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Green Bay Packers 13 at Buffalo Bills 21

Sunday, December 14, 2014
1234Final
Green Bay Packers (11-4-0)370313
Buffalo Bills (8-7-0)736521

Game Info
Stadium Ralph Wilson Stadium
Start Time (ET) 1:02pm
Roof outdoors
Surface a_turf
Duration 3:14
Attendance 70,214
Weather 38 degrees relative humidity 89%, wind 10 mph
Vegas Line Green Bay Packers -4.0
Over/Under 50.0 (under)
Tickets Game Tickets
Officials
Referee Bill Leavy
Umpire Fred Bryan
Head Linesman Wayne Mackie
Field Judge Jimmy Buchanan
Back Judge Keith Ferguson
Side Judge Scott Novak
Line Judge Mark Perlman

Expected Points Summary

Expected points are an estimate of points per play based on down, distance, and yard line. Points given for offense and defense are offensive/defensive plays + penalties on which there was no play (eg, a false start). Special teams are all kicking + punting plays. Points are zeroed out at the end of halves.

Win Probability

Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Pass Targets

Green Bay Packers
Deep Left (0/5, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Davante Adams 2 0 0 0
Randall Cobb 2 0 0 0
Jordy Nelson 1 0 0 0
Deep Middle (1/1, 20 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Randall Cobb 1 1 20 0
Deep Right (0/4, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Jordy Nelson 3 0 0 0
Andrew Quarless 1 0 0 0
Short Left (4/10, 39 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Davante Adams 2 1 6 0
Randall Cobb 2 1 17 0
Jordy Nelson 4 1 6 0
Andrew Quarless 1 0 0 0
James Starks 1 1 10 0
Short Middle (4/7, 42 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Jarrett Boykin 1 0 0
Randall Cobb 3 1 16 0
Eddie Lacy 1 1 -1 0
Jordy Nelson 2 2 27 0
Short Right (8/14, 84 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Randall Cobb 5 4 43 0
Eddie Lacy 1 1 12 0
Jordy Nelson 2 2 22 0
Andrew Quarless 2 1 7 0
Richard Rodgers 2 0 0
James Starks 2 0 0 0
Buffalo Bills
Deep Left (3/3, 86 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Bryce Brown 1 1 40 0
Sammy Watkins 1 1 28 0
Robert Woods 1 1 18 0
Deep Middle (0/0, 0 yards)Deep Right (0/2, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Sammy Watkins 1 0 0 0
Robert Woods 1 0 0 0
Short Left (2/6, 26 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Fred Jackson 2 2 26 0
Sammy Watkins 3 0 0 0
Robert Woods 1 0 0 0
Short Middle (3/8, 21 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Bryce Brown 1 0 0 0
Scott Chandler 1 1 12 0
Anthony Dixon 1 1 5 0
Chris Hogan 1 0 0 0
Fred Jackson 2 0 0 0
Robert Woods 2 1 4 0
Short Right (6/8, 25 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 1 1 10 0
MarQueis Gray 1 1 7 0
Chris Hogan 1 1 6 0
Fred Jackson 2 1 1 0
Lee Smith 2 2 1 0
Sammy Watkins 1 0 0 0

Rushing

Green Bay Packers
LE (3 rushes, 15 yards)
Att Yds TD
Randall Cobb 1 0 0
Aaron Rodgers 1 3 0
James Starks 1 12 0
LT (4 rushes, 23 yards)
Att Yds TD
Eddie Lacy 3 18 0
Aaron Rodgers 1 5 0
LG (6 rushes, 49 yards)
Att Yds TD
Eddie Lacy 4 28 0
Aaron Rodgers 1 19 0
James Starks 1 2 0
MD (3 rushes, 18 yards)
Att Yds TD
Randall Cobb 1 12 0
Eddie Lacy 2 6 0
RG (2 rushes, 37 yards)
Att Yds TD
Eddie Lacy 2 37 0
RT (7 rushes, 16 yards, 1 TD)
Att Yds TD
Randall Cobb 1 3 0
Eddie Lacy 4 8 1
James Starks 2 5 0
RE (0 rushes, 0 yards)
Buffalo Bills
LE (0 rushes, 0 yards)LT (3 rushes, 21 yards)
Att Yds TD
Bryce Brown 2 15 0
Fred Jackson 1 6 0
LG (7 rushes, 30 yards)
Att Yds TD
Bryce Brown 1 2 0
Anthony Dixon 1 1 0
Fred Jackson 5 27 0
MD (16 rushes, 51 yards)
Att Yds TD
Bryce Brown 1 3 0
Anthony Dixon 2 12 0
Fred Jackson 13 36 0
RG (2 rushes, 5 yards)
Att Yds TD
Anthony Dixon 1 3 0
Fred Jackson 1 2 0
RT (2 rushes, 10 yards)
Att Yds TD
Anthony Dixon 2 10 0
RE (0 rushes, 0 yards)

