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SUPER BOWL XV

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Oakland Raiders 27 vs. Philadelphia Eagles 10

Sunday, January 25, 1981
1234Final
Oakland Raiders (11-5-0)14010327
Philadelphia Eagles (12-4-0)030710

Game Info
Stadium Louisiana Superdome
Start Time (ET) 6:00pm
Roof dome
Surface astroturf
Weather 72 degrees
Vegas Line Philadelphia Eagles -3.0
Over/Under 37.5 (under)
Super Bowl MVP Jim Plunkett

Win Probability

The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail RAI PHI EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 Chris Bahr kicks off 57 yards, returned by Billy Campfield for 16 yards 0 0 0 0.54 60.4
1 14:52 1 10 PHI 24 Wilbert Montgomery for 8 yards 0 0 0.54 1.08 61.9
1 14:19 2 2 PHI 32 Leroy Harris for 3 yards 0 0 1.08 1.27 62.4
1 13:46 1 10 PHI 35 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for John Spagnola is intercepted by Rod Martin 0 0 1.27 -3.58 48.1
1 13:12 1 10 PHI 30 Mark van Eeghen for 3 yards 0 0 3.58 3.44 48.4
1 12:40 2 7 PHI 27 Kenny King for -1 yards 0 0 3.44 2.61 50.8
1 12:08 3 8 PHI 28 0 0 2.61 3.27 48.7
1 11:36 3 3 PHI 23 Mark van Eeghen for 4 yards 0 0 3.27 4.31 45.5
1 11:04 1 10 PHI 19 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Cliff Branch for 14 yards 0 0 4.31 6.06 40.1
1 10:32 1 5 PHI 5 Mark van Eeghen for 2 yards 0 0 6.06 5.53 41.6
1 10:00 2 3 PHI 3 Mark van Eeghen for 1 yard 0 0 5.53 4.95 43.2
1 9:28 3 2 PHI 2 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Cliff Branch for 2 yards, touchdown 7 0 4.95 7 36.9
1 8:56 Chris Bahr kicks off 61 yards, returned by Billy Campfield for 21 yards 7 0 0 0.61 38.6
1 8:48 1 10 PHI 25 Wilbert Montgomery for 3 yards 7 0 0.61 0.47 38.2
1 8:28 2 7 PHI 28 Wilbert Montgomery for 1 yard 7 0 0.47 -0.1 36.4
1 8:08 3 6 PHI 29 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Charlie A. Smith 7 0 -0.1 -1.44 32.4
1 7:48 4 6 PHI 29 7 0 -1.44 -1.11 33.2
1 7:28 4 1 PHI 34 Max Runager punts 46 yards 7 0 -1.11 -0.41 35.2
1 7:06 1 10 RAI 22 Kenny King for 6 yards 7 0 0.41 0.68 34.3
1 6:42 2 4 RAI 28 Mark van Eeghen for 3 yards 7 0 0.68 0.37 35.1
1 6:18 3 1 RAI 31 Jim Plunkett for no gain 7 0 0.37 -1.31 40.1
1 5:54 4 1 RAI 31 Ray Guy punts 44 yards 7 0 -1.31 -1.4 40.3
1 5:28 1 10 PHI 37 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Keith Krepfle for 8 yards 7 0 1.4 1.94 41.9
1 4:59 2 2 PHI 45 Wilbert Montgomery for 3 yards 7 0 1.94 2.13 42.3
1 4:30 1 10 PHI 48 Wilbert Montgomery for -1 yards 7 0 2.13 1.45 40.1
1 4:01 2 11 PHI 47 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Wilbert Montgomery for 13 yards 7 0 1.45 2.92 44.7
1 3:32 1 10 RAI 40 Wilbert Montgomery for -1 yards 7 0 2.92 2.24 42.4
1 3:03 2 11 RAI 41 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Leroy Harris for 1 yard 7 0 2.24 1.68 40.4
1 2:34 3 10 RAI 40 7 0 1.68 1.03 38.2
1 2:05 3 15 RAI 45 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Rodney Parker 7 0 1.03 0.27 35.7
1 1:36 4 15 RAI 45 Max Runager punts 31 yards 7 0 0.27 0.28 35.6
1 1:06 1 10 RAI 14 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Cliff Branch for 4 yards 7 0 -0.28 -0.21 35.2
1 0:47 2 6 RAI 18 Kenny King for 2 yards 7 0 -0.21 -0.68 36.6
1 0:28 3 4 RAI 20 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Kenny King for 80 yards, touchdown 14 0 -0.68 7 15.8
1 0:09 Chris Bahr kicks off 51 yards, returned by Billy Campfield for 12 yards 14 0 0 0.67 17.2
