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More SRS trivia: toughest and easiest schedules

Posted by Doug on June 25, 2007

More observations from the simple rating system: the easiest and hardest schedules since the merger.

But before I do that, I need to clarify one thing about the simple rating system: it's not my system. I didn't invent it. In fact, it's one of those systems that has been around for so long that no one in particular is credited with having developed it (as far as I know anyway). People were almost certainly using it before I was born. I like the system and use it a lot because it's fairly easy to interpret and understand, and because the math behind it is nifty. But I just realized that I had never been clear enough about the fact that it's not my system. I just use it.

With that out of the way, here is a look at the easiest and the hardest schedules since 1970 according to the SRS. As you'll see from the list, it's pretty clear that a good way to have an easy schedule is to be a good team in an otherwise poor division/conference. Conversely, the hardest schedules are generally faced by bad teams in otherwise very strong divisions/conferences. Next time I'll take a look at the toughest and easiest divisions since the merger.

The units for the numbers in the avSOS column are points. E.g. an avSOS of -6.3 for the 1970 Dolphins means that the average team on Miami's schedule that year was 6.3 points worse than a league average team. The string of numbers after avSOS indicates (among other things) that the best team the Dolphins played was the 11th best team in the league and that they played six games against the four worst teams in the league.

Tm   Yr   avSOS       SRS ranks of teams beaten / lost to / tied
======================================================================
mia 1970   -6.3  11 14 18 21 21 23 24 25 25 26 / 12 14 20 26 /
stl 1999   -5.9  19 21 21 22 24 26 26 28 28 29 30 30 31 / 15 18 25 /
bal 1970   -5.8  8 15 16 17 20 21 21 24 25 26 26 / 10 16 / 25
buf 1991   -5.2  11 15 19 19 20 21 21 22 25 26 27 28 28 / 5 14 26 / 
min 1975   -5.2  6 13 15 16 16 20 22 23 24 25 25 26 / 12 13 /
tam 1979   -5.1  13 14 16 22 23 25 25 27 28 28 / 14 17 23 24 26 27 /
jax 1999   -4.8  9 11 19 19 21 23 23 26 28 29 29 30 31 31 / 18 18 /
