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SUPER BOWL XXXIII

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Denver Broncos 34 vs. Atlanta Falcons 19

Sunday, January 31, 1999
1234Final
Denver Broncos (14-2-0)71001734
Atlanta Falcons (14-2-0)3301319

Game Info
Stadium Pro Player Stadium
Start Time 6:30pm
Surface grass
Weather 74 degrees, relative humidity 67%, wind 11 mph
Vegas Line Denver Broncos -7.5
Over/Under 52.0 (over)
Super Bowl MVP John Elway

Win Probability

The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail DEN ATL EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 -- 0 0 0 1.4 32.5
1 14:33 1 10 ATL 37 Jamal Anderson for 13 yards 0 0 1.4 2.26 35.0
1 14:06 1 10 ATL 50 Jamal Anderson for no gain 0 0 2.26 1.71 33.5
1 13:39 2 10 ATL 50 Chris Chandler pass complete to Tony Martin for 4 yards 0 0 1.71 1.55 33.2
1 13:12 3 6 DEN 46 0 0 1.55 4.17 40.7
1 12:45 1 10 DEN 21 Jamal Anderson for 7 yards 0 0 4.17 4.74 42.6
1 12:18 2 3 DEN 14 Jamal Anderson for 2 yards 0 0 4.74 4.49 42.0
1 11:51 3 1 DEN 12 Chris Chandler for 2 yards 0 0 4.49 4.91 43.3
1 11:24 1 10 DEN 10 Jamal Anderson for 2 yards 0 0 4.91 4.57 42.5
1 10:57 2 8 DEN 8 Chris Chandler pass incomplete intended for O.J. Santiago 0 0 4.57 3.58 39.6
1 10:30 3 8 DEN 8 Chris Chandler sacked for -7 yards 0 0 3.58 2.44 36.4
1 10:03 4 15 DEN 15 Morten Andersen 32 yard field goal good 0 3 2.44 3 38.2
1 9:35 Morten Andersen kicks off 70 yards, touchback 0 3 0 0.28 37.5
1 9:05 1 10 DEN 20 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Terrell Davis 0 3 0.28 -0.27 39.2
1 8:35 2 10 DEN 20 John Elway pass complete to Shannon Sharpe for 12 yards 0 3 -0.27 1.07 35.4
1 8:05 1 10 DEN 32 Terrell Davis for 1 yard 0 3 1.07 0.66 36.7
1 7:35 2 9 DEN 33 Terrell Davis for 2 yards 0 3 0.66 0.23 38.1
1 7:05 3 7 DEN 35 John Elway pass complete to Rod Smith for 41 yards 0 3 0.23 3.97 27.5
1 6:35 1 10 ATL 24 Terrell Davis for 1 yard 0 3 3.97 3.57 28.7
1 6:05 2 9 ATL 23 Terrell Davis for 9 yards 0 3 3.57 4.65 25.9
1 5:35 1 10 ATL 14 Terrell Davis for -1 yards 0 3 4.65 3.85 28.1
1 5:05 2 11 ATL 15 John Elway pass complete to Shannon Sharpe for 14 yards 0 3 3.85 6.97 20.3
1 4:35 1 1 ATL 1 Howard Griffith for 1 yard, touchdown 6 3 6.97 7 22.6
1 3:55 -- 6 3 0 0.74 24.5
1 3:35 1 10 ATL 27 Chris Chandler pass incomplete intended for O.J. Santiago 6 3 0.74 0.2 23.2
1 3:15 2 10 ATL 27 Jamal Anderson for 9 yards 6 3 0.2 0.7 24.5
1 2:55 3 1 ATL 36 Jamal Anderson for no gain 6 3 0.7 -0.98 20.4
1 2:35 4 1 ATL 36 Dan Stryzinski punts 39 yards 6 3 -0.98 -0.61 21.3
1 2:12 1 10 DEN 25 Terrell Davis for 6 yards 6 3 0.61 0.87 20.7
1 1:57 2 4 DEN 31 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Shannon Sharpe 6 3 0.87 0.17 22.4
1 1:42 3 4 DEN 31 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Shannon Sharpe is intercepted by Ronnie Bradford at DEN-36 and returned for 1 yard 6 3 0.17 -3.25 31.9
1 1:27 1 10 DEN 35 Tim Dwight for 5 yards 6 3 3.25 3.38 32.3
1 0:44 2 5 DEN 30 Jamal Anderson for 4 yards 6 3 3.38 3.2 31.9
