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Buffalo Bills 23 at Miami Dolphins 21

Sunday, October 20, 2013
1234Final
Buffalo Bills (6-10-0)1430623
Miami Dolphins (8-8-0)0147021

Game Info
Stadium Sun Life Stadium
Start Time (ET) 1:02pm
Roof outdoors
Surface grass
Duration 3:09
Attendance 60,592
Weather 87 degrees relative humidity 57%, wind 5 mph
Vegas Line Miami Dolphins -6.5
Over/Under 43.5 (over)
Officials
Referee Gene Steratore
Umpire Bill Schuster
Head Linesman Wayne Mackie
Field Judge Bob Waggoner
Back Judge Dino Paganelli
Side Judge Mike Weatherford
Line Judge Jeff Seeman

Expected Points Summary

Expected points are an estimate of points per play based on down, distance, and yard line. Points given for offense and defense are offensive/defensive plays + penalties on which there was no play (eg, a false start). Special teams are all kicking + punting plays. Points are zeroed out at the end of halves.

Win Probability

Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Pass Targets

Buffalo Bills
Deep Left (1/3, 30 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
T.J. Graham 1 1 30 0
Steve Johnson 1 0 0 0
Robert Woods 1 0 0 0
Deep Middle (0/0, 0 yards)Deep Right (0/1, 0 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 1 0 0 0
Short Left (8/9, 62 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Fred Jackson 2 2 25 0
Steve Johnson 4 3 29 0
C.J. Spiller 2 2 1 0
Robert Woods 1 1 7 0
Short Middle (4/7, 31 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
T.J. Graham 1 1 6 0
Fred Jackson 2 1 8 0
Steve Johnson 2 0 0 0
Robert Woods 2 2 17 0
Short Right (8/12, 79 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 2 2 18 0
Tashard Choice 1 0 0
Fred Jackson 1 1 16 0
Steve Johnson 6 3 32 0
Lee Smith 1 1 18 0
C.J. Spiller 1 1 -5 0
Miami Dolphins
Deep Left (2/6, 35 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Brandon Gibson 1 1 16 0
Brian Hartline 5 1 19 0
Deep Middle (0/0, 0 yards)Deep Right (2/4, 64 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Brandon Gibson 1 0 0 0
Mike Wallace 3 2 64 0
Short Left (6/10, 61 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Brandon Gibson 1 0 0 0
Brian Hartline 5 5 50 0
Rishard Matthews 1 0 0
Lamar Miller 1 0 0 0
Mike Wallace 2 1 11 0
Short Middle (2/4, 20 yards, 1 TD)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Brandon Gibson 2 1 13 1
Lamar Miller 1 0 0 0
Mike Wallace 1 1 7 0
Short Right (7/13, 14 yards, 2 TD)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Charles Clay 3 1 7 1
Brandon Gibson 3 3 11 1
Brian Hartline 1 0 0 0
Lamar Miller 1 1 4 0
Daniel Thomas 1 1 -2 0
Mike Wallace 4 1 -6 0

Rushing

Buffalo Bills
LE (1 rush, 4 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Thaddeus Lewis 1 4 0
LT (3 rushes, -1 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Tashard Choice 1 -2 0
Fred Jackson 1 0 0
C.J. Spiller 1 1 0
LG (5 rushes, 9 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Tashard Choice 2 5 0
Fred Jackson 1 1 0
C.J. Spiller 2 3 0
MD (9 rushes, 26 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Tashard Choice 1 3 0
Fred Jackson 4 14 0
Thaddeus Lewis 2 10 0
C.J. Spiller 1 1 0
Frank Summers 1 -2 0
RG (3 rushes, 7 yards, 1 TD)
Player Att Yds TD
Fred Jackson 3 7 1
RT (5 rushes, 40 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Tashard Choice 2 10 0
Fred Jackson 2 14 0
Frank Summers 1 16 0
RE (0 rushes, 0 yards)
Miami Dolphins
LE (4 rushes, 16 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Lamar Miller 2 -2 0
Daniel Thomas 1 6 0
Mike Wallace 1 12 0
