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Carolina Panthers 10 at San Francisco 49ers 9

Sunday, November 10, 2013
1234Final
Carolina Panthers (12-4-0)070310
San Francisco 49ers (12-4-0)36009

Game Info
Stadium Candlestick Park
Start Time (ET) 4:05pm
Won Toss Panthers (deferred)
Roof outdoors
Surface grass
Duration 3:03
Attendance 69,732
Weather 62 degrees relative humidity 65%, wind 6 mph
Vegas Line San Francisco 49ers -5.5
Over/Under 43.0 (under)
Officials
Referee Carl Cheffers
Umpire Undrey Wash
Head Linesman Kent Payne
Field Judge Jeff Lamberth
Back Judge Todd Prukop
Side Judge Laird Hayes
Line Judge Thomas Symonette

Expected Points Summary

Expected points are an estimate of points per play based on down, distance, and yard line. Points given for offense and defense are offensive/defensive plays + penalties on which there was no play (eg, a false start). Special teams are all kicking + punting plays. Points are zeroed out at the end of halves.

Win Probability

Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense

Kick/Punt Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

49ers Snap Counts

Off. Def. ST
Pos Num Pct Num Pct Num Pct
Anthony Davis T 53 100% 0 0% 3 11%
Joe Staley T 53 100% 0 0% 3 11%
Alex Boone G 53 100% 0 0% 3 11%
Mike Iupati G 53 100% 0 0% 3 11%
Jonathan Goodwin C 53 100% 0 0% 2 7%
Colin Kaepernick QB 53 100% 0 0% 0 0%
Anquan Boldin WR 47 89% 0 0% 0 0%
Vance McDonald TE 42 79% 0 0% 6 22%
Mario Manningham WR 42 79% 0 0% 0 0%
Frank Gore RB 39 74% 0 0% 0 0%
Bruce Miller FB 31 58% 0 0% 12 44%
Vernon Davis TE 22 42% 0 0% 0 0%
Kyle Williams WR 20 38% 0 0% 0 0%
Kendall Hunter RB 11 21% 0 0% 3 11%
Adam Snyder G 5 9% 0 0% 3 11%
LaMichael James RB 3 6% 0 0% 7 26%
Jonathan Baldwin WR 3 6% 0 0% 0 0%
NaVorro Bowman LB 0 0% 66 100% 7 26%
Patrick Willis LB 0 0% 66 100% 3 11%
Donte Whitner SS 0 0% 66 100% 0 0%
Carlos Rogers CB 0 0% 66 100% 0 0%
Tarell Brown CB 0 0% 65 98% 3 11%
Ahmad Brooks LB 0 0% 63 95% 3 11%
Justin Smith DT 0 0% 54 82% 3 11%
Glenn Dorsey NT 0 0% 43 65% 3 11%
Dan Skuta LB 0 0% 41 62% 7 26%
Tony Jerod-Eddie NT 0 0% 39 59% 7 26%
Eric Reid FS 0 0% 37 56% 4 15%
Craig Dahl SS 0 0% 28 42% 18 67%
Demarcus Dobbs TE 0 0% 23 35% 20 74%
Tramaine Brock CB 0 0% 23 35% 10 37%
Ray McDonald DT 0 0% 18 27% 0 0%
Corey Lemonier LB 0 0% 15 23% 17 63%
Aldon Smith LB 0 0% 12 18% 0 0%
Perrish Cox CB 0 0% 1 2% 6 22%
C.J. Spillman FS 0 0% 0 0% 24 89%
Anthony Dixon RB 0 0% 0 0% 21 78%
Michael Wilhoite LB 0 0% 0 0% 21 78%
Raymond Ventrone SS 0 0% 0 0% 21 78%
Darryl Morris DB 0 0% 0 0% 18 67%
Kevin McDermott LS 0 0% 0 0% 10 37%
Andy Lee P 0 0% 0 0% 10 37%
Phil Dawson K 0 0% 0 0% 7 26%
Daniel Kilgore C 0 0% 0 0% 6 22%
Garrett Celek TE 0 0% 0 0% 2 7%