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail DEN ATL EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 3 1 DEN 26 Jamal Anderson for no gain 6 3 3.2 1.89 28.2
2 14:38 4 1 DEN 26 Jamal Anderson for -2 yards 6 3 1.89 -0.87 20.8
2 14:15 1 10 DEN 29 John Elway pass complete to Byron Chamberlain for 13 yards 6 3 0.87 1.73 18.7
2 13:43 1 10 DEN 42 Terrell Davis for 1 yard 6 3 1.73 1.32 19.7
2 13:11 2 9 DEN 43 Terrell Davis for 8 yards 6 3 1.32 1.69 18.9
2 12:39 3 1 ATL 49 John Elway pass complete to Byron Chamberlain for 4 yards 6 3 1.69 2.59 16.8
2 12:07 1 10 ATL 45 John Elway pass complete to Rod Smith for 18 yards 6 3 2.59 3.78 14.3
2 11:35 1 10 ATL 27 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Dwayne Carswell 6 3 3.78 3.23 15.4
2 11:03 2 10 ATL 27 Terrell Davis for 13 yards 6 3 3.23 4.65 12.6
2 10:31 1 10 ATL 14 Terrell Davis for 6 yards 6 3 4.65 5.09 11.7
2 9:59 2 4 ATL 8 John Elway pass incomplete 6 3 5.09 4.28 13.2
2 9:25 3 4 ATL 8 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Byron Chamberlain 6 3 4.28 2.98 15.9
2 9:21 4 4 ATL 8 Jason Elam 26 yard field goal good 9 3 2.98 3 15.8
2 9:17 -- 9 3 0 0.74 17.5
2 8:50 1 10 ATL 27 Chris Chandler pass complete to Terance Mathis for 16 yards 9 3 0.74 1.8 20.2
2 8:23 1 10 ATL 43 Chris Chandler pass complete to Terance Mathis for 30 yards 9 3 1.8 3.78 25.7
2 7:56 1 10 DEN 27 Chris Chandler pass complete to Jamal Anderson for 9 yards 9 3 3.78 4.53 28.1
2 7:29 2 1 DEN 18 Jamal Anderson for 3 yards 9 3 4.53 4.58 28.3
2 7:02 1 10 DEN 15 Jamal Anderson for 6 yards 9 3 4.58 5.03 29.8
2 6:35 2 4 DEN 9 Jamal Anderson for 1 yard 9 3 5.03 4.45 28.0
2 6:08 3 3 DEN 8 Chris Chandler pass incomplete intended for Tim Dwight 9 3 4.45 2.98 23.5
2 5:41 4 3 DEN 8 Morten Andersen 26 yard field goal no good 9 3 2.98 -0.28 15.1
2 5:07 1 10 DEN 20 John Elway pass complete to Rod Smith for 80 yards, touchdown 15 3 0.28 7 5.6
2 4:54 -- 15 3 0 2.32 8.6
2 4:36 1 10 DEN 49 Chris Chandler pass incomplete intended for Tony Martin 15 3 2.32 1.78 7.7
2 4:18 2 10 DEN 49 Chris Chandler pass complete to Tony Martin for 23 yards 15 3 1.78 3.84 11.1
2 4:00 1 10 DEN 26 Chris Chandler for 10 yards 15 3 3.84 4.51 12.3
2 3:42 1 10 DEN 16 Chris Chandler pass complete to Brian Kozlowski for 5 yards 15 3 4.51 4.76 12.8
2 3:24 2 5 DEN 11 Chris Chandler pass incomplete intended for Ronnie Harris 15 3 4.76 3.94 11.2
2 3:06 3 5 DEN 11 Chris Chandler pass incomplete intended for Tony Martin 15 3 3.94 2.75 9.0
2 2:48 4 5 DEN 11 Morten Andersen 28 yard field goal good 15 6 2.75 3 9.4
2 2:25 -- 15 6 0 0.81 8.1
2 2:12 1 10 DEN 28 Terrell Davis for 15 yards 15 6 0.81 1.8 6.6
2 2:00 1 10 DEN 43 Terrell Davis for 2 yards 15 6 1.8 1.52 7.0
2 1:21 2 8 DEN 45 John Elway pass complete to Byron Chamberlain for 12 yards 15 6 1.52 2.72 5.4
2 1:13 1 10 ATL 43 Rod Smith for 1 yard 15 6 2.72 2.31 5.9
2 1:05 2 9 ATL 42 John Elway pass complete to Rod Smith for 5 yards 15 6 2.31 2.28 5.9
2 0:56 3 4 ATL 37 15 6 2.28 0.96 7.6
2 0:49 3 14 ATL 47 Terrell Davis for 2 yards 15 6 0.96 0.27 8.7
2 0:40 4 12 ATL 45 Tom Rouen punts 35 yards, returned by Tim Dwight for no gain 15 6 0.27 0.38 8.5
