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SUPER BOWL XXVII

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Dallas Cowboys 52 vs. Buffalo Bills 17

Sunday, January 31, 1993
1234Final
Dallas Cowboys (13-3-0)141432152
Buffalo Bills (11-5-0)737017

Game Info
Stadium Rose Bowl
Start Time (ET) 6:30pm
Roof outdoors
Surface grass
Weather 56 degrees, relative humidity 63%, wind 10 mph
Vegas Line Dallas Cowboys -6.5
Over/Under 45.0 (over)
Super Bowl MVP Troy Aikman

Win Probability

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The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail DAL BUF EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 Lin Elliott kicks off 65 yards, touchback 0 0 0 0.28 32.2
1 14:44 1 10 BUF 20 Jim Kelly pass complete to Andre Reed for 14 yards 0 0 0.28 1.2 34.7
1 14:28 1 10 BUF 34 Thurman Thomas for 2 yards 0 0 1.2 0.93 34.0
1 14:12 2 8 BUF 36 Jim Kelly pass complete to Thurman Thomas for 7 yards 0 0 0.93 1.16 34.7
1 13:56 3 1 BUF 43 Jim Kelly sacked for -2 yards 0 0 1.16 -0.65 29.9
1 13:40 4 3 BUF 41 Chris Mohr punts 45 yards 0 0 -0.65 0.22 32.2
1 13:19 1 10 DAL 15 Troy Aikman pass complete to Emmitt Smith for no gain 0 0 -0.22 -0.71 33.6
1 12:55 2 10 DAL 15 Emmitt Smith for 1 yard 0 0 -0.71 -1.25 35.2
1 12:31 3 9 DAL 16 Troy Aikman pass incomplete intended for Michael Irvin 0 0 -1.25 -2.39 38.5
1 12:07 4 9 DAL 16 0 0 -2.39 -4.51 44.9
1 11:40 1 10 DAL 16 Thurman Thomas for 9 yards 0 0 4.51 5.54 48.2
1 11:20 2 1 DAL 7 Thurman Thomas for -2 yards 0 0 5.54 4.39 44.8
1 11:00 3 3 DAL 9 0 0 4.39 6.06 50.0
1 10:40 1 5 DAL 5 Thurman Thomas for 3 yards 0 0 6.06 5.72 49.0
1 10:20 2 2 DAL 2 Thurman Thomas for 2 yards, touchdown 0 7 5.72 7 53.1
1 10:00 Steve Christie kicks off 59 yards, returned by Kelvin Martin for 22 yards 0 7 0 0.81 50.7
1 9:36 1 10 DAL 28 Emmitt Smith for no gain 0 7 0.81 0.26 52.6
1 9:12 2 10 DAL 28 Troy Aikman pass complete to Jay Novacek for 9 yards 0 7 0.26 0.76 51.1
1 8:48 3 1 DAL 37 Emmitt Smith for 3 yards 0 7 0.76 1.6 48.7
1 8:24 1 10 DAL 40 0 7 1.6 1.27 49.8
1 8:00 1 15 DAL 35 Troy Aikman pass complete to Daryl Johnston for 8 yards 0 7 1.27 1.46 49.4
1 7:36 2 7 DAL 43 Troy Aikman pass incomplete intended for Jay Novacek 0 7 1.46 0.76 51.7
1 7:12 3 7 DAL 43 Troy Aikman pass incomplete intended for Kelvin Martin 0 7 0.76 -0.52 55.9
1 6:48 4 7 DAL 43 Mike Saxon punts 57 yards, touchback 0 7 -0.52 -0.28 55.3
1 6:21 1 10 BUF 20 Thurman Thomas for -1 yards 0 7 0.28 -0.46 53.1
1 6:05 2 11 BUF 19 Thurman Thomas for no gain 0 7 -0.46 -1.14 51.0
1 5:49 3 11 BUF 19 0 7 -1.14 -2.03 48.3
1 5:33 3 16 BUF 14 0 7 -2.03 0.87 57.7
1 5:17 1 10 BUF 29 Jim Kelly pass complete to Andre Reed for 21 yards 0 7 0.87 2.26 62.1
1 5:01 1 10 BUF 50 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Pete Metzelaars is intercepted by James Washington 0 7 2.26 -2.46 47.2
1 4:40 1 10 BUF 47 Emmitt Smith for -1 yards 0 7 2.46 1.78 49.5