LT (5 rushes, 10 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Lamar Miller 1 3 0
Ryan Tannehill 1 3 0
Daniel Thomas 3 4 0
LG (1 rush, 3 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Daniel Thomas 1 3 0
MD (7 rushes, 47 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Lamar Miller 4 39 0
Ryan Tannehill 2 2 0
Daniel Thomas 1 6 0
RG (4 rushes, 20 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Lamar Miller 1 1 0
Daniel Thomas 3 19 0
RT (2 rushes, 4 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Lamar Miller 1 2 0
Daniel Thomas 1 2 0
RE (2 rushes, 20 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Daniel Thomas 2 20 0

Pass Tackles

Buffalo Bills
Deep Left Deep MiddleDeep Right
Short Left Short Middle
Player
Aaron Williams 1
Short Right
Miami Dolphins
Deep Left Deep MiddleDeep Right
Short Left Short Middle Short Right

Buffalo Bills Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 12:00 BUF 16 6 2:26 12 Punt View Drive »
2 1 8:22 MIA 44 6 2:35 44 Touchdown View Drive »
3 1 2:30 BUF 2 6 3:08 28 Punt View Drive »
4 2 10:59 BUF 20 3 1:28 8 Punt View Drive »
5 2 8:01 BUF 17 2 1:02 2 Interception View Drive »
6 2 5:50 BUF 41 8 2:36 38 Field Goal View Drive »
7 2 1:47 BUF 23 3 0:22 8 Punt View Drive »
8 2 0:21 BUF 20 1 0:21 -1 End of Half View Drive »
9 3 15:00 BUF 20 3 1:31 9 Punt View Drive »
10 3 6:46 BUF 26 15 7:30 72 Field Goal View Drive »
11 4 13:22 BUF 28 6 2:55 22 Punt View Drive »
12 4 5:42 BUF 7 3 2:03 2 Punt View Drive »
13 4 2:48 MIA 34 7 2:15 21 Field Goal View Drive »

Miami Dolphins Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 15:00 MIA 16 3 1:33 4 Interception View Drive »
2 1 13:27 MIA 20 3 1:27 8 Punt View Drive »
3 1 9:34 MIA 7 3 1:12 -2 Punt View Drive »
4 1 5:47 MIA 20 8 3:17 63 Interception View Drive »
5 2 14:22 MIA 38 6 3:23 62 Touchdown View Drive »
6 2 9:31 MIA 29 3 1:30 7 Punt View Drive »
7 2 6:59 BUF 31 4 1:09 -2 Missed FG View Drive »
8 2 3:14 MIA 20 3 1:27 -1 Punt View Drive »
9 2 1:25 MIA 25 5 1:04 75 Touchdown View Drive »
10 3 13:29 MIA 34 11 6:43 66 Touchdown View Drive »
11 4 14:16 MIA 20 3 0:54 7 Punt View Drive »
12 4 10:27 MIA 20 7 4:45 30 Punt View Drive »
13 4 3:39 MIA 48 2 0:51 -14 Fumble View Drive »
14 4 0:33 MIA 46 4 0:33 0 Downs View Drive »

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail BUF MIA EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 64 yards, returned by Marcus Thigpen for 15 yards (tackle by Marcus Easley) 0 0 0 0.14 68.2
1 14:55 1 10 MIA 16 Daniel Thomas right guard for 5 yards (tackle by Arthur Moats) 0 0 -0.14 0.15 68.9
1 14:19 2 5 MIA 21 Penalty on Jonathan Martin: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 0 0 0.15 -0.66 66.7
1 13:58 2 10 MIA 16 Daniel Thomas right end for 4 yards (tackle by Marcell Dareus) 0 0 -0.66 -0.82 66.2
1 13:32 3 6 MIA 20 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short left intended for Brandon Gibson is intercepted by Nickell Robey at MIA-19 and returned for 19 yards, touchdown 6 0 -0.82 -7 51.0
1 13:27 MIA 20 Dan Carpenter kicks extra point good 7 0 0 0 48.0
1 13:27 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 74 yards, touchback 7 0 0 -0.28 48.8
1 13:27 1 10 MIA 20 Daniel Thomas left end for 6 yards (tackle by Manny Lawson) 7 0 0.28 0.54 49.6
1 12:53 2 4 MIA 26 Lamar Miller up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Marcell Dareus and Corbin Bryant) 7 0 0.54 0.1 48.1
1 12:19 3 2 MIA 28 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short right intended for Charles Clay 7 0 0.1 -1.5 43.1
