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For more from Chase and Jason, check out their work at Football Perspective and The Big Lead.

NCAA: SRS ratings through ten weeks

Posted by Chase Stuart on November 7, 2010

As usual, all game results courtesy of Peter R. Wolfe. The top three teams have stayed on top for a few weeks, but the order has now changed. Courtesy of the Win of the Year by the Horned Frogs on Saturday, TCU moves ahead of Boise State in the SRS. Full explanation of the SRS available here.


Rank Team Gm MOV SOS SRS Rec Conf ConRk SOS Rk
1 Oregon 9 31.7 41.7 73.4 9-0 P10 1 43
2 TCU 10 28.8 38.8 67.5 10-0 MWC 1 62
3 Boise St 8 27.3 38.5 65.8 8-0 WAC 1 67
4 Stanford 9 18.4 46.5 64.8 8-1 P10 2 8
5 Alabama 9 16.2 44.3 60.5 7-2 SEC 1 23
6 Ohio State 9 22.4 37.0 59.4 8-1 B10 1 74
7 Auburn 10 16.3 42.0 58.3 10-0 SEC 2 40
8 Nebraska 9 15.8 42.4 58.2 8-1 B12 1 33
9 Oklahoma St 9 14.9 43.1 58.0 8-1 B12 2 31
10 Missouri 9 12.9 44.1 57.1 7-2 B12 3 26
11 Utah 9 18.6 37.9 56.5 8-1 MWC 2 70
12 Arizona 9 12.3 44.2 56.4 7-2 P10 3 25
13 Oklahoma 9 10.3 46.0 56.3 7-2 B12 4 11
14 Oregon St 8 2.4 53.8 56.2 4-4 P10 4 2
15 Arkansas 9 12.9 42.8 55.7 7-2 SEC 3 32
16 Southern Cal 9 6.3 49.1 55.4 6-3 P10 5 5
17 Texas A&M 9 10.8 44.5 55.4 6-3 B12 5 17
18 Nevada 9 18.9 36.1 55.1 8-1 WAC 2 79
19 Iowa 9 15.1 39.8 54.9 7-2 B10 2 55
20 Florida 9 9.9 44.6 54.6 6-3 SEC 4 14
21 Florida St 9 12.8 41.2 54.0 6-3 ACC 1 46
22 California 9 7.8 46.1 53.9 5-4 P10 6 10
23 LSU 9 8.6 45.2 53.9 8-1 SEC 5 13
24 Arizona St 9 7.1 46.7 53.7 4-5 P10 7 6
25 Wisconsin 9 16.2 36.8 53.0 8-1 B10 3 76
26 Virginia Tech 9 13.7 39.0 52.7 7-2 ACC 2 61
27 Miami FL 9 9.2 42.2 51.4 6-3 ACC 3 37
28 Illinois 9 7.9 43.3 51.2 5-4 B10 4 30
29 Georgia 10 11.8 39.3 51.1 5-5 SEC 6 58
30 Michigan St 10 11.8 39.2 51.0 9-1 B10 5 59
31 Hawai`i 10 11.3 39.6 50.9 7-3 WAC 3 56
32 Pittsburgh 8 8.6 42.3 50.9 5-3 BigE 1 35
33 South Carolina 9 6.3 44.5 50.8 6-3 SEC 7 18
34 Air Force 10 8.3 42.1 50.4 6-4 MWC 3 38
35 North Carolina St 9 9.6 40.7 50.3 6-3 ACC 4 50
36 Mississippi St 9 10.1 40.1 50.1 7-2 SEC 8 52
37 Kansas St 9 5.8 44.2 50.0 6-3 B12 6 24
38 North Carolina 9 4.3 43.8 48.0 6-3 ACC 5 29
39 Central Florida 9 13.9 34.0 47.9 7-2 CUSA 1 96
40 Baylor 10 7.5 40.0 47.5 7-3 B12 7 54
41 UCLA 9 -6.3 52.7 46.3 4-5 P10 8 4
42 Clemson 9 6.9 39.0 45.9 5-4 ACC 6 60
43 Penn State 9 3.2 41.8 45.1 6-3 B10 6 41
44 Navy 9 7.2 37.7 44.9 6-3 INDY -- 73
45 San Diego St 9 14.2 30.7 44.9 7-2 MWC 4 111
46 Michigan 9 3.2 41.6 44.8 6-3 B10 7 45
47 West Virginia 8 9.0 35.8 44.8 5-3 BigE 2 84
48 Notre Dame 9 0.0 44.5 44.5 4-5 INDY -- 19
49 Maryland 9 9.3 35.1 44.4 6-3 ACC 7 91
50 Texas Tech 9 0.0 44.0 44.0 5-4 B12 8 27
51 Louisville 9 5.6 38.0 43.6 5-4 BigE 3 69
52 Texas 9 -0.9 44.4 43.5 4-5 B12 9 21
53 Tulsa 9 11.1 32.0 43.1 6-3 CUSA 2 105
54 Washington 9 -12.7 55.4 42.7 3-6 P10 9 1
55 Iowa St 10 -4.1 46.4 42.3 5-5 B12 10 9
56 Northern Illinois 9 10.8 31.2 42.0 7-2 MAC 1 107
57 Cincinnati 8 1.3 40.7 42.0 3-5 BigE 4 49
