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Oakland Raiders 32 vs. Minnesota Vikings 14

Sunday, January 9, 1977
1234Final
Oakland Raiders (13-1-0)01631332
Minnesota Vikings (11-2-1)007714

Game Info
Stadium Rose Bowl
Start Time (ET) 3:50pm
Roof outdoors
Surface grass
Weather 52 degrees, relative humidity 59%, wind 6 mph
Super Bowl MVP Fred Biletnikoff

Win Probability

The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail RAI MIN EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 Fred Cox kicks off 54 yards, returned by Carl Garrett for 23 yards 0 0 0 1.2 46.4
1 14:42 1 10 RAI 34 Clarence Davis for 1 yard 0 0 1.2 0.79 47.7
1 14:24 2 9 RAI 35 Mark van Eeghen for 4 yards 0 0 0.79 0.63 48.1
1 14:06 3 5 RAI 39 Ken Stabler pass complete to Dave Casper for 25 yards 0 0 0.63 3.18 40.6
1 13:48 1 10 MIN 36 Clarence Davis for 4 yards 0 0 3.18 3.18 40.6
1 13:30 2 6 MIN 32 Clarence Davis for 20 yards 0 0 3.18 4.78 36.0
1 13:12 1 10 MIN 12 Carl Garrett for -1 yards 0 0 4.78 3.94 38.3
1 12:54 2 11 MIN 13 Ken Stabler pass incomplete intended for Dave Casper 0 0 3.94 3.1 40.7
1 12:36 3 11 MIN 13 Pete Banaszak for 2 yards 0 0 3.1 2.7 41.9
1 12:18 4 9 MIN 11 Errol Mann 29 yard field goal no good 0 0 2.7 -0.28 50.8
1 11:58 1 10 MIN 20 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Chuck Foreman for 5 yards 0 0 0.28 0.41 51.2
1 11:46 2 5 MIN 25 Chuck Foreman for 1 yard 0 0 0.41 -0.16 49.5
1 11:34 3 4 MIN 26 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Chuck Foreman 0 0 -0.16 -1.63 45.0
1 11:22 4 4 MIN 26 Neil Clabo punts 46 yards 0 0 -1.63 -0.15 49.5
1 11:08 1 10 RAI 19 Clarence Davis for 4 yards 0 0 0.15 0.21 49.4
1 10:43 2 6 RAI 23 Mark van Eeghen for 5 yards 0 0 0.21 0.1 49.7
1 10:18 3 1 RAI 28 Pete Banaszak for 3 yards 0 0 0.1 1 46.9
1 9:53 1 10 RAI 31 Ken Stabler pass complete to Fred Biletnikoff for 9 yards 0 0 1 1.68 44.8
1 9:28 2 1 RAI 40 Pete Banaszak for no gain 0 0 1.68 0.96 47.0
1 9:03 3 1 RAI 40 Clarence Davis for -1 yards 0 0 0.96 -0.78 52.4
1 8:38 4 2 RAI 39 Ray Guy punts 51 yards 0 0 -0.78 0.14 49.6
1 8:12 1 10 MIN 16 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Chuck Foreman for 16 yards 0 0 -0.14 1.07 53.4
1 7:45 1 10 MIN 32 Brent McClanahan for 2 yards 0 0 1.07 0.8 52.5
1 7:18 2 8 MIN 34 Chuck Foreman for 1 yard 0 0 0.8 0.23 50.7
1 6:51 3 7 MIN 35 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Sammy White 0 0 0.23 -1.04 46.7
1 6:24 4 7 MIN 35 Neil Clabo punts 39 yards 0 0 -1.04 -0.67 47.9
1 5:55 1 10 RAI 26 Mark van Eeghen for 3 yards 0 0 0.67 0.54 48.3
1 5:42 2 7 RAI 29 Ken Stabler pass incomplete intended for Fred Biletnikoff 0 0 0.54 -0.16 50.5
1 5:29 3 7 RAI 29 Clarence Davis for 5 yards 0 0 -0.16 -1.11 53.6
1 5:16 4 2 RAI 34 0 0 -1.11 -6.51 70.1
1 5:02 1 3 RAI 3 Chuck Foreman for 1 yard 0 0 6.51 5.72 67.9
1 4:49 2 2 RAI 2 Brent McClanahan for -1 yards. Brent McClanahan fumbles, recovered by Willie Hall 0 0 5.72 0.38 51.2