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail RAI PHI EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 1 10 PHI 26 Wilbert Montgomery for 8 yards 14 0 0.67 1.21 18.3
2 14:30 2 2 PHI 34 Leroy Harris for no gain 14 0 1.21 0.5 16.5
2 14:00 3 2 PHI 34 Ron Jaworski pass complete to John Spagnola for 22 yards 14 0 0.5 2.65 21.4
2 13:30 1 10 RAI 44 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Charlie A. Smith 14 0 2.65 2.11 19.8
2 13:00 2 10 RAI 44 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Wilbert Montgomery for 25 yards 14 0 2.11 4.31 25.4
2 12:30 1 10 RAI 19 Wilbert Montgomery for 5 yards 14 0 4.31 4.53 25.8
2 12:00 2 5 RAI 14 Leroy Harris for 1 yard 14 0 4.53 3.96 24.0
2 11:30 3 4 RAI 13 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Wilbert Montgomery 14 0 3.96 2.64 20.3
2 11:00 4 4 RAI 13 Tony Franklin 30 yard field goal good 14 3 2.64 3 21.1
2 10:28 Tony Franklin kicks off 64 yards, returned by Keith Moody for 19 yards 14 3 0 0.28 20.1
2 10:18 1 10 RAI 20 Jim Plunkett pass incomplete intended for Bob Chandler 14 3 0.28 -0.27 21.5
2 9:50 2 10 RAI 20 Arthur Whittington for -2 yards 14 3 -0.27 -1.33 24.2
2 9:22 3 12 RAI 18 Jim Plunkett for 5 yards 14 3 -1.33 -1.83 25.5
2 8:54 4 7 RAI 23 Ray Guy punts 42 yards 14 3 -1.83 -0.67 22.0
2 8:23 1 10 PHI 26 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Harold Carmichael for 3 yards 14 3 0.67 0.54 21.4
2 8:08 2 7 PHI 29 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Wilbert Montgomery 14 3 0.54 -0.16 19.4
2 7:53 3 7 PHI 29 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Billy Campfield 14 3 -0.16 -1.44 16.2
2 7:38 4 7 PHI 29 Max Runager punts 33 yards 14 3 -1.44 -1.4 16.2
2 7:23 1 10 RAI 37 Mark van Eeghen for 6 yards 14 3 1.4 1.67 15.5
2 6:55 2 4 RAI 43 Mark van Eeghen for 4 yards 14 3 1.67 2.06 14.4
2 6:27 1 10 RAI 47 Jim Plunkett pass incomplete intended for Kenny King 14 3 2.06 1.52 15.4
2 5:59 2 10 RAI 47 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Cliff Branch for 18 yards 14 3 1.52 3.25 11.6
2 5:31 1 10 PHI 35 Kenny King for 4 yards 14 3 3.25 3.24 11.4
2 5:03 2 6 PHI 31 Jim Plunkett pass incomplete intended for Cliff Branch 14 3 3.24 2.54 12.6
2 4:35 3 6 PHI 31 Jim Plunkett for 4 yards 14 3 2.54 1.8 13.9
2 4:07 4 2 PHI 27 Chris Bahr 45 yard field goal no good 14 3 1.8 -0.74 20.0
2 3:34 1 10 PHI 27 Wilbert Montgomery for no gain 14 3 0.74 0.2 18.3
2 3:03 2 10 PHI 27 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Harold Carmichael 14 3 0.2 -0.49 16.2
2 2:32 3 10 PHI 27 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Harold Carmichael for 29 yards 14 3 -0.49 2.65 24.9
2 2:00 1 10 RAI 44 Leroy Harris for 3 yards 14 3 2.65 2.52 24.2
2 1:54 2 7 RAI 41 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Harold Carmichael for 14 yards 14 3 2.52 3.78 28.3
2 1:22 1 10 RAI 27 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete 14 3 3.78 3.23 26.2
2 1:20 2 10 RAI 27 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete 14 3 3.23 2.54 23.9
2 1:16 3 10 RAI 27 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Wilbert Montgomery for 16 yards 14 3 2.54 4.84 31.8
2 1:07 1 10 RAI 11 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Wilbert Montgomery 14 3 4.84 4.14 29.2
2 1:02 2 10 RAI 11 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Keith Krepfle 14 3 4.14 3.13 25.7
2 0:58 3 10 RAI 11 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Rodney Parker 14 3 3.13 2.7 24.3
