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New England Patriots 37 at Buffalo Bills 22

Sunday, October 12, 2014
1234Final
New England Patriots (11-3-0)013101437
Buffalo Bills (8-6-0)077822

Game Info
Stadium Ralph Wilson Stadium
Start Time (ET) 1:02pm
Roof outdoors
Surface a_turf
Duration 3:20
Attendance 70,185
Weather 55 degrees relative humidity 45%, wind 6 mph
Vegas Line Buffalo Bills -1.0
Over/Under 44.0 (over)
Tickets Game Tickets
Officials
Referee Walt Coleman
Umpire Bill Schuster
Head Linesman Jerry Bergman
Field Judge Greg Gautreaux
Back Judge Rich Martinez
Side Judge Michael Banks
Line Judge Michael Spanier

Expected Points Summary

Expected points are an estimate of points per play based on down, distance, and yard line. Points given for offense and defense are offensive/defensive plays + penalties on which there was no play (eg, a false start). Special teams are all kicking + punting plays. Points are zeroed out at the end of halves.

Win Probability

Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Pass Targets

New England Patriots
Deep Left (0/1, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Brandon LaFell 1 0 0 0
Deep Middle (2/3, 60 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Rob Gronkowski 1 1 17 0
Brian Tyms 2 1 43 1
Deep Right (2/3, 89 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Julian Edelman 1 0 0 0
Rob Gronkowski 1 1 33 0
Brandon LaFell 1 1 56 1
Short Left (7/9, 63 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Aaron Dobson 1 1 9 0
Julian Edelman 4 3 32 0
Rob Gronkowski 2 2 19 0
Brandon LaFell 1 0 0 0
Shane Vereen 1 1 3 0
Short Middle (6/9, 69 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Julian Edelman 3 2 18 0
Rob Gronkowski 3 1 10 0
Brandon LaFell 2 2 35 1
Stevan Ridley 1 1 6 0
Short Right (10/12, 80 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
James Develin 1 1 2 0
Julian Edelman 4 4 41 0
Rob Gronkowski 2 2 15 0
Michael Hoomanawanui 1 1 15 0
Brandon LaFell 1 1 6 0
Shane Vereen 2 0 0 0
Tim Wright 1 1 1 1
Buffalo Bills
Deep Left (2/4, 37 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Marquise Goodwin 1 0 0 0
Chris Hogan 1 1 17 0
Sammy Watkins 2 1 20 0
Deep Middle (2/2, 46 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 1 1 22 0
Chris Hogan 1 1 24 0
Deep Right (1/2, 35 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Marquise Goodwin 1 0 0 0
Robert Woods 1 1 35 0
Short Left (7/12, 78 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 4 3 51 0
Chris Hogan 1 0 0 0
Fred Jackson 1 0 0 0
Robert Woods 6 4 27 0
Short Middle (6/9, 70 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 3 2 32 0
Marquise Goodwin 1 0 0 0
Chris Hogan 2 2 23 0
Fred Jackson 1 1 8 0
C.J. Spiller 1 0 0
Robert Woods 1 1 7 1
Short Right (6/9, 33 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 1 0 0 0
Chris Hogan 1 1 8 1
Fred Jackson 4 3 9 0
Sammy Watkins 1 1 7 0
Robert Woods 2 1 9 0

Rushing

New England Patriots
LE (4 rushes, 19 yards)
Att Yds TD
Brandon Bolden 2 -1 0
Julian Edelman 1 10 0
Stevan Ridley 1 10 0
LT (3 rushes, 6 yards)
Att Yds TD
Brandon Bolden 1 8 0
Stevan Ridley 2 -2 0
LG (2 rushes, 0 yards)
Att Yds TD
Shane Vereen 2 0 0
MD (13 rushes, 29 yards)
Att Yds TD
Brandon Bolden 2 5 0
Tom Brady 2 5 0
James Develin 1 0 0
Stevan Ridley 6 17 0
Shane Vereen 2 2 0
RG (3 rushes, -2 yards)
Att Yds TD
Brandon Bolden 1 -2 0
Stevan Ridley 1 -2 0
Shane Vereen 1 2 0
RT (0 rushes, 0 yards)RE (0 rushes, 0 yards)
Buffalo Bills
LE (1 rush, 5 yards)
Att Yds TD
Anthony Dixon 1 5 0
LT (1 rush, -3 yards)
Att Yds TD
C.J. Spiller 1 -3 0
LG (4 rushes, 15 yards)
Att Yds TD
Fred Jackson 2 8 0
C.J. Spiller 2 7 0
MD (14 rushes, 39 yards, 1 TD)
Att Yds TD
Anthony Dixon 5 17 0
Fred Jackson 8 18 1