1 4:10 2 11 BUF 48 Troy Aikman pass complete to Emmitt Smith for -5 yards 0 7 1.78 0.43 54.1
1 3:40 3 16 DAL 47 Troy Aikman pass complete to Michael Irvin for 20 yards 0 7 0.43 3.38 44.6
1 3:10 1 10 BUF 33 Troy Aikman for 2 yards 0 7 3.38 3.11 45.6
1 2:40 2 8 BUF 31 Emmitt Smith for 8 yards 0 7 3.11 4.04 42.7
1 2:10 1 10 BUF 23 Troy Aikman pass complete to Jay Novacek for 23 yards, touchdown 7 7 4.04 7 33.4
1 1:36 Lin Elliott kicks off 61 yards, returned by Brad Lamb for 16 yards 7 7 0 -0.38 32.4
1 1:22 1 10 BUF 10 Jim Kelly sacked for -8 yards. Jim Kelly fumbles, recovered by Jimmie Jones and returned for 2 yards, touchdown 14 7 -0.38 -7 15.5
1 15 7 0 0 0.0
1 1:21 Lin Elliott kicks off 61 yards, returned by Brad Lamb for 33 yards. Brad Lamb fumbles, recovered by Keith Goganious 15 7 0 1.73 19.2
1 1:21 1 10 BUF 42 Kenneth Davis for 6 yards 15 7 1.73 2 19.9
1 0:41 2 4 BUF 48 Kenneth Davis for 8 yards 15 7 2 2.65 21.4
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail DAL BUF EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 1 10 DAL 44 Jim Kelly pass complete to Andre Reed for 40 yards 15 7 2.65 6.28 31.6
2 14:24 1 4 DAL 4 Carwell Gardner for 3 yards 15 7 6.28 5.91 30.5
2 13:48 2 1 DAL 1 Thurman Thomas for no gain 15 7 5.91 5.17 28.4
2 13:12 3 1 DAL 1 Kenneth Davis for no gain 15 7 5.17 3.55 23.8
2 12:36 4 1 DAL 1 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Carwell Gardner is intercepted by Thomas Everett 15 7 3.55 -0.28 14.7
2 11:59 1 10 DAL 20 Emmitt Smith for 2 yards 15 7 0.28 0 15.3
2 11:26 2 8 DAL 22 Troy Aikman pass complete to Jay Novacek for 11 yards 15 7 0 1.14 13.0
2 10:53 1 10 DAL 33 Emmitt Smith for 3 yards 15 7 1.14 1 13.2
2 10:20 2 7 DAL 36 Troy Aikman for 7 yards 15 7 1 1.8 11.6
2 9:47 1 10 DAL 43 Emmitt Smith for no gain 15 7 1.8 1.25 12.6
2 9:14 2 10 DAL 43 Troy Aikman pass incomplete intended for Michael Irvin 15 7 1.25 0.56 13.9
2 8:36 3 10 DAL 43 Troy Aikman pass complete to Jay Novacek for 5 yards 15 7 0.56 -0.19 15.4
2 8:23 4 5 DAL 48 Mike Saxon punts 37 yards 15 7 -0.19 0.22 14.5
2 8:10 1 10 BUF 15 Kenneth Davis for 7 yards 15 7 -0.22 0.35 15.8
2 7:48 2 3 BUF 22 Kenneth Davis for 4 yards 15 7 0.35 0.67 16.5
2 7:26 1 10 BUF 26 Kenneth Davis for 7 yards 15 7 0.67 1.07 17.4
2 7:04 2 3 BUF 33 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Andre Reed 15 7 1.07 0.37 15.7
2 6:42 3 3 BUF 33 Frank Reich pass complete to Pete Metzelaars for 7 yards 15 7 0.37 1.6 18.7
2 6:20 1 10 BUF 40 Frank Reich pass complete to Andre Reed for 38 yards 15 7 1.6 4.11 25.7
2 5:58 1 10 DAL 22 Kenneth Davis for 3 yards 15 7 4.11 3.97 25.3
2 5:36 2 7 DAL 19 Kenneth Davis for 7 yards 15 7 3.97 4.78 27.9
2 5:14 1 10 DAL 12 Thurman Thomas for 6 yards 15 7 4.78 5.21 29.3
2 4:52 2 4 DAL 6 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for Don Beebe 15 7 5.21 4.38 26.7
2 4:30 3 4 DAL 6 15 7 4.38 5.06 28.9