Panthers Snap Counts

Off. Def. ST
Pos Num Pct Num Pct Num Pct
Travelle Wharton G 66 100% 0 0% 3 11%
Byron Bell T 66 100% 0 0% 3 11%
Jordan Gross T 66 100% 0 0% 3 11%
Cam Newton QB 66 100% 0 0% 0 0%
Greg Olsen TE 66 100% 0 0% 0 0%
Ryan Kalil C 66 100% 0 0% 0 0%
Nate Chandler T 63 95% 0 0% 3 11%
Steve Smith WR 60 91% 0 0% 0 0%
Brandon LaFell WR 59 89% 0 0% 1 4%
Mike Tolbert FB 36 55% 0 0% 4 15%
Ben Hartsock TE 26 39% 0 0% 11 41%
Ted Ginn WR 26 39% 0 0% 10 37%
Jonathan Stewart RB 22 33% 0 0% 0 0%
DeAngelo Williams RB 19 29% 0 0% 0 0%
Domenik Hixon WR 8 12% 0 0% 0 0%
Richie Brockel TE 6 9% 0 0% 24 89%
Geoff Hangartner G 4 6% 0 0% 3 11%
Kenjon Barner RB 1 2% 0 0% 9 33%
Melvin White DB 0 0% 53 100% 10 37%
Michael Mitchell SS 0 0% 53 100% 5 19%
Luke Kuechly LB 0 0% 53 100% 3 11%
Captain Munnerlyn CB 0 0% 53 100% 3 11%
Thomas Davis LB 0 0% 53 100% 0 0%
Greg Hardy DE 0 0% 51 96% 3 11%
Charles Johnson DE 0 0% 51 96% 0 0%
Quintin Mikell FS 0 0% 32 60% 3 11%
A.J. Klein LB 0 0% 30 57% 15 56%
Dwan Edwards DT 0 0% 30 57% 3 11%
Star Lotulelei DT 0 0% 27 51% 3 11%
Robert Lester DB 0 0% 21 40% 11 41%
Drayton Florence CB 0 0% 21 40% 10 37%
Kawann Short DT 0 0% 21 40% 3 11%
Colin Cole DT 0 0% 17 32% 0 0%
Mario Addison DE 0 0% 10 19% 22 81%
Frank Alexander DE 0 0% 7 13% 3 11%
Jordan Senn LB 0 0% 0 0% 24 89%
Jason Williams LB 0 0% 0 0% 23 85%
Colin Jones FS 0 0% 0 0% 21 78%
Josh Thomas CB 0 0% 0 0% 21 78%
Brad Nortman P 0 0% 0 0% 10 37%
J.J. Jansen LS 0 0% 0 0% 10 37%
Chase Blackburn LB 0 0% 0 0% 7 26%
Graham Gano K 0 0% 0 0% 6 22%
Brian Folkerts C 0 0% 0 0% 4 15%

Pass Targets

Carolina Panthers
Deep Left (0/3, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Brandon LaFell 1 0 0 0
Greg Olsen 1 0 0 0
Steve Smith 1 0 0 0
Deep Middle (1/2, 19 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Steve Smith 2 1 19 0
Deep Right (0/1, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Steve Smith 1 0 0 0
Short Left (8/14, 61 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Ted Ginn 3 1 11 0
Brandon LaFell 3 2 15 0
Greg Olsen 1 0 0 0
Steve Smith 5 4 36 0
Mike Tolbert 1 1 -1 0
DeAngelo Williams 1 0 0 0
Short Middle (5/5, 73 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Domenik Hixon 1 1 9 0
Brandon LaFell 2 2 33 0
Greg Olsen 1 1 14 0
Mike Tolbert 1 1 17 0
Short Right (2/7, 16 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Ted Ginn 1 1 8 0
Brandon LaFell 2 0 0 0
Steve Smith 2 1 8 0
Mike Tolbert 1 0 0 0
DeAngelo Williams 1 0 0 0
San Francisco 49ers
Deep Left (0/1, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Kyle Williams 1 0 0 0
Deep Middle (0/1, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Vance McDonald 1 0 0 0
Deep Right (0/3, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Anquan Boldin 2 0 0 0
Mario Manningham 1 0 0 0
Short Left (7/10, 51 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Anquan Boldin 2 2 14 0
Vernon Davis 1 1 2 0
Mario Manningham 4 2 20 0
Vance McDonald 1 0 0 0
Bruce Miller 1 1 10 0
Kyle Williams 1 1 5 0
Short Middle (2/2, 21 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Frank Gore 2 2 21 0
Short Right (2/5, 19 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Anquan Boldin 1 1 9 0
Vernon Davis 1 0 0 0
Kendall Hunter 1 0 0
Mario Manningham 1 1 10 0
Bruce Miller 1 0 0 0

