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Carolina Panthers 21 at Atlanta Falcons 20

Sunday, December 29, 2013
1234Final
Carolina Panthers (12-4-0)0147021
Atlanta Falcons (4-12-0)737320

Game Info
Stadium Georgia Dome
Start Time (ET) 1:05pm
Roof dome
Surface fieldturf
Duration 2:59
Attendance 70,427
Weather 0 degrees
Vegas Line Carolina Panthers -5.5
Over/Under 46.5 (under)
Officials
Referee John Parry
Umpire Dan Ferrell
Head Linesman Derick Bowers
Field Judge Scott Edwards
Back Judge Perry Paganelli
Side Judge Joe Larrew
Line Judge Adrian Hill

Expected Points Summary

Expected points are an estimate of points per play based on down, distance, and yard line. Points given for offense and defense are offensive/defensive plays + penalties on which there was no play (eg, a false start). Special teams are all kicking + punting plays. Points are zeroed out at the end of halves.

Win Probability

Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Pass Targets

Carolina Panthers
Deep Left (0/3, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Domenik Hixon 1 0 0 0
Brandon LaFell 1 0 0 0
Greg Olsen 1 0 0 0
Deep Middle (0/3, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Ted Ginn 1 0 0 0
Brandon LaFell 2 0 0 0
Deep Right (0/1, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Marvin McNutt 1 0 0
Short Left (5/6, 42 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Ted Ginn 1 1 3 0
Domenik Hixon 1 1 4 0
Brandon LaFell 1 0 0 0
Greg Olsen 1 1 8 0
Mike Tolbert 1 1 8 0
DeAngelo Williams 1 1 19 0
Short Middle (4/5, 26 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Ted Ginn 1 0 0 0
Greg Olsen 4 4 26 1
Short Right (6/9, 81 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Ted Ginn 2 1 3 1
Domenik Hixon 1 1 12 0
Brandon LaFell 1 0 0 0
Greg Olsen 2 1 8 0
Mike Tolbert 2 2 2 0
DeAngelo Williams 1 1 56 0
Atlanta Falcons
Deep Left (0/1, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Roddy White 1 0 0 0
Deep Middle (1/2, 39 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Harry Douglas 1 0 0 0
Roddy White 1 1 39 1
Deep Right (1/2, 23 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Tony Gonzalez 1 1 23 0
Darius Johnson 1 0 0 0
Short Left (16/18, 139 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Patrick DiMarco 1 1 3 0
Harry Douglas 7 6 48 0
Tony Gonzalez 2 2 14 0
Steven Jackson 2 2 42 0
Darius Johnson 1 1 4 0
Jason Snelling 1 1 6 0
Roddy White 4 3 22 0
Short Middle (3/5, 20 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Steven Jackson 1 0 0 0
Jason Snelling 1 1 9 1
Roddy White 3 2 11 0
Short Right (7/12, 59 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Harry Douglas 1 1 10 0
Tony Gonzalez 1 1 19 0
Steven Jackson 4 3 11 0
Darius Johnson 1 0 0 0
Roddy White 5 2 19 0

Rushing

Carolina Panthers
LE (4 rushes, 6 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 1 -1 0
Mike Tolbert 1 2 0
DeAngelo Williams 2 5 0
LT (3 rushes, 7 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 1 5 0
DeAngelo Williams 2 2 0
LG (5 rushes, 32 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 1 2 0
Mike Tolbert 2 6 0
DeAngelo Williams 2 24 0
