Win Probability Calculator

Enter a game situation (and optional vegas line) to determine a team's win probability at that point. For instance, if you are favored by 2 and trailing by 7 in the 4th quarter with 5 minutes left and the ball on your own 20, we calculate your Win Probability to be 15.53%. Click here for a detailed explanation of the formula behind win probability.

Win Probability

4th Quarter, 7:07 remaining, leading by 4,ball at team 35, 1st down & 10 to go:

Expected Points: 1.267

Win Probability: 72.30%

See all plays in this situation »

Game Situation