Rushing

Carolina Panthers
LE (1 rush, -1 yards)
Att Yds TD
DeAngelo Williams 1 -1 0
LT (3 rushes, 12 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 1 6 0
Jonathan Stewart 2 6 0
LG (3 rushes, 8 yards)
Att Yds TD
Jonathan Stewart 1 3 0
DeAngelo Williams 2 5 0
MD (10 rushes, 51 yards, 1 TD)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 1 -2 0
Jonathan Stewart 3 11 0
Mike Tolbert 2 7 0
DeAngelo Williams 4 35 1
RG (5 rushes, 21 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 1 3 0
Jonathan Stewart 3 11 0
DeAngelo Williams 1 7 0
RT (5 rushes, 17 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 2 7 0
Jonathan Stewart 3 10 0
RE (2 rushes, 2 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 1 2 0
Jonathan Stewart 1 0 0
San Francisco 49ers
LE (3 rushes, 0 yards)
Att Yds TD
Frank Gore 1 5 0
Colin Kaepernick 2 -5 0
LT (3 rushes, 16 yards)
Att Yds TD
Frank Gore 2 17 0
LaMichael James 1 -1 0
LG (7 rushes, 41 yards)
Att Yds TD
Frank Gore 6 30 0
Kendall Hunter 1 11 0
MD (4 rushes, 39 yards)
Att Yds TD
Frank Gore 2 18 0
Colin Kaepernick 2 21 0
RG (3 rushes, -1 yards)
Att Yds TD
Frank Gore 2 5 0
Kendall Hunter 1 -6 0
RT (3 rushes, 7 yards)
Att Yds TD
Frank Gore 3 7 0
RE (1 rush, 3 yards)
Att Yds TD
Kendall Hunter 1 3 0

Pass Tackles

Carolina Panthers
Deep LeftDeep MiddleDeep Right
Short Left Short Middle Short Right
San Francisco 49ers
Deep LeftDeep Middle Deep Right
Short Left Short Middle Short Right

Carolina Panthers Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 10:45 CAR 22 3 1:38 -11 Punt View Drive »
2 1 6:45 CAR 27 9 4:22 23 Punt View Drive »
3 2 13:34 CAR 20 3 1:01 7 Punt View Drive »
4 2 10:31 CAR 43 5 1:33 6 Interception View Drive »
5 2 6:16 CAR 20 8 4:24 80 Touchdown View Drive »
6 3 15:00 CAR 20 6 3:03 25 Punt View Drive »
7 3 9:25 CAR 11 11 5:44 59 Missed FG View Drive »
8 3 1:47 CAR 45 3 1:34 7 Punt View Drive »
9 4 13:35 SFO 44 7 3:30 9 Field Goal View Drive »
10 4 8:51 CAR 37 6 3:26 22 Punt View Drive »
11 4 2:27 CAR 32 6 1:25 14 Punt View Drive »
12 4 0:23 SFO 40 1 0:23 -1 End of Game View Drive »

San Francisco 49ers Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 15:00 SFO 20 9 4:15 46 Field Goal View Drive »
2 1 9:07 SFO 26 3 2:22 8 Punt View Drive »
3 1 2:23 SFO 24 3 2:06 6 Punt View Drive »
4 1 0:17 CAR 41 5 1:43 16 Field Goal View Drive »
5 2 12:33 SFO 32 3 2:02 -8 Punt View Drive »
6 2 8:58 CAR 24 5 2:42 17 Field Goal View Drive »
7 2 1:52 SFO 20 6 1:52 16 End of Half View Drive »
8 3 11:57 SFO 29 3 2:32 8 Punt View Drive »
9 3 3:41 SFO 38 3 1:54 17 Fumble View Drive »
10 3 0:13 SFO 13 4 1:38 12 Punt View Drive »
11 4 10:05 SFO 12 3 1:14 3 Punt View Drive »
12 4 5:25 SFO 1 6 2:58 11 Punt View Drive »
13 4 1:02 SFO 20 2 0:39 -6 Interception View Drive »