MD (2 rushes, 6 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 2 6 0
RG (5 rushes, 4 yards)
Att Yds TD
Mike Tolbert 2 3 0
DeAngelo Williams 3 1 0
RT (4 rushes, 50 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 3 33 0
Mike Tolbert 1 17 0
RE (3 rushes, 7 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 2 6 0
DeAngelo Williams 1 1 0
Atlanta Falcons
LE (3 rushes, 12 yards)
Att Yds TD
Steven Jackson 3 12 0
LT (0 rushes, 0 yards)LG (6 rushes, 30 yards)
Att Yds TD
Steven Jackson 3 6 0
Jason Snelling 3 24 0
MD (0 rushes, 0 yards)
RG (2 rushes, 13 yards)
Att Yds TD
Steven Jackson 1 2 0
Jason Snelling 1 11 0
RT (6 rushes, 24 yards)
Att Yds TD
Steven Jackson 5 23 0
Jason Snelling 1 1 0
RE (1 rush, -2 yards)
Att Yds TD
Steven Jackson 1 -2 0

Carolina Panthers Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 8:43 CAR 20 3 1:03 0 Punt
2 6:05 CAR 11 6 3:30 12 Punt
3 0:11 CAR 22 6 2:03 19 Interception
4 10:00 CAR 20 3 1:17 62 Fumble
5 4:17 CAR 4 13 3:58 96 Touchdown
6 15:00 CAR 20 4 2:21 27 Punt
7 9:50 CAR 24 10 5:30 76 Touchdown
8 2:19 CAR 41 3 1:36 4 Punt
9 7:10 CAR 20 6 3:49 16 Punt
10 1:47 CAR 48 3 0:27 3 Punt

Atlanta Falcons Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 15:00 ATL 20 11 6:17 80 Touchdown
2 7:40 ATL 48 3 1:35 2 Punt
3 2:35 ATL 34 3 2:24 -4 Punt
4 13:08 ATL 45 9 3:08 31 Field Goal
5 8:43 ATL 4 2 0:46 -2 Interception
6 7:57 ATL 20 7 3:40 41 Punt
7 0:19 ATL 20 1 0:19 -1 End of Half
8 12:39 ATL 16 5 2:49 84 Touchdown
9 4:20 ATL 20 3 2:01 -8 Punt
10 0:43 ATL 10 17 8:33 71 Field Goal
11 3:21 ATL 20 3 1:34 -8 Punt
12 1:20 ATL 12 7 1:20 19 End of Game

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CAR ATL EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off 65 yards, touchback 0 0 0 -0.28 34.9
1 15:00 1 10 ATL 20 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Tony Gonzalez for 5 yards (tackle by Melvin White) 0 0 0.28 0.41 35.3
1 14:28 2 5 ATL 25 Matt Ryan pass complete short middle to Roddy White for 3 yards (tackle by Quintin Mikell) 0 0 0.41 0.1 34.5
1 13:49 3 2 ATL 28 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Steven Jackson for 17 yards (tackle by Melvin White and Luke Kuechly) 0 0 0.1 1.93 39.8
1 13:14 1 10 ATL 45 Steven Jackson right tackle for no gain (tackle by Chase Blackburn) 0 0 1.93 1.38 38.3
1 12:39 2 10 ATL 45 Matt Ryan pass complete deep right to Tony Gonzalez for 23 yards (tackle by Quintin Mikell) 0 0 1.38 3.45 44.5
1 12:08 1 10 CAR 32 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Harry Douglas for 6 yards (tackle by Michael Mitchell) 0 0 3.45 3.71 45.4
1 11:36 2 4 CAR 26 Steven Jackson right tackle for 3 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly and Captain Munnerlyn) 0 0 3.71 3.4 44.6
1 11:02 3 1 CAR 23 Steven Jackson right tackle for 17 yards (tackle by Drayton Florence) 0 0 3.4 5.83 52.1
1 10:15 1 6 CAR 6 Matt Ryan pass complete short right to Steven Jackson for -1 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis) 0 0 5.83 4.76 49.1
1 9:30 2 7 CAR 7 Matt Ryan sacked by Frank Alexander for -2 yards 0 0 4.76 3.36 44.9
1 8:49 3 9 CAR 9 Matt Ryan pass complete short middle to Jason Snelling for 9 yards, touchdown 0 6 3.36 7 53.3
