjoyed the same lofty success: the Chargers are 24-16 over the past 3 years -- a respectable record, but one seemingly out of place next to Rivers' gaudy passing numbers. This disconnect between individual accomplishments and team performance has haunted many a quarterback in the past, and is now is the main reason Rivers isn't held up in the same group as Brady, Manning, Roethlisberger, and Brees as a quarterback. QBs are supposed to win, we're told, not amass seemingly empty stats.

26 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index, Quarterbacks, Statgeekery

PI Finds: Not Your Typical 6-1 Pats

Posted by Neil Paine on November 1, 2010

Stop me if you've heard this one before: At 6-1, the New England Patriots boast the NFL's top record despite a roster that looks less than overwhelming on paper. So does this mean 2010 will be another one of those patented Patriot seasons where they're somehow on top when the dust clears? Let's go to the PFR Play Index's Team Game Finder and break down the numbers...

17 Comments | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index, Site Features

Checkdown: Team Game Finder

Posted by Sean on September 3, 2010

Play Index: Team Game Finder

Searching for the most rushing yards in a loss or the fewest pass attempts by a team in a game is so much easier using the Team Game Finder. Check it out before the season starts.

Comments Off | Posted in PI Finds, Play Index

PI Finds: Sanchez Runs Hot and Cold As a Rookie

Posted by Neil Paine on December 22, 2009

After Sunday's loss to Atlanta, Braylon Edwards is, um, somewhat perturbed with the state of New York's offense:

"We're embarrassing on offense. Forget the stats and 'This is where we are rushing the football.' We're not making plays when it counts, and we are continuously in a situation that is embarrassing, irritating, frustrating coming in on Monday, knowing that we could have won yesterday then we would be ahead and almost certain, if we won the rest of our games, to get in [the playoffs]. Now here we are again, if we win out, we have to have this scenario happen [to make it]. It's irritating."

It's pretty clear that the Jets rise and fall on the basis of Mark Sanchez's play, and like any rookie QB, he's had his ups and downs this season. First, the ups:

Rk Player Year Tm G w/ Rate>80 TeamW TeamL
1 Philip Rivers 2009 SDG 14 11 3
2 Peyton Manning 2009 IND 13 13 0
2 Aaron Rodgers 2009 GNB 13 9 4
4 Matt Schaub 2009 HOU 12 6 6
5 Drew Brees 2009 NOR 11 10 1
5 Kyle Orton 2009 DEN 11 8 3
5 Ben Roethlisberger 2009 PIT 11 7 4
8 Tom Brady 2009 NWE 10 7 3
8 Tony Romo 2009 DAL 10 8 2
10 Jason Campbell 2009 WAS 9 3 6
10 Brett Favre 2009 MIN 9 9 0
10 Joe Flacco 2009 BAL 9 8 1
10 Eli Manning 2009 NYG 9 7 2
10 Donovan McNabb 2009 PHI 9 8 1
15 David Garrard 2009 JAX 8 6 2
15 Carson Palmer 2009 CIN 8 5 3
15 Kurt Warner 2009 ARI 8 8 0
18 Mark Sanchez 2009 NYJ 7 5 2

When Sanchez has a solid game (QB rating > 80), NY is 5-2, and he's had more solid games than most signal-callers in the league this year. I would imagine Braylon isn't really complaining when Sanchez performs at that level, but Sanchez has also had more than his share of clunkers this year as well:

Rk Player Year Tm G w/ Rate<60 TeamW TeamL
1 JaMarcus Russell 2009 OAK 7 1 6
2 Matthew Stafford 2009 DET 6 0 6
3 Derek Anderson 2009 CLE 5 1 4
3 Brady Quinn 2009 CLE 5 2 3
3 Mark Sanchez 2009 NYJ 5 0 5

The Jets are 0-5 when Sanchez has one of his bad games, and as you can see, there really isn't a lot of room in between good and bad for the rookie -- in all but one game this year, he's had a rating of either greater than 80 or less than 60. No other QB has alternated solid and bad efforts as much as Sanchez, which means Braylon should only really be embarrassed and irritated half of the time. All things considered, I guess that's better than the team he started the year on, which, prior to their rush-happy 41-point explosion vs. KC, had a frustrating and embarrassing offense all of the time.