C.J. Spiller 1 4 0
RG (0 rushes, 0 yards)RT (3 rushes, 12 yards)
Att Yds TD
Anthony Dixon 1 1 0
C.J. Spiller 2 11 0
RE (0 rushes, 0 yards)

New England Patriots Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 13:26 NWE 37 6 2:40 12 Punt View Drive »
2 1 6:39 NWE 20 11 5:42 62 Missed FG View Drive »
3 2 14:53 NWE 39 5 1:49 61 Touchdown View Drive »
4 2 10:41 NWE 32 3 1:58 -6 Punt View Drive »
5 2 3:52 NWE 20 3 1:37 3 Punt View Drive »
6 2 2:09 BUF 24 4 0:26 0 Field Goal View Drive »
7 2 0:52 NWE 42 3 0:38 -3 Punt View Drive »
8 2 0:06 BUF 42 2 0:06 7 Field Goal View Drive »
9 3 15:00 NWE 20 6 2:30 80 Touchdown View Drive »
10 3 5:33 NWE 22 6 2:25 56 Field Goal View Drive »
11 4 14:50 NWE 20 12 6:08 80 Touchdown View Drive »
12 4 5:58 NWE 7 7 3:09 93 Touchdown View Drive »
13 4 1:12 BUF 36 2 1:12 -2 End of Game View Drive »

Buffalo Bills Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 15:00 BUF 20 3 1:34 1 Punt View Drive »
2 1 10:46 BUF 20 8 4:07 30 Punt View Drive »
3 1 0:57 BUF 26 3 1:04 25 Interception View Drive »
4 2 13:04 BUF 6 3 2:23 9 Punt View Drive »
5 2 8:43 BUF 33 10 4:51 67 Touchdown View Drive »
6 2 2:15 BUF 26 1 0:06 -2 Fumble View Drive »
7 2 1:43 BUF 20 3 0:51 -7 Punt View Drive »
8 2 0:14 BUF 30 1 0:08 12 Fumble View Drive »
9 3 12:30 BUF 20 13 6:57 80 Touchdown View Drive »
10 3 3:08 BUF 33 6 3:18 20 Punt View Drive »
11 4 8:42 BUF 20 8 2:44 80 Touchdown View Drive »
12 4 2:49 BUF 20 7 1:37 16 Downs View Drive »

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail NWE BUF EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 65 yards, touchback 0 0 0 -0.28 53.8
1 15:00 1 10 BUF 20 C.J. Spiller left tackle for -3 yards (tackle by Alfonzo Dennard) 0 0 0.28 -0.79 50.6
1 14:23 2 13 BUF 17 Anthony Dixon up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Jamie Collins and Vince Wilfork) 0 0 -0.79 -0.82 50.5
1 13:38 3 9 BUF 21 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short left intended for Robert Woods 0 0 -0.82 -1.96 47.1
1 13:34 4 9 BUF 21 Colton Schmidt punts 42 yards, returned by Julian Edelman for no gain 0 0 -1.96 -1.4 48.7
1 13:26 1 10 NWE 37 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Rob Gronkowski for 7 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin) 0 0 1.4 1.8 47.5
1 12:44 2 3 NWE 44 Stevan Ridley right guard for -2 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Mario Williams) 0 0 1.8 0.83 50.4
1 12:04 3 5 NWE 42 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Rob Gronkowski for 10 yards (tackle by Corey Graham and Da'Norris Searcy) 0 0 0.83 2.39 45.6
1 11:31 1 10 BUF 48 Tom Brady pass incomplete deep left intended for Brandon LaFell 0 0 2.39 1.85 47.2
1 11:27 2 10 BUF 48 Tom Brady pass incomplete deep middle intended for Brian Tyms 0 0 1.85 1.16 49.3
1 11:20 2 10 BUF 48 Timeout #1 by New England Patriots 0 0 0 0
1 11:20 3 10 BUF 48 Penalty on Julian Edelman: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 0 0 1.16 0.5 51.3
1 11:20 3 15 NWE 47 Shane Vereen up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Kyle Williams) 0 0 0.5 -0.13 53.3
1 10:54 4 13 NWE 49 Ryan Allen punts 51 yards, touchback 0 0 -0.13 -0.28 53.7
1 10:46 1 10 BUF 20 C.J. Spiller left guard for 5 yards (tackle by Alfonzo Dennard) 0 0 0.28 0.41 54.1
1 10:08 2 5 BUF 25 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Robert Woods for 5 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo and Deontae Skinner) 0 0 0.41 0.94 55.7
1 9:32 1 10 BUF 30 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short left intended for Fred Jackson 0 0 0.94 0.39 54.0
1 9:27 2 10 BUF 30 Anthony Dixon up the middle for 5 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo and Patrick Chung) 0 0 0.39 0.37 54.0