2 4:08 3 1 DAL 3 Thurman Thomas for no gain 15 7 5.06 3.06 22.6
2 3:46 4 1 DAL 3 Steve Christie 21 yard field goal good 15 10 3.06 3 22.4
2 3:24 Steve Christie kicks off 58 yards, returned by Kelvin Martin for 21 yards 15 10 0 0.81 20.1
2 3:07 1 10 DAL 28 Troy Aikman pass complete to Emmitt Smith for 6 yards 15 10 0.81 1.07 19.3
2 2:50 2 4 DAL 34 Troy Aikman pass complete to Jay Novacek for 9 yards 15 10 1.07 1.8 17.4
2 2:33 1 10 DAL 43 Troy Aikman pass incomplete 15 10 1.8 1.25 18.8
2 2:16 2 10 DAL 43 Emmitt Smith for 38 yards 15 10 1.25 4.31 11.6
2 1:58 1 10 BUF 19 Troy Aikman pass complete to Michael Irvin for 19 yards, touchdown 22 10 4.31 7 7.1
2 1:54 Lin Elliott kicks off 65 yards, touchback 22 10 0 0.28 7.4
2 1:49 1 10 BUF 20 Frank Reich pass complete to Thurman Thomas for -1 yards. Thurman Thomas fumbles, recovered by Jimmie Jones 22 10 0.28 -4.37 2.8
2 1:43 1 10 BUF 18 Troy Aikman pass complete to Michael Irvin for 18 yards, touchdown 29 10 4.37 7 1.4
2 1:36 Lin Elliott kicks off 65 yards, touchback 29 10 0 0.28 1.5
2 1:36 1 10 BUF 20 Frank Reich for no gain. Frank Reich fumbles, recovered by Kenneth Davis 29 10 0.28 -0.63 1.2
2 0:52 2 12 BUF 18 Frank Reich pass complete to Andre Reed for 11 yards 29 10 -0.63 0.23 1.4
2 0:52 3 1 BUF 29 29 10 0.23 1.2 1.9
2 0:41 1 10 BUF 34 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for Don Beebe is intercepted by Larry Brown 29 10 1.2 -0.81 1.1
2 0:30 1 10 DAL 28 Emmitt Smith for 7 yards 29 10 0.81 1.21 1.0
2 0:19 2 3 DAL 35 Troy Aikman pass complete to Michael Irvin for 20 yards 29 10 1.21 2.59 0.6
2 0:12 1 10 BUF 45 Troy Aikman pass complete to Emmitt Smith for 5 yards 29 10 2.59 2.72 1.3
End of Half29102.720
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail DAL BUF EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 -- 29 10 0 0.34 1.2
3 14:30 1 10 DAL 21 Emmitt Smith for 7 yards 29 10 0.34 0.75 1.0
3 14:00 2 3 DAL 28 Emmitt Smith for 11 yards 29 10 0.75 1.53 0.8
3 13:30 1 10 DAL 39 Troy Aikman pass complete to Daryl Johnston for 7 yards 29 10 1.53 1.93 0.7
3 13:00 2 3 DAL 46 Daryl Johnston for no gain 29 10 1.93 1.22 0.8
3 12:30 3 3 DAL 46 Troy Aikman pass complete to Michael Irvin for 25 yards 29 10 1.22 3.64 0.3
3 12:00 1 10 BUF 29 Emmitt Smith for 7 yards 29 10 3.64 4.05 0.3
3 11:30 2 3 BUF 22 Emmitt Smith for 3 yards 29 10 4.05 4.31 0.2
3 11:00 1 10 BUF 19 Troy Aikman pass complete to Michael Irvin for 12 yards 29 10 4.31 5.6 0.1
3 10:30 1 7 BUF 7 Derrick Gainer for no gain 29 10 5.6 4.76 0.2
3 10:00 2 7 BUF 7 Troy Aikman pass complete to Jay Novacek for 5 yards 29 10 4.76 4.95 0.2
3 9:30 3 2 BUF 2 Troy Aikman pass incomplete intended for Jay Novacek 29 10 4.95 3.25 0.3
3 9:00 4 2 BUF 2 Lin Elliott 20 yard field goal good 32 10 3.25 3 0.3
3 8:21 Lin Elliott kicks off 59 yards, returned by Kenneth Davis for 21 yards 32 10 0 0.74 0.3