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CAR SFO EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off 73 yards, touchback 0 0 0 -0.28 66.6
1 15:00 1 10 SFO 20 Frank Gore middle for 1 yard (tackle by Star Lotulelei) 0 0 0.28 -0.13 65.5
1 14:18 2 9 SFO 21 Colin Kaepernick pass complete short left to Bruce Miller for 10 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 0 0 -0.13 1 68.5
1 13:43 1 10 SFO 31 Frank Gore left guard for 11 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 0 0 1 1.73 70.3
1 13:06 1 10 SFO 42 Colin Kaepernick pass incomplete deep right intended for Anquan Boldin (defended by Captain Munnerlyn) 0 0 1.73 1.19 68.9
1 13:01 1 10 SFO 42 Timeout #1 by San Francisco 49ers 0 0 0 0
1 13:01 2 10 SFO 42 Frank Gore middle for 17 yards (tackle by Quintin Mikell) 0 0 1.19 2.85 73.1
1 12:22 1 10 CAR 41 Frank Gore right tackle for 3 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 0 0 2.85 2.71 72.8
1 11:50 2 7 CAR 38 Colin Kaepernick pass complete short left to Anquan Boldin for 5 yards (tackle by Melvin White) 0 0 2.71 2.68 72.7
1 11:28 3 2 CAR 33 Frank Gore right tackle for -1 yards (tackle by Charles Johnson) 0 0 2.68 1.09 68.4
1 10:51 4 3 CAR 34 Phil Dawson 53 yard field goal good 0 3 1.09 3 73.4
1 10:51 SFO 35 Phil Dawson kicks off 66 yards, returned by Ted Ginn for 23 yards (tackle by Michael Wilhoite) 0 3 0 -0.41 72.4
1 10:39 1 10 CAR 22 Cam Newton pass incomplete short left intended for DeAngelo Williams (defended by Dan Skuta) 0 3 0.41 -0.13 73.7
1 10:34 2 10 CAR 22 DeAngelo Williams middle for 1 yard (tackle by Patrick Willis) 0 3 -0.13 -0.69 75.1
1 9:52 3 9 CAR 23 Cam Newton sacked by Ahmad Brooks for -12 yards 0 3 -0.69 -2.49 79.3
1 9:18 4 21 CAR 11 Brad Nortman punts 65 yards, returned by LaMichael James for 2 yards (tackle by Josh Thomas) 0 3 -2.49 -0.67 75.0
1 9:07 1 10 SFO 26 LaMichael James left tackle for -1 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 0 3 0.67 -0.01 73.3
1 8:26 2 11 SFO 25 Colin Kaepernick pass complete short right to Mario Manningham for 10 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn) 0 3 -0.01 0.63 74.9
1 7:40 3 1 SFO 35 Frank Gore left guard for -1 yards (tackle by A.J. Klein) 0 3 0.63 -1.11 70.3
1 6:59 4 2 SFO 34 Andy Lee punts 60 yards, returned by Ted Ginn for 21 yards (tackle by C.J. Spillman) 0 3 -1.11 -0.74 71.3
1 6:45 1 10 CAR 27 Mike Tolbert middle for 4 yards (tackle by Glenn Dorsey and Ahmad Brooks) 0 3 0.74 0.74 71.2
1 6:05 2 6 CAR 31 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Brandon LaFell for 5 yards (tackle by Tarell Brown) 0 3 0.74 0.7 71.3
1 5:37 3 1 CAR 36 Mike Tolbert middle for 3 yards (tackle by NaVorro Bowman) 0 3 0.7 1.53 68.9
1 4:55 1 10 CAR 39 Jonathan Stewart right guard for 6 yards (tackle by NaVorro Bowman) 0 3 1.53 1.8 68.1
1 4:16 2 4 CAR 45 Jonathan Stewart right end for no gain (tackle by Patrick Willis and Justin Smith) 0 3 1.8 1.09 70.1
1 3:33 3 4 CAR 45 Cam Newton right tackle for 5 yards (tackle by Ray McDonald) 0 3 1.09 2.26 66.6
1 2:50 1 10 50 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for DeAngelo Williams 0 3 2.26 1.71 68.2
1 2:45 2 10 50 Cam Newton pass incomplete short left intended for Greg Olsen 0 3 1.71 1.03 70.1
1 2:40 3 10 50 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep left intended for Steve Smith 0 3 1.03 -0.06 73.2
1 2:31 4 10 50 Brad Nortman punts 26 yards 0 3 -0.06 -0.54 74.5
1 2:23 1 10 SFO 24 Colin Kaepernick sacked by Dwan Edwards for -4 yards 0 3 0.54 -0.54 71.5
1 1:51 2 14 SFO 20 Frank Gore right tackle for 5 yards (tackle by Dwan Edwards) 0 3 -0.54 -0.56 71.4
1 1:06 3 9 SFO 25 Colin Kaepernick middle for 5 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 0 3 -0.56 -1.37 69.0