2 0:54 4 10 RAI 11 Tony Franklin 28 yard field goal no good 14 3 2.7 0.28 17.1
2 0:43 1 10 RAI 14 Mark van Eeghen for 5 yards 14 3 -0.28 -0.04 16.3
End of Half143-0.040
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail RAI PHI EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 Tony Franklin kicks off 62 yards, returned by Ira Matthews for 21 yards 14 3 0 0.54 14.6
3 14:52 1 10 RAI 24 14 3 0.54 -0.5 17.2
3 14:28 1 20 RAI 14 Mark van Eeghen for 8 yards 14 3 -0.5 -0.27 16.3
3 14:04 2 12 RAI 22 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Kenny King for 13 yards 14 3 -0.27 1.27 12.4
3 13:40 1 10 RAI 35 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Bob Chandler for 32 yards 14 3 1.27 3.38 8.2
3 13:16 1 10 PHI 33 Mark van Eeghen for 4 yards 14 3 3.38 3.38 8.0
3 12:52 2 6 PHI 29 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Cliff Branch for 29 yards, touchdown 21 3 3.38 7 3.5
3 12:24 Chris Bahr kicks off 55 yards, returned by Perry Harrington for no gain 21 3 0 -0.38 3.1
3 12:18 1 10 PHI 10 Wilbert Montgomery for 4 yards 21 3 -0.38 -0.46 3.0
3 11:49 2 6 PHI 14 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Harold Carmichael for 18 yards 21 3 -0.46 1.07 4.2
3 11:20 1 10 PHI 32 Wilbert Montgomery for 3 yards 21 3 1.07 0.93 3.9
3 10:51 2 7 PHI 35 21 3 0.93 1.6 4.4
3 10:22 1 10 PHI 40 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Harold Carmichael for 19 yards 21 3 1.6 2.85 5.7
3 9:53 1 10 RAI 41 Leroy Harris for 5 yards 21 3 2.85 2.98 5.6
3 9:24 2 5 RAI 36 Wilbert Montgomery for 2 yards 21 3 2.98 2.54 4.9
3 8:55 3 3 RAI 34 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for John Spagnola is intercepted by Rod Martin 21 3 2.54 -1.07 1.8
3 8:20 1 10 RAI 32 Mark van Eeghen for 5 yards 21 3 1.07 1.2 1.6
3 7:52 2 5 RAI 37 Jim Plunkett sacked for -1 yards 21 3 1.2 0.37 1.9
3 7:24 3 6 RAI 36 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Raymond Chester for 16 yards 21 3 0.37 2.39 1.0
3 6:56 1 10 PHI 48 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Bob Chandler for 17 yards 21 3 2.39 3.51 0.6
3 6:28 1 10 PHI 31 Mark van Eeghen for 5 yards 21 3 3.51 3.64 0.5
3 6:00 2 5 PHI 26 Arthur Whittington for -2 yards 21 3 3.64 2.68 0.7
3 5:32 3 7 PHI 28 Jim Plunkett pass incomplete intended for Raymond Chester 21 3 2.68 1.59 0.9
3 5:04 4 7 PHI 28 Chris Bahr 46 yard field goal good 24 3 1.59 3 0.5
3 4:35 Chris Bahr kicks off 59 yards, returned by Billy Campfield for 33 yards 24 3 0 -0.35 0.4
3 4:35 1 10 PHI 12 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Wilbert Montgomery 24 3 -0.35 -0.78 0.3
3 4:08 2 10 PHI 12 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Charlie A. Smith for 43 yards 24 3 -0.78 2.59 1.1
3 3:41 1 10 RAI 45 Perry Harrington for 4 yards 24 3 2.59 2.58 1.0
3 3:14 2 6 RAI 41 Wilbert Montgomery for 4 yards 24 3 2.58 2.41 0.9
3 2:47 3 2 RAI 37 Wilbert Montgomery for 3 yards 24 3 2.41 3.31 1.1
3 2:20 1 10 RAI 34 Leroy Harris for 3 yards 24 3 3.31 3.18 1.0
3 1:53 2 7 RAI 31 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Harold Carmichael 24 3 3.18 2.48 0.7
3 1:26 3 7 RAI 31 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Harold Carmichael 24 3 2.48 1.32 0.4
3 0:59 4 7 RAI 31 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Rodney Parker for 19 yards 24 3 1.32 4.78 1.3
3 0:32 1 10 RAI 12 Louie Giammona for 7 yards 24 3 4.78 5.41 1.5
