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Who is throwing to whom?

Posted by Doug on June 7, 2006

I had intended to continue the ten thousand seasons experiment for another day or so, by investigating different playoff formats. The programming for that has proved more challenging than I thought it would. It's not so challenging that I can't get it done at some point, just challenging enough that I can't get it done right now. I'll get back to it soon.

In the mean time, my thoughts are starting to turn more and more toward fantasy football, so much so that I am considering the idea of possibly starting to think about doing some projections. Maybe. Anyway, for me, the first step on that road is to collate some team data. In particular, one thing I always like to look at is what percentage of each team's passing yards went to wide receivers, tight ends, and running backs. And then break that down further into primary wide receiver, next wide receiver, and so on.

Another thing I like to do is try to squeeze as much data as I can into preformatted text tables, so here is my latest effort. The top line tells you that in 2003, the Cardinals leading wide receiver (by yardage) accounted for 42% of the team's receiving yardage. Their next wide receiver accounted for 13%. Under the T (for total) you'll see that the wide receiver group as a whole accounted for 70% of the team's yards. Likewise, tight ends contributed 18% and running backs 12%.

At the bottom are the league averages for the past three years.


==== WR =====|=== TE ===|=== RB ==
TM YR 1 2 3 T | 1 2 T | 1 2 T
============================================
ari 2003 | 42 13 6 70 | 16 2 18 | 6 3 12
2004 | 25 20 17 69 | 13 2 15 | 6 5 16
2005 | 30 30 9 77 | 6 3 9 | 5 5 14

atl 2003 | 32 14 5 55 | 21 3 24 | 13 5 21
2004 | 21 14 10 49 | 29 1 30 | 11 8 21
2005 | 21 17 15 55 | 30 1 31 | 8 4 14

bal 2003 | 25 18 7 50 | 28 6 34 | 8 5 16
2004 | 16 15 13 55 | 12 9 30 | 7 5 15
2005 | 32 14 4 52 | 25 5 31 | 9 6 16

buf 2003 | 25 24 19 72 | 11 3 15 | 5 3 13
2004 | 35 29 5 75 | 7 3 13 | 6 4 12
2005 | 29 26 16 80 | 5 1 6 | 6 4 15

car 2003 | 34 26 12 73 | 6 2 10 | 6 5 17
2004 | 36 19 13 70 | 8 3 12 | 10 4 17
2005 | 45 13 8 71 | 6 4 10 | 11 4 19

chi 2003 | 25 20 12 75 | 15 3 18 | 3 2 7
2004 | 26 18 9 59 | 11 3 14 | 16 5 27
2005 | 34 16 11 75 | 10 1 11 | 6 3 13

cin 2003 | 38 23 8 69 | 9 6 17 | 5 4 13
2004 | 36 28 11 81 | 6 2 9 | 5 2 10
2005 | 36 24 11 80 | 5 2 8 | 8 2 12

cle 2003 | 27 21 19 71 | 5 3 12 | 11 4 17
2004 | 26 18 14 69 | 9 8 19 | 6 3 11
2005 | 30 15 13 68 | 12 5 17 | 11 2 15

dal 2003 | 23 20 16 60 | 10 6 16 | 15 4 23
2004 | 27 11 7 60 | 27 0 27 | 6 3 13
2005 | 31 23 9 66 | 21 1 22 | 6 3 12

den 2003 | 27 20 6 55 | 25 2 28 | 10 3 17
2004 | 28 27 9 67 | 14 5 20 | 6 3 13
2005 | 33 23 6 65 | 14 5 20 | 6 5 15

det 2003 | 15 13 11 54 | 15 5 20 | 11 8 26
2004 | 26 17 8 62 | 12 3 15 | 10 6 22
2005 | 23 14 12 60 | 17 1 19 | 9 6 22

gnb 2003 | 21 18 15 59 | 7 7 16 | 11 6 25
2004 | 30 27 8 71 | 8 2 11 | 6 6 19
2005 | 31 14 9 59 | 7 6 18 | 9 7 22

hou 2003 | 34 16 14 67 | 13 3 15 | 12 2 17
2004 | 32 18 12 73 | 5 1 6 | 17 2 21
2005 | 26 18 16 69 | 6 1 8 | 13 7 23

ind 2003 | 30 20 11 67 | 13 8 21 | 7 4 12
2004 | 26 24 23 72 | 9 7 16 | 10 1 11
2005 | 27 25 13 71 | 12 5 18 | 8 2 11

jax 2003 | 22 17 13 67 | 8 4 13 | 10 6 21
2004 | 35 16 8 70 | 5 3 13 | 10 5 17
2005 | 31 20 13 77 | 5 4 10 | 7 2 13

kan 2003 | 21 18 10 53 | 22 1 24 | 17 4 24
2004 | 23 17 5 52 | 27 3 30 | 6 5 18
2005 | 27 13 11 59 | 23 1 25 | 9 5 16

mia 2003 | 32 12 9 57 | 20 4 24 | 12 6 19
2004 | 27 19 11 62 | 23 3 27 | 4 2 11
2005 | 32 20 13 70 | 17 2 18 | 7 3 11