Green Bay Packers Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 15:00 GNB 20 4 1:41 15 Punt View Drive »
2 1 10:10 GNB 14 3 0:49 1 Punt View Drive »
3 1 7:51 GNB 20 10 3:24 53 Field Goal View Drive »
4 1 3:21 GNB 39 3 1:12 5 Punt View Drive »
5 1 2:09 GNB 20 7 2:55 80 Touchdown View Drive »
6 2 8:04 GNB 40 7 2:03 25 Missed FG View Drive »
7 2 4:35 GNB 25 3 1:40 -14 Punt View Drive »
8 2 2:44 GNB 19 5 1:06 16 Punt View Drive »
9 3 9:21 GNB 20 4 1:45 19 Punt View Drive »
10 3 4:18 GNB 20 2 0:48 3 Interception View Drive »
11 3 1:03 GNB 2 12 5:00 64 Interception View Drive »
12 4 9:23 GNB 18 10 4:32 66 Field Goal View Drive »
13 4 1:58 GNB 10 1 0:07 -10 Safety View Drive »

Buffalo Bills Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 13:19 BUF 26 5 3:09 19 Punt View Drive »
2 1 9:21 GNB 48 3 1:30 -9 Punt View Drive »
3 1 4:27 BUF 26 3 1:06 -8 Punt View Drive »
4 2 14:14 BUF 20 10 6:10 71 Field Goal View Drive »
5 2 6:01 BUF 34 3 1:26 4 Punt View Drive »
6 2 2:55 BUF 37 2 0:11 0 Interception View Drive »
7 2 1:38 BUF 2 3 1:38 9 End of Half View Drive »
8 3 15:00 BUF 27 11 5:39 40 Field Goal View Drive »
9 3 7:36 BUF 22 8 3:18 61 Field Goal View Drive »
10 3 3:30 GNB 29 3 2:27 -15 Punt View Drive »
11 4 11:03 BUF 48 5 1:40 22 Field Goal View Drive »
12 4 4:51 BUF 20 8 2:53 33 Punt View Drive »
13 4 1:51 GNB 33 3 1:51 -4 End of Game View Drive »