1 0:28 4 4 SFO 30 Andy Lee punts 22 yards, muffed catch by Drayton Florence, recovered by Eric Reid and returned for no gain 0 3 -1.37 2.85 80.4
1 0:17 1 10 CAR 41 Colin Kaepernick pass complete short middle to Frank Gore for 11 yards (tackle by A.J. Klein and Thomas Davis) 0 3 2.85 3.58 82.1
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CAR SFO EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 1 10 CAR 30 Frank Gore left guard for 3 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 0 3 3.58 3.44 81.8
2 14:21 2 7 CAR 27 Colin Kaepernick pass incomplete short left intended for Mario Manningham 0 3 3.44 2.74 80.2
2 14:14 3 7 CAR 27 Colin Kaepernick pass complete short left to Vernon Davis for 2 yards (tackle by Melvin White) 0 3 2.74 1.85 77.9
2 13:38 4 5 CAR 25 Phil Dawson 43 yard field goal good 0 6 1.85 3 80.8
2 13:38 SFO 35 Phil Dawson kicks off 65 yards, touchback 0 6 0 -0.28 80.1
2 13:34 1 10 CAR 20 Cam Newton pass incomplete short left intended for Steve Smith 0 6 0.28 -0.27 81.5
2 13:28 2 10 CAR 20 Jonathan Stewart middle for 7 yards (tackle by Justin Smith) 0 6 -0.27 -0.03 80.9
2 12:48 3 3 CAR 27 Cam Newton pass incomplete short left intended for Brandon LaFell (defended by Tarell Brown) 0 6 -0.03 -1.57 84.4
2 12:43 4 3 CAR 27 Brad Nortman punts 59 yards, returned by LaMichael James for 18 yards (tackle by Chase Blackburn) 0 6 -1.57 -1.07 83.3
2 12:33 1 10 SFO 32 Colin Kaepernick sacked by A.J. Klein for -14 yards. Penalty on Colin Kaepernick: Face Mask (15 Yards) (Declined) 0 6 1.07 -1.47 77.1
2 11:58 2 24 SFO 18 Frank Gore right guard for 1 yard (tackle by A.J. Klein) 0 6 -1.47 -2.01 75.7
2 11:21 3 23 SFO 19 Colin Kaepernick pass complete short left to Kyle Williams for 5 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis) 0 6 -2.01 -1.77 76.4
2 10:41 4 18 SFO 24 Andy Lee punts 52 yards, returned by Ted Ginn for 19 yards (tackle by Raymond Ventrone) 0 6 -1.77 -1.8 76.3
2 10:31 1 10 CAR 43 DeAngelo Williams left guard for 3 yards (tackle by Ray McDonald) 0 6 1.8 1.66 76.7
2 9:54 2 7 CAR 46 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Ted Ginn for 8 yards (tackle by Carlos Rogers) 0 6 1.66 2.52 74.2
2 9:19 1 10 SFO 46 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep left intended for Brandon LaFell (defended by Tarell Brown) 0 6 2.52 1.98 75.8
2 9:16 2 10 SFO 46 Penalty on Cam Newton: Delay of Game, 5 yards (no play) 0 6 1.98 1.3 77.7
2 9:15 2 15 CAR 49 Cam Newton pass incomplete short left intended for Ted Ginn 0 6 1.3 0.63 79.5
2 9:10 2 15 CAR 49 Timeout #1 by Carolina Panthers 0 6 0 0
2 9:10 3 15 CAR 49 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep right intended for Steve Smith is intercepted by Tramaine Brock at SFO-35 and returned for 41 yards 0 6 0.63 -3.97 89.4
2 8:58 1 10 CAR 24 Frank Gore left tackle for 13 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis) 0 6 3.97 4.84 90.8
2 8:10 1 10 CAR 24 Timeout #2 by San Francisco 49ers 0 6 0 0
2 8:10 1 10 CAR 11 Frank Gore left end for 5 yards (tackle by Greg Hardy) 0 6 4.84 5.08 91.3
2 7:26 2 5 CAR 6 Colin Kaepernick pass incomplete short right intended for Vernon Davis (defended by Michael Mitchell). CAR challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was upheld. 0 6 5.08 4.21 90.0
2 7:19 3 5 CAR 6 Frank Gore right guard for 4 yards (tackle by Charles Johnson) 0 6 4.21 3.25 88.4
2 6:21 3 5 CAR 6 Timeout #3 by Carolina Panthers 0 6 0 0
2 6:21 4 1 CAR 2 -- 0 6 3.25 2.98 88.0
2 6:20 4 6 CAR 7 Phil Dawson 25 yard field goal good 0 9 2.98 3 88.0
2 6:20 SFO 35 Phil Dawson kicks off 64 yards, returned by Ted Ginn for 19 yards (tackle by Darryl Morris) 0 9 0 -0.28 87.5
2 6:10 1 10 CAR 20 Jonathan Stewart left tackle for no gain (tackle by Dan Skuta and Patrick Willis) 0 9 0.28 -0.27 88.6
2 5:31 2 10 CAR 20 Cam Newton right guard for 3 yards (tackle by Justin Smith) 0 9 -0.27 -0.56 89.2