1 12:12 4 2 MIA 28 Brandon Fields punts 46 yards, returned by Leodis McKelvin for no gain. Penalty on Chris Hogan: Offensive Holding, 10 yards 7 0 -1.5 0.14 48.0
1 12:00 1 10 BUF 16 Thaddeus Lewis sacked by Olivier Vernon for -5 yards 7 0 -0.14 -1.15 51.0
1 11:27 2 15 BUF 11 Thaddeus Lewis pass incomplete short right intended for Steve Johnson 7 0 -1.15 -2.01 53.4
1 11:23 3 15 BUF 11 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short left to Fred Jackson for 21 yards (tackle by Nolan Carroll) 7 0 -2.01 1.07 44.0
1 11:02 1 10 BUF 32 C.J. Spiller left guard for 1 yard (tackle by Paul Soliai and Koa Misi) 7 0 1.07 0.66 45.1
1 10:31 2 9 BUF 33 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short right to C.J. Spiller for -5 yards (tackle by Jared Odrick) 7 0 0.66 -0.69 49.1
1 9:53 3 14 BUF 28 Thaddeus Lewis pass incomplete short right intended for Tashard Choice 7 0 -0.69 -1.5 51.4
1 9:48 4 14 BUF 28 Brian Moorman punts 62 yards, returned by Marcus Thigpen for 4 yards (tackle by Marcus Easley). Penalty on R.J. Stanford: Offensive Holding, 7 yards 7 0 -1.5 0.38 45.5
1 9:34 1 10 MIA 7 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short left intended for Mike Wallace 7 0 -0.38 -0.78 44.2
1 9:29 2 10 MIA 7 Lamar Miller left tackle for 3 yards (tackle by Arthur Moats) 7 0 -0.78 -1.07 43.3
1 8:52 3 7 MIA 10 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short right intended for Brian Hartline 7 0 -1.07 -2.49 38.7
1 8:47 4 7 MIA 10 Brandon Fields punts 74 yards. Penalty on Don Jones: Illegal Touch Kick, 5 yards (no play) 7 0 -2.49 -2.49 38.7
1 8:26 4 12 MIA 5 Brandon Fields punts 53 yards, returned by Leodis McKelvin for 14 yards (tackle by Jason Trusnik) 7 0 -2.49 -2.65 38.1
1 8:22 1 10 MIA 44 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short right to Lee Smith for 18 yards (tackle by Jason Trusnik) 7 0 2.65 3.84 34.5
1 7:46 1 10 MIA 26 C.J. Spiller for 11 yards (tackle by Chris Clemons) 7 0 3.84 4.58 32.1
1 7:20 1 10 MIA 15 Tashard Choice up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Randy Starks and Philip Wheeler) 7 0 4.58 4.45 32.3
1 6:53 2 7 MIA 12 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short right to Scott Chandler for 6 yards (tackle by Reshad Jones and Brent Grimes) 7 0 4.45 4.9 30.8
1 6:25 3 1 MIA 6 Tashard Choice left guard for 3 yards (tackle by Philip Wheeler) 7 0 4.9 6.51 26.2
1 5:52 1 3 MIA 3 Fred Jackson right guard for 3 yards, touchdown 13 0 6.51 7 27.3
1 5:52 MIA 3 Dan Carpenter kicks extra point good 14 0 0 0 24.7
1 5:52 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 71 yards, touchback 14 0 0 -0.28 25.4
1 5:47 1 10 MIA 20 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short right intended for Mike Wallace 14 0 0.28 -0.27 23.9
1 5:42 2 10 MIA 20 Ryan Tannehill pass complete deep right to Mike Wallace for 18 yards (tackle by Jay Ross) 14 0 -0.27 1.47 28.5
1 5:03 1 10 MIA 38 Daniel Thomas right guard for 9 yards (tackle by Jairus Byrd) 14 0 1.47 2.14 30.0
1 4:20 2 1 MIA 47 Daniel Thomas left tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Arthur Moats) 14 0 2.14 2.19 29.8
1 3:47 1 10 MIA 49 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short left to Brian Hartline for 14 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams). Penalty on Kiko Alonso: Personal Foul, 15 yards 14 0 2.19 4.11 35.2
1 3:23 1 10 BUF 22 Daniel Thomas right guard for 5 yards (tackle by Jairus Byrd) 14 0 4.11 4.29 35.6
1 2:45 2 5 BUF 17 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short middle intended for Brandon Gibson (defended by Nickell Robey) 14 0 4.29 3.56 33.0
