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Rookie impact: wide receivers and tight ends

Posted by Doug on April 26, 2006

My last post was a historical look at rookie running backs. This is the same data for wide receivers:

Teams = number of teams whose leading receiver (by receptions) at the WR position was a rookie.

Elite = number of rookie wide receivers who finished in the top 10 in fantasy scoring that year.

PCT = leaguewide percentage of all wide receiver receptions that went to rookies.


Year Teams Elite PCT
=================================
1978 2 1 13.0
1979 1 0 6.3
1980 2 0 7.0
1981 2 1 6.8
1982 0 1 9.3
1983 1 0 10.0
1984 2 1 9.1
1985 3 1 15.3
1986 0 1 12.9
1987 0 0 9.6
1988 3 0 11.0
1989 2 0 11.0
1990 2 0 9.3
1991 1 0 8.5
1992 0 0 4.1
1993 1 0 8.2
1994 2 0 7.0
1995 1 0 8.9
1996 2 0 11.0
1997 2 0 4.1
1998 0 1 8.1
1999 2 0 9.8
2000 1 0 9.8
2001 1 0 9.4
2002 0 0 10.2
2003 2 1 10.9
2004 3 0 9.8
2005 0 0 7.7

And here are all teams whose top pass-catching wide receiver was a rookie:


1978
====
gnb 8- 7-1 James Lofton ( 46- 818- 6)
sdg 9- 7-0 John Jefferson ( 56-1001-13)

1979
====
nyg 6-10-0 Earnest Gray ( 28- 537- 4)

1980
====
nyj 4-12-0 Lam Jones ( 25- 482- 3)
was 6-10-0 Art Monk ( 58- 797- 3)

1981
====
chi 6-10-0 Ken Margerum ( 39- 584- 1)
cin 12- 4-0 Cris Collinsworth ( 67-1009- 8 )

1983
====
chi 8- 8-0 Willie Gault ( 40- 836- 8 )

1984
====
cle 5-11-0 Brian Brennan ( 35- 455- 3)
nyg 9- 7-0 Bobby Johnson ( 48- 795- 7)

1985
====
buf 2-14-0 Andre Reed ( 48- 637- 4)
nor 5-11-0 Eric Martin ( 35- 522- 4)
nyj 11- 5-0 Al Toon ( 46- 662- 3)

1988
====
gnb 4-12-0 Sterling Sharpe ( 55- 791- 1)
rai 7- 9-0 Tim Brown ( 43- 725- 5)
sea 9- 7-0 Brian Blades ( 40- 682- 8 )

1989
====
atl 3-13-0 Shawn Collins ( 58- 862- 3)
nwe 5-11-0 HartLee Dykes ( 49- 795- 5)

1990
====
phi 10- 6-0 Calvin Williams ( 37- 602- 9)
pho 5-11-0 Ricky Proehl ( 56- 802- 4)

1991
====
tam 3-13-0 Lawrence Dawsey ( 55- 818- 3)

1993
====
nwe 5-11-0 Vincent Brisby ( 45- 626- 2)

1994
====
cle 11- 5-0 Derrick Alexander ( 48- 828- 2)
pit 12- 4-0 Charles Johnson ( 38- 577- 3)

1995
====
nyj 3-13-0 Wayne Chrebet ( 66- 726- 4)

1996
====
ind 9- 7-0 Marvin Harrison ( 64- 836- 8 )
nwe 11- 5-0 Terry Glenn ( 90-1132- 6)

1997
====
car 7- 9-0 Rae Carruth ( 44- 545- 4)
tam 10- 6-0 Reidel Anthony ( 35- 448- 4)

1999
====
cle 2-14-0 Kevin Johnson ( 66- 986- 8 )
pit 6-10-0 Troy Edwards ( 61- 714- 5)

2000
====
cin 4-12-0 Peter Warrick ( 51- 592- 4)

2001
====
kan 6-10-0 Marvin Minnis ( 33- 511- 1)

2003
====
ari 4-12-0 Anquan Boldin (101-1377- 8 )
hou 5-11-0 Andre Johnson ( 66- 976- 4)

2004
====
ari 6-10-0 Larry Fitzgerald ( 58- 780- 8 )
det 6-10-0 Roy Williams ( 54- 817- 8 )
tam 5-11-0 Michael Clayton ( 80-1193- 7)

Despite the high (even for me) data-to-word ratio, I'm going to throw the tight end data in this post too. Note that the Teams column is a count of the number of teams whose top receiving tight end was a rookie, not the number of teams whose leading receiver was a rookie tight end. Likewise, the PCT column is the percentage of the leaguewide tight end receptions accounted for by rookies.