2 4:45 3 7 CAR 23 Cam Newton pass complete short middle to Brandon LaFell for 17 yards (tackle by Patrick Willis) 0 9 -0.56 1.6 84.9
2 4:04 1 10 CAR 40 Cam Newton right end for 2 yards (tackle by Ahmad Brooks) 0 9 1.6 1.32 85.6
2 3:29 2 8 CAR 42 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Brandon LaFell for 10 yards (tackle by Carlos Rogers) 0 9 1.32 2.39 83.2
2 2:46 1 10 SFO 48 DeAngelo Williams right guard for 7 yards (tackle by Tony Jerod-Eddie and Donte Whitner) 0 9 2.39 2.79 82.3
2 2:12 2 3 SFO 41 Cam Newton pass complete short middle to Greg Olsen for 14 yards (tackle by Donte Whitner) 0 9 2.79 3.78 79.6
2 1:59 1 10 SFO 27 DeAngelo Williams middle for 27 yards, touchdown 6 9 3.78 7 72.7
2 1:59 Graham Gano kicks extra point good 7 9 0 0 69.2
2 1:59 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off 65 yards, touchback 7 9 0 -0.28 70.2
2 1:52 1 10 SFO 20 Colin Kaepernick pass complete short right to Anquan Boldin for 9 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 7 9 0.28 0.95 72.5
2 1:17 2 1 SFO 29 Colin Kaepernick pass incomplete short right intended for Kendall Hunter (defended by Drayton Florence) 7 9 0.95 0.23 70.0
2 1:10 3 1 SFO 29 Kendall Hunter right end for 3 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 7 9 0.23 1.07 72.9
2 1:04 1 10 SFO 32 Colin Kaepernick sacked by Michael Mitchell and Charles Johnson for -8 yards 7 9 1.07 -0.55 67.1
2 0:36 2 18 SFO 24 Colin Kaepernick left end for 1 yard (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn) 7 9 -0.55 -1.09 65.0
2 0:30 3 17 SFO 25 Kendall Hunter left guard for 11 yards (tackle by Charles Johnson and Michael Mitchell) 7 9 -1.09 -0.98 69.1
End of Half79-0.980
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CAR SFO EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 SFO 35 Phil Dawson kicks off 65 yards, touchback 7 9 0 -0.28 68.1
3 15:00 1 10 CAR 20 DeAngelo Williams left guard for 2 yards (tackle by NaVorro Bowman) 7 9 0.28 0 69.1
3 14:18 2 8 CAR 22 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Steve Smith for 9 yards (tackle by Tarell Brown) 7 9 0 1 65.2
3 13:36 1 10 CAR 31 Cam Newton pass complete short middle to Brandon LaFell for 16 yards (tackle by Tarell Brown) 7 9 1 2.06 60.9
3 12:59 1 10 CAR 47 Cam Newton pass incomplete short left intended for Ted Ginn (defended by Ahmad Brooks) 7 9 2.06 1.52 63.0
3 12:53 2 10 CAR 47 Cam Newton middle for -2 yards (tackle by Ahmad Brooks) 7 9 1.52 0.56 66.8
3 12:13 3 12 CAR 45 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep middle intended for Steve Smith 7 9 0.56 -0.39 70.5
3 12:07 4 12 CAR 45 Brad Nortman punts 41 yards, returned by LaMichael James for 15 yards (tackle by Jason Williams) 7 9 -0.39 -0.87 72.3
3 11:57 1 10 SFO 29 Colin Kaepernick pass complete short left to Anquan Boldin for 9 yards (tackle by Quintin Mikell) 7 9 0.87 1.54 74.7
3 11:17 2 1 SFO 38 Colin Kaepernick left end for -6 yards (tackle by Greg Hardy) 7 9 1.54 0.04 69.1
3 10:44 3 7 SFO 32 Penalty on Anthony Davis: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 7 9 0.04 -0.63 66.4
3 10:16 3 12 SFO 27 Colin Kaepernick pass complete short middle to Frank Gore for 10 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 7 9 -0.63 -0.91 65.2
3 9:33 4 2 SFO 37 Andy Lee punts 52 yards, returned by Brandon LaFell for no gain 7 9 -0.91 0.37 70.4
3 9:25 1 10 CAR 11 Jonathan Stewart middle for 5 yards (tackle by Justin Smith) 7 9 -0.37 -0.3 70.1
3 8:47 2 5 CAR 16 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Brandon LaFell 7 9 -0.3 -0.84 72.3
3 8:40 3 5 CAR 16 Cam Newton pass complete short middle to Mike Tolbert for 17 yards (tackle by Eric Reid) 7 9 -0.84 1.14 64.0
3 8:06 1 10 CAR 33 Cam Newton pass complete short middle to Domenik Hixon for 9 yards (tackle by Donte Whitner) 7 9 1.14 1.81 60.9