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail GNB BUF EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 65 yards, touchback 0 0 0 -0.28 37.5
1 15:00 1 10 GNB 20 Eddie Lacy left tackle for 12 yards (tackle by Duke Williams and Aaron Williams) 0 0 0.28 1.07 35.3
1 14:34 1 10 GNB 32 Eddie Lacy left tackle for 3 yards (tackle by Stephon Gilmore and Jerry Hughes) 0 0 1.07 0.93 35.7
1 14:03 2 7 GNB 35 Eddie Lacy left guard for no gain (tackle by Jerry Hughes and Marcell Dareus) 0 0 0.93 0.23 37.8
1 13:32 3 7 GNB 35 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short left intended for Andrew Quarless (defended by Ron Brooks) 0 0 0.23 -1.04 41.5
1 13:28 4 7 GNB 35 Tim Masthay punts 39 yards, returned by Marcus Thigpen for no gain 0 0 -1.04 -0.67 40.4
1 13:19 1 10 BUF 26 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to MarQueis Gray for 7 yards (tackle by Julius Peppers) 0 0 0.67 1.07 41.6
1 12:51 2 3 BUF 33 Fred Jackson up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Letroy Guion and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) 0 0 1.07 1.4 42.6
1 12:14 1 10 BUF 37 Fred Jackson left guard for 6 yards (tackle by Sam Barrington) 0 0 1.4 1.67 43.5
1 11:31 2 4 BUF 43 Bryce Brown left tackle for 3 yards (tackle by Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) 0 0 1.67 1.36 42.7
1 10:56 3 1 BUF 46 Fred Jackson up the middle for -1 yards (tackle by A.J. Hawk and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) 0 0 1.36 -0.39 37.6
1 10:18 4 2 BUF 45 Colton Schmidt punts 41 yards, out of bounds 0 0 -0.39 0.28 39.6
1 10:10 1 10 GNB 14 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short right to Jordy Nelson for 6 yards (tackle by Corey Graham) 0 0 -0.28 0.15 38.3
1 9:40 2 4 GNB 20 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete deep left intended for Davante Adams 0 0 0.15 -0.68 40.9
1 9:35 3 4 GNB 20 Penalty on Bryan Bulaga: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 0 0 -0.68 -1.28 42.7
1 9:35 3 9 GNB 15 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete deep right intended for Jordy Nelson 0 0 -1.28 -2.44 46.3
1 9:30 4 9 GNB 15 Tim Masthay punts 33 yards 0 0 -2.44 -2.39 46.1
1 9:21 1 10 GNB 48 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short left intended for Sammy Watkins 0 0 2.39 1.85 44.5
1 9:16 2 10 GNB 48 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Robert Woods for 24 yards (tackle by Mike Daniels). Penalty on Sammy Watkins: Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards (no play) 0 0 1.85 0.5 40.4
1 8:49 2 20 BUF 42 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Fred Jackson for 1 yard (tackle by Clay Matthews and Morgan Burnett) 0 0 0.5 -0.03 38.8
1 8:05 3 19 BUF 43 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short middle intended for Bryce Brown 0 0 -0.03 -0.52 37.4
1 7:59 4 19 BUF 43 Colton Schmidt punts 37 yards, out of bounds 0 0 -0.52 -0.28 38.2
1 7:51 1 10 GNB 20 James Starks left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Brandon Spikes) 0 0 0.28 0 39.0
1 7:26 2 8 GNB 22 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete deep left intended for Randall Cobb 0 0 0 -0.69 41.2
1 7:21 3 8 GNB 22 Aaron Rodgers left guard for 19 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams). Penalty on Corey Graham: Defensive Holding, 5 yards 0 0 -0.69 1.99 33.1
1 6:53 1 10 GNB 46 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short left intended for Jordy Nelson 0 0 1.99 1.45 34.7
1 6:49 2 10 GNB 46 James Starks right tackle for 4 yards (tackle by Corey Graham and Preston Brown) 0 0 1.45 1.29 35.2
1 6:15 3 6 50 Penalty on Marcell Dareus: Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards (no play) 0 0 1.29 1.95 33.3
1 5:54 3 1 BUF 45 James Starks left end for 12 yards (tackle by Corey Graham and Preston Brown) 0 0 1.95 3.38 29.2
1 5:25 1 10 BUF 33 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short right intended for James Starks 0 0 3.38 2.84 30.8