mia 1972   -4.3  8 9 12 13 13 19 19 20 21 22 22 24 26 26 /  /
ari 1998   -4.1  14 17 20 21 27 27 28 30 30 / 10 10 12 18 19 19 25 /
nyj 1991   -3.8  16 18 21 21 22 26 27 28 / 4 8 8 12 14 15 26 28 / 
mia 1991   -3.7  15 22 25 26 26 27 28 28 / 4 5 8 8 14 18 19 19 /
chi 1977   -3.7  3 17 21 23 24 24 26 26 28 / 6 13 16 17 27 /
chi 1979   -3.6  15 16 19 20 21 25 25 26 27 28 / 3 5 8 20 27 28 /
phi 2000   -3.6  8 17 18 25 25 26 28 29 30 31 31 / 2 12 13 13 17 /
car 1999   -3.6  17 25 26 28 28 29 30 31 / 1 1 5 12 15 23 26 30 /
cin 1970   -3.5  11 12 15 22 23 24 25 26 / 2 7 10 12 22 24 /
ram 1975   -3.5  1 5 13 15 15 16 19 20 24 25 26 26 / 10 20 /
pit 1983   -3.3  9 11 17 18 20 25 26 27 28 28 / 7 11 14 20 21 22 /
nyg 1985   -3.3  10 14 20 22 22 23 24 26 28 28 / 12 12 13 15 17 20 /
dal 1971   -3.3  4 7 19 19 20 20 22 23 25 25 26 / 7 15 16 /
ten 1999   -3.2  1 4 5 5 19 23 23 26 29 29 30 31 31 / 16 19 28 /
sea 2006   -3.2  14 17 22 22 25 28 29 30 32 / 2 4 15 24 29 31 31 /
car 2005   -3.2  13 16 17 17 21 22 24 26 27 28 31 / 12 14 15 16 31 /
sea 1982   -3.2  8 24 27 27 / 7 9 18 22 28 /
dal 1998   -3.1  12 16 19 19 26 26 27 27 30 30 / 1 5 14 18 21 25 /
den 1998   -3.1  9 10 11 12 12 18 18 25 25 27 28 28 29 30 / 6 19 /
nwe 1973   -3.1  19 22 24 25 26 / 2 2 12 13 13 17 17 18 22 /
stl 2006   -3.1  14 23 24 25 28 29 31 32 / 2 4 15 19 21 21 29 31 /
cle 1983   -3.1  7 11 13 14 17 25 26 27 28 / 9 11 13 18 21 22 28 /
atl 1977   -3.1  3 18 19 23 24 27 28 / 3 9 14 17 19 25 27 /
pit 1970   -3.0  12 13 21 24 25 / 10 11 12 13 17 18 19 20 24 /
mia 1984   -2.9  6 7 10 12 16 16 18 22 22 26 26 27 28 28 / 5 15 /
chi 2006   -2.9  12 13 17 21 22 24 24 25 28 28 29 30 31 / 1 16 25 /    
dal 1976   -2.8  4 9 12 14 19 19 22 23 23 24 27 / 12 14 25 /
nwe 1991   -2.8  4 8 17 19 28 28 / 8 10 10 16 19 20 21 21 23 25 /
buf 1970   -2.8  21 21 26 / 3 8 9 13 14 16 16 19 22 26 / 14
sdg 1992   -2.8  13 15 15 19 20 23 24 26 26 27 27 / 6 9 10 10 20 /
sea 2004   -2.8  15 16 17 18 19 26 28 32 32 / 1 5 6 26 29 29 30 /
sfo 1984   -2.8  6 11 11 13 17 18 19 19 20 21 23 24 24 25 27 / 10 /
chi 1986   -2.7  4 9 10 12 17 18 20 22 23 23 26 26 28 28 / 4 11 /
ram 1977   -2.7  2 11 13 15 17 19 19 26 27 28 / 13 14 18 27 /
nyg 2000   -2.7  8 11 11 16 17 25 25 26 28 30 31 31 / 2 10 15 17 /
cin 1982   -2.7  7 15 22 23 26 28 28 / 6 8 /