3 8:04 1 10 BUF 27 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for Keith McKeller 32 10 0.74 0.2 0.3
3 7:47 2 10 BUF 27 Frank Reich pass complete to Andre Reed for 8 yards 32 10 0.2 0.56 0.3
3 7:30 3 2 BUF 35 Frank Reich pass complete to Keith McKeller for 6 yards 32 10 0.56 1.66 0.4
3 7:13 1 10 BUF 41 Frank Reich pass complete to Thurman Thomas for no gain 32 10 1.66 1.12 0.3
3 6:56 2 10 BUF 41 Frank Reich pass complete to Thurman Thomas for 4 yards 32 10 1.12 0.96 0.3
3 6:39 3 6 BUF 45 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for James Lofton 32 10 0.96 -0.39 0.2
3 6:22 4 6 BUF 45 Chris Mohr punts 43 yards 32 10 -0.39 -1.73 0.1
3 6:00 1 10 DAL 42 Emmitt Smith for 3 yards 32 10 1.73 1.59 0.1
3 5:28 2 7 DAL 45 Troy Aikman pass incomplete intended for Jay Novacek 32 10 1.59 0.89 0.1
3 4:56 3 7 DAL 45 Troy Aikman pass complete to Jay Novacek for 10 yards 32 10 0.89 2.59 0.0
3 4:24 1 10 BUF 45 Emmitt Smith for 5 yards 32 10 2.59 2.72 0.0
3 3:52 2 5 BUF 40 Emmitt Smith for 3 yards 32 10 2.72 2.41 0.0
3 3:20 3 2 BUF 37 Emmitt Smith for -1 yards 32 10 2.41 0.72 0.1
3 2:48 4 3 BUF 38 Troy Aikman pass incomplete 32 10 0.72 -1.53 0.2
3 2:10 1 10 BUF 39 Kenneth Davis for 12 yards 32 10 1.53 2.32 0.2
3 1:44 1 10 DAL 49 Frank Reich pass complete to Andre Reed for 13 yards 32 10 2.32 3.18 0.3
3 1:18 1 10 DAL 36 Kenneth Davis for -4 yards 32 10 3.18 2.1 0.2
3 0:52 2 14 DAL 40 Frank Reich pass complete to Kenneth Davis for no gain 32 10 2.1 1.42 0.1
3 0:26 3 14 DAL 40 Frank Reich pass complete to Don Beebe for 40 yards, touchdown 32 17 1.42 7 1.1
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail DAL BUF EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 Steve Christie kicks off 57 yards, returned by Kelvin Martin for 15 yards 32 17 0 0.48 0.8
4 14:50 1 10 DAL 23 Troy Aikman for 19 yards 32 17 0.48 1.73 0.5
4 14:14 1 10 DAL 42 Emmitt Smith for -12 yards. Emmitt Smith fumbles, recovered by Troy Aikman 32 17 1.73 -0.43 1.1
4 13:38 2 22 DAL 30 Troy Aikman pass complete to Emmitt Smith for 3 yards 32 17 -0.43 -0.69 1.1
4 13:02 3 19 DAL 33 Troy Aikman pass complete to Emmitt Smith for 18 yards 32 17 -0.69 0 0.7
4 12:26 4 1 BUF 49 Mike Saxon punts 37 yards. Cliff Hicks fumbles, recovered by Cliff Hicks 32 17 0 0.35 0.5
4 11:46 1 10 BUF 12 Thurman Thomas for no gain 32 17 -0.35 -0.78 0.4
4 11:33 2 10 BUF 12 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for Andre Reed 32 17 -0.78 -1.42 0.2
4 11:20 3 10 BUF 12 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for James Lofton 32 17 -1.42 -2.49 0.1
4 11:07 4 10 BUF 12 Chris Mohr punts 48 yards 32 17 -2.49 -1.86 0.2
4 10:54 1 10 DAL 44 Emmitt Smith for 11 yards 32 17 1.86 2.59 0.1
4 10:29 1 10 BUF 45 Troy Aikman pass complete to Alvin Harper for 45 yards, touchdown 39 17 2.59 7 0.0
4 10:04 Lin Elliott kicks off 65 yards, touchback 39 17 0 0.28 0.0