1 5:17 2 10 BUF 33 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short left to Jordy Nelson for 6 yards (tackle by Stephon Gilmore) 0 0 2.84 2.94 30.5
1 4:35 3 4 BUF 27 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short left intended for Jordy Nelson (defended by Stephon Gilmore) 0 0 2.94 1.75 34.0
1 4:31 4 4 BUF 27 Mason Crosby 45 yard field goal good 3 0 1.75 3 30.3
1 4:31 GNB 35 Mason Crosby kicks off 54 yards, returned by Anthony Dixon for 15 yards (tackle by Jayrone Elliott) 3 0 0 -0.67 32.3
1 4:21 1 10 BUF 26 Kyle Orton sacked by Letroy Guion for -8 yards 3 0 0.67 -1.05 27.4
1 3:43 2 18 BUF 18 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short middle intended for Fred Jackson 3 0 -1.05 -1.8 25.4
1 3:38 3 18 BUF 18 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short right intended for Fred Jackson 3 0 -1.8 -2.24 24.2
1 3:32 4 18 BUF 18 Colton Schmidt punts 48 yards, returned by Randall Cobb for 5 yards (tackle by Ron Brooks) 3 0 -2.24 -1.53 26.1
1 3:21 1 10 GNB 39 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete deep right intended for Jordy Nelson (defended by Corey Graham) 3 0 1.53 0.99 27.5
1 3:16 2 10 GNB 39 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short right intended for Richard Rodgers (defended by Nigel Bradham) 3 0 0.99 0.3 29.5
1 3:08 3 10 GNB 39 Aaron Rodgers left tackle for 5 yards (tackle by Preston Brown) 3 0 0.3 -0.46 31.7
1 2:27 4 5 GNB 44 Tim Masthay punts 31 yards, returned by Marcus Thigpen for 75 yards, touchdown 3 6 -0.46 -7 49.5
1 2:09 GNB 44 Dan Carpenter kicks extra point good 3 7 0 0 52.9
1 2:09 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 65 yards, touchback 3 7 0 -0.28 51.9
1 2:09 1 10 GNB 20 Eddie Lacy right guard for 15 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams and Stefan Charles) 3 7 0.28 1.27 48.6
1 1:41 1 10 GNB 35 Eddie Lacy left guard for 17 yards (tackle by Duke Williams) 3 7 1.27 2.39 45.0
1 1:04 1 10 BUF 48 Eddie Lacy right guard for 22 yards (tackle by Duke Williams) 3 7 2.39 3.84 40.3
1 0:42 1 10 BUF 26 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete deep right intended for Jordy Nelson. Penalty on BUF: Defensive Offside, 5 yards (no play) 3 7 3.84 4.57 37.9
1 0:42 1 5 BUF 21 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short middle to Jordy Nelson for 7 yards (tackle by Duke Williams) 3 7 4.57 4.65 37.7
1 0:00 1 10 BUF 14 Eddie Lacy left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Marcell Dareus and Aaron Williams) 3 7 4.65 4.33 38.7
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail GNB BUF EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 2 8 BUF 12 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short right to Randall Cobb for 11 yards (tackle by Nickell Robey and Aaron Williams) 3 7 4.33 6.97 30.4
2 14:19 1 1 BUF 1 Eddie Lacy right tackle for 1 yard, touchdown 9 7 6.97 7 33.4
2 14:19 BUF 1 Mason Crosby kicks extra point good 10 7 0 0 30.3
2 14:19 GNB 35 Mason Crosby kicks off 65 yards, touchback 10 7 0 -0.28 31.2
2 14:14 1 10 BUF 20 Fred Jackson left guard for 3 yards (tackle by Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and Mike Daniels) 10 7 0.28 0.14 30.8
2 13:39 2 7 BUF 23 Kyle Orton pass complete deep left to Sammy Watkins for 28 yards (tackle by Sam Shields and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) 10 7 0.14 2.32 37.7
2 13:01 1 10 GNB 49 Bryce Brown left tackle for 12 yards (tackle by Sam Shields and Morgan Burnett) 10 7 2.32 3.12 40.5
2 12:27 1 10 GNB 37 Kyle Orton pass complete deep left to Robert Woods for 18 yards 10 7 3.12 4.31 44.7
2 12:11 1 10 GNB 19 Penalty on Cordy Glenn: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 10 7 4.31 3.97 43.5
2 11:51 1 15 GNB 24 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Fred Jackson for 6 yards (tackle by Micah Hyde and Sam Shields) 10 7 3.97 3.88 43.3
2 11:20 2 9 GNB 18 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Scott Chandler for 10 yards (tackle by Tramon Williams and Morgan Burnett) 10 7 3.88 5.37 48.6