2 0:34 1 10 ATL 10 Chris Chandler pass incomplete intended for Jamal Anderson 15 6 -0.38 -0.38 8.5
2 0:29 1 10 ATL 10 Jamal Anderson for 6 yards 15 6 -0.38 -0.23 9.1
End of Half156-0.230
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail DEN ATL EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 -- 15 6 0 0.67 7.9
3 14:31 1 10 DEN 26 John Elway pass complete to Ed McCaffrey for 18 yards 15 6 0.67 1.86 6.2
3 14:02 1 10 DEN 44 John Elway pass complete to Terrell Davis for 11 yards 15 6 1.86 2.59 5.2
3 13:33 1 10 ATL 45 Terrell Davis for 2 yards 15 6 2.59 2.31 5.5
3 13:04 2 8 ATL 43 John Elway pass complete to Howard Griffith for 7 yards 15 6 2.31 2.54 5.1
3 12:35 3 1 ATL 36 Howard Griffith for 3 yards 15 6 2.54 3.38 4.2
3 12:06 1 10 ATL 33 Terrell Davis for 2 yards 15 6 3.38 3.11 4.3
3 11:37 2 8 ATL 31 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Ed McCaffrey 15 6 3.11 2.41 5.0
3 11:08 3 8 ATL 31 John Elway pass complete to Ed McCaffrey for 14 yards 15 6 2.41 4.44 3.0
3 10:39 1 10 ATL 17 15 6 4.44 3.71 3.5
3 10:10 1 21 ATL 28 John Elway for no gain 15 6 3.71 2.41 4.8
3 9:41 2 21 ATL 28 Terrell Davis for no gain 15 6 2.41 1.75 5.5
3 9:12 3 21 ATL 28 John Elway pass complete to Rod Smith for 8 yards 15 6 1.75 2.12 4.9
3 8:43 4 13 ATL 20 Jason Elam 38 yard field goal no good 15 6 2.12 -0.81 9.4
3 8:01 1 10 ATL 28 Chris Chandler pass complete to Tony Martin for 19 yards 15 6 0.81 2.06 12.0
3 7:29 1 10 ATL 47 Chris Chandler for 12 yards 15 6 2.06 2.85 13.9
3 6:57 1 10 DEN 41 Chris Chandler sacked for -6 yards 15 6 2.85 1.5 10.4
3 6:25 2 16 DEN 47 Chris Chandler pass incomplete is intercepted by Darrius Johnson at DEN-30 and returned for 28 yards 15 6 1.5 -2.79 3.6
3 5:53 1 10 ATL 42 Terrell Davis for 11 yards 15 6 2.79 3.51 2.9
3 5:29 1 10 ATL 31 Derek Loville for 2 yards 15 6 3.51 3.24 3.0
3 5:05 2 8 ATL 29 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Rod Smith 15 6 3.24 2.54 3.6
3 4:41 3 8 ATL 29 John Elway pass complete to Ed McCaffrey for no gain 15 6 2.54 1.5 4.7
3 4:17 4 8 ATL 29 Jason Elam 48 yard field goal no good 15 6 1.5 -1.47 9.7
3 3:49 1 10 ATL 38 Jamal Anderson for 13 yards 15 6 1.47 2.32 11.6
3 3:19 1 10 DEN 49 Chris Chandler pass complete to Terance Mathis for 13 yards 15 6 2.32 3.18 13.8
3 2:49 1 10 DEN 36 Jamal Anderson for 15 yards 15 6 3.18 4.17 16.8
3 2:19 1 10 DEN 21 Chris Chandler pass incomplete is intercepted by Darrien Gordon at DEN-18 and returned for 58 yards 15 6 4.17 -3.97 1.8
3 1:46 1 10 ATL 24 Terrell Davis for 4 yards 15 6 3.97 3.97 1.7
3 1:20 2 6 ATL 20 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Ed McCaffrey 15 6 3.97 3.27 2.1
3 15:54 3 6 ATL 20 John Elway pass complete to Ed McCaffrey for 15 yards 15 6 3.27 6.06 2.5
3 15:28 1 5 ATL 5 Howard Griffith for 4 yards 15 6 6.06 5.91 2.6
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail DEN ATL EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 2 1 ATL 1 Howard Griffith for 1 yard, touchdown 21 6 5.91 7 0.6
4 14:56 -- 21 6 0 0.94 0.9
4 14:29 1 10 ATL 30 Chris Chandler pass complete to O.J. Santiago for 13 yards 21 6 0.94 1.8 1.2
4 14:02 1 10 ATL 43 Jamal Anderson for 15 yards 21 6 1.8 2.79 1.6