58 Georgia Tech 9 4.4 36.9 41.3 5-4 ACC 8 75
59 Kentucky 10 2.8 38.6 41.3 5-5 SEC 9 65
60 South Florida 8 5.9 35.2 41.1 5-3 BigE 5 89
61 Temple 10 8.8 32.2 41.0 8-2 MAC 2 103
62 Tennessee 9 -3.7 44.6 40.9 3-6 SEC 10 16
63 Syracuse 9 6.9 34.0 40.9 6-3 BigE 6 95
64 Houston 9 9.7 31.1 40.8 5-4 CUSA 3 108
65 Fresno St 8 7.2 33.0 40.2 6-2 WAC 4 99
66 Connecticut 8 5.3 34.8 40.1 4-4 BigE 7 92
67 Brigham Young 9 -4.9 44.5 39.6 4-5 MWC 5 20
68 Mississippi 9 -0.9 40.1 39.2 4-5 SEC 11 53
69 Colorado 9 -7.8 46.6 38.9 3-6 B12 11 7
70 Northwestern 9 5.6 32.6 38.2 6-3 B10 8 102
71 Virginia 9 1.9 36.0 38.0 4-5 ACC 9 81
72 Boston College 9 -4.0 41.8 37.8 4-5 ACC 10 42
73 Toledo 9 1.7 36.1 37.7 6-3 MAC 3 80
74 East Carolina 9 -3.2 40.6 37.4 5-4 CUSA 4 51
75 Ohio U. 10 8.8 28.6 37.4 7-3 MAC 4 117
76 Idaho 9 1.4 35.8 37.2 4-5 WAC 5 83
77 SMU 10 -1.1 37.8 36.7 5-5 CUSA 5 71
78 Southern Miss 9 7.8 28.1 35.9 6-3 CUSA 6 118
79 Rutgers 8 1.5 34.3 35.8 4-4 BigE 8 94
80 Army 9 4.2 30.6 34.8 5-4 INDY -- 113
81 Washington St 10 -18.1 52.8 34.8 1-9 P10 10 3
82 Louisiana Tech 9 -6.9 41.7 34.7 3-6 WAC 6 44
83 Troy 8 5.0 29.5 34.5 5-3 SunB 1 115
84 Indiana 9 -1.3 35.7 34.4 4-5 B10 9 86
85 Arkansas St 9 1.2 31.8 33.1 4-5 SunB 2 106
86 Florida Int'l 8 -2.4 35.2 32.8 3-5 SunB 3 88
87 Purdue 9 -8.7 41.2 32.5 4-5 B10 10 47
88 Vanderbilt 9 -12.1 44.3 32.2 2-7 SEC 12 22
89 Duke 9 -10.1 42.3 32.2 3-6 ACC 11 34
90 Kent St 9 0.9 30.9 31.9 4-5 MAC 5 110
91 Wyoming 10 -13.5 45.3 31.8 2-8 MWC 6 12
92 Western Michigan 9 -0.2 31.0 30.8 3-6 MAC 6 109
93 Colorado St 10 -11.4 42.2 30.8 3-7 MWC 7 36
94 Miami OH 9 -5.2 35.8 30.6 5-4 MAC 7 82
95 Utah St 9 -8.4 38.5 30.1 3-6 WAC 7 66
96 Alabama-Birmingham 9 -6.4 36.4 29.9 3-6 CUSA 7 78
97 Minnesota 10 -12.4 42.1 29.7 1-9 B10 11 39
98 Wake Forest 9 -11.3 41.0 29.7 2-7 ACC 12 48
99 Central Michigan 10 -1.6 30.6 29.0 3-7 MAC 8 112
100 Kansas 9 -11.3 39.6 28.2 3-6 B12 12 57
101 Marshall 9 -10.6 38.4 27.8 3-6 CUSA 8 68
102 Florida Atlantic 8 -4.9 32.0 27.1 3-5 SunB 4 104
103 San José St 9 -17.4 44.0 26.6 1-8 WAC 8 28
104 UTEP 10 3.6 22.8 26.4 6-4 CUSA 9 120
105 Bowling Green 9 -8.4 34.8 26.4 2-7 MAC 9 93
106 UNLV 9 -20.7 44.6 23.9 1-8 MWC 8 15
107 Buffalo 9 -13.0 36.7 23.7 2-7 MAC 10 77
108 Tulane 9 -10.2 33.7 23.5 3-6 CUSA 10 97
109 Louisiana-Monroe 9 -9.4 32.8 23.4 4-5 SunB 5 101
110 Rice 9 -15.2 38.6 23.4 2-7 CUSA 11 64
111 North Texas 9 -7.3 30.5 23.2 2-7 SunB 6 114
112 Ball St 10 -6.8 29.3 22.5 3-7 MAC 11 116
113 Western Kentucky 9 -11.8 33.6 21.8 1-8 SunB 7 98
114 Middle Tennessee St 8 -3.3 24.6 21.4 3-5 SunB 8 119
115 Louisiana-Lafayette 9 -14.8 35.5 20.7 2-7 SunB 9 87
116 New Mexico St 9 -18.1 35.2 17.1 2-7 WAC 9 90
117 New Mexico 9 -21.7 38.8 17.1 1-8 MWC 9 63
118 Eastern Michigan 9 -20.1 35.7 15.6 1-8 MAC 12 85
119 Memphis 9 -22.8 37.7 15.0 1-8 CUSA 12 72
120 Akron 10 -20.5 32.8 12.4 0-10 MAC 13 100
Conf Rat
P10 53.8
SEC 49.1
B12 48.3
B10 44.9
ACC 43.8
BigE 42.4
MWC 40.3
WAC 39.7
CUSA 32.3
MAC 29.3
SunB 26.4