1 4:35 1 10 RAI 3 Pete Banaszak for 2 yards 0 0 -0.38 -0.63 52.1
1 4:05 2 8 RAI 5 Pete Banaszak for 1 yard 0 0 -0.63 -1.07 53.5
1 3:35 3 7 RAI 6 Clarence Davis for 35 yards 0 0 -1.07 1.66 44.6
1 3:05 1 10 RAI 41 Ken Stabler pass complete to Carl Garrett for 11 yards 0 0 1.66 2.39 42.1
1 2:35 1 10 MIN 48 Ken Stabler pass incomplete intended for Fred Biletnikoff 0 0 2.39 1.85 43.9
1 2:05 2 10 MIN 48 Ken Stabler pass complete to Dave Casper for 25 yards 0 0 1.85 4.04 36.7
1 1:35 1 10 MIN 23 Mark van Eeghen for 5 yards 0 0 4.04 4.21 36.1
1 1:05 2 5 MIN 18 Clarence Davis for 4 yards 0 0 4.21 4.28 35.8
1 0:35 3 1 MIN 14 Pete Banaszak for 6 yards 0 0 4.28 5.37 32.4
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail RAI MIN EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 1 8 MIN 8 Pete Banaszak for 1 yard 0 0 5.37 4.76 34.2
2 14:48 2 7 MIN 7 Ken Stabler pass incomplete intended for Dave Casper 0 0 4.76 3.81 37.2
2 14:36 3 7 MIN 7 Ken Stabler pass incomplete intended for Dave Casper 0 0 3.81 2.97 39.9
2 14:24 4 7 MIN 7 Errol Mann 24 yard field goal good 3 0 2.97 3 39.8
2 14:12 Ray Guy kicks off 57 yards, returned by Leonard Willis for 18 yards 3 0 0 0.67 42.0
2 14:02 1 10 MIN 26 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Sammy White 3 0 0.67 0.13 40.2
2 13:40 2 10 MIN 26 Chuck Foreman for 6 yards 3 0 0.13 0.23 40.5
2 13:18 3 4 MIN 32 Chuck Foreman for no gain 3 0 0.23 -1.24 35.5
2 12:56 4 4 MIN 32 Neil Clabo punts 32 yards 3 0 -1.24 -1.33 35.2
2 12:31 1 10 RAI 36 Ken Stabler pass complete to Cliff Branch for 8 yards 3 0 1.33 1.87 33.4
2 12:00 2 2 RAI 44 Mark van Eeghen for 3 yards 3 0 1.87 2.06 32.7
2 11:30 1 10 RAI 47 Clarence Davis for 6 yards 3 0 2.06 2.33 31.7
2 11:00 2 4 MIN 47 Ken Stabler pass complete to Cliff Branch for 2 yards 3 0 2.33 1.88 33.1
2 10:30 3 2 MIN 45 Ken Stabler pass complete to Dave Casper for 19 yards 3 0 1.88 3.84 26.8
2 10:00 1 10 MIN 26 Carl Garrett for 13 yards 3 0 3.84 4.71 24.2
2 9:30 1 10 MIN 13 Carl Garrett for 4 yards 3 0 4.71 4.77 23.8
2 9:00 2 6 MIN 9 Carl Garrett for 3 yards 3 0 4.77 4.56 24.3
2 8:30 3 3 MIN 6 Ken Stabler pass complete to Fred Biletnikoff for 5 yards 3 0 4.56 6.97 17.8
2 8:00 1 1 MIN 1 Ken Stabler pass complete to Dave Casper for 1 yard, touchdown 10 0 6.97 7 17.5
2 7:10 Ray Guy kicks off 60 yards, returned by Leonard Willis for 20 yards 10 0 0 0.61 18.8
2 7:02 1 10 MIN 25 Chuck Foreman for 7 yards 10 0 0.61 1.01 19.8
2 6:49 2 3 MIN 32 10 0 1.01 -0.34 16.3
2 6:36 2 13 MIN 22 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Sammy White 10 0 -0.34 -1.02 14.7
2 6:23 3 13 MIN 22 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Ahmad Rashad 10 0 -1.02 -1.9 12.8
2 6:10 4 13 MIN 22 Neil Clabo punts 38 yards 10 0 -1.9 -3.25 10.3
2 5:53 1 10 MIN 35 Clarence Davis for 5 yards 10 0 3.25 3.38 9.9
2 5:25 2 5 MIN 30 Mark van Eeghen for 3 yards 10 0 3.38 3.07 10.3
2 4:57 3 2 MIN 27 Mark van Eeghen for 9 yards 10 0 3.07 4.37 8.1