1 2:37 3 5 BUF 17 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete deep left intended for Brian Hartline is intercepted by Aaron Williams at BUF--1 and returned for 3 yards (tackle by Brian Hartline) 14 0 3.56 0.38 24.0
1 2:30 1 10 BUF 2 Fred Jackson left guard for 1 yard (tackle by Jason Trusnik) 14 0 -0.38 -0.71 24.8
1 2:06 2 9 BUF 3 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short left to Robert Woods for 7 yards (tackle by Nolan Carroll) 14 0 -0.71 -0.48 24.0
1 1:28 3 2 BUF 10 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short right to Steve Johnson for 14 yards (tackle by Reshad Jones) 14 0 -0.48 0.54 21.1
1 0:57 1 10 BUF 24 C.J. Spiller for -5 yards (tackle by Olivier Vernon) 14 0 0.54 -0.74 24.1
1 0:30 2 15 BUF 19 Thaddeus Lewis for no gain. Thaddeus Lewis fumbles, recovered by Tashard Choice at BUF-14 14 0 -0.74 -2.45 28.6
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail BUF MIA EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 3 20 BUF 14 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short right to Fred Jackson for 16 yards (tackle by Philip Wheeler) 14 0 -2.45 -1.37 25.3
2 14:33 4 4 BUF 30 Brian Moorman punts 39 yards, returned by Marcus Thigpen for 7 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham) 14 0 -1.37 -1.47 25.3
2 14:22 1 10 MIA 38 Lamar Miller up the middle for 30 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 14 0 1.47 3.45 31.0
2 13:46 1 10 BUF 32 Mike Wallace left end for 12 yards (tackle by Stephon Gilmore) 14 0 3.45 4.24 33.1
2 13:03 1 10 BUF 20 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short left to Brian Hartline for 7 yards (tackle by Stephon Gilmore) 14 0 4.24 4.83 34.6
2 12:25 2 3 BUF 13 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short right to Lamar Miller for 4 yards (tackle by Manny Lawson) 14 0 4.83 5.14 35.3
2 11:46 1 9 BUF 9 Ryan Tannehill up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Kyle Williams) 14 0 5.14 4.76 33.7
2 11:07 2 7 BUF 7 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short right to Charles Clay for 7 yards, touchdown 14 6 4.76 7 37.5
2 11:07 BUF 7 Caleb Sturgis kicks extra point good 14 7 0 0 41.0
2 11:07 MIA 35 Caleb Sturgis kicks off 68 yards, returned by Marquise Goodwin for 23 yards (tackle by Jonathan Freeny) 14 7 0 -0.28 40.0
2 10:54 1 10 BUF 20 C.J. Spiller left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Olivier Vernon) 14 7 0.28 0 40.9
2 10:22 2 8 BUF 22 Thaddeus Lewis pass incomplete deep left intended for Steve Johnson 14 7 0 -0.69 43.0
2 10:16 3 8 BUF 22 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short middle to T.J. Graham for 6 yards (tackle by Reshad Jones) 14 7 -0.69 -1.5 45.9
2 9:40 4 2 BUF 28 Brian Moorman punts 43 yards, fair catch by Marcus Thigpen 14 7 -1.5 -0.87 43.4
2 9:31 1 10 MIA 29 Daniel Thomas left tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Marcell Dareus) 14 7 0.87 0.6 42.3
2 8:58 2 8 MIA 31 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short left to Brian Hartline for 5 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 14 7 0.6 0.56 41.9
2 8:14 3 3 MIA 36 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short left intended for Lamar Miller 14 7 0.56 -0.98 36.1
2 8:09 4 3 MIA 36 Brandon Fields punts 47 yards, fair catch by Leodis McKelvin 14 7 -0.98 0.06 39.7
2 8:01 1 10 BUF 17 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short left to C.J. Spiller for 6 yards (tackle by Brent Grimes). Penalty on Doug Legursky: Offensive Holding, 8 yards (no play) 14 7 -0.06 -0.68 41.9