Is the Pac-10 the best conference in football? The Pac-10 and SEC have played just one game against each other this year, when Oregon crushed Tennessee in Knoxville. The SEC has been solid in 2010, but not dominant. SEC teams have beaten just one 50+ point non-conference opponent this season, when Arkansas beat Texas A&M, 24-17 in Arlington. Outside of that, North Carolina (LSU), Clemson (Auburn), Penn State (Alabama) and West Virginia (LSU) are the most impressive heads on SEC walls.

The Pac-10 looks worse by this measure, as their teams have lost their four toughest games, although none were played by the conference's elite teams. Oregon State lost to TCU and Boise State, while Washington and Washington State got obliterated by Nebraska and Oklahoma State, respectively. The best win was undoubtedly Arizona's victory over Iowa. So why does the Pac-10 look so good? Because they've had six victories of 20 points or more against AQ schools. California over Colorado (45), Stanford over Wake Forest (44), Oregon over Tennessee (35), Stanford over Notre Dame (23), UCLA over Texas (22) and Washington over Syracuse (21) were all blowout wins. The SEC has only three such victories -- Alabama by 49 over Duke and 21 over Penn State, and Florida topping South Florida by 24 points.

Conference debates are always tough. But the SRS doesn't rely on conference ratings, it relies on every game played by every team all year. This year, there are four teams that have separated themselves from the pack. Let's look at every FBS game played by each of the big four:

Date Team PF Opp PA H/R/N MOV SOS SRS
6-Nov-10 TCU 47 Utah 7 0 33.5 56.5 90.0
2-Oct-10 Oregon 52 Stanford 31 1 18.0 64.8 82.8
21-Oct-10 Oregon 60 UCLA 13 1 34.0 46.3 80.3
30-Oct-10 Oregon 53 Southern Cal 32 0 24.0 55.4 79.4
6-Nov-10 Boise St 42 Hawai`i 7 1 28.0 50.9 78.9
23-Oct-10 TCU 38 Air Force 7 1 26.0 50.4 76.4
18-Sep-10 TCU 45 Baylor 10 1 28.0 47.5 75.5
16-Oct-10 Auburn 65 Arkansas 43 1 19.0 55.7 74.7
11-Sep-10 Oregon 48 Tennessee 13 0 31.0 40.9 71.9
6-Nov-10 Oregon 53 Washington 16 1 29.0 42.7 71.7
9-Oct-10 Boise St 57 Toledo 14 1 32.0 37.7 69.7
18-Sep-10 Boise St 51 Wyoming 6 0 36.0 31.8 67.8
25-Sep-10 Oregon 42 Arizona St 31 0 14.0 53.7 67.7
25-Sep-10 Boise St 37 Oregon St 24 1 10.0 56.2 66.2
4-Sep-10 TCU 30 Oregon St 21 0.5 9.0 56.2 65.2
9-Oct-10 TCU 45 Wyoming 0 1 33.0 31.8 64.8
16-Oct-10 Boise St 48 San José St 0 0 37.5 26.6 64.1
16-Oct-10 TCU 31 Brigham Young 3 1 24.5 39.6 64.1
4-Sep-10 Oregon 72 New Mexico 0 1 46.5 17.1 63.6
30-Oct-10 Auburn 51 Mississippi 31 0 23.0 39.2 62.2
23-Oct-10 Auburn 24 LSU 17 1 7.0 53.9 60.9
2-Oct-10 Boise St 59 New Mexico St 0 0 43.0 17.1 60.1
26-Oct-10 Boise St 49 Louisiana Tech 20 1 25.0 34.7 59.7
6-Sep-10 Boise St 33 Virginia Tech 30 0.5 7.0 52.7 59.7
2-Oct-10 Auburn 52 Louisiana-Monroe 3 1 35.0 23.4 58.4
30-Oct-10 TCU 48 UNLV 6 0 34.5 23.9 58.4
25-Sep-10 Auburn 35 South Carolina 27 1 7.0 50.8 57.8
2-Oct-10 TCU 27 Colorado St 0 0 27.0 30.8 57.8
9-Oct-10 Oregon 43 Washington St 23 0 23.0 34.8 57.8
9-Sep-10 Auburn 17 Mississippi St 14 0 7.0 50.1 57.1
24-Sep-10 TCU 41 SMU 24 0 20.0 36.7 56.7
4-Sep-10 Auburn 52 Arkansas St 26 1 23.0 33.1 56.1
9-Oct-10 Auburn 37 Kentucky 34 0 7.0 41.3 48.3
18-Sep-10 Auburn 27 Clemson 24 1 0.0 45.9 45.9
  • TCU scored the first 90-point game of the year this weekend. They went into Salt Lake City and beat the Utes 47-7. That adjusted MOV of 33.5 against a Utah team with an SRS score of 56.5 (including this game) makes it the most impressive win of the season. The two other best games of the weekend came courtesy of SRS favorites Boise State and Stanford. BSU outgained Hawaii -- who previously led the nation in total offense -- by over 500 yards, and won 42-7. Stanford crushed Arizona, 42-17; both victories were worth over 78 points of SRS.
  • Two "Big-6" schools came in with pitiful performances this Saturday. Vanderbilt lost, at home, to Florida, 55-14. And Colorado lost 52-45 to Kansas, the #100 school in the country. The Jayhawks, down 42-17 in the fourth quarter scored 35 points in just over 10 minutes to pull the crazy, come from behind victory.
  • After crushing East Carolina 76-35, Navy has now passed Notre Dame as the top independent school in the country.
  • It was not a good weekend for the historical powerhouses in the Big XII. Texas lost again, most worrisome because that's no longer even news. The Longhorns are now 4-5, and last in the South division in both record and the SRS. Yes, that means both Oklahoma schools and all three Texas schools are fielding better teams than UT. Mind-boggling. The only good news for the large contingent of northeast Longhorn fans? Things are looking good for them to grab the Big 12 #6 (excluding BCS teams) spot to face off against the Big East's #3 team in the Pinstripe Bowl. But