2 4:29 1 10 MIN 18 Ken Stabler pass complete to Fred Biletnikoff for 17 yards 10 0 4.37 6.97 4.8
2 4:01 1 1 MIN 1 Pete Banaszak for 1 yard, touchdown 16 0 6.97 7 5.7
2 3:33 Ray Guy kicks off 59 yards, returned by Leonard Willis for 19 yards 16 0 0 0.61 6.3
2 3:22 1 10 MIN 25 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Chuck Foreman for 5 yards 16 0 0.61 0.74 6.4
2 3:10 2 5 MIN 30 Chuck Foreman for 3 yards 16 0 0.74 0.43 6.0
2 2:58 3 2 MIN 33 Chuck Foreman for 7 yards 16 0 0.43 1.6 7.5
2 2:46 1 10 MIN 40 16 0 1.6 1.93 7.9
2 2:34 1 10 MIN 45 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Ahmad Rashad for 7 yards 16 0 1.93 2.33 8.4
2 2:22 2 3 RAI 48 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Sammy White 16 0 2.33 1.62 7.3
2 2:10 3 3 RAI 48 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Sammy White 16 0 1.62 0.07 5.3
2 1:53 4 3 RAI 48 Neil Clabo punts 42 yards 16 0 0.07 0.38 5.6
2 1:42 1 10 RAI 6 Mark van Eeghen for 11 yards 16 0 -0.38 -0.06 5.2
2 1:10 1 10 RAI 17 Mark van Eeghen for 2 yards 16 0 -0.06 -0.25 5.2
2 0:46 2 8 RAI 19 Mark van Eeghen for no gain 16 0 -0.25 -1 6.0
2 0:22 3 8 RAI 19 Clarence Davis for 3 yards 16 0 -1 -1.9 7.1
2 0:17 4 5 RAI 22 Ray Guy punts 41 yards 16 0 -1.9 -0.41 5.2
2 0:07 1 10 MIN 22 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Chuck Foreman for 26 yards 16 0 0.41 2.13 4.7
End of Half1602.130
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail RAI MIN EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 Ray Guy kicks off 57 yards, returned by Sammy White for 15 yards 16 0 0 0.48 5.2
3 14:39 1 10 MIN 23 Chuck Foreman for 3 yards 16 0 0.48 0.34 4.9
3 14:18 2 7 MIN 26 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Sammy White 16 0 0.34 -0.36 4.1
3 13:57 3 7 MIN 26 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Robert Miller for 13 yards 16 0 -0.36 1.53 6.1
3 13:36 1 10 MIN 39 Sammy White for 7 yards 16 0 1.53 1.93 6.5
3 13:15 2 3 MIN 46 Robert Miller for 1 yard 16 0 1.93 1.36 5.7
3 12:54 3 2 MIN 47 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Robert Miller 16 0 1.36 -0.26 3.8
3 12:33 4 2 MIN 47 Neil Clabo punts 37 yards 16 0 -0.26 0.14 4.1
3 12:07 1 10 RAI 16 Ken Stabler pass incomplete intended for Cliff Branch 16 0 -0.14 -0.66 4.5
3 11:42 2 10 RAI 16 Mark van Eeghen for 6 yards 16 0 -0.66 -0.57 4.3
3 11:17 3 4 RAI 22 Clarence Davis for 13 yards 16 0 -0.57 1.27 2.6
3 10:52 1 10 RAI 35 Mark van Eeghen for 7 yards 16 0 1.27 1.67 2.3
3 10:27 2 3 RAI 42 Clarence Davis for 1 yard 16 0 1.67 1.09 2.6
3 10:02 3 2 RAI 43 Pete Banaszak for 1 yard 16 0 1.09 -0.46 3.7
3 9:37 4 1 RAI 44 Ray Guy punts 38 yards 16 0 -0.46 -0.67 3.8
3 9:07 1 10 MIN 26 Chuck Foreman for 4 yards 16 0 0.67 0.67 3.6
3 8:43 2 6 MIN 30 Chuck Foreman for 5 yards 16 0 0.67 0.63 3.5
3 8:19 3 1 MIN 35 Chuck Foreman for no gain 16 0 0.63 -1.04 2.1
3 7:55 4 1 MIN 35 Neil Clabo punts 31 yards 16 0 -1.04 -1.99 1.5