2 7:46 1 18 BUF 9 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short right to Steve Johnson for 10 yards (tackle by Jelani Jenkins) 14 7 -0.68 -0.25 40.2
2 7:07 2 8 BUF 19 Thaddeus Lewis pass incomplete short middle intended for Steve Johnson is intercepted by Chris Clemons at BUF-31 14 7 -0.25 -3.51 52.0
2 6:59 1 10 BUF 31 Lamar Miller right tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Jairus Byrd) 14 7 3.51 3.24 50.9
2 6:27 2 8 BUF 29 Lamar Miller left end for -4 yards (tackle by Mario Williams) 14 7 3.24 2.02 46.1
2 5:59 3 12 BUF 33 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short middle intended for Lamar Miller 14 7 2.02 1.15 42.6
2 5:55 4 12 BUF 33 Caleb Sturgis 51 yard field goal no good 14 7 1.15 -1.66 32.4
2 5:50 1 10 BUF 41 Frank Summers right tackle for 16 yards (tackle by Jelani Jenkins) 14 7 1.66 2.72 28.7
2 5:17 1 10 MIA 43 Frank Summers up the middle for -2 yards (tackle by Derrick Shelby and Randy Starks) 14 7 2.72 1.91 31.1
2 4:42 2 12 MIA 45 Thaddeus Lewis pass incomplete short right intended for Steve Johnson 14 7 1.91 1.22 33.2
2 4:38 3 12 MIA 45 Penalty on T.J. Graham: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 14 7 1.22 0.56 35.5
2 4:38 3 17 50 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete deep left to T.J. Graham for 30 yards (tackle by Dimitri Patterson). Penalty on Olivier Vernon: Defensive Offside (Declined) 14 7 0.56 4.24 23.2
2 4:26 1 10 MIA 20 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short left to Fred Jackson for 4 yards (tackle by Reshad Jones) 14 7 4.24 4.28 23.0
2 3:56 2 6 MIA 16 Thaddeus Lewis pass incomplete short right intended for Steve Johnson 14 7 4.28 3.52 25.0
2 3:51 3 6 MIA 16 Thaddeus Lewis sacked by Randy Starks for -6 yards. Thaddeus Lewis fumbles (forced by Randy Starks), recovered by Thaddeus Lewis at MIA-21 14 7 3.52 2.06 29.7
2 3:19 4 11 MIA 21 Dan Carpenter 39 yard field goal good 17 7 2.06 3 26.2
2 3:19 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 74 yards, touchback 17 7 0 -0.28 27.1
2 3:14 1 10 MIA 20 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short right to Brandon Gibson for 5 yards (tackle by Nickell Robey) 17 7 0.28 0.41 27.5
2 2:51 2 5 MIA 25 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short right intended for Mike Wallace 17 7 0.41 -0.3 24.9
2 2:46 3 5 MIA 25 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short right to Mike Wallace for -6 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin) 17 7 -0.3 -2.14 19.4
2 2:00 4 11 MIA 19 Brandon Fields punts 58 yards 17 7 -2.14 -0.48 23.8
2 1:47 1 10 BUF 23 Thaddeus Lewis pass incomplete short left intended for Steve Johnson 17 7 0.48 -0.07 25.4
2 1:44 2 10 BUF 23 Thaddeus Lewis pass incomplete short middle intended for Fred Jackson 17 7 -0.07 -0.76 27.7
2 1:40 3 10 BUF 23 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short middle to Fred Jackson for 8 yards (tackle by Jelani Jenkins) 17 7 -0.76 -1.31 29.5
2 1:34 3 10 BUF 23 Timeout #1 by Miami Dolphins 17 7 0 0
2 1:34 4 2 BUF 31 Brian Moorman punts 44 yards, returned by Marcus Thigpen for no gain 17 7 -1.31 -0.61 27.1
2 1:25 1 10 MIA 25 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete deep left intended for Brian Hartline. Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was overturned. Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete deep left intended for Brian Hartline 17 7 0.61 0.06 25.1
2 1:21 2 10 MIA 25 Ryan Tannehill pass complete deep right to Mike Wallace for 46 yards (tackle by Stephon Gilmore) 17 7 0.06 3.64 38.0
