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Similarity scores for 2009 teams, part II

Posted by Jason Lisk on October 24, 2009

This is the second part of the similarity scores; the methodology and the teams that have won 3 or more games and played six games are in part I. Here, we look at the ten teams with a losing record through six games. Next week, I'll close with the teams who are playing their sixth game this weekend.

One of the losing teams stands out as the most likely to make a run and turn it around. All but one of the Seahawks' comparables won at least five of their final ten games. The rest, well, it's not particular pretty. The most amazing is the Titans' collapse. They don't really have any similar teams (their most similar team has a score of only 608). I guess that's a good thing, because the bad news is that on the Titans' list, both the 1989 Cowboys and 2000 Chargers appear, and those teams that went 1-15. The worse news is that those weren't even the worst teams on the list, as the 2008 Lions also appear.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
weighted wins (last 10): 5.91
playoff chances: 27%

==============================================================
911	GNB	2000		2-4		7-3
896	CLE	1983		2-4		7-3
857	RAI	1996		2-4		5-5
856	CRD	1993		2-4		5-5
848	ATL	1983		2-4		5-5
845	PHI	2007		2-4		6-4
840	DET	1983		2-4		7-3
834	CLE	1980		3-3		8-2
831	CRD	2004		2-4		4-6
826	CAR	2000		2-4		5-5
==============================================================

OAKLAND RAIDERS
weighted wins (last 10): 4.15
playoff chances: 7%

==============================================================
763	TAM	1996		1-5		5-5
755	SFO	2007		2-4		3-7
744	NOR	1981		1-5		3-7
712	NEW	1988		2-4 		7-3
683	CRD	1990		2-4		3-7
655	PHI	1986		2-4		3-6-1
650	NYG	1996		2-4		4-6
645	CRD	1994		2-4		6-4
641	SDG	1988		2-4		4-6
638	GNB	1980		2-3-1		3-7
==============================================================

WASHINGTON REDSKINS
weighted wins (last 10): 4.48
playoff chances: 5%

==============================================================
838	KAN	1988		1-4-1		3-7
838	WAS	2004		2-4		4-6
818	RAV	1998		2-4		4-6
812	CLE	2005		2-4		4-6
812	RAV	2005		2-4		4-6
807	PHI	1985		2-4		5-5
805	RAI	1992		2-4		5-5
789	CLE	1991		2-4		4-6
779	CHI	1980		2-4		5-5
779	CLE	1988		3-3		7-3
==============================================================

BUFFALO BILLS
weighted wins (last 10): 4.00
playoff chances: 2%

==============================================================
888	CAR	1997		2-4		5-5
847	TAM	2006		2-4		2-7
824	RAM	1992		2-4		4-6
819	BUF	2006		2-4		5-5
817	CRD	1999		2-4		4-6
815	KAN	1989		2-4		6-3-1
813	CLE	2000		2-4		1-9
806	PHI	1984		2-4		4-5-1
799	NYG	1995		2-4		3-7
798	CIN	2004		2-4		6-4
==============================================================

CLEVELAND BROWNS
weighted wins (last 10): 3.78
playoff chances: 1%

==============================================================
891	PHI	1998		1-5		2-8
806	TAM	1996		1-5		5-5
754	NOR	1981		1-5		3-7
745	TAM	1993		1-5		4-6
745	HTX	2002		1-5		3-7
743	ATL	1999		1-5		4-6
732	OTI	2006		1-5		7-3
725	PIT	1986		1-5		5-5
707	KAN	2008		1-5		1-9
702	CHI	2000		1-5		4-6
==============================================================

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
weighted wins (last 10): 3.66
playoff chances: 1%

==============================================================
923	GNB	1984		1-5		7-3
849	NYJ	2007		1-5		3-7
830	CAR	1995		1-5		6-4
821	TAM	1986		1-5		1-9
811	NYJ	1980		1-5		3-7
804	ATL	1997		1-5		6-4
785	WAS	1993		1-5		3-7
779	DET	2003		1-5		4-6
777	CAR	2001		1-5		0-10
773	CIN	1992		2-4		3-7
==============================================================

DETROIT LIONS
weighted wins (last 10): 2.99
playoff chances: 1%

==============================================================
889	CLT	1981		1-5		1-9
838	CRD	1983		1-5		7-2-1
807	ATL	2003		1-5		4-6
784	NYG	1980		1-5		3-7
753	CHI	2003		1-5		6-4
739	DET	2008		0-6		0-10
733	NWE	1990		1-5		0-10
732	SDG	2000		0-6		1-9
709	RAM	1996		1-5		5-5
694	NYJ	1995		1-5		2-8
==============================================================

SAINT LOUIS RAMS
weighted wins (last 10): 2.98
playoff chances: 0%

==============================================================
821	CLT	1986		0-6		3-7
766	CIN	2002		0-6		2-8
705	DAL	1989		0-6		1-9
688	NWE	1992		0-6		2-8
682	OTI	1984		0-6		3-7
678	CHI	1997		0-6		4-6
675	WAS	2001		1-5		7-3
660	CIN	2000		0-6		4-6
655	HTX	2005		0-6		2-8
647	CLE	1999		0-6		2-8
==============================================================

TENNESSEE TITANS
weighted wins (last 10): 2.72
playoff chances: 0%

==============================================================
608	CHI	1997		0-6		4-6
588	SFO	2005		1-5		3-7
580	HTX	2005		0-6		2-8
512	WAS	1998		0-6		6-4
511	DET	2008		0-6		0-10
509	CIN	1991		0-6		3-7
496	SDG	2000		0-6		1-9
477	DAL	1989		0-6		1-9
464	CIN	1999		1-5		3-7
464	ATL	1985		0-6		4-6
==============================================================

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
weighted wins (last 10): 2.69
playoff chances: 0%

==============================================================
872	NOR	1980		0-6		1-9
825	CIN	1991		0-6		3-7
823	CIN	1997		1-5		6-4
812	CLT	1997		0-6		3-7
805	ATL	1996		0-6		3-7
801	DET	2001		0-6		2-8
798	NYJ	1996		0-6		1-9
796	NWE	1990		1-5		0-10
795	CIN	1979		0-6		4-6
777	NWE	1993		1-5		4-6
==============================================================

This entry was posted on Saturday, October 24th, 2009 at 11:35 am and is filed under Statgeekery. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.