min 2003 | 39 13 11 63 | 10 1 10 | 15 3 23
2004 | 21 16 14 59 | 15 2 18 | 8 5 23
2005 | 18 15 11 63 | 16 5 22 | 10 4 15

nor 2003 | 27 16 13 63 | 12 8 21 | 14 1 15
2004 | 37 20 15 76 | 10 3 12 | 6 5 12
2005 | 26 18 14 69 | 11 5 17 | 8 3 14

nwe 2003 | 21 14 13 64 | 11 8 18 | 12 3 18
2004 | 23 21 12 67 | 10 5 18 | 7 6 15
2005 | 23 17 11 65 | 10 5 17 | 6 5 18

nyg 2003 | 29 17 9 61 | 15 4 21 | 13 3 18
2004 | 24 14 6 49 | 22 1 23 | 19 4 23
2005 | 33 19 5 58 | 24 2 27 | 14 0 15

nyj 2003 | 31 18 8 63 | 10 4 14 | 12 7 23
2004 | 26 24 12 69 | 6 3 9 | 11 8 22
2005 | 28 24 8 67 | 11 9 21 | 5 4 12

oak 2003 | 29 19 12 65 | 8 4 15 | 13 4 20
2004 | 25 17 14 65 | 8 4 15 | 7 6 19
2005 | 26 24 14 74 | 8 1 9 | 14 3 18

phi 2003 | 18 17 15 53 | 10 9 19 | 12 10 29
2004 | 29 16 9 58 | 9 6 16 | 17 3 25
2005 | 20 15 14 58 | 17 2 20 | 16 2 22

pit 2003 | 34 25 10 76 | 4 3 8 | 9 3 16
2004 | 34 24 20 82 | 3 3 6 | 5 3 11
2005 | 31 18 15 69 | 15 2 17 | 7 4 14

ram 2003 | 40 23 12 80 | 6 3 9 | 7 2 11
2004 | 30 28 11 82 | 4 1 5 | 7 4 13
2005 | 31 18 12 79 | 3 2 6 | 7 7 15

sdg 2003 | 27 9 8 55 | 12 4 18 | 22 2 26
2004 | 19 11 9 52 | 27 2 32 | 12 2 16
2005 | 25 19 9 55 | 29 1 30 | 10 4 14

sea 2003 | 29 23 16 71 | 13 2 15 | 8 6 15
2004 | 32 13 13 72 | 9 6 19 | 5 3 9
2005 | 21 19 13 74 | 15 2 18 | 5 2 8

sfo 2003 | 31 17 11 65 | 12 3 16 | 9 6 20
2004 | 19 16 12 55 | 24 3 28 | 6 4 17
2005 | 33 17 13 69 | 3 2 7 | 11 6 24

tam 2003 | 30 15 11 64 | 6 2 9 | 15 5 26
2004 | 33 12 9 65 | 10 3 15 | 11 6 20
2005 | 39 11 9 63 | 11 3 18 | 9 7 20

ten 2003 | 32 20 13 74 | 9 4 18 | 4 3 9
2004 | 32 30 7 70 | 8 5 17 | 4 4 14
2005 | 20 8 8 49 | 14 14 36 | 9 3 15

was 2003 | 37 18 11 73 | 3 1 6 | 6 5 22
2004 | 33 23 7 71 | 11 2 17 | 8 4 12
2005 | 44 6 6 60 | 23 4 30 | 6 2 9

NFL 2003 | 29 18 12 65 | 12 4 17 | 10 4 18
2004 | 28 20 11 66 | 12 3 17 | 8 4 16
2005 | 29 18 11 66 | 14 3 18 | 9 4 15

In some cases, injuries and other circumstances cause these numbers to be a bit misleading. The Eagles' #1 wide receiver last year was Terrell Owens, of course, and the number listed is 20% of their receiving yards. But it was more like 35 or 40 when he was actually playing.

Off the top of my head, here are a few situations worth watching:


  • Will the addition of Javon Walker and apparent lack of a tight end in Denver turn the Broncos into a Cardinal/Bengal type team, where more than 75% of the yardage goes to wide receivers?
  • New Rams coach Scott Linehan has some history of utilizing tight ends, but the Rams top three tight ends --- rookies Dominique Byrd and Joel Klopfenstein and second year man Jerome Collins --- have zero career catches.
  • The Ravens lost most of their RB receiving yards when Chester Taylor left for Minnesota. Taylor was replaced by Mike Anderson, who has never caught a ton of balls. Will they essentially abandon the passes to running backs, as Seattle and Washington have done?
  • Will Keyshawn Johnson catch any passes in Carolina? If so, will that eat into Steve Smith's numbers?
  • Will Brandon Loyd's and Antwaan Randle El's numbers (if any) come at the expense of Chris Cooley? Or will they come at the expense of Santana Moss, whose percentage of team yards was almost as high last year as Steve Smith's?

This entry was posted on Wednesday, June 7th, 2006 at 4:17 am and is filed under Fantasy, General. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.