2 0:43 1 10 BUF 29 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short right intended for Charles Clay 17 7 3.64 3.1 35.5
2 0:38 2 10 BUF 29 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short middle intended for Michael Egnew. Penalty on Jonathan Martin: Offensive Holding (Offsetting), Penalty on Aaron Williams: Illegal Contact (Offsetting) (no play) 17 7 3.1 3.1 35.5
2 0:34 2 10 BUF 29 Ryan Tannehill pass complete deep left to Brandon Gibson for 16 yards. Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was upheld. 17 7 3.1 4.71 41.8
2 0:28 1 10 BUF 13 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short middle to Brandon Gibson for 13 yards, touchdown 17 13 4.71 7 47.1
2 0:28 BUF 13 Caleb Sturgis kicks extra point good 17 14 0 0 51.2
2 0:28 MIA 35 Caleb Sturgis kicks off 65 yards, touchback 17 14 0 -0.28 50.1
2 0:21 1 10 BUF 20 Thaddeus Lewis kneels for -1 yards 17 14 0.28 -0.46 51.2
End of Half1714-0.460
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail BUF MIA EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 MIA 35 Caleb Sturgis kicks off no gain, touchback 17 14 0 0.28 49.9
3 15:00 1 10 BUF 20 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Jason Trusnik) 17 14 0.28 -0.13 51.6
3 14:29 2 9 BUF 21 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short left to C.J. Spiller for no gain 17 14 -0.13 -0.82 54.3
3 13:49 3 9 BUF 21 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short right to Steve Johnson for 8 yards (tackle by Dimitri Patterson) 17 14 -0.82 -1.44 56.6
3 13:36 4 1 BUF 29 Brian Moorman punts 37 yards, out of bounds 17 14 -1.44 -1.2 55.6
3 13:29 1 10 MIA 34 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short left to Brian Hartline for 15 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 17 14 1.2 2.19 59.7
3 12:35 1 10 MIA 49 Daniel Thomas up the middle for 6 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 17 14 2.19 2.46 60.6
3 12:11 2 4 BUF 45 Daniel Thomas left guard for 3 yards (tackle by Marcell Dareus and Kiko Alonso) 17 14 2.46 2.15 59.1
3 11:33 3 1 BUF 42 Daniel Thomas right end for 16 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin) 17 14 2.15 3.84 66.1
3 10:51 1 10 BUF 26 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short left to Mike Wallace for 11 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 17 14 3.84 4.58 69.0
3 10:17 1 10 BUF 15 Lamar Miller up the middle for 6 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 17 14 4.58 5.03 70.7
3 9:41 2 4 BUF 9 Ryan Tannehill left tackle for 3 yards (tackle by Kiko Alonso) 17 14 5.03 4.9 70.2
3 9:00 3 1 BUF 6 Lamar Miller left end for 2 yards (tackle by Nickell Robey) 17 14 4.9 6.28 75.5
3 8:16 1 4 BUF 4 Ryan Tannehill up the middle for no gain (tackle by Marcell Dareus) 17 14 6.28 5.34 71.9
3 7:36 2 4 BUF 4 Daniel Thomas left tackle for no gain (tackle by Kiko Alonso) 17 14 5.34 4.49 68.3
3 6:53 3 4 BUF 4 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short right to Brandon Gibson for 4 yards, touchdown 17 20 4.49 7 74.5
3 6:53 BUF 4 Caleb Sturgis kicks extra point good 17 21 0 0 78.3
3 6:53 MIA 35 Caleb Sturgis kicks off 65 yards, returned by Marquise Goodwin for 26 yards (tackle by Austin Spitler) 17 21 0 -0.67 75.8
3 6:40 1 10 BUF 26 Fred Jackson right tackle for 4 yards (tackle by Derrick Shelby) 17 21 0.67 0.67 75.8
3 6:05 2 6 BUF 30 Fred Jackson right guard for -1 yards (tackle by Jason Trusnik) 17 21 0.67 -0.16 79.0
