Posted by Doug on December 15, 2008
EDIT: this contest is now closed. Here is your super-geeky page that tracks the standings.
PRIZE: The usual: honor and glory, and maybe some sponsorship dollars to be named later, if you're interested.
IS THAT ALL? well, you do get access to the always-updated pool web page that tracks a lot of statistics about the contest, estimates each contestant's probability of winning, and estimates the final standings after each game finishes. If you like college football and probabilistic geekery based on college football, it's a lot of fun to follow.
HOW TO ENTER: see below
There are 34 bowl games. For each game, one team will be designated the favorite and one team will be designated the underdog. In some games, the underdog will be designated a "longshot."
Step #1: pick a winner for each game (straight up).
Step #2: group your picks into groups of 1, 2 or 3, subject to the condition that a group of two must have at least one underdog and a group of one must be a longshot.
To get credit for a group, ALL teams in the group must win. Whoever gets the most groups wins. Tiebreaker is whoever picks the most total games correctly (ignoring groups). [NOTE: I think there's a decent chance that the tiebreaker will come into play; that's part of the strategy.]
THE GAMES (listed chronologically):
The favorite is listed first in each game, and note that the favorite/underdog/longshot designations are set in stone. If Texas's entire first string is suspended or something, they will still be considered a favorite from the standpoint of this pool.
Wake Forest / Navy
Fresno State / Colorado State
South Florida / Memphis <---- Memphis is a longshot Arizona / BYU Troy / Southern Miss TCU / Boise State Hawaii / Notre Dame Central Michigan / Florida Atlantic North Carolina / West Virginia Florida State / Wisconsin Cal / Miami Northern Illinois / La. Tech Rutgers / NC State Missouri / Northwestern <----- Northwestern is a longshot Nevada / Maryland Rice / Western Michigan Oklahoma State / Oregon Houston / Air Force Oregon State / Pitt Boston College / Vanderbilt Kansas / Minnesota <------ Minnesota is a longshot Georgia Tech / LSU Iowa / South Carolina Clemson / Nebraska Georgia / Michigan State USC / Penn State <------ Penn State is a longshot Cincinnati / Virginia Tech Texas Tech / Ole Miss East Carolina / Kentucky Alabama / Utah <------ Utah is a longshot Connecticut / Buffalo Texas / Ohio State <------ Ohio State is a longshot Ball State / Tulsa Florida / Oklahoma HOW TO ENTER: In order to facilitate data entry, I'm going to ask you to encode your entry according to these team numbers (example below).
0=AirForce 1=Alabama 2=Arizona 3=BYU 4=BallSt 5=BoiseSt 6=BostCol 7=Buffalo 8=Cal 9=CentMich 10=Cincy 11=Clemson 12=ColoSt 13=Connecticut 14=EastCar 15=FlorAtl 16=Florida 17=FloridaSt 18=Fresno 19=GaTech 20=Georgia 21=Hawaii 22=Houston 23=Iowa 24=Kansas 25=Kentucky 26=LSU 27=LaTech 28=Maryland 29=Memphis 30=Miami 31=MichSt 32=Minnesota 33=Missouri 34=NCState 35=Navy 36=Nebraska 37=Nevada 38=NoCarolina 39=NoIllinois 40=Northwestern 41=NotreDame 42=OhioSt 43=OklaSt 44=Oklahoma 45=OleMiss 46=Oregon 47=OregonSt 48=PennSt 49=Pitt 50=Rice 51=Rutgers 52=SoCar 53=SoFlorida 54=SoMiss 55=TCU 56=TexTech 57=Texas 58=Troy 59=Tulsa 60=USC 61=Utah 62=VaTech 63=Vandy 64=WakeForest 65=WestMich 66=WestVirginia 67=Wisconsin
Separate teams with commas and groups with this guy ---> | <---- An entry should look something like this:
64,38,8 means Wake Forest, UNC, and Cal are a group. You get a point if ALL those teams win. 3,17 means that BYU and Florida State are a group. This is a legal two-team group because BYU is an underdog. 61 means that Utah is a one-team group, which is legal because they are a longshot. And so on. You should have 34 numbers listed when you're finished.