2 10:54 1 8 GNB 8 Fred Jackson up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Sam Barrington). Penalty on Cordy Glenn: Offensive Holding, 10 yards (no play) 10 7 5.37 4.24 44.7
2 10:33 1 18 GNB 18 Fred Jackson up the middle for -5 yards (tackle by Mike Daniels) 10 7 4.24 2.6 39.0
2 9:52 2 23 GNB 23 Kyle Orton pass incomplete deep right intended for Robert Woods. Penalty on Josh Boyd: Defensive Offside, 5 yards (no play) 10 7 2.6 3.15 41.0
2 9:47 2 18 GNB 18 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Anthony Dixon for -2 yards (tackle by Julius Peppers and Sam Barrington). Penalty on Sam Barrington: Horse Collar Tackle (Offsetting), Penalty on Robert Woods: Offensive Holding (Offsetting) (no play) 10 7 3.15 3.15 41.0
2 9:29 2 18 GNB 18 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Robert Woods for 4 yards (tackle by Sam Barrington) 10 7 3.15 3 40.5
2 8:48 3 14 GNB 14 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Anthony Dixon for 5 yards (tackle by Brad Jones) 10 7 3 2.83 40.0
2 8:07 4 9 GNB 9 Dan Carpenter 27 yard field goal good 10 10 2.83 3 40.6
2 8:07 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 64 yards, out of bounds 10 10 0 -1.6 35.0
2 8:04 1 10 GNB 40 Penalty on John Kuhn: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 10 10 1.6 1.27 36.1
2 8:04 1 10 GNB 40 Timeout #1 by Green Bay Packers 10 10 0 0
2 8:04 1 15 GNB 35 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short right to Randall Cobb for 19 yards (tackle by Corey Graham) 10 10 1.27 2.52 31.9
2 7:34 1 10 BUF 46 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short right intended for James Starks 10 10 2.52 1.98 33.7
2 7:28 2 10 BUF 46 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short left to James Starks for 10 yards (tackle by Marcell Dareus and Preston Brown) 10 10 1.98 3.18 29.7
2 6:52 1 10 BUF 36 James Starks right tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Nickell Robey) 10 10 3.18 2.77 31.0
2 6:19 2 9 BUF 35 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short left intended for Jordy Nelson (defended by Stephon Gilmore) 10 10 2.77 2.08 33.4
2 6:15 2 9 BUF 35 Timeout #2 by Green Bay Packers 10 10 0 0
2 6:15 3 9 BUF 35 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete deep left intended for Davante Adams 10 10 2.08 0.97 37.3
2 6:10 4 9 BUF 35 Mason Crosby 53 yard field goal no good, blocked by Mario Williams 10 10 0.97 -1.2 45.4
2 6:01 1 10 BUF 34 Fred Jackson up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Sam Barrington and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) 10 10 1.2 1.06 44.9
2 5:34 2 7 BUF 37 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short left intended for Sammy Watkins 10 10 1.06 0.37 42.3
2 5:30 3 7 BUF 37 Penalty on Sammy Watkins: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 10 10 0.37 -0.3 39.8
2 5:30 3 12 BUF 32 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Chris Hogan for 6 yards (tackle by Brad Jones) 10 10 -0.3 -0.85 37.8
2 4:58 4 6 BUF 38 Colton Schmidt punts 37 yards 10 10 -0.85 -0.61 38.7
2 4:35 1 10 GNB 25 Eddie Lacy right tackle for no gain (tackle by Stefan Charles and Nigel Bradham) 10 10 0.61 0.06 40.9
2 4:15 2 10 GNB 25 Eddie Lacy right tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Duke Williams and Corbin Bryant) 10 10 0.06 -0.49 43.0
2 3:31 3 9 GNB 26 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short left intended for Davante Adams 10 10 -0.49 -1.63 47.6
2 3:25 4 9 GNB 26 Tim Masthay punts 38 yards. Penalty on Sean Richardson: Offensive Holding, 10 yards (no play) 10 10 -1.63 -2.39 50.6
2 3:15 4 19 GNB 16 Tim Masthay punts no gain, out of bounds. Penalty on Brandon Bostick: Illegal Formation, 5 yards (no play) 10 10 -2.39 -2.49 51.1
2 3:03 4 24 GNB 11 Tim Masthay punts 52 yards, out of bounds 10 10 -2.49 -1.4 46.8
2 2:55 1 10 BUF 37 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short left intended for Robert Woods 10 10 1.4 0.86 44.7
2 2:51 2 10 BUF 37 Kyle Orton pass incomplete deep right intended for Sammy Watkins is intercepted by Tramon Williams at GNB-34. Penalty on Sam Barrington: Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards 10 10 0.86 -0.15 40.7