10 Comments | Posted in PI Finds

PI Finds: Can Welker Still Challenge Harrison?

Posted by Neil Paine on December 14, 2009

On Sunday, New England Patriots WR Wes Welker continued his remarkable 2009 campaign, snagging 10 Tom Brady passes for 105 yards, bringing his reception total to 105 so far this season. It was his second consecutive 10-reception game, coming on the heels of a performance against the Dolphins that made him the second-fastest to reach 95 catches in a single season, and it gave him the 2nd-highest reception total in NFL history through 13 team games:

Rk Player Age Year Tm G Rec Yds TD
1 Marvin Harrison 30 2002 CLT 13 118 1394 8
2 Wes Welker 28 2009 NWE 11 105 1158 4
3 Cris Carter 29 1994 MIN 13 102 1041 7
4 Herman Moore 25 1995 DET 13 101 1417 12
5 Keyshawn Johnson 29 2001 TAM 13 100 1196 1
6 Michael Irvin* 29 1995 DAL 13 98 1391 10
7 Hines Ward 26 2002 PIT 13 98 1166 11
8 Terance Mathis 27 1994 ATL 13 97 1201 10
9 Torry Holt 27 2003 RAM 13 96 1418 10
10 T.J. Houshmandzadeh 30 2007 CIN 13 96 966 11
11 Wes Welker 27 2008 NWE 13 96 1002 1
12 Cris Carter 29 1995 MIN 13 95 1080 14
13 Sterling Sharpe 28 1993 GNB 13 93 1016 9
14 Wes Welker 26 2007 NWE 13 93 974 8
15 Andre Johnson 27 2008 HTX 13 92 1201 5
16 Andre Johnson 25 2006 HTX 13 92 1059 5
17 Johnny Morris 28 1964 CHI 13 92 1195 10
18 Terrell Owens 29 2002 SFO 13 92 1225 12
19 Jimmy Smith 32 2001 JAX 13 92 1137 7
20 Brett Perriman 30 1995 DET 13 91 1176 8

Of course, Welker's terrific play so far in 2009 (he became just the 4th player in NFL history to have 3 consecutive 100-catch seasons, joining Jerry Rice, Marvin Harrison, and Herman Moore) has also allowed us to reflect back on just how insane Harrison's production was during his peak. First, he is the only player in NFL history to have four straight 100-catch campaigns. Also, notice that the difference between #1 and #2 on the list above, in terms of receptions through 13 games, is the same as the difference between #2 and #15! In order to catch Harrison's staggering record of 143 catches in a season from 2002, Welker will have to haul in 12.7 catches per game for the remaining 3 games of the regular season.

That said, the real gap between Welker and Harrison isn't anywhere near as great as it sounds from the raw numbers, because Welker has suffered a handicap in his pursuit of Harrison this year -- he missed 2 games early in the season. If Welker played at his current pace, but in 13 games instead of 11 (remember, Harrison didn't miss any games during his 2002 season), Welker would have 124 catches through 13 games, which is actually 6 more than Harrison's record pace!

Thanks to the 2-game absence, we'll probably never know whether a full season of Welker could have challenged or even broken Harrison's record, but we should still count ourselves as lucky to see two of the great possession-receiver seasons of all time separated by just 7 years.

11 Comments | Posted in PI Finds

PI Finds: Quinn’s Futility in Victory Not Unprecedented

Posted by Neil Paine on December 11, 2009

Sorry to pick on the Notre Dame guys again, but last night Brady Quinn completed a measly 6 of 19 passes for 90 yards in Cleveland's scarcely-watchable 13-6 win over the Steelers. Was this one of the worst games by a winning QB ever? Well, the performance (4.7 yards per attempt) was abysmal, to be sure, but it actually is not without precedent. Here are the NFL passers since 1960 who, like Quinn, tossed at least 19 passes and completed as many or fewer of them than the Browns' signal-caller did last night:

25 Comments | Posted in PI Finds

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