3 5:24 3 7 BUF 29 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short left to Steve Johnson for 7 yards (tackle by Reshad Jones) 17 21 -0.16 1.33 73.3
3 4:48 1 10 BUF 36 Thaddeus Lewis up the middle for 8 yards (tackle by Reshad Jones) 17 21 1.33 1.87 71.0
3 4:16 2 2 BUF 44 Thaddeus Lewis sacked by Reshad Jones for -9 yards 17 21 1.87 -0.03 78.8
3 3:43 3 11 BUF 35 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short left to Steve Johnson for 17 yards (tackle by Jimmy Wilson). Penalty on Jelani Jenkins: Roughing the Passer, 15 yards 17 21 -0.03 3.38 63.7
3 3:27 1 10 MIA 33 Fred Jackson up the middle for 6 yards (tackle by Jared Odrick) 17 21 3.38 3.65 62.3
3 2:48 2 4 MIA 27 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short middle to Robert Woods for 11 yards (tackle by Brent Grimes) 17 21 3.65 4.51 57.7
3 2:20 1 10 MIA 16 Thaddeus Lewis left end for 4 yards (tackle by Philip Wheeler) 17 21 4.51 4.57 57.2
3 1:44 2 6 MIA 12 Tashard Choice right tackle for 5 yards (tackle by Jason Trusnik) 17 21 4.57 4.85 55.4
3 1:05 3 1 MIA 7 Fred Jackson up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Randy Starks) 17 21 4.85 6.28 46.9
3 0:26 1 4 MIA 4 Fred Jackson left tackle for no gain (tackle by Philip Wheeler) 17 21 6.28 5.34 51.9
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail BUF MIA EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 2 4 MIA 4 Thaddeus Lewis pass incomplete short middle intended for Steve Johnson 17 21 5.34 4.49 56.7
4 14:58 3 4 MIA 4 Thaddeus Lewis up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Derrick Shelby and Philip Wheeler) 17 21 4.49 3.25 63.8
4 14:20 4 2 MIA 2 Dan Carpenter 20 yard field goal good 20 21 3.25 3 65.1
4 14:20 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 74 yards, touchback 20 21 0 -0.28 66.6
4 14:16 1 10 MIA 20 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete deep right intended for Mike Wallace 20 21 0.28 -0.27 63.5
4 14:11 2 10 MIA 20 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short left intended for Rishard Matthews (defended by Nickell Robey) 20 21 -0.27 -0.96 59.5
4 14:07 3 10 MIA 20 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short middle to Mike Wallace for 7 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 20 21 -0.96 -1.57 55.8
4 13:29 4 3 MIA 27 Brandon Fields punts 35 yards, out of bounds. Penalty on Jamaal Westerman: Offensive Holding, 10 yards 20 21 -1.57 -0.81 60.2
4 13:22 1 10 BUF 28 Thaddeus Lewis pass incomplete deep left intended for Robert Woods 20 21 0.81 0.26 63.4
4 13:16 2 10 BUF 28 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short left to C.J. Spiller for 1 yard (tackle by Jason Trusnik) 20 21 0.26 -0.3 66.7
4 12:34 3 9 BUF 29 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short right to Scott Chandler for 12 yards (tackle by Philip Wheeler) 20 21 -0.3 1.66 54.5
4 11:59 1 10 BUF 41 Fred Jackson up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Reshad Jones) 20 21 1.66 1.66 54.2
4 11:26 2 6 BUF 45 Thaddeus Lewis pass incomplete deep right intended for Scott Chandler (defended by Koa Misi) 20 21 1.66 0.96 58.6
4 11:18 3 6 BUF 45 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short left to Steve Johnson for 5 yards (tackle by Nolan Carroll) 20 21 0.96 -0.06 65.2
4 10:36 4 1 50 Brian Moorman punts 50 yards, touchback 20 21 -0.06 -0.28 66.6
4 10:27 1 10 MIA 20 Ryan Tannehill sacked by Nigel Bradham for -9 yards. Penalty on Stephon Gilmore: Defensive Holding, 5 yards (no play) 20 21 0.28 0.61 68.7
4 10:06 1 10 MIA 25 Lamar Miller up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Marcell Dareus) 20 21 0.61 0.2 66.1