1 8:48 3 5 BUF 35 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Scott Chandler for 15 yards (tackle by Kyle Arrington) 0 0 0.37 2.26 59.8
1 8:13 1 10 50 Anthony Dixon right tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Chandler Jones) 0 0 2.26 1.85 58.5
1 7:35 2 9 NWE 49 C.J. Spiller right tackle for -1 yards (tackle by Darrelle Revis) 0 0 1.85 1.03 56.0
1 6:52 3 10 50 Kyle Orton pass incomplete deep left intended for Marquise Goodwin 0 0 1.03 -0.06 52.6
1 6:47 4 10 50 Colton Schmidt punts 50 yards, touchback 0 0 -0.06 -0.28 51.9
1 6:39 1 10 NWE 20 Tom Brady pass incomplete deep right intended for Julian Edelman 0 0 0.28 -0.27 53.6
1 6:32 2 10 NWE 20 Stevan Ridley up the middle for 9 yards (tackle by Duke Williams and Corey Graham) 0 0 -0.27 0.23 52.0
1 5:54 3 1 NWE 29 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Rob Gronkowski for 9 yards (tackle by Duke Williams and Nigel Bradham) 0 0 0.23 1.47 48.0
1 5:20 1 10 NWE 38 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Michael Hoomanawanui for 15 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Jarius Wynn) 0 0 1.47 2.46 44.8
1 4:29 1 10 BUF 47 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Stevan Ridley for 6 yards (tackle by Corey Graham and Preston Brown) 0 0 2.46 2.72 43.8
1 3:58 2 4 BUF 41 Stevan Ridley up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Jerry Hughes and Keith Rivers) 0 0 2.72 2.41 44.8
1 3:22 3 1 BUF 38 Stevan Ridley left tackle for no gain (tackle by Brandon Spikes and Ty Powell). Penalty on Jerry Hughes: Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards 0 0 2.41 4.04 39.5
1 2:52 1 10 BUF 23 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Brandon LaFell for 6 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin) 0 0 4.04 4.38 38.3
1 2:17 2 4 BUF 17 Stevan Ridley up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Marcell Dareus) 0 0 4.38 4.28 38.5
1 1:38 3 1 BUF 14 James Develin up the middle for no gain (tackle by Kyle Williams and Ty Powell) 0 0 4.28 2.66 43.7
1 1:06 4 1 BUF 14 Penalty on Danny Aiken: False Start, 4 yards (no play) 0 0 2.66 2.3 44.8
1 1:01 4 5 BUF 18 Stephen Gostkowski 36 yard field goal no good 0 0 2.3 -0.67 54.9
1 0:57 1 10 BUF 26 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Fred Jackson for 8 yards (tackle by Casey Walker and Deontae Skinner) 0 0 0.67 1.21 56.7
1 0:12 2 2 BUF 34 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Scott Chandler for 17 yards (tackle by Devin McCourty) 0 0 1.21 2.32 60.4
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail NWE BUF EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 1 10 NWE 49 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short middle intended for Marquise Goodwin is intercepted by Jamie Collins at NWE-39 0 0 2.32 -1.53 47.3
2 14:53 1 10 NWE 39 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Julian Edelman for 8 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham) 0 0 1.53 2.07 45.5
2 14:19 2 2 NWE 47 Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Shane Vereen 0 0 2.07 1.36 47.9
2 14:14 3 2 NWE 47 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Julian Edelman for 13 yards (tackle by Corey Graham) 0 0 1.36 2.92 42.5
2 13:42 1 10 BUF 40 Julian Edelman left end for 10 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 0 0 2.92 3.58 40.2
2 13:16 1 10 BUF 30 Tom Brady pass incomplete deep right intended for Julian Edelman. Penalty on Duke Williams: Defensive Pass Interference, 29 yards (no play) 0 0 3.58 6.97 29.2
2 13:08 1 1 BUF 1 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Tim Wright for 1 yard, touchdown 6 0 6.97 7 32.2
2 13:08 BUF 1 Stephen Gostkowski kicks extra point good 7 0 0 0 29.1