3 7:24 2 1 CAR 42 Jonathan Stewart right guard for 2 yards (tackle by NaVorro Bowman) 7 9 1.81 1.86 60.5
3 6:41 1 10 CAR 44 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Steve Smith 7 9 1.86 1.32 62.9
3 6:38 2 10 CAR 44 Cam Newton pass complete deep middle to Steve Smith for 19 yards (tackle by Donte Whitner) 7 9 1.32 3.12 54.2
3 5:54 1 10 SFO 37 Jonathan Stewart left guard for 3 yards (tackle by Patrick Willis) 7 9 3.12 2.98 54.7
3 5:10 2 7 SFO 34 Cam Newton sacked by Patrick Willis for -8 yards 7 9 2.98 1.22 63.2
3 4:29 3 15 SFO 42 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Steve Smith for 12 yards (tackle by NaVorro Bowman and Donte Whitner) 7 9 1.22 1.48 61.8
3 3:46 4 3 SFO 30 Graham Gano 48 yard field goal no good 7 9 1.48 -1.47 75.4
3 3:41 1 10 SFO 38 Frank Gore left guard for 14 yards (tackle by Michael Mitchell) 7 9 1.47 2.39 79.1
3 2:57 1 10 CAR 48 Penalty on Greg Hardy: Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards (no play) 7 9 2.39 3.12 82.1
3 2:31 1 5 CAR 43 Frank Gore left tackle for 4 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 7 9 3.12 3.06 82.0
3 1:55 2 1 CAR 39 Kendall Hunter right guard for -6 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis). Kendall Hunter fumbles (forced by Thomas Davis), recovered by Quintin Mikell at CAR-45 (tackle by Colin Kaepernick). Penalty on Alex Boone: Offensive Holding (Declined) 7 9 3.06 -1.93 59.0
3 1:47 1 10 CAR 45 DeAngelo Williams middle for 3 yards (tackle by Demarcus Dobbs) 7 9 1.93 1.79 59.7
3 1:04 2 7 CAR 48 DeAngelo Williams middle for 4 yards (tackle by NaVorro Bowman) 7 9 1.79 1.62 60.5
3 0:24 3 3 SFO 48 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Mike Tolbert (defended by Demarcus Dobbs) 7 9 1.62 0.07 68.8
3 0:20 4 3 SFO 48 Brad Nortman punts 35 yards, out of bounds 7 9 0.07 0.32 67.5
3 0:13 1 10 SFO 13 Colin Kaepernick middle for 16 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis). Penalty on Quintin Mikell: Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards 7 9 -0.32 1.86 78.0
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CAR SFO EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 1 10 SFO 44 Penalty on Anquan Boldin: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 7 9 1.86 1.53 76.6
4 15:00 1 15 SFO 39 Colin Kaepernick pass incomplete short left intended for Mario Manningham 7 9 1.53 0.64 72.4
4 14:58 2 15 SFO 39 Colin Kaepernick pass incomplete deep middle intended for Vance McDonald (defended by Luke Kuechly) 7 9 0.64 -0.03 69.0
4 14:52 3 15 SFO 39 Colin Kaepernick pass complete short middle to Mario Manningham for 14 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis and Drayton Florence). Penalty on Anquan Boldin: Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards (no play) 7 9 -0.03 -1.35 61.8
4 14:23 3 25 SFO 29 Colin Kaepernick sacked by Charles Johnson for -4 yards 7 9 -1.35 -1.7 59.7
4 13:47 4 29 SFO 25 Andy Lee punts 44 yards, returned by Ted Ginn for 25 yards (tackle by Michael Wilhoite) 7 9 -1.7 -2.65 53.8
4 13:35 1 10 SFO 44 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep left intended for Greg Olsen (defended by Dan Skuta) 7 9 2.65 2.11 57.0
4 13:29 2 10 SFO 44 Jonathan Stewart right tackle for 4 yards (tackle by Glenn Dorsey and Tony Jerod-Eddie) 7 9 2.11 1.95 58.0
4 12:42 3 6 SFO 40 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Steve Smith for 8 yards (tackle by Tramaine Brock) 7 9 1.95 3.45 48.2
4 12:13 1 10 SFO 32 DeAngelo Williams left end for -1 yards (tackle by Glenn Dorsey and Dan Skuta) 7 9 3.45 2.77 52.3
4 11:30 1 10 SFO 32 Timeout #1 by Carolina Panthers 7 9 0 0
4 11:30 2 11 SFO 33 Cam Newton sacked by Ahmad Brooks for -8 yards 7 9 2.77 1.03 63.4