4 9:32 2 9 MIA 26 Ryan Tannehill pass complete deep left to Brian Hartline for 19 yards (tackle by Stephon Gilmore and Jim Leonhard) 20 21 0.2 1.93 76.9
4 8:55 1 10 MIA 45 Lamar Miller right guard for 1 yard (tackle by Nigel Bradham) 20 21 1.93 1.52 74.8
4 8:14 2 9 MIA 46 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short left to Brian Hartline for 9 yards (tackle by Stephon Gilmore) 20 21 1.52 2.59 81.5
4 7:44 1 10 BUF 45 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short right to Brandon Gibson for 2 yards (tackle by Jairus Byrd) 20 21 2.59 2.31 80.4
4 7:02 2 8 BUF 43 Ryan Tannehill sacked by Mario Williams for -5 yards 20 21 2.31 0.96 72.2
4 6:27 3 13 BUF 48 Ryan Tannehill pass complete short right to Daniel Thomas for -2 yards (tackle by Kiko Alonso) 20 21 0.96 -0.06 64.4
4 5:48 4 15 50 Brandon Fields punts 43 yards, fair catch by Leodis McKelvin 20 21 -0.06 0.38 68.3
4 5:42 1 10 BUF 7 C.J. Spiller left tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Paul Soliai) 20 21 -0.38 -0.71 71.1
4 5:11 2 9 BUF 8 Thaddeus Lewis sacked by Dimitri Patterson for -5 yards 20 21 -0.71 -1.89 80.7
4 4:31 3 14 BUF 3 Thaddeus Lewis pass complete short middle to Robert Woods for 6 yards (tackle by Reshad Jones) 20 21 -1.89 -2.49 85.7
4 3:50 4 8 BUF 9 Brian Moorman punts 43 yards, returned by Marcus Thigpen for no gain 20 21 -2.49 -2.13 84.9
4 3:39 1 10 MIA 48 Daniel Thomas right tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Jerry Hughes) 20 21 2.13 1.85 83.3
4 2:57 2 8 50 Ryan Tannehill sacked by Mario Williams for -6 yards. Ryan Tannehill fumbles (forced by Mario Williams), recovered by Kyle Williams at MIA-34 (tackle by Mike Pouncey) 20 21 1.85 -3.31 25.5
4 2:48 1 10 MIA 34 Fred Jackson up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Chris Clemons) 20 21 3.31 2.91 29.3
4 2:42 1 10 MIA 34 Timeout #1 by Miami Dolphins 20 21 0 0
4 2:42 2 9 MIA 33 Fred Jackson right guard for 5 yards (tackle by Paul Soliai) 20 21 2.91 2.87 29.3
4 2:37 2 9 MIA 33 Timeout #2 by Miami Dolphins 20 21 0 0
4 2:37 3 4 MIA 28 Fred Jackson right tackle for 10 yards (tackle by Brent Grimes) 20 21 2.87 4.37 14.0
4 2:26 3 4 MIA 28 Timeout #3 by Miami Dolphins 20 21 0 0
4 2:26 1 10 MIA 18 Tashard Choice right tackle for 5 yards (tackle by Koa Misi) 20 21 4.37 4.61 11.2
4 2:00 2 5 MIA 13 Tashard Choice left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Derrick Shelby) 20 21 4.61 4.26 11.2
4 1:19 3 3 MIA 11 Tashard Choice left tackle for -2 yards (tackle by Philip Wheeler) 20 21 4.26 2.62 23.6
4 0:36 3 3 MIA 11 Timeout #1 by Buffalo Bills 20 21 0 0
4 0:36 4 5 MIA 13 Dan Carpenter 31 yard field goal good 23 21 2.62 3 8.9
4 0:36 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 63 yards 23 21 0 -1.99 51.5
4 0:23 4 5 MIA 13 Timeout #2 by Buffalo Bills 23 21 0 0
4 0:23 1 10 MIA 46 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete short right intended for Mike Wallace (defended by Leodis McKelvin) 23 21 1.99 1.45 33.5
4 0:19 2 10 MIA 46 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete deep left intended for Brian Hartline 23 21 1.45 0.76 13.8
4 0:13 3 10 MIA 46 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete deep left intended for Brian Hartline 23 21 0.76 -0.32 0.7
4 0:06 3 10 MIA 46 Timeout #3 by Buffalo Bills 23 21 0 0
4 0:06 4 10 MIA 46 Ryan Tannehill pass incomplete deep right intended for Brandon Gibson (defended by Stephon Gilmore) 23 21 -0.32 -1.99 0.2
End of Regulation2321-1.990
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).