3 7:28 1 10 RAI 46 Mark van Eeghen for 7 yards 16 0 1.99 2.4 1.3
3 7:06 2 3 MIN 47 Clarence Davis for 18 yards 16 0 2.4 3.64 0.8
3 6:44 1 10 MIN 29 Mark van Eeghen for -4 yards 16 0 3.64 2.56 1.1
3 6:22 2 14 MIN 33 Ken Stabler pass incomplete intended for Fred Biletnikoff 16 0 2.56 1.88 1.3
3 6:00 3 14 MIN 33 Ken Stabler pass complete to Cliff Branch for 10 yards 16 0 1.88 2 1.2
3 5:38 4 4 MIN 23 Errol Mann 40 yard field goal good 19 0 2 3 0.8
3 5:16 Ray Guy kicks off 59 yards, returned by Sammy White for 26 yards 19 0 0 1.07 1.1
3 5:05 1 10 MIN 32 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Chuck Foreman 19 0 1.07 0.53 0.9
3 4:47 2 10 MIN 32 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete 19 0 0.53 -0.16 0.7
3 4:29 3 10 MIN 32 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete 19 0 -0.16 -1.24 0.4
3 4:11 4 10 MIN 32 19 0 -1.24 1.4 1.0
3 3:53 1 10 MIN 37 Chuck Foreman for 1 yard 19 0 1.4 0.99 0.9
3 3:35 2 9 MIN 38 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Stu Voigt for 15 yards 19 0 0.99 2.46 1.4
3 3:17 1 10 RAI 47 Fran Tarkenton sacked for -4 yards 19 0 2.46 1.37 0.9
3 2:59 2 14 MIN 49 19 0 1.37 2.52 1.3
3 2:41 1 10 RAI 46 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Ahmad Rashad for 21 yards 19 0 2.52 3.91 2.0
3 2:23 1 10 RAI 25 Chuck Foreman for 4 yards 19 0 3.91 3.9 1.9
3 2:05 2 6 RAI 21 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Sammy White 19 0 3.9 3.2 1.4
3 1:47 3 6 RAI 21 Chuck Foreman for 3 yards 19 0 3.2 2.35 1.0
3 1:29 4 3 RAI 18 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Chuck Foreman for 10 yards 19 0 2.35 5.37 2.7
3 1:11 1 8 RAI 8 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Sammy White for 8 yards, touchdown 19 7 5.37 7 4.3
3 0:47 Fred Cox kicks off 51 yards, returned by Carl Garrett for 24 yards 19 7 0 1.47 2.6
3 0:35 1 10 RAI 38 Ken Stabler sacked for -11 yards 19 7 1.47 -0.56 4.8
3 0:18 2 21 RAI 27 Mark van Eeghen for 3 yards 19 7 -0.56 -0.82 5.0
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail RAI MIN EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 3 18 RAI 30 Clarence Davis for 16 yards 19 7 -0.82 -0.32 4.2
4 14:54 4 2 RAI 46 Ray Guy punts 32 yards 19 7 -0.32 -0.41 4.2
4 14:47 1 10 MIN 22 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Robert Miller 19 7 0.41 -0.13 3.5
4 14:16 2 10 MIN 22 Robert Miller for 3 yards 19 7 -0.13 -0.43 2.9
4 13:45 3 7 MIN 25 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Sammy White for 14 yards 19 7 -0.43 1.53 5.2
4 13:14 1 10 MIN 39 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Robert Miller for -2 yards 19 7 1.53 0.72 3.8
4 12:43 2 12 MIN 37 Sammy Johnson for 1 yard 19 7 0.72 0.17 2.8
4 12:12 3 11 MIN 38 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Sammy White for 18 yards 19 7 0.17 2.65 6.2
4 11:41 1 10 RAI 44 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Stu Voigt for 9 yards 19 7 2.65 3.33 7.3