...

cin 2004   +2.5  7 8 9 18 21 22 23 30 / 1 4 4 5 6 7 22 25 /
min 1972   +2.6  4 10 10 15 16 17 23 / 1 2 4 5 6 16 21 /
chi 1970   +2.6  9 17 18 20 23 25 / 1 1 2 2 6 14 15 17 /
kan 1999   +2.6  4 8 9 9 14 15 19 20 23 / 4 6 7 7 13 20 22 /
phi 2005   +2.6  3 7 20 22 25 32 / 2 4 6 6 8 8 12 12 17 24 /
cle 1979   +2.6  4 5 8 10 13 18 19 21 22 / 1 1 4 7 11 12 18 /
sdg 2000   +2.6  19 / 1 1 3 6 7 7 8 10 18 19 20 21 23 23 24 /
sea 1989   +2.6  3 9 13 13 16 16 24 / 2 2 4 5 8 11 12 12 25 /
bal 1978   +2.6  4 5 12 14 22 / 1 2 3 3 5 9 10 10 19 23 23 /
mia 2004   +2.7  1 22 29 32 / 1 4 5 5 6 6 7 8 11 20 25 26 /
ram 1971   +2.8  6 6 9 11 14 15 16 17 / 1 2 3 7 15 / 11
nwe 1975   +2.9  5 20 24 / 2 2 5 6 6 7 9 10 11 23 23 /
buf 2006   +2.9  5 13 16 16 24 25 26 / 1 1 2 3 4 6 13 18 28 /
nyg 1983   +2.9  10 18 23 / 1 1 3 3 5 6 7 8 9 16 23 25 / 16
sdg 1972   +2.9  12 17 19 24 / 1 2 3 5 7 10 12 14 17 / 3
kan 1979   +2.9  7 7 11 11 18 22 22 / 1 2 2 4 6 6 9 20 23 /
oak 1999   +2.9  2 3 7 8 11 13 20 22 / 3 7 9 9 16 17 18 20 /
buf 1977   +3.0  9 13 22 / 1 2 5 5 8 8 9 11 14 20 22 /
oak 2005   +3.0  8 12 26 29 / 2 2 3 3 6 7 7 13 15 19 23 27 /
ind 1998   +3.0  2 28 29 / 2 3 4 6 6 7 7 9 9 12 14 16 24 /
nor 1971   +3.0  2 4 6 14 / 4 5 6 7 11 11 12 16 / 10 24
bal 2004   +3.1  4 5 6 11 18 21 22 23 30 / 1 2 4 9 10 11 22 /
nyj 1999   +3.1  2 7 9 10 14 16 16 27 / 2 4 5 6 6 12 14 24 /
chi 1971   +3.1  2 5 7 9 15 17 / 3 4 5 6 9 14 14 21 /
tam 1982   +3.3  3 10 11 20 24 / 1 2 4 12 /
sdg 2005   +3.3  1 6 7 8 13 20 20 26 27 / 2 2 5 7 12 15 19 /
oak 2004   +3.4  5 8 15 19 25 / 2 3 3 4 8 10 10 12 14 17 28 /
pit 1977   +3.4  4 6 10 11 11 12 19 20 22 / 1 2 6 8 12 /
nwe 1998   +3.4  3 6 7 14 15 18 22 23 23 / 2 2 4 5 6 7 17 /
ten 2006   +3.5  5 6 11 12 17 23 26 26 / 1 2 3 5 6 9 13 16 / 
nor 1998   +3.5  10 13 16 17 17 23 / 1 3 3 4 4 6 7 9 16 26 / 
car 1998   +3.5  14 17 17 23 / 2 3 3 4 4 6 7 8 10 13 14 27 /
stl 1998   +3.5  2 7 9 21 / 1 3 3 4 4 6 14 14 16 16 26 30 /
nyj 2000   +3.5  4 5 6 6 12 20 22 22 26 / 1 3 4 7 8 15 20 /
den 1999   +3.6  4 4 7 15 17 20 / 3 3 5 7 8 11 13 14 16 20 /
det 1970   +3.7  3 4 6 8 8 11 12 13 17 17 / 1 1 7 23 /
ram 1991   +3.7  13 18 22 / 1 2 2 3 3 5 9 9 11 12 14 17 23 /
cle 2004   +3.7  7 11 14 21 / 1 3 4 4 5 6 7 9 11 18 23 30 /
pho 1991   +3.8  6 9 24 26 / 1 1 2 3 6 7 7 10 13 13 17 17 /
kan 1977   +3.9  10 26 / 1 1 2 2 6 8 9 10 11 12 18 20 /
sfo 1973   +3.9  8 10 18 19 23 / 1 1 2 4 5 6 8 11 23 /
cin 1979   +3.9  1 9 10 19 / 1 2 3 4 4 6 8 9 12 13 15 22 /
was 1970   +4.2  2 4 13 19 20 20 / 1 4 5 5 6 9 9 11 /
cle 1975   +4.2  7 17 26 / 1 1 4 5 7 8 9 9 12 13 14 /
nyj 1975   +4.2  17 18 18 / 1 2 2 4 5 5 6 6 10 11 24 /
bal 1982   +4.6   / 1 3 3 6 9 11 12 18 / 5
nor 1970   +4.6  2 9 / 1 3 3 4 6 8 13 16 18 18 19 / 6   
gnb 1970   +5.1  1 8 15 18 20 22 / 1 2 2 3 5 6 8 14 /

This entry was posted on Monday, June 25th, 2007 at 10:14 am and is filed under General, History. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.