that's only if Texas can win two more games. Oklahoma played terribly against Texas A&M, picking up their second loss of the season. It was the Sooners' second-worst SRS performance of the year, ahead of an ugly 7-point victory over Utah State on opening day. Nebraska pulled out a victory over Iowa State in overtime. The Cyclones called a fake-extra point after scoring a touchdown in the extra frame, but the backup punter/holder missed the wide open receiver in the end zone. The only question left: How did Texas ever beat Nebraska?
  • The conference races are starting to get clear. Boise State and TCU both effectively won their conferences on Saturday by defeating undefeated conference opponents. Oregon will clinch the Pac-10 soon: Arizona and Oregon State both had just one conference loss coming into the weekend and a future date with the Ducks. But after Stanford and UCLA came up with big victories against them on Saturday, the Ducks will head to the Fiesta Bowl if they run the table and the Rose Bowl even if they drop one. The Big 10 has a four-way race that's so complicated that no team controls its own destiny; everyone held serve this weekend. Virginia Tech has the Coastal division all but mathematically clinched. The Atlantic division got even muddier this weekend. FSU, Maryland and N.C. State sit atop the division with two losses -- and that's after *all* of them lost this weekend. Clemson travels to Doak Campbell Stadium this weekend in a game that will have huge implications.
  • The Big 12 North will go to Nebraska unless they somehow lose two out of three to Kansas, Texas A&M and Colorado. Oklahoma State tops the South division by a game, and has a key tiebreakers over A&M and Baylor. But that division will almost certainly come down to the instate showdown against the Sooners on November 27th. With upcoming games against the Longhorns and Jayhawks, the Cowboys are positioning themselves for this year's Bedlam showdown to be the biggest game in 26 years. Cue the jinx, Doug. The winner of that game should play Nebraska, with the winner of that game playing in an absurdly anticlimactic bowl game. Their opponent in the Fiesta will almost certainly be the Big East winner. Who will that be? Pittsburgh is not only the clear best team (SRS 50.9; West Virginia is next at 44.8) but has no conference losses. The other seven teams in the conference all have exactly two losses. The Panthers are almost certainly going to win the Big East; South Florida, which hosts Pitt on the 20th, and West Virginia, have the slimmest of chances to steal the conference. Over in the SEC, South Carolina's loss this weekend doesn't change anything, nor does LSU's win. The Gamecocks and the Ol' Ball Coach head to the Swamp on the 13th, with the winner heading to Atlanta for the SECCG. LSU knocked Alabama out of the title race, but their H2H loss to Auburn at Jordan-Hare Stadium means the Auburn Tigers are going to the SECCG as long as they win one of their last two against Georgia and Alabama. Most importantly: Auburn will have to beat Georgia, Alabama and most likely Florida to get to the BCS title game. Tigers fans, don't book your tickets to Glendale just yet.

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