1 8:49 CAR 9 Matt Bryant kicks extra point good 0 7 0 0 56.4
1 8:49 ATL 35 Matthew Bosher kicks off 65 yards, touchback 0 7 0 -0.28 55.6
1 8:43 1 10 CAR 20 DeAngelo Williams left guard for no gain (tackle by Joplo Bartu and Jonathan Babineaux) 0 7 0.28 -0.27 57.3
1 8:03 2 10 CAR 20 Cam Newton pass incomplete short middle intended for Ted Jr. Ginn. ATL challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was upheld. 0 7 -0.27 -0.96 59.7
1 7:57 3 10 CAR 20 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep middle intended for Brandon LaFell 0 7 -0.96 -2.03 62.9
1 7:50 4 10 CAR 20 Brad Nortman punts 55 yards, returned by Robert McClain for 23 yards (tackle by Jordan Senn) 0 7 -2.03 -2.13 63.3
1 7:40 1 10 ATL 48 Matt Ryan sacked by Greg Hardy for -3 yards 0 7 2.13 1.18 60.5
1 7:00 2 13 ATL 45 Matt Ryan pass complete short right to Steven Jackson for 5 yards (tackle by Kawann Short) 0 7 1.18 1.16 60.7
1 6:17 3 8 50 Matt Ryan pass incomplete short right intended for Roddy White 0 7 1.16 -0.06 57.1
1 6:13 4 8 50 Matthew Bosher punts 39 yards, fair catch by Ted Jr. Ginn 0 7 -0.06 0.37 58.5
1 6:05 1 10 CAR 11 Cam Newton pass complete short middle to Greg Olsen for 8 yards (tackle by Desmond Trufant and Peria Jerry) 0 7 -0.37 0.17 56.9
1 5:28 2 2 CAR 19 DeAngelo Williams right end for 1 yard (tackle by Peria Jerry) 0 7 0.17 -0.37 58.8
1 4:48 3 1 CAR 20 Cam Newton up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Cliff Matthews and Stephen Nicholas) 0 7 -0.37 0.41 56.6
1 4:11 1 10 CAR 22 Mike Tolbert left guard for -1 yards (tackle by Peria Jerry) 0 7 0.41 -0.27 59.0
1 3:31 2 11 CAR 21 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep left intended for Brandon LaFell 0 7 -0.27 -0.96 61.4
1 3:26 3 11 CAR 21 Cam Newton right tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Osi Umenyiora) 0 7 -0.96 -1.83 64.2
1 2:48 4 9 CAR 23 Brad Nortman punts 53 yards, returned by Robert McClain for 10 yards (tackle by Chase Blackburn) 0 7 -1.83 -1.2 62.5
1 2:35 1 10 ATL 34 Jason Snelling left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Frank Alexander and Quintin Mikell) 0 7 1.2 0.93 61.7
1 1:55 2 8 ATL 36 Penalty on Roddy White: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 0 7 0.93 0.25 59.8
1 1:30 2 13 ATL 31 Matt Ryan sacked by Star Lotulelei for -7 yards 0 7 0.25 -1.35 54.7
1 0:55 3 20 ATL 24 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Roddy White for 6 yards (tackle by Melvin White) 0 7 -1.35 -1.37 54.8
1 0:22 4 14 ATL 30 Matthew Bosher punts 57 yards, returned by Ted Jr. Ginn for 9 yards (tackle by Antone Smith) 0 7 -1.37 -0.41 58.2
1 0:11 1 10 CAR 22 Cam Newton sacked by Paul Worrilow for 0 yards 0 7 0.41 -0.13 60.1
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CAR ATL EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 2 10 CAR 22 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Greg Olsen 0 7 -0.13 -0.82 62.4
2 14:56 3 10 CAR 22 Cam Newton right tackle for 16 yards (tackle by Desmond Trufant) 0 7 -0.82 1.47 54.8
2 14:09 1 10 CAR 38 DeAngelo Williams left end for 3 yards (tackle by Jonathan Massaquoi) 0 7 1.47 1.33 55.6