2 13:08 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 68 yards, returned by C.J. Spiller for 18 yards (tackle by Deontae Skinner). Penalty on Lee Smith: Offensive Holding, 6 yards 7 0 0 0.38 28.0
2 12:59 1 10 BUF 6 Fred Jackson up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo and Vince Wilfork) 7 0 -0.38 -0.63 27.2
2 12:18 2 8 BUF 8 Anthony Dixon up the middle for 6 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo) 7 0 -0.63 -0.48 27.4
2 11:45 3 2 BUF 14 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Robert Woods for 1 yard (tackle by Alfonzo Dennard) 7 0 -0.48 -2.44 21.8
2 11:03 4 1 BUF 15 Colton Schmidt punts 44 yards, returned by Julian Edelman for 9 yards (tackle by Garrison Sanborn). Penalty on Larry Dean: Offensive Holding (Offsetting), Penalty on Deontae Skinner: Illegal Block Above the Waist (Offsetting) (no play) 7 0 -2.44 -2.44 21.6
2 10:52 4 1 BUF 15 Colton Schmidt punts 58 yards, returned by Julian Edelman for 5 yards (tackle by Duke Williams) 7 0 -2.44 -1.07 25.3
2 10:41 1 10 NWE 32 Tom Brady sacked by Jerry Hughes for -9 yards 7 0 1.07 -0.69 30.6
2 10:01 2 19 NWE 23 Shane Vereen right guard for 2 yards (tackle by Nickell Robey) 7 0 -0.69 -1.09 31.7
2 9:24 3 17 NWE 25 Shane Vereen left guard for 1 yard (tackle by Preston Brown and Brandon Spikes) 7 0 -1.09 -1.63 33.3
2 8:52 4 16 NWE 26 Ryan Allen punts 50 yards, returned by Leodis McKelvin for 9 yards (tackle by Chris White) 7 0 -1.63 -1.14 31.5
2 8:43 1 10 BUF 33 Fred Jackson up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Vince Wilfork and Rob Ninkovich) 7 0 1.14 1.13 31.5
2 8:12 2 6 BUF 37 Fred Jackson up the middle for 8 yards (tackle by Chris Jones and Patrick Chung) 7 0 1.13 1.93 34.0
2 7:40 1 10 BUF 45 Anthony Dixon up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo and Chandler Jones) 7 0 1.93 1.79 33.4
2 7:18 2 7 BUF 48 Anthony Dixon left end for 5 yards (tackle by Darrelle Revis) 7 0 1.79 1.75 33.1
2 6:33 3 2 NWE 47 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Scott Chandler for 28 yards (tackle by Patrick Chung) 7 0 1.75 4.31 42.2
2 5:50 1 10 NWE 19 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short left intended for Scott Chandler 7 0 4.31 3.75 39.9
2 5:45 2 10 NWE 19 Fred Jackson up the middle for 5 yards (tackle by Chris Jones) 7 0 3.75 3.76 40.0
2 5:11 3 5 NWE 14 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Scott Chandler for 5 yards (tackle by Duron Harmon) 7 0 3.76 5.14 45.1
2 4:32 1 9 NWE 9 Fred Jackson up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Casey Walker and Patrick Chung) 7 0 5.14 4.76 43.5
2 3:57 2 7 NWE 7 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Robert Woods for 7 yards, touchdown 7 6 4.76 7 48.3
2 3:57 NWE 7 Dan Carpenter kicks extra point good 7 7 0 0 52.2
2 3:57 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 65 yards, touchback 7 7 0 -0.28 51.1
2 3:52 1 10 NWE 20 Tom Brady pass complete short right to James Develin for 2 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Leodis McKelvin) 7 7 0.28 0 52.2
2 3:13 2 8 NWE 22 Tom Brady up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Jerry Hughes) 7 7 0 -0.56 54.4
2 2:32 3 7 NWE 23 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Rob Gronkowski for 17 yards (tackle by Duke Williams). Rob Gronkowski fumbles (forced by Duke Williams), recovered by Rob Gronkowski at NWE-40. BUF challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was overturned. Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Rob Gronkowski (defended by Duke Williams) 7 7 -0.56 -1.83 59.5
2 2:28 4 7 NWE 23 Ryan Allen punts 54 yards, returned by Leodis McKelvin for 3 yards (tackle by Chris White) 7 7 -1.83 -0.67 54.9