4 9:59 1 10 BUF 20 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for Kenneth Davis 39 17 0.28 -0.27 0.0
4 9:50 2 10 BUF 20 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for James Lofton is intercepted by Thomas Everett 39 17 -0.27 -5.37 0.0
4 9:41 1 8 BUF 8 Emmitt Smith for no gain 39 17 5.37 4.57 0.0
4 9:12 2 8 BUF 8 Troy Aikman sacked for -2 yards 39 17 4.57 3.13 0.0
4 8:43 3 10 BUF 10 Emmitt Smith for 10 yards, touchdown 46 17 3.13 7 0.0
4 8:12 Lin Elliott kicks off 65 yards, touchback 46 17 0 0.28 0.0
4 8:02 1 10 BUF 20 Frank Reich pass complete to Andre Reed for 7 yards 46 17 0.28 0.68 0.0
4 7:52 2 3 BUF 27 46 17 0.68 0 0.0
4 7:42 2 8 BUF 22 . Frank Reich fumbles, recovered by Ken Norton and returned for 9 yards, touchdown 53 17 0 -7 0.0
4 54 17 0 0 0.0
4 7:31 Lin Elliott kicks off 60 yards, returned by Cliff Hicks for 20 yards 54 17 0 0.61 0.0
4 7:20 1 10 BUF 25 Frank Reich pass complete to Steve Tasker for 16 yards. Steve Tasker fumbles, recovered by Clayton Holmes 54 17 0.61 -2.65 0.0
4 7:06 1 10 BUF 44 Derrick Gainer for 1 yard 54 17 2.65 2.25 0.0
4 6:40 2 9 BUF 43 Steve Beuerlein for no gain. Steve Beuerlein fumbles, recovered by Phil Hansen 54 17 2.25 -2.06 0.0
4 6:14 1 10 BUF 47 Frank Reich pass complete to Kenneth Davis for 3 yards 54 17 2.06 1.92 0.0
4 6:01 2 7 BUF 50 Frank Reich pass complete to Steve Tasker for 14 yards 54 17 1.92 3.18 0.0
4 5:48 1 10 DAL 36 54 17 3.18 3.91 0.0
4 5:35 1 5 DAL 31 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for Don Beebe 54 17 3.91 3.31 0.0
4 5:22 2 5 DAL 31 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for Steve Tasker 54 17 3.31 2.61 0.0
4 5:09 3 5 DAL 31 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for James Lofton 54 17 2.61 1.35 0.0
4 4:56 4 5 DAL 31 Frank Reich sacked for -4 yards. Frank Reich fumbles, recovered by Leon Lett and returned for 64 yards 54 17 1.35 0.28 0.0
4 4:42 1 10 BUF 20 54 17 0.28 0.67 0.0
4 4:19 1 10 BUF 26 Kenneth Davis for 5 yards 54 17 0.67 0.81 0.0
4 3:56 2 5 BUF 31 54 17 0.81 -0.55 0.0
4 3:33 2 15 BUF 21 Kenneth Davis for 2 yards 54 17 -0.55 -0.96 0.0
4 3:10 3 13 BUF 23 Frank Reich pass complete to Kenneth Davis for 13 yards 54 17 -0.96 1.33 0.0
4 2:47 1 10 BUF 36 Frank Reich pass complete to Don Beebe for 10 yards 54 17 1.33 1.99 0.0
4 2:24 1 10 BUF 46 Frank Reich pass complete to Pete Metzelaars for 5 yards 54 17 1.99 2.13 0.0
4 2:00 2 5 DAL 49 Kenneth Davis for 14 yards 54 17 2.13 3.25 0.0
4 1:32 1 10 DAL 35 Kenneth Davis for 8 yards 54 17 3.25 3.78 0.0
4 1:10 2 2 DAL 27 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for James Lofton 54 17 3.78 3.07 0.0
4 0:58 3 2 DAL 27 Kenneth Davis for 7 yards 54 17 3.07 4.24 0.0
4 0:36 1 10 DAL 20 Frank Reich pass incomplete intended for James Lofton 54 17 4.24 3.69 0.0
4 0:22 2 10 DAL 20 Frank Reich sacked for -8 yards 54 17 3.69 1.95 0.0
End of Regulation54171.950
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).