4 13:35 1 10 DEN 42 Chris Chandler pass complete to Tony Martin for 16 yards 21 6 2.79 3.84 2.3
4 13:08 1 10 DEN 26 Chris Chandler pass incomplete is intercepted by Darrien Gordon at DEN-2 and returned for 50 yards 21 6 3.84 -2.39 0.1
4 12:37 1 10 ATL 48 John Elway pass complete to Terrell Davis for 39 yards 21 6 2.39 5.14 0.0
4 12:12 1 9 ATL 9 Derek Loville for 6 yards 21 6 5.14 5.53 0.0
4 11:47 2 3 ATL 3 John Elway for 3 yards, touchdown 27 6 5.53 7 0.0
4 11:20 -- 27 13 0 7 0.4
4 11:01 -- 27 13 0 1.99 0.1
4 10:32 1 10 DEN 46 Terrell Davis for 4 yards 27 13 1.99 1.99 0.1
4 10:03 2 6 DEN 50 Terrell Davis for 1 yard 27 13 1.99 1.42 0.1
4 9:34 3 5 ATL 49 John Elway pass complete to Ed McCaffrey for 25 yards 27 13 1.42 3.97 0.0
4 9:05 1 10 ATL 24 Terrell Davis for 4 yards 27 13 3.97 3.97 0.0
4 8:36 2 6 ATL 20 Terrell Davis for 2 yards 27 13 3.97 3.57 0.0
4 8:07 3 4 ATL 18 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Willie Green 27 13 3.57 2.32 0.0
4 7:38 4 4 ATL 18 Jason Elam 37 yard field goal good 30 13 2.32 3 0.0
4 7:08 -- 30 13 0 0.54 0.0
4 6:51 1 10 ATL 24 Chris Chandler pass incomplete 30 13 0.54 -0 0.0
4 6:34 2 10 ATL 24 Chris Chandler for 6 yards 30 13 -0 0.1 0.0
4 6:17 3 4 ATL 30 Chris Chandler pass complete to Tony Martin for 17 yards 30 13 0.1 2.06 0.0
4 6:00 1 10 ATL 47 Chris Chandler pass incomplete 30 13 2.06 1.52 0.0
4 5:43 2 10 ATL 47 Chris Chandler pass complete to Jamal Anderson for 4 yards 30 13 1.52 1.36 0.0
4 5:26 3 6 DEN 49 Chris Chandler pass complete to Terance Mathis for 9 yards 30 13 1.36 2.92 0.0
4 5:09 1 10 DEN 40 Chris Chandler pass complete to Jamal Anderson for 2 yards 30 13 2.92 2.64 0.0
4 4:52 2 8 DEN 38 Chris Chandler pass complete to Terance Mathis for 4 yards 30 13 2.64 2.48 0.0
4 4:35 3 4 DEN 34 Chris Chandler pass incomplete intended for Tim Dwight 30 13 2.48 1.08 0.0
4 4:18 4 4 DEN 34 Chris Chandler pass complete to Terance Mathis for 10 yards 30 13 1.08 3.97 0.0
4 4:01 1 10 DEN 24 Chris Chandler pass complete to Ronnie Harris for 8 yards 30 13 3.97 4.65 0.0
4 3:44 2 2 DEN 16 Chris Chandler pass incomplete intended for Tim Dwight 30 13 4.65 3.95 0.0
4 3:27 3 2 DEN 16 Chris Chandler pass complete to Ronnie Harris for 13 yards 30 13 3.95 6.51 0.0
4 3:10 1 3 DEN 3 Chris Chandler pass incomplete intended for Tim Dwight 30 13 6.51 5.53 0.0
4 2:53 2 3 DEN 3 Chris Chandler pass incomplete intended for O.J. Santiago 30 13 5.53 4.72 0.0
4 2:36 3 3 DEN 3 Chris Chandler pass complete to Terance Mathis for 3 yards, touchdown 30 19 4.72 7 0.0
4 2:04 -- 30 19 0 3.12 0.0
4 2:00 1 10 ATL 37 Terrell Davis for no gain 30 19 3.12 2.57 0.0
4 1:53 2 10 ATL 37 Terrell Davis for 3 yards 30 19 2.57 2.28 0.0
4 1:46 3 7 ATL 34 Terrell Davis for 4 yards 30 19 2.28 1.48 0.0
4 1:40 4 3 ATL 30 John Elway pass incomplete 30 19 1.48 -0.94 0.0
4 1:34 1 10 ATL 30 Jamal Anderson for 3 yards 30 19 0.94 -3.71 0.0
4 1:23 1 10 ATL 28 John Elway for -1 yards 30 19 3.71 2.9 0.0
4 0:37 2 12 ATL 30 Bubby Brister for -1 yards 30 19 2.9 2.08 0.0
End of Regulation30192.080
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).