4 11:10 2 1 RAI 35 Chuck Foreman for -2 yards 19 7 3.33 2.35 4.9
4 10:39 3 3 RAI 37 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Chuck Foreman is intercepted by Willie Hall 19 7 2.35 -1.99 0.7
4 10:06 1 10 RAI 46 Mark van Eeghen for 1 yard 19 7 1.99 1.59 0.7
4 9:30 2 9 RAI 47 Clarence Davis for 3 yards 19 7 1.59 1.29 0.7
4 8:54 3 6 RAI 50 Ken Stabler pass complete to Fred Biletnikoff for 48 yards 19 7 1.29 6.74 0.0
4 8:18 1 2 MIN 2 Pete Banaszak for 2 yards, touchdown 26 7 6.74 7 0.0
4 7:39 Ray Guy kicks off 52 yards, returned by Sammy White for 19 yards 26 7 0 1.07 0.0
4 7:29 1 10 MIN 32 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Robert Miller for 3 yards 26 7 1.07 0.93 0.0
4 7:12 2 7 MIN 35 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Chuck Foreman 26 7 0.93 0.23 0.0
4 6:55 3 7 MIN 35 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Stu Voigt for 12 yards 26 7 0.23 2.06 0.0
4 6:38 1 10 MIN 47 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete 26 7 2.06 1.52 0.0
4 6:21 2 10 MIN 47 Fran Tarkenton pass complete to Ahmad Rashad for 25 yards 26 7 1.52 3.71 0.0
4 6:04 1 10 RAI 28 Fran Tarkenton pass incomplete intended for Sammy White is intercepted by Willie Brown and returned for 75 yards, touchdown 32 7 3.71 -7 0.0
4 5:43 Ray Guy kicks off 57 yards, returned by Sammy White for 19 yards 32 7 0 0.74 0.0
4 5:33 1 10 MIN 27 Bob Lee pass incomplete intended for Stu Voigt 32 7 0.74 0.2 0.0
4 5:22 2 10 MIN 27 Bob Lee pass complete to Robert Miller for 5 yards 32 7 0.2 0.17 0.0
4 5:11 3 5 MIN 32 Bob Lee for 4 yards 32 7 0.17 -0.98 0.0
4 5:00 4 1 MIN 36 Chuck Foreman for no gain 32 7 -0.98 -3.18 0.0
4 4:49 1 10 MIN 36 Mark van Eeghen for 5 yards 32 7 3.18 3.31 0.0
4 4:16 2 5 MIN 31 Hubert Ginn for 9 yards 32 7 3.31 4.11 0.0
4 3:43 1 10 MIN 22 Mike Rae sacked for -6 yards 32 7 4.11 2.75 0.0
4 3:10 2 16 MIN 28 Mark van Eeghen for 3 yards 32 7 2.75 2.48 0.0
4 2:37 3 13 MIN 25 Mike Rae for 11 yards 32 7 2.48 2.63 0.0
4 2:00 4 2 MIN 14 Hubert Ginn for no gain 32 7 2.63 0.28 0.0
4 1:56 1 10 MIN 14 Brent McClanahan for 2 yards 32 7 -0.28 -0.51 0.0
4 1:49 2 8 MIN 16 Bob Lee pass incomplete intended for Ahmad Rashad 32 7 -0.51 -1.16 0.0
4 1:44 3 8 MIN 16 Bob Lee pass complete to Sammy White for 17 yards 32 7 -1.16 1.14 0.0
4 1:39 1 10 MIN 33 Bob Lee pass complete to Sammy Johnson for 7 yards 32 7 1.14 1.54 0.0
4 1:32 2 3 MIN 40 Sammy Johnson for 8 yards 32 7 1.54 2.13 0.0
4 1:27 1 10 MIN 48 Bob Lee pass complete to Sammy Johnson for 2 yards 32 7 2.13 1.85 0.0
4 0:50 2 8 MIN 50 Bob Lee pass complete to Sammy White for 20 yards 32 7 1.85 3.58 0.0
4 0:42 1 10 RAI 30 Bob Lee pass complete to Sammy Johnson for 17 yards 32 7 3.58 4.71 0.0
4 0:31 1 10 RAI 13 Bob Lee pass complete to Stu Voigt for 13 yards, touchdown 32 14 4.71 -7 0.0
4 0:21 1 10 MIN 48 Mike Rae for -2 yards 32 14 2.39 1.58 0.0
End of Regulation32141.580
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).