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Data mining the conference championship games

Posted by Doug on January 13, 2008

The similarity score method, described here, sees a couple of uninteresting games:

                   Rec L6  Marg  H Bye  SIM   Result
====================================================
gnb                 3   1   122  1  0
====================================================
stl 2001  c  phi    3   1    95  1  0   973  W 29-24
phi 2004  c  atl    2   1   123  1  0   899  W 27-10
hou 1991  w  nyj    3   0   114  1  0   892  W 17-10
pit 2001  d  bal    3   1   102  1  1   880  W 27-10
den 2005  d  nwe    3   1    96  1  1   874  W 27-13
phi 2001  w  tam    2   1    91  1  0   869  W 31- 9
gnb 2002  w  atl    3   1   -18  1  0   860  L  7-27
chi 2006  c  nor    3   0    81  1  0   859  W 39-14
min 1992  w  was    2   1    80  1  0   858  L  7-24
dal 1994  d  gnb    3   1    71  1  1   849  W 35- 9
buf 1991  d  kan    3   1    70  1  1   848  W 37-14
pit 1995  c  ind    2   1    65  1  0   843  W 20-16
ind 2006  w  kan    3   0    51  1  0   829  W 23- 8
sea 2005  c  car    2   1    49  1  0   827  W 34-14
stl 1999  d  min    3   1   220  1  1   802  W 49-37
====================================================
WEIGHTED AVERAGE:  86.7 pct chance of victory
PROJECTED SCORE:  27.1-15.9


                   Rec L6  Marg  H Bye  SIM   Result
====================================================
nwe                 5   0   187  1  0
====================================================
hou 1991  w  nyj    3   0   114  1  0   727  W 17-10
kan 1995  d  ind    4   0   102  1  1   715  L  7-10
chi 2006  c  nor    3   0    81  1  0   694  W 39-14
chi 2006  d  sea    4   1   178  1  1   691  W 27-24
ind 2006  w  kan    3   0    51  1  0   664  W 23- 8
was 1991  d  atl    4  -1   238  1  1   649  W 24- 7
den 1998  d  mia    4   1   136  1  1   649  W 38- 3
sfo 1990  d  was    4   0    34  1  1   647  W 28-10
nwe 2006  w  nyj    2   0   127  1  0   640  W 37-16
den 1996  d  jax    4  -1   126  1  1   639  L 27-30
stl 1999  c  tam    2   0   249  1  0   638  W 11- 6
phi 2004  d  min    5   2   116  1  1   629  W 27-14
sea 2005  d  was    3   0   115  1  1   628  W 20-10
nyg 1993  w  min    2   0    96  1  0   609  W 17-10
stl 2001  c  phi    3   1    95  1  0   608  W 29-24
====================================================
WEIGHTED AVERAGE:  86.2 pct chance of victory
PROJECTED SCORE:  24.6-13.0

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