2 2:15 1 10 BUF 26 Kyle Orton sacked by Chandler Jones for -3 yards. Kyle Orton fumbles (forced by Chandler Jones), recovered by Chandler Jones at BUF-24 (tackle by Cordy Glenn) 7 7 0.67 -3.97 36.4
2 2:09 1 10 BUF 24 Stevan Ridley up the middle for no gain (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Jerry Hughes) 7 7 3.97 3.43 38.5
2 2:00 2 10 BUF 24 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Brandon LaFell for 18 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Corey Graham). Penalty on Jerry Hughes: Defensive Offside (Offsetting), Penalty on Marcus Cannon: Offensive Holding (Offsetting) (no play) 7 7 3.43 3.43 38.4
2 1:54 2 10 BUF 24 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Brandon LaFell (defended by Nickell Robey) 7 7 3.43 2.74 41.1
2 1:50 3 10 BUF 24 Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Julian Edelman 7 7 2.74 1.87 44.6
2 1:47 4 10 BUF 24 Stephen Gostkowski 42 yard field goal good 10 7 1.87 3 40.1
2 1:47 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 65 yards, touchback 10 7 0 -0.28 41.2
2 1:43 1 10 BUF 20 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Fred Jackson for -1 yards (tackle by Rob Ninkovich and Chris Jones) 10 7 0.28 -0.46 38.2
2 1:13 2 11 BUF 19 Kyle Orton pass incomplete deep right intended for Marquise Goodwin 10 7 -0.46 -1.14 35.5
2 1:09 3 11 BUF 19 Kyle Orton sacked by Rob Ninkovich for -6 yards 10 7 -1.14 -2.49 30.4
2 1:04 3 11 BUF 19 Timeout #2 by New England Patriots 10 7 0 0
2 1:03 4 17 BUF 13 Colton Schmidt punts 52 yards, returned by Julian Edelman for 7 yards (tackle by Corey Graham) 10 7 -2.49 -1.73 33.2
2 0:52 1 10 NWE 42 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Shane Vereen for 3 yards (tackle by Marcell Dareus and Jerry Hughes) 10 7 1.73 1.59 33.7
2 0:30 2 7 NWE 45 Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Rob Gronkowski 10 7 1.59 0.89 36.2
2 0:30 3 7 NWE 45 Tom Brady sacked by Mario Williams for -6 yards 10 7 0.89 -0.78 42.9
2 0:20 3 7 NWE 45 Timeout #1 by Buffalo Bills 10 7 0 0
2 0:20 4 13 NWE 39 Ryan Allen punts 31 yards, out of bounds 10 7 -0.78 -0.94 43.6
2 0:14 4 13 NWE 39 Timeout #3 by New England Patriots 10 7 0 0
2 0:14 1 10 BUF 30 C.J. Spiller right tackle for 12 yards (tackle by Devin McCourty). C.J. Spiller fumbles (forced by Devin McCourty), recovered by Zach Moore at BUF-42 10 7 0.94 -2.79 29.0
2 0:06 1 10 BUF 30 Timeout #2 by Buffalo Bills 10 7 0 0
2 0:06 1 10 BUF 42 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Julian Edelman for 7 yards 10 7 2.79 3.19 27.5
2 0:03 2 3 BUF 35 Stephen Gostkowski 53 yard field goal good 13 7 3.19 3 28.2
End of Half13700
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail NWE BUF EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 65 yards, touchback 13 7 0 0.28 27.2
3 15:00 1 10 NWE 20 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Aaron Dobson for 9 yards (tackle by Corey Graham) 13 7 0.28 0.95 24.9
3 14:42 2 1 NWE 29 Stevan Ridley left end for 10 yards (tackle by Brandon Spikes) 13 7 0.95 1.53 22.9
3 14:23 1 10 NWE 39 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Julian Edelman for 5 yards 13 7 1.53 1.66 22.3
3 14:03 2 5 NWE 44 Stevan Ridley up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Jerry Hughes and Nigel Bradham) 13 7 1.66 1.09 24.0
3 14:03 3 4 NWE 45 Penalty on Aaron Dobson: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 13 7 1.09 0.43 26.3
3 13:08 3 9 NWE 40 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Brandon LaFell for 17 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Corey Graham) 13 7 0.43 2.72 18.6
3 12:38 1 10 BUF 43 Tom Brady pass complete deep middle to Brian Tyms for 43 yards, touchdown. Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was upheld. 19 7 2.72 7 10.3