2 13:23 2 7 CAR 41 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep middle intended for Ted Jr. Ginn 0 7 1.33 0.63 58.3
2 13:17 3 7 CAR 41 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep left intended for Domenik Hixon is intercepted by William Moore at ATL-42 and returned for 3 yards (tackle by Domenik Hixon). Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was upheld. 0 7 0.63 -1.93 66.8
2 13:08 1 10 ATL 45 Matt Ryan pass incomplete short right intended for Roddy White 0 7 1.93 1.38 65.1
2 13:05 2 10 ATL 45 Matt Ryan pass complete short right to Harry Douglas for 10 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn). Penalty on Captain Munnerlyn: Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards 0 7 1.38 3.58 71.9
2 12:43 1 10 CAR 30 Matt Ryan pass incomplete deep right intended for Darius Johnson 0 7 3.58 3.03 70.5
2 12:37 2 10 CAR 30 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Darius Johnson for 4 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn and Michael Mitchell) 0 7 3.03 2.87 70.0
2 11:52 3 6 CAR 26 Matt Ryan pass complete short right to Roddy White for 6 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn) 0 7 2.87 4.24 74.5
2 11:15 1 10 CAR 20 Steven Jackson right guard for 2 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 0 7 4.24 3.96 74.0
2 10:32 2 8 CAR 18 Matt Ryan pass incomplete short right intended for Steven Jackson (defended by Drayton Florence) 0 7 3.96 3.22 72.2
2 10:26 3 8 CAR 18 Matt Ryan sacked by Greg Hardy for -6 yards 0 7 3.22 1.87 68.0
2 10:05 4 14 CAR 24 Matt Bryant 42 yard field goal good 0 10 1.87 3 71.7
2 10:05 ATL 35 Matthew Bosher kicks off 65 yards, touchback 0 10 0 -0.28 70.9
2 10:00 1 10 CAR 20 DeAngelo Williams left tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Stephen Nicholas) 0 10 0.28 0 71.8
2 9:31 2 8 CAR 22 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Domenik Hixon for 4 yards (tackle by Desmond Trufant) 0 10 0 -0.16 72.5
2 8:58 3 4 CAR 26 Cam Newton pass complete short right to DeAngelo Williams for 56 yards (tackle by Robert Alford). DeAngelo Williams fumbles (forced by Robert Alford), recovered by Desmond Trufant at ATL-4 (tackle by Domenik Hixon) 0 10 -0.16 0.38 71.1
2 8:43 1 10 ATL 4 Steven Jackson right end for -2 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn and Frank Alexander) 0 10 -0.38 -0.93 69.5
2 8:02 2 12 ATL 2 Matt Ryan pass incomplete short left intended for Harry Douglas is intercepted by Melvin White at ATL-8 and returned for 8 yards, touchdown 6 10 -0.93 -7 51.9
2 7:57 ATL 2 Graham Gano kicks extra point good 7 10 0 0 48.2
2 7:57 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off 65 yards, touchback 7 10 0 -0.28 49.3
2 7:57 1 10 ATL 20 Steven Jackson left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Quintin Mikell) 7 10 0.28 0 48.2
2 7:20 2 8 ATL 22 Matt Ryan pass incomplete short right intended for Roddy White 7 10 0 -0.69 45.8
2 7:16 3 8 ATL 22 Matt Ryan pass complete short right to Tony Gonzalez for 19 yards (tackle by Michael Mitchell) 7 10 -0.69 1.66 54.7