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail RAI PHI EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 2 3 RAI 5 Wilbert Montgomery for no gain 24 3 5.41 4.61 1.0
4 14:45 3 3 RAI 5 24 3 4.61 5.06 1.2
4 14:30 3 1 RAI 3 24 3 5.06 3.93 0.7
4 14:15 3 6 RAI 8 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Keith Krepfle for 8 yards, touchdown 24 10 3.93 7 2.2
4 13:59 Tony Franklin kicks off 62 yards, returned by Ira Matthews for 8 yards 24 10 0 -0.37 2.4
4 13:48 1 10 RAI 11 Mark van Eeghen for 8 yards 24 10 -0.37 0.17 1.9
4 13:22 2 2 RAI 19 Mark van Eeghen for 5 yards 24 10 0.17 0.54 1.5
4 12:56 1 10 RAI 24 Kenny King for 1 yard 24 10 0.54 0.13 1.6
4 12:30 2 9 RAI 25 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Raymond Chester for 8 yards 24 10 0.13 2.13 0.6
4 12:04 1 10 RAI 48 Jim Plunkett pass incomplete intended for Cliff Branch 24 10 2.13 1.58 0.7
4 11:38 2 10 RAI 48 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Bob Chandler for 23 yards 24 10 1.58 3.64 0.2
4 11:12 1 10 PHI 29 Jim Plunkett pass complete to Bob Chandler for 5 yards 24 10 3.64 3.78 0.2
4 10:46 2 5 PHI 24 Mark van Eeghen for 5 yards 24 10 3.78 4.31 0.1
4 10:20 1 10 PHI 19 Jim Plunkett pass incomplete intended for Mark van Eeghen 24 10 4.31 3.75 0.1
4 9:54 2 10 PHI 19 Arthur Whittington for 2 yards 24 10 3.75 3.26 0.1
4 9:28 3 8 PHI 17 Jim Plunkett pass incomplete intended for Bob Chandler 24 10 3.26 2.31 0.2
4 9:02 4 8 PHI 17 Chris Bahr 35 yard field goal good 27 10 2.31 3 0.1
4 8:29 Chris Bahr kicks off 63 yards, returned by Billy Campfield for 20 yards 27 10 0 0.41 0.1
4 8:19 1 10 PHI 22 Wilbert Montgomery for 2 yards 27 10 0.41 0.14 0.1
4 7:46 2 8 PHI 24 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Charlie A. Smith for 16 yards 27 10 0.14 1.6 0.1
4 7:13 1 10 PHI 40 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Wilbert Montgomery for 19 yards 27 10 1.6 2.85 0.2
4 6:40 1 10 RAI 41 Leroy Harris for -1 yards 27 10 2.85 2.17 0.1
4 6:07 2 11 RAI 42 Ron Jaworski for no gain. Ron Jaworski fumbles, recovered by Willie Jones 27 10 2.17 -1.73 0.0
4 5:30 1 10 RAI 42 Mark van Eeghen for 2 yards 27 10 1.73 1.46 0.0
4 5:06 2 8 RAI 44 Kenny King for 6 yards 27 10 1.46 1.55 0.0
4 4:42 3 2 RAI 50 Jim Plunkett pass incomplete intended for Arthur Whittington 27 10 1.55 -0.06 0.0
4 4:18 4 2 RAI 50 Ray Guy punts 40 yards 27 10 -0.06 0.35 0.0
4 3:51 1 10 PHI 12 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Charlie A. Smith 27 10 -0.35 -0.78 0.0
4 3:41 2 10 PHI 12 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Wilbert Montgomery for 13 yards 27 10 -0.78 0.61 0.0
4 3:31 1 10 PHI 25 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete 27 10 0.61 0.06 0.0
4 3:21 2 10 PHI 25 Ron Jaworski pass complete to Wilbert Montgomery for 5 yards 27 10 0.06 0.04 0.0
4 3:11 3 5 PHI 30 27 10 0.04 1.93 0.0
4 3:01 1 10 PHI 45 Ron Jaworski pass incomplete intended for Billy Campfield is intercepted by Rod Martin 27 10 1.93 -3.05 0.0
4 2:50 1 10 PHI 38 Mark van Eeghen for 3 yards 27 10 3.05 2.91 0.0
4 2:34 2 7 PHI 35 Mark van Eeghen for 3 yards 27 10 2.91 2.61 0.0
4 2:18 3 4 PHI 32 Mark van Eeghen for 4 yards 27 10 2.61 3.71 0.0
4 2:00 1 10 PHI 28 Derrick Jensen for 6 yards 27 10 3.71 3.98 0.0
4 1:30 2 4 PHI 22 Derrick Jensen for 3 yards 27 10 3.98 3.72 0.0
4 0:40 3 1 PHI 19 Derrick Jensen for 3 yards 27 10 3.72 4.11 0.0
End of Regulation27104.110
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).