SITE NEWS: We are moving all of our site and company news into a single blog for Sports-Reference.com. We'll tag all PFR content, so you can quickly and easily find the content you want.
Also, our existing PFR blog rss feed will be redirected to the new site's feed.
Pro-Football-Reference.com ยป Sports Reference
For more from Chase and Jason, check out their work at Football Perspective and The Big Lead.
Mailbag/Trivia: Length of TDs
I got this in my email a few days ago:
My roommate and I were curious of the following: In NFL history, what yardage have the majority of touchdown passes been thrown from? I feel like the answer can be generalized in around 5-10 yard increments (i.e., majority of TD passes thrown between 20-30 yards).
Well, I can't get that data for all of NFL history, but I have it for 2002--2007.
Let's go ahead and break it down by individual yard lines. I'll open it up for guesses: during the period 2002--2007, what is the modal TD pass length? I'll post a full distribution after someone guesses the answer.
Bonus questions: what are the modal TD reception lengths for wide receivers, for tight ends, and for running backs?
ANSWERS:
Yrd WR% TE% RB% TOT% =============================== 1 1.78 16.20 10.49 5.99 2 2.72 10.89 6.65 4.99 3 3.70 5.98 6.14 4.49 4 4.81 5.58 6.14 5.14 5 4.23 4.78 5.12 4.46 6 3.39 5.71 4.86 4.07 7 3.74 2.92 3.84 3.57 8 3.30 3.45 4.35 3.45 9 2.85 3.59 4.09 3.16 10 2.81 2.39 3.58 2.80 11 2.27 3.32 2.56 2.54 12 2.41 2.39 2.81 2.45 13 2.67 1.46 2.81 2.42 14 2.63 2.26 3.07 2.60 15 2.85 2.52 2.05 2.69 16 1.78 3.19 0.77 1.98 17 1.52 2.66 1.53 1.77 18 1.78 1.86 1.28 1.74 19 1.74 1.59 1.79 1.71 20 2.45 1.73 1.53 2.18 21 1.69 1.20 1.53 1.56 22 1.96 1.46 0.51 1.68 23 1.43 1.06 1.79 1.39 24 1.20 1.20 0.26 1.09 25 1.83 0.80 1.53 1.56 26 1.56 1.46 1.02 1.48 27 1.92 0.93 0.77 1.56 28 1.38 0.40 1.02 1.12 29 1.38 0.27 0.26 1.00 30 1.34 0.53 0.51 1.06 31 1.29 1.06 1.53 1.27 32 1.38 0.53 0.26 1.06 33 1.34 0.80 0.51 1.12 34 1.07 0.40 0.51 0.86 35 1.38 0.40 1.02 1.12 36 1.02 0.13 0.51 0.77 37 1.25 0.00 0.51 0.89 38 0.80 0.00 0.77 0.62 39 1.16 0.00 0.26 0.80 40 1.07 0.00 0.00 0.71 41 0.71 0.40 0.77 0.65 42 0.85 0.53 0.26 0.71 43 0.80 0.00 0.26 0.56 44 0.80 0.00 0.26 0.56 45 0.49 0.40 0.26 0.44 46 0.62 0.13 0.26 0.47 47 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.35 48 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.35 49 0.53 0.13 0.00 0.38 50 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.44 51 0.71 0.00 0.51 0.53 52 0.36 0.13 0.77 0.35 53 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.27 54 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.27 55 0.40 0.00 0.26 0.30 56 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.21 57 0.45 0.13 0.00 0.32 58 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.27 59 0.40 0.00 0.26 0.30 60 0.45 0.13 0.77 0.41 61 0.18 0.00 0.26 0.15 62 0.22 0.13 0.51 0.24 63 0.09 0.00 0.51 0.12 64 0.18 0.00 0.77 0.21 65 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.30 66 0.27 0.13 0.51 0.27 67 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.12 68 0.40 0.00 0.51 0.32 69 0.22 0.00 0.26 0.18 70 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.18 71 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.21 72 0.40 0.13 0.00 0.30 73 0.18 0.00 0.26 0.15 74 0.13 0.00 0.26 0.12 75 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.21 76 0.31 0.13 0.00 0.24 77 0.27 0.00 0.26 0.21 78 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.18 79 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.15 80 0.40 0.13 0.51 0.35 81+ 1.02 0.27 0.26 0.77
This entry was posted on Friday, September 14th, 2007 at 4:31 am and is filed under General, Trivia. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

I'll go with:
WR: 16-20 yards.
TE: Goal line 1-5 yards.
RB: 6-10 yards.
I will go with:
TD Pass: 25-30 yards
WR Catch: 30-35
RB: 10-15
TE: 5-10
I'm guessing 1 yard.
RB's and TE's - 1
WRs a bit longer - 4 or 5?
Overall 12 yds.
WR: 15 yds.
TE: 5 yds.
RB: 10 yds.
Overall 80 yards
WR 80 yards
TE 80 yards
RB 80 yards
Overall: 17 yards
WR: 22 yards
RB: 28 yards
TE: 9 yards
Answers posted. Excellent guessing by MattyP.
Oh, i thought you meant the LEAST! Gosh, i am such a good guesser.
interesting, I take it .13 is 1 TD Reception.
Would be cool to see the breakdown for some of the individual qbs, who tends to favor what in certain places.
By "modal", don't you just mean "the mode", or most frequent observation? If so, your posted data give these.
I calculate the following expected values: 28.77 yard line for wide receivers, 13.42 yard line for tight ends, and 19.16 yard line for running backs, with the 24.30 yard line overall (though I'm not sure whether this ought to be adjusted according to the percentages contributed by the various positions).