2 6:39 1 10 ATL 41 Jason Snelling left guard for 16 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 7 10 1.66 2.72 58.9
2 6:01 1 10 CAR 43 Jason Snelling right tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Greg Hardy) 7 10 2.72 2.31 57.6
2 5:18 2 9 CAR 42 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Patrick DiMarco for 3 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn) 7 10 2.31 2.01 56.8
2 4:33 3 6 CAR 39 Matt Ryan pass incomplete short right intended for Darius Johnson 7 10 2.01 0.66 51.9
2 4:28 4 6 CAR 39 Matthew Bosher punts 35 yards 7 10 0.66 0.38 50.9
2 4:17 1 10 CAR 4 DeAngelo Williams right guard for 1 yard (tackle by Joplo Bartu) 7 10 -0.38 -0.71 52.2
2 3:39 2 9 CAR 5 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Ted Jr. Ginn for 3 yards (tackle by Thomas DeCoud). Penalty on Brandon LaFell: Offensive Holding, 4 yards 7 10 -0.71 -0.78 52.7
2 3:12 2 10 CAR 4 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Domenik Hixon for 12 yards (tackle by Robert Alford) 7 10 -0.78 -0.14 50.4
2 2:40 1 10 CAR 16 Cam Newton left end for -1 yards (tackle by Joplo Bartu) 7 10 -0.14 -0.78 53.2
2 2:02 2 11 CAR 15 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Mike Tolbert for 8 yards (tackle by Paul Worrilow and Desmond Trufant) 7 10 -0.78 -0.45 52.1
2 1:54 3 3 CAR 23 Cam Newton right end for 4 yards (tackle by Stansly Maponga and Paul Worrilow) 7 10 -0.45 0.74 47.3
2 1:27 1 10 CAR 27 Cam Newton right tackle for 15 yards (tackle by Osi Umenyiora) 7 10 0.74 1.73 43.4
2 1:18 1 10 CAR 27 Timeout #1 by Carolina Panthers 7 10 0 0
2 1:18 1 10 CAR 42 Cam Newton pass complete short middle to Greg Olsen for 6 yards (tackle by Paul Worrilow) 7 10 1.73 2 42.4
2 0:55 2 4 CAR 48 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Ted Jr. Ginn 7 10 2 1.29 45.4
2 0:50 3 4 CAR 48 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep right intended for Domenik Hixon. Penalty on Robert Alford: Defensive Pass Interference, 21 yards (no play) 7 10 1.29 3.51 36.5
2 0:45 1 10 ATL 31 Cam Newton for 11 yards (tackle by Paul Worrilow) 7 10 3.51 4.24 33.7
2 0:38 1 10 ATL 20 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep right intended for Marvin McNutt 7 10 4.24 3.69 35.8
2 0:32 2 10 ATL 20 Mike Tolbert right tackle for 17 yards (tackle by Robert McClain and Jonathan Babineaux) 7 10 3.69 6.51 25.6
2 0:24 2 10 ATL 20 Timeout #2 by Carolina Panthers 7 10 0 0
2 0:24 1 3 ATL 3 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Ted Jr. Ginn for 3 yards, touchdown 13 10 6.51 7 27.3
2 0:24 ATL 3 Graham Gano kicks extra point good 14 10 0 0 24.0
2 0:24 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off 65 yards, touchback 14 10 0 -0.28 24.9
2 0:19 1 10 ATL 20 Matt Ryan kneels for -1 yards 14 10 0.28 -0.46 23.9
End of Half1410-0.460
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CAR ATL EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 ATL 35 Matthew Bosher kicks off 65 yards, touchback 14 10 0 -0.28 23.0
3 15:00 1 10 CAR 20 Cam Newton pass complete short left to DeAngelo Williams for 19 yards (tackle by William Moore) 14 10 0.28 1.53 19.2
