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Westbrook is good and the Texans are bad

Posted by Doug on September 26, 2006

I had a couple of requests via email yesterday.

One was to provide some historical context for just how bad the Texans' defense has been. They've given up a lot of yards, and they've given up the most points in the league. But if you want to wade into a worst-ever brawl, you'd better be packing more than 98 points allowed in a three-game stretch. Since 1978, NFL teams have played 11,813 three-game stretches (some of which overlap with each other), and 361 have been worse than the Texans' last three games. So they're in the 97th percentile for badness. But as of now they do not seem to be anything special. They're just regular old worst-in-the-league bad.

In case you were curious, the worst defensive three-game stretch of the last 25 years belongs to the Titans, who in weeks 13--15 of 2004 gave up 140 points: 51 to the Colts, 49 to the Chiefs, and 40 to the Raiders. On the other end of the list, the 2000 Titans, the 2000 Steelers, and the 1985 Bears had three-game stretches where they allowed 3 points.

The other request was for an analysis of where Brian Westbrook's Sunday performance ranks historically in terms of fantasy points per touch. If you set the cutoff at 10 touches, then it was the best performance since 2000. Westbrook is no stranger to this list:


Name YR WK RSH YD REC YD TD
===================================================
Brian Westbrook 2006 3 8 117 4 47 3
T.J. Duckett 2004 14 12 65 0 0 4
Charlie Garner 2002 5 8 94 4 83 2
Larry Johnson 2005 1 9 110 1 11 2
Clinton Portis 2003 14 22 218 2 36 5
Marshall Faulk 2000 5 7 55 6 116 2
Jerome Bettis 2005 17 10 41 0 0 3
Ryan Moats 2005 14 11 114 0 0 2
Marshall Faulk 2001 12 12 70 6 128 3
Kevin Faulk 2002 10 5 21 7 109 2
Brian Westbrook 2003 11 9 48 5 60 3
Brian Westbrook 2003 15 8 59 3 45 2
Michael Pittman 2004 9 15 128 2 30 3
Shaun Alexander 2002 4 24 139 3 92 5
Tatum Bell 2005 5 12 127 1 5 2
Randy Jordan 2000 16 11 55 1 55 2
Frank Gore 2005 16 10 68 0 0 2
Tiki Barber 2004 1 9 125 5 75 1
Clinton Portis 2002 15 21 130 3 75 4
Antowain Smith 2000 17 17 147 1 4 3
Corey Dillon 2000 8 22 278 0 0 2
Tiki Barber 2000 1 13 144 3 25 2
Derrick Blaylock 2004 12 8 57 3 21 2
Garrison Hearst 2001 11 12 106 1 6 2
Chris Warren 2000 8 10 64 1 11 2
Antowain Smith 2005 6 12 88 0 0 2
Shaun Alexander 2005 3 22 140 0 0 4
Brian Westbrook 2005 3 13 68 6 140 2

If you lower the cutoff to five touches, there are a few performances that can top Westbrook's. Who can forget Jerome Bettis's 5 carries for 1 yard and 3 TDs in week 1 of 2004?

This entry was posted on Tuesday, September 26th, 2006 at 4:09 am and is filed under Fantasy, General. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.