3 12:38 1 10 BUF 43 Penalty on Josh Kline: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 19 7 2.72 0 10.3
3 12:38 BUF 43 Stephen Gostkowski kicks extra point good 20 7 0 0 8.5
3 12:38 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 65 yards, touchback 20 7 0 -0.28 9.0
3 12:30 1 10 BUF 20 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Robert Woods for 9 yards (tackle by Patrick Chung and Deontae Skinner). Penalty on Alfonzo Dennard: Illegal Use of Hands (Declined) 20 7 0.28 0.95 10.2
3 12:19 2 1 BUF 29 C.J. Spiller left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Chandler Jones) 20 7 0.95 1 10.2
3 11:44 1 10 BUF 31 Fred Jackson left guard for 6 yards (tackle by Chandler Jones and Jamie Collins) 20 7 1 1.27 10.5
3 11:12 2 4 BUF 37 Fred Jackson left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Vince Wilfork and Rob Ninkovich) 20 7 1.27 0.83 9.4
3 10:31 3 2 BUF 39 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Robert Woods for 13 yards 20 7 0.83 2.39 12.3
3 10:10 1 10 NWE 48 Fred Jackson up the middle for no gain (tackle by Casey Walker and Vince Wilfork) 20 7 2.39 1.85 10.9
3 9:31 2 10 NWE 48 Anthony Dixon up the middle for -1 yards (tackle by Patrick Chung and Jamie Collins) 20 7 1.85 1.03 9.0
3 8:44 3 11 NWE 49 Kyle Orton pass complete deep middle to Scott Chandler for 22 yards (tackle by Tavon Wilson and Devin McCourty) 20 7 1.03 3.78 14.9
3 8:03 1 10 NWE 27 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Deontae Skinner and Vince Wilfork) 20 7 3.78 3.77 14.5
3 7:26 2 6 NWE 23 Kyle Orton pass complete deep left to Sammy Watkins for 20 yards (tackle by Darrelle Revis) 20 7 3.77 6.51 22.9
3 6:50 1 3 NWE 3 Fred Jackson up the middle for -4 yards (tackle by Patrick Chung) 20 7 6.51 4.76 16.6
3 6:14 2 7 NWE 7 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Chris Hogan for 6 yards (tackle by Devin McCourty) 20 7 4.76 5.17 17.6
3 5:35 3 1 NWE 1 Fred Jackson up the middle for 1 yard, touchdown 20 13 5.17 7 20.0
3 5:35 NWE 1 Dan Carpenter kicks extra point good 20 14 0 0 23.7
3 5:35 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 64 yards, returned by Patrick Chung for 21 yards (tackle by Larry Dean) 20 14 0 -0.41 22.1
3 5:26 1 10 NWE 22 Tom Brady pass complete deep right to Rob Gronkowski for 33 yards (tackle by Duke Williams and Corey Graham) 20 14 0.41 2.59 14.7
3 4:52 1 10 BUF 45 Stevan Ridley up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Brandon Spikes) 20 14 2.59 2.18 15.6
3 4:10 2 9 BUF 44 Tom Brady pass incomplete deep right intended for Rob Gronkowski. Penalty on Duke Williams: Defensive Pass Interference, 17 yards (no play) 20 14 2.18 3.78 10.7
3 4:05 1 10 BUF 27 Stevan Ridley left tackle for -2 yards (tackle by Stephon Gilmore) 20 14 3.78 2.96 12.8
3 3:35 2 12 BUF 29 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Julian Edelman for 7 yards (tackle by Keith Rivers) 20 14 2.96 3.2 11.8
3 3:17 3 5 BUF 22 Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Shane Vereen 20 14 3.2 2.04 14.9
3 3:12 4 5 BUF 22 Stephen Gostkowski 40 yard field goal good 23 14 2.04 3 12.1
3 3:12 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 69 yards, returned by C.J. Spiller for 37 yards (tackle by Kyle Arrington) 23 14 0 -1.14 15.4
3 3:02 1 10 BUF 33 Kyle Orton sacked by Deontae Skinner for -10 yards 23 14 1.14 -0.76 10.0
3 2:16 2 20 BUF 23 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Scott Chandler for 18 yards (tackle by Jamie Collins) 23 14 -0.76 0.96 14.2
3 1:38 3 2 BUF 41 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Robert Woods for 30 yards (tackle by Devin McCourty and Alfonzo Dennard). Penalty on Sammy Watkins: Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards (no play) 23 14 0.96 -0.36 10.0