3 14:20 1 10 CAR 39 Mike Tolbert right guard for 3 yards (tackle by Paul Worrilow) 14 10 1.53 1.39 19.5
3 13:38 2 7 CAR 42 Cam Newton pass incomplete short left intended for Brandon LaFell (defended by Desmond Trufant) 14 10 1.39 0.7 21.6
3 13:32 3 7 CAR 42 Cam Newton left tackle for 5 yards (tackle by Jonathan Massaquoi) 14 10 0.7 -0.26 24.7
3 12:51 4 2 CAR 47 Brad Nortman punts 38 yards, returned by Robert McClain for 1 yard (tackle by Colin Jones) 14 10 -0.26 0.14 23.3
3 12:39 1 10 ATL 16 Steven Jackson left guard for 3 yards (tackle by Dwan Edwards) 14 10 -0.14 -0.18 23.1
3 12:14 2 7 ATL 19 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Steven Jackson for 25 yards (tackle by Robert Lester) 14 10 -0.18 1.86 30.5
3 11:42 1 10 ATL 44 Matt Ryan pass incomplete short right intended for Harry Douglas. Penalty on Dwan Edwards: Roughing the Passer, 15 yards (no play) 14 10 1.86 2.85 34.4
3 11:38 1 10 CAR 41 Steven Jackson left guard for 1 yard (tackle by Star Lotulelei and Greg Hardy) 14 10 2.85 2.44 32.8
3 11:00 2 9 CAR 40 Matt Ryan pass complete short right to Harry Douglas for 15 yards (tackle by Melvin White). Penalty on Joe Hawley: Offensive Holding, 10 yards (no play) 14 10 2.44 1.09 27.5
3 10:30 2 19 50 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Harry Douglas for 11 yards 14 10 1.09 1.88 30.6
3 9:58 3 8 CAR 39 Matt Ryan pass complete deep middle to Roddy White for 39 yards, touchdown 14 16 1.88 7 48.7
3 9:58 CAR 39 Matt Bryant kicks extra point good 14 17 0 0 53.3
3 9:58 ATL 35 Matthew Bosher kicks off 72 yards, returned by Ted Jr. Ginn for 31 yards (tackle by Robert McClain) 14 17 0 -0.54 50.8
3 9:44 1 10 CAR 24 Mike Tolbert for 1 yard (tackle by Jonathan Massaquoi) 14 17 0.54 0.13 52.8
3 9:08 2 9 CAR 25 Mike Tolbert left guard for 7 yards (tackle by Paul Worrilow and William Moore) 14 17 0.13 0.37 51.9
3 8:21 3 2 CAR 32 Cam Newton for 10 yards (tackle by Paul Worrilow). Penalty on Paul Worrilow: Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards 14 17 0.37 2.72 41.2
3 8:00 1 10 ATL 43 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Greg Olsen for 8 yards (tackle by Stephen Nicholas) 14 17 2.72 3.26 38.8
3 7:29 2 2 ATL 35 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Mike Tolbert for 1 yard (tackle by Paul Worrilow and Stephen Nicholas) 14 17 3.26 2.68 41.6
3 6:41 3 1 ATL 34 Cam Newton left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Cliff Matthews and Paul Worrilow) 14 17 2.68 3.45 38.2
3 5:56 1 10 ATL 32 DeAngelo Williams left guard for 24 yards (tackle by Robert Alford) 14 17 3.45 5.37 29.5
3 5:21 1 8 ATL 8 DeAngelo Williams right guard for 1 yard (tackle by Cliff Matthews) 14 17 5.37 4.76 32.2
3 4:37 2 7 ATL 7 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Brandon LaFell 14 17 4.76 3.81 36.8
3 4:30 3 7 ATL 7 Cam Newton pass complete short middle to Greg Olsen for 7 yards, touchdown 20 17 3.81 7 26.7
3 4:30 ATL 7 Graham Gano kicks extra point good 21 17 0 0 22.6
3 4:30 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off 65 yards, touchback 21 17 0 -0.28 23.7
3 4:20 1 10 ATL 20 Matt Ryan sacked by Charles Johnson for -3 yards 21 17 0.28 -0.79 19.6