4 10:48 3 19 SFO 41 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Steve Smith for 6 yards (tackle by Tarell Brown) 7 9 1.03 0.97 63.8
4 10:10 4 13 SFO 35 Graham Gano 53 yard field goal good 10 9 0.97 3 49.5
4 10:10 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off 71 yards, returned by Anthony Dixon for 18 yards (tackle by Jordan Senn) 10 9 0 0.35 47.0
4 9:59 1 10 SFO 12 Frank Gore left guard for 3 yards (tackle by A.J. Klein) 10 9 -0.35 -0.5 45.8
4 9:15 2 7 SFO 15 Colin Kaepernick pass incomplete short left intended for Vance McDonald 10 9 -0.5 -1.07 40.9
4 9:08 3 7 SFO 15 Colin Kaepernick pass incomplete deep right intended for Anquan Boldin 10 9 -1.07 -2.44 31.1
4 9:03 4 7 SFO 15 Andy Lee punts 48 yards 10 9 -2.44 -1.4 38.2
4 8:51 1 10 CAR 37 Jonathan Stewart right tackle for 3 yards (tackle by Tony Jerod-Eddie) 10 9 1.4 1.26 39.0
4 8:15 2 7 CAR 40 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Brandon LaFell 10 9 1.26 0.56 43.6
4 8:10 3 7 CAR 40 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Ted Ginn for 11 yards 10 9 0.56 2.32 30.3
4 7:43 1 10 SFO 49 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Mike Tolbert for -1 yards (tackle by Patrick Willis) 10 9 2.32 1.65 34.4
4 6:59 2 11 50 Jonathan Stewart right tackle for 3 yards (tackle by Tony Jerod-Eddie) 10 9 1.65 1.36 35.5
4 6:17 3 8 SFO 47 Cam Newton left tackle for 6 yards (tackle by Craig Dahl) 10 9 1.36 0.53 41.4
4 5:34 4 2 SFO 41 Brad Nortman punts 40 yards 10 9 0.53 0.38 41.7
4 5:25 1 10 SFO 1 Colin Kaepernick pass incomplete short right intended for Bruce Miller 10 9 -0.38 -0.78 37.6
4 5:19 2 10 SFO 1 Frank Gore left guard for no gain (tackle by Greg Hardy) 10 9 -0.78 -1.42 39.0
4 4:39 3 10 SFO 1 Colin Kaepernick pass complete short left to Mario Manningham for 14 yards (tackle by Michael Mitchell) 10 9 -1.42 -0.22 50.7
4 4:02 1 10 SFO 15 Colin Kaepernick sacked by Luke Kuechly for -9 yards 10 9 -0.22 -1.44 41.7
4 3:29 2 19 SFO 6 Colin Kaepernick pass complete short left to Mario Manningham for 6 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn) 10 9 -1.44 -1.77 36.6
4 2:45 3 13 SFO 12 Colin Kaepernick pass incomplete deep left intended for Kyle Williams 10 9 -1.77 -2.49 24.7
4 2:35 4 13 SFO 12 Andy Lee punts 56 yards, fair catch by Ted Ginn 10 9 -2.49 -1.07 20.1
4 2:27 1 10 CAR 32 Jonathan Stewart right guard for 3 yards (tackle by NaVorro Bowman) 10 9 1.07 0.93 22.0
4 2:21 1 10 CAR 32 Timeout #1 by San Francisco 49ers 10 9 0 0
4 2:21 2 7 CAR 35 Jonathan Stewart middle for -1 yards (tackle by Justin Smith and Dan Skuta) 10 9 0.93 0.1 27.8
4 2:18 2 7 CAR 35 Timeout #2 by San Francisco 49ers 10 9 0 0
4 2:18 3 8 CAR 34 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Steve Smith for 9 yards 10 9 0.1 1.8 14.3
4 2:12 1 10 CAR 43 Jonathan Stewart left tackle for 6 yards (tackle by Donte Whitner). Jonathan Stewart fumbles (forced by Donte Whitner), recovered by Mike Tolbert at CAR-49 10 9 1.8 2.06 13.7
4 2:00 2 4 CAR 49 Cam Newton right tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Glenn Dorsey) 10 9 2.06 1.62 16.2
4 1:54 2 4 CAR 49 Timeout #3 by San Francisco 49ers 10 9 0 0
4 1:54 3 2 SFO 49 Cam Newton for no gain. Cam Newton fumbles, recovered by Cam Newton at CAR-46 10 9 1.62 -0.32 10.2
4 1:10 3 2 SFO 49 Timeout #2 by Carolina Panthers 10 9 0 0
4 1:10 4 7 CAR 46 Brad Nortman punts 54 yards, touchback 10 9 -0.32 -0.28 32.1
4 1:02 1 10 SFO 20 Colin Kaepernick sacked by Dwan Edwards for -6 yards 10 9 0.28 -1.18 16.2
4 0:37 2 16 SFO 14 Colin Kaepernick pass incomplete deep right intended for Mario Manningham is intercepted by Drayton Florence at SFO-42 and returned for 2 yards 10 9 -1.18 -2.92 0.3
4 0:23 1 10 SFO 40 Cam Newton kneels for -1 yards 10 9 2.92 2.24 0.0
End of Regulation1092.240
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).