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The 49ers

Posted by Doug on June 20, 2007

Apologies for the lack of posts lately. I'm hard at work teaching summer school, and my free time is going toward a complete re-design of my other website: footballguys.com.

Just a quick post here to point out that the 2006 San Francisco 49ers had the worst point differential of any 7-9 team in history.

TM   YR              PF   PA          NextYr
============================================
sfo 2006   7- 9-0   298  412  -114
stl 1995   7- 9-0   309  418  -109    6-10-0
tam 1995   7- 9-0   238  335   -97    6-10-0
ari 1996   7- 9-0   300  397   -97    4-12-0
stl 1981   7- 9-0   315  408   -93    5- 4-0
bal 1983   7- 9-0   264  354   -90    4-12-0
atl 2001   7- 9-0   291  377   -86    9- 6-1
sea 1989   7- 9-0   241  327   -86    9- 7-0
min 1979   7- 9-0   259  337   -78    9- 7-0
nor 2001   7- 9-0   333  409   -76    9- 7-0
hou 1981   7- 9-0   281  355   -74    1- 8-0
ind 1990   7- 9-0   281  353   -72    1-15-0
oak 1981   7- 9-0   273  343   -70    8- 1-0
atl 1994   7- 9-0   317  385   -68    9- 7-0
dal 1990   7- 9-0   244  308   -64   11- 5-0
nor 1984   7- 9-0   298  361   -63    5-11-0
chi 2003   7- 9-0   283  346   -63    5-11-0
nor 1994   7- 9-0   348  407   -59    7- 9-0
nyg 1999   7- 9-0   299  358   -59   12- 4-0

There has, in fact, only been one 6-10 team ever to post a worse point differential. And the 49ers compiled this differential against a weak schedule. San Fran was 31st out of 32 last year according to the simple rating system.

So they were either really lucky to be 7-9, or they were a clutch team that played their best football when it counted the most. You can probably guess which way I'd lean.

Here is one more interesting stat: the 49ers were outscored 113-251 in first halves of their games last year. Again, that's a stat in which people will see what they want to see. But to my eye, it looks like the 49ers will need to improve greatly in 2007 just to finish with the same record. Fortunately for them, they do appear to have gotten better in the offseason, so it looks like that might happen.

This entry was posted on Wednesday, June 20th, 2007 at 5:23 am and is filed under General. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.