3 1:11 3 12 BUF 31 Kyle Orton pass complete deep middle to Chris Hogan for 24 yards (tackle by Kyle Arrington and Duron Harmon). Penalty on Duron Harmon: Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards 23 14 -0.36 3.58 23.1
3 0:53 1 10 NWE 30 Kyle Orton pass incomplete deep left intended for Sammy Watkins 23 14 3.58 3.03 20.5
3 0:48 2 10 NWE 30 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Robert Woods for 9 yards (tackle by Alfonzo Dennard). Penalty on BUF: Illegal Formation (Declined), Penalty on Robert Woods: Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards (no play) 23 14 3.03 1.68 15.4
3 0:30 2 20 NWE 40 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short right intended for Robert Woods 23 14 1.68 1.02 13.0
3 0:26 3 20 NWE 40 Kyle Orton sacked by Rob Ninkovich for -7 yards 23 14 1.02 0.13 10.4
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail NWE BUF EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 4 27 NWE 47 Colton Schmidt punts 47 yards, touchback 23 14 0.13 -0.28 9.0
4 14:50 1 10 NWE 20 Shane Vereen up the middle for no gain (tackle by Keith Rivers and Brandon Spikes) 23 14 0.28 -0.27 10.3
4 14:12 2 10 NWE 20 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Julian Edelman for 17 yards 23 14 -0.27 1.4 6.1
4 13:55 1 10 NWE 37 Brandon Bolden left end for 1 yard (tackle by Brandon Spikes) 23 14 1.4 0.99 6.7
4 13:23 2 9 NWE 38 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Julian Edelman for 5 yards (tackle by Nickell Robey and Duke Williams). Penalty on Jerry Hughes: Roughing the Passer, 15 yards 23 14 0.99 2.79 3.5
4 13:10 1 10 BUF 42 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Julian Edelman for 9 yards (tackle by Brandon Spikes) 23 14 2.79 3.46 2.6
4 12:44 2 1 BUF 33 Brandon Bolden up the middle for no gain (tackle by Jerry Hughes and Brandon Spikes) 23 14 3.46 2.74 3.2
4 12:02 3 1 BUF 33 Tom Brady up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Stefan Charles) 23 14 2.74 3.64 2.0
4 11:26 1 10 BUF 29 Brandon Bolden up the middle for 5 yards (tackle by Keith Rivers) 23 14 3.64 3.78 1.6
4 10:51 2 5 BUF 24 Brandon Bolden left tackle for 8 yards (tackle by Stephon Gilmore and Keith Rivers) 23 14 3.78 4.51 1.0
4 10:12 1 10 BUF 16 Brandon Bolden right guard for -2 yards (tackle by Mario Williams) 23 14 4.51 3.64 1.3
4 9:34 2 12 BUF 18 Tom Brady pass complete deep right to Rob Gronkowski for 18 yards. Penalty on Jordan Devey: Offensive Holding, 10 yards (no play) 23 14 3.64 2.34 1.9
4 9:29 2 22 BUF 28 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Rob Gronkowski for 10 yards (tackle by Mario Williams) 23 14 2.34 2.94 1.4
4 8:47 3 12 BUF 18 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Brandon LaFell for 18 yards, touchdown 29 14 2.94 7 0.2
4 8:47 BUF 18 Stephen Gostkowski kicks extra point good 30 14 0 0 0.1
4 8:47 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 65 yards, touchback 30 14 0 -0.28 0.1
4 8:42 1 10 BUF 20 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short middle intended for C.J. Spiller 30 14 0.28 -0.27 0.1
4 8:37 2 10 BUF 20 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Fred Jackson for 12 yards (tackle by Patrick Chung and Kyle Arrington) 30 14 -0.27 1.07 0.2
4 8:07 1 10 BUF 32 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short middle intended for Scott Chandler 30 14 1.07 0.53 0.1
4 8:03 2 10 BUF 32 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short left intended for Chris Hogan 30 14 0.53 -0.16 0.1
4 7:57 3 10 BUF 32 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Robert Woods for 8 yards (tackle by Devin McCourty) 30 14 -0.16 -0.72 0.0