3 3:50 2 13 ATL 17 Steven Jackson right tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis) 21 17 -0.79 -1.14 18.2
3 3:07 3 11 ATL 19 Matt Ryan sacked by Greg Hardy for -7 yards 21 17 -1.14 -2.49 13.6
3 2:30 4 18 ATL 12 Matthew Bosher punts 56 yards (tackle by Jason Snelling) 21 17 -2.49 -1.66 15.9
3 2:19 1 10 CAR 41 Cam Newton up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Cliff Matthews) 21 17 1.66 1.66 15.9
3 1:36 2 6 CAR 45 DeAngelo Williams left tackle for no gain (tackle by Paul Worrilow) 21 17 1.66 0.96 18.0
3 0:56 3 6 CAR 45 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep left intended for Greg Olsen 21 17 0.96 -0.39 23.3
3 0:50 4 6 CAR 45 Brad Nortman punts 45 yards, fair catch by Robert McClain 21 17 -0.39 0.38 20.0
3 0:43 1 10 ATL 10 Jason Snelling right guard for 11 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis) 21 17 -0.38 0.34 23.0
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CAR ATL EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 1 10 ATL 21 Jason Snelling left guard for 6 yards (tackle by Chase Blackburn) 21 17 0.34 0.61 24.0
4 14:26 2 4 ATL 27 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Harry Douglas for 4 yards (tackle by Dwan Edwards) 21 17 0.61 1 25.7
4 13:44 1 10 ATL 31 Matt Ryan pass incomplete short middle intended for Steven Jackson 21 17 1 0.46 22.9
4 13:39 2 10 ATL 31 Matt Ryan pass incomplete deep middle intended for Harry Douglas 21 17 0.46 -0.23 19.7
4 13:34 3 10 ATL 31 Matt Ryan pass complete short right to Roddy White for 13 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 21 17 -0.23 1.86 29.9
4 13:01 1 10 ATL 44 Steven Jackson left end for -1 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 21 17 1.86 1.18 26.2
4 12:27 2 11 ATL 43 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Harry Douglas for 12 yards (tackle by Melvin White) 21 17 1.18 2.59 33.9
4 12:22 1 10 CAR 45 Penalty on Wes Horton: Neutral Zone Infraction, 4 yards (no play) 21 17 2.59 3.17 37.4
4 11:23 1 6 CAR 41 Steven Jackson left end for 8 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis) 21 17 3.17 3.38 38.9
4 10:51 1 10 CAR 33 Steven Jackson right tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Thomas Davis) 21 17 3.38 2.97 36.2
4 10:14 2 9 CAR 32 Matt Ryan pass incomplete short middle intended for Roddy White (defended by Michael Mitchell) 21 17 2.97 2.28 31.7
4 10:08 3 9 CAR 32 Matt Ryan pass complete short middle to Roddy White for 8 yards (tackle by Drayton Florence) 21 17 2.28 2.02 30.0
4 9:18 4 1 CAR 24 Steven Jackson left end for 5 yards (tackle by Melvin White) 21 17 2.02 4.31 45.9
4 8:41 1 10 CAR 19 Matt Ryan sacked by Greg Hardy for -6 yards 21 17 4.31 2.95 36.0
4 7:58 2 16 CAR 25 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Jason Snelling for 6 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis and Luke Kuechly) 21 17 2.95 3.03 36.5
4 7:18 3 10 CAR 19 Matt Ryan pass incomplete short left intended for Roddy White 21 17 3.03 2.18 29.9
4 7:14 4 10 CAR 19 Matt Bryant 37 yard field goal good 21 20 2.18 3 36.2
4 7:14 ATL 35 Matthew Bosher kicks off 65 yards, touchback 21 20 0 -0.28 34.0