Year Teams Elite PCT
=================================
1978 3 1 9.3
1979 3 0 11.2
1980 6 2 16.1
1981 1 0 6.0
1982 1 0 3.7
1983 3 0 13.0
1984 1 0 5.0
1985 2 0 8.9
1986 2 0 7.7
1987 1 1 9.7
1988 4 2 12.8
1989 3 1 7.7
1990 1 1 7.7
1991 1 1 7.5
1992 0 0 6.1
1993 3 0 9.8
1994 1 0 6.4
1995 6 1 14.5
1996 3 0 7.1
1997 2 0 12.7
1998 2 1 11.7
1999 0 0 5.1
2000 3 0 8.8
2001 3 0 9.6
2002 4 2 17.6
2003 3 0 13.0
2004 2 0 10.0
2005 3 0 10.6

Teams whose top pass catching tight end was a rookie:


1978
====
cle 8- 8-0 Ozzie Newsome ( 38- 589- 2)
nyj 8- 8-0 Mickey Shuler ( 11- 67- 3)
stl 6-10-0 Eason Ramson ( 23- 238- 1)

1979
====
cin 4-12-0 Dan Ross ( 41- 516- 1)
sfo 2-14-0 Bob Bruer ( 26- 254- 1)
was 10- 6-0 Don Warren ( 26- 303- 0)

1980
====
atl 12- 4-0 Junior Miller ( 46- 584- 9)
buf 11- 5-0 Mark Brammer ( 26- 283- 4)
chi 7- 9-0 Bob Fisher ( 12- 203- 2)
min 9- 7-0 Joe Senser ( 42- 447- 7)
ram 11- 5-0 Victor Hicks ( 23- 318- 3)
stl 5-11-0 Doug Marsh ( 22- 269- 4)

1981
====
stl 7- 9-0 Greg LaFleur ( 14- 190- 2)

1982
====
sea 4- 5-0 Pete Metzelaars ( 15- 152- 0)

1983
====
buf 8- 8-0 Tony Hunter ( 36- 402- 3)
hou 2-14-0 Chris Dressel ( 32- 316- 4)
nyg 3-12-1 Zeke Mowatt ( 21- 280- 1)

1984
====
det 4-11-1 David Lewis ( 16- 236- 3)

1985
====
nyg 10- 6-0 Mark Bavaro ( 37- 511- 4)
pit 7- 9-0 Preston Gothard ( 6- 83- 0)

1986
====
den 11- 5-0 Orson Mobley ( 22- 332- 1)
nwe 11- 5-0 Greg Baty ( 37- 331- 2)

1987
====
stl 7- 8-0 Rob Awalt ( 42- 526- 6)

1988
====
chi 12- 4-0 James Thornton ( 15- 135- 0)
det 4-12-0 Pat Carter ( 13- 145- 0)
mia 6-10-0 Ferrell Edmunds ( 33- 575- 3)
phi 10- 6-0 Keith Jackson ( 81- 869- 6)

1989
====
hou 9- 7-0 Bob Mrosko ( 3- 28- 0)
rai 8- 8-0 Mike Dyal ( 27- 499- 2)
sea 7- 9-0 Robert Tyler ( 14- 148- 0)

1990
====
pit 9- 7-0 Eric Green ( 34- 387- 7)

1991
====
ram 3-13-0 Jim Price ( 35- 410- 2)

1993
====
cin 3-13-0 Tony McGee ( 44- 525- 0)
nor 8- 8-0 Irv Smith ( 16- 180- 2)
ram 5-11-0 Troy Drayton ( 27- 319- 4)

1994
====
min 10- 6-0 Andrew Jordan ( 35- 336- 0)

1995
====
ari 4-12-0 Oscar McBride ( 13- 112- 2)
det 10- 6-0 David Sloan ( 17- 184- 1)
ind 9- 7-0 Ken Dilger ( 42- 635- 4)
jax 4-12-0 Pete Mitchell ( 41- 527- 2)
pit 11- 5-0 Mark Bruener ( 26- 238- 3)
was 6-10-0 Jamie Asher ( 14- 172- 0)

1996
====
oak 7- 9-0 Rickey Dudley ( 34- 386- 4)
phi 10- 6-0 Jason Dunn ( 15- 332- 2)
ram 6-10-0 Ernie Conwell ( 15- 164- 0)

1997
====
atl 7- 9-0 O.J. Santiago ( 17- 217- 2)
sdg 4-12-0 Freddie Jones ( 41- 505- 2)

1998
====
nor 6-10-0 Cameron Cleeland ( 54- 684- 6)
was 6-10-0 Stephen Alexander ( 37- 383- 4)

2000
====
cle 3-13-0 Aaron Shea ( 30- 302- 2)
gnb 9- 7-0 Bubba Franks ( 34- 363- 1)
nyj 9- 7-0 Anthony Becht ( 16- 144- 2)

2001
====
atl 7- 9-0 Alge Crumpler ( 25- 330- 3)
nor 7- 9-0 Boo Williams ( 20- 202- 3)
sfo 12- 4-0 Eric Johnson ( 40- 362- 3)

2002
====
cin 2-14-0 Matt Schobel ( 27- 212- 2)
mia 9- 7-0 Randy McMichael ( 39- 485- 4)
nyg 10- 6-0 Jeremy Shockey ( 74- 894- 2)
oak 11- 5-0 Doug Jolley ( 32- 409- 2)

2003
====
dal 10- 6-0 Jason Witten ( 35- 347- 1)
phi 12- 4-0 L.J. Smith ( 27- 321- 1)
sdg 4-12-0 Antonio Gates ( 24- 389- 2)

2004
====
ten 5-11-0 Ben Troupe ( 33- 329- 1)
was 6-10-0 Chris Cooley ( 37- 314- 6)

2005
====
ari 5-11-0 Adam Bergen ( 28- 270- 1)
pit 11- 5-0 Heath Miller ( 39- 459- 6)
tam 11- 5-0 Alex Smith ( 41- 367- 2)

This entry was posted on Wednesday, April 26th, 2006 at 4:12 am and is filed under History, NFL Draft. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.