4 7:15 4 2 BUF 40 Kyle Orton pass complete deep right to Robert Woods for 35 yards (tackle by Alfonzo Dennard) 30 14 -0.72 3.91 0.5
4 6:41 1 10 NWE 25 Kyle Orton pass complete deep left to Chris Hogan for 17 yards (tackle by Devin McCourty) 30 14 3.91 5.37 1.0
4 6:03 1 8 NWE 8 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Chris Hogan for 8 yards, touchdown 30 20 5.37 7 1.1
4 6:03 1 8 NWE 8 Two Point Attempt: Kyle Orton pass complete to Robert Woods, conversion succeeds. Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was upheld. 30 22 0 1 3.3
4 6:03 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 60 yards, returned by Patrick Chung for 18 yards (tackle by Anthony Dixon). Penalty on Duron Harmon: Illegal Block Above the Waist, 6 yards 30 22 0 0.38 4.0
4 5:52 1 10 NWE 7 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Rob Gronkowski for 8 yards (tackle by Duke Williams) 30 22 -0.38 -0.14 3.3
4 5:19 2 2 NWE 15 Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Rob Gronkowski (defended by Leodis McKelvin). Penalty on Jarius Wynn: Defensive Offside, 5 yards (no play) 30 22 -0.14 0.28 2.1
4 5:13 1 10 NWE 20 Brandon Bolden right tackle for no gain (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Kyle Williams). Penalty on Brandon LaFell: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 30 22 0.28 -0.31 2.9
4 5:13 1 15 NWE 15 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Julian Edelman for 20 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin and Nigel Bradham) 30 22 -0.31 1.27 1.1
4 4:31 1 10 NWE 35 Penalty on Nate Solder: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 30 22 1.27 0.94 0.9
4 4:30 1 15 NWE 30 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Julian Edelman 30 22 0.94 0.05 1.6
4 4:26 2 15 NWE 30 Shane Vereen left guard for -1 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Marcell Dareus) 30 22 0.05 -0.76 2.6
4 3:48 3 16 NWE 29 Tom Brady pass complete deep middle to Rob Gronkowski for 17 yards (tackle by Duke Williams) 30 22 -0.76 1.99 0.2
4 3:07 1 10 NWE 46 Brandon Bolden left end for -2 yards (tackle by Stephon Gilmore) 30 22 1.99 1.18 0.2
4 3:00 1 10 NWE 46 Timeout #1 by Buffalo Bills 30 22 0 0
4 3:00 2 12 NWE 44 Tom Brady pass complete deep right to Brandon LaFell for 56 yards, touchdown 36 22 1.18 7 0.0
4 3:00 NWE 44 Stephen Gostkowski kicks extra point good 37 22 0 0 0.0
4 3:00 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 65 yards, touchback 37 22 0 -0.28 0.0
4 2:49 2 12 NWE 44 Timeout #1 by New England Patriots 37 22 0 0
4 2:49 1 10 BUF 20 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short left intended for Robert Woods 37 22 0.28 -0.27 0.0
4 2:45 2 10 BUF 20 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Fred Jackson for -2 yards (tackle by Alfonzo Dennard and Patrick Chung) 37 22 -0.27 -1.33 0.0
4 2:15 3 12 BUF 18 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Chris Hogan for 17 yards (tackle by Duron Harmon) 37 22 -1.33 1.27 0.0
4 2:00 1 10 BUF 35 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short right intended for Fred Jackson 37 22 1.27 0.72 0.0
4 1:55 2 10 BUF 35 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Sammy Watkins for 7 yards (tackle by Darrelle Revis) 37 22 0.72 0.96 0.0
4 1:48 3 3 BUF 42 Kyle Orton sacked by Rob Ninkovich for -6 yards 37 22 0.96 -0.98 0.0
4 1:15 4 9 BUF 36 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short right intended for Scott Chandler 37 22 -0.98 -3.18 0.0
4 1:12 1 10 BUF 36 Tom Brady kneels for -1 yards 37 22 3.18 2.5 0.0
4 0:34 2 11 BUF 37 Tom Brady kneels for -1 yards 37 22 2.5 1.69 0.0
End of Regulation37221.690
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).