4 7:10 1 10 CAR 20 Cam Newton pass complete short middle to Greg Olsen for 5 yards (tackle by Paul Worrilow and Jonathan Babineaux) 21 20 0.28 0.41 32.9
4 6:28 2 5 CAR 25 Mike Tolbert left end for 2 yards (tackle by Jonathan Babineaux and Jonathan Massaquoi) 21 20 0.41 -0.03 36.3
4 5:44 3 3 CAR 27 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Greg Olsen for 8 yards (tackle by Thomas DeCoud) 21 20 -0.03 1.27 25.2
4 5:00 1 10 CAR 35 Mike Tolbert right guard for no gain (tackle by Joplo Bartu) 21 20 1.27 0.72 28.9
4 4:54 2 10 CAR 35 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep middle intended for Brandon LaFell 21 20 0.72 0.04 35.0
4 4:11 3 10 CAR 35 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Mike Tolbert for 1 yard (tackle by Joplo Bartu) 21 20 0.04 -0.98 45.5
4 3:31 4 9 CAR 36 Brad Nortman punts 64 yards, touchback 21 20 -0.98 -0.28 37.6
4 3:21 1 10 ATL 20 Matt Ryan pass complete short right to Steven Jackson for 7 yards (tackle by Quintin Mikell and Luke Kuechly) 21 20 0.28 0.68 42.3
4 2:54 2 3 ATL 27 Matt Ryan sacked by Michael Mitchell for -8 yards 21 20 0.68 -1.14 21.1
4 2:28 3 11 ATL 19 Matt Ryan sacked by Charles Johnson for -7 yards 21 20 -1.14 -2.49 9.0
4 2:00 4 18 ATL 12 Matthew Bosher punts 55 yards, returned by Ted Jr. Ginn for 15 yards (tackle by Akeem Dent) 21 20 -2.49 -2.13 9.3
4 1:47 1 10 CAR 48 DeAngelo Williams right guard for -1 yards (tackle by Joplo Bartu) 21 20 2.13 1.45 13.5
4 1:41 1 10 CAR 48 Timeout #1 by Atlanta Falcons 21 20 0 0
4 1:41 2 11 CAR 47 DeAngelo Williams left end for 2 yards (tackle by Desmond Trufant) 21 20 1.45 1.02 17.3
4 1:36 2 11 CAR 47 Timeout #2 by Atlanta Falcons 21 20 0 0
4 1:36 3 9 CAR 49 Cam Newton right end for 2 yards (tackle by Paul Worrilow) 21 20 1.02 0 30.5
4 1:28 3 9 CAR 49 Timeout #3 by Atlanta Falcons 21 20 0 0
4 1:28 4 7 ATL 49 Brad Nortman punts 37 yards, fair catch by Robert McClain 21 20 0 0.35 24.6
4 1:20 1 10 ATL 12 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Roddy White for 8 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 21 20 -0.35 0.29 34.4
4 0:59 2 2 ATL 20 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Harry Douglas for 6 yards (tackle by Melvin White) 21 20 0.29 0.67 40.8
4 0:55 1 10 ATL 26 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Roddy White for 8 yards (tackle by Melvin White) 21 20 0.67 1.21 52.9
4 0:39 2 2 ATL 34 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Harry Douglas for 9 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn) 21 20 1.21 1.8 69.0
4 0:31 1 10 ATL 43 Matt Ryan for no gain. Joe Hawley fumbles, recovered by Jason Snelling at ATL-27 21 20 1.8 -0.91 7.3
4 0:09 2 26 ATL 27 Penalty on ATL: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 21 20 -0.91 -1.58 0.0
4 0:09 2 26 ATL 27 Timeout #1 by Carolina Panthers 21 20 0 0
4 0:09 2 31 ATL 22 Matt Ryan pass complete short left to Tony Gonzalez for 9 yards 21 20 -1.58 -1.02 0.6
4 0:05 3 22 ATL 31 Matt Ryan pass incomplete deep left intended for Roddy White 21 20 -1.02 -1.31 7.8
End of Regulation2120-1.310
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).