2 2:44 1 10 GNB 19 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short middle intended for Randall Cobb (defended by Nickell Robey) 10 10 0.15 -0.39 42.9
2 2:38 2 10 GNB 19 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short right to Eddie Lacy for 12 yards (tackle by Jerry Hughes and Nigel Bradham) 10 10 -0.39 1 37.5
2 2:06 1 10 GNB 31 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short left intended for Randall Cobb 10 10 1 0.46 39.6
2 2:02 2 10 GNB 31 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short middle to Eddie Lacy for -1 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Preston Brown) 10 10 0.46 -0.36 42.8
2 1:55 3 11 GNB 30 Penalty on Jerry Hughes: Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards (no play) 10 10 -0.36 0.3 40.2
2 1:55 3 6 GNB 35 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete deep left intended for Jordy Nelson 10 10 0.3 -1.04 45.6
2 1:49 4 6 GNB 35 Tim Masthay punts 63 yards 10 10 -1.04 0.38 39.9
2 1:38 1 10 BUF 2 Fred Jackson up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Sam Barrington and Mike Neal) 10 10 -0.38 -0.63 39.0
2 1:32 1 10 BUF 2 Timeout #3 by Green Bay Packers 10 10 0 0
2 1:32 2 8 BUF 4 Fred Jackson up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by A.J. Hawk) 10 10 -0.63 -1.07 37.3
2 0:46 3 7 BUF 5 Fred Jackson left tackle for 6 yards (tackle by Nick Perry and Sam Shields) 10 10 -1.07 -2.49 41.6
End of Half1010-2.490
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail GNB BUF EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 GNB 35 Mason Crosby kicks off 50 yards, returned by Anthony Dixon for 12 yards (tackle by Jayrone Elliott) 10 10 0 0.74 44.7
3 14:54 1 10 BUF 27 Fred Jackson up the middle for 10 yards (tackle by Sam Barrington and Morgan Burnett) 10 10 0.74 1.4 47.5
3 14:19 1 10 BUF 37 Anthony Dixon up the middle for 8 yards (tackle by Morgan Burnett) 10 10 1.4 1.94 49.9
3 13:47 2 2 BUF 45 Anthony Dixon left guard for 1 yard (tackle by Datone Jones and A.J. Hawk) 10 10 1.94 1.36 47.6
3 13:15 3 1 BUF 46 Anthony Dixon up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Sam Barrington and Morgan Burnett) 10 10 1.36 2.26 51.6
3 12:45 1 10 50 Fred Jackson up the middle for 5 yards (tackle by Sam Barrington and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) 10 10 2.26 2.39 52.4
3 12:13 2 5 GNB 45 Fred Jackson left guard for 3 yards (tackle by Morgan Burnett and Datone Jones) 10 10 2.39 2.08 51.2
3 11:30 2 5 GNB 45 Timeout #1 by Buffalo Bills 10 10 0 0
3 11:30 3 2 GNB 42 Anthony Dixon right tackle for 4 yards (tackle by Sam Barrington and Morgan Burnett) 10 10 2.08 3.05 55.7
3 10:55 1 10 GNB 38 Bryce Brown up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Mike Daniels and A.J. Hawk) 10 10 3.05 2.91 55.3
3 10:14 2 7 GNB 35 Fred Jackson right guard for 2 yards (tackle by Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) 10 10 2.91 2.48 53.6
3 9:30 3 5 GNB 33 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short middle intended for Robert Woods 10 10 2.48 1.17 47.9
3 9:26 4 5 GNB 33 Dan Carpenter 51 yard field goal good 10 13 1.17 3 56.3
3 9:26 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 65 yards, touchback 10 13 0 -0.28 55.0
3 9:21 1 10 GNB 20 Aaron Rodgers pass complete deep middle to Randall Cobb for 20 yards (tackle by Duke Williams) 10 13 0.28 1.6 49.0
3 8:46 1 10 GNB 40 Eddie Lacy left guard for 9 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams and Mario Williams) 10 13 1.6 2.27 46.0
3 8:23 2 1 GNB 49 Eddie Lacy left tackle for 6 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams and Marcell Dareus). Penalty on David Bakhtiari: Offensive Holding, 10 yards (no play) 10 13 2.27 0.92 52.5
3 7:53 2 11 GNB 39 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short right intended for Andrew Quarless (defended by Mario Williams) 10 13 0.92 0.23 55.9
3 7:49 3 11 GNB 39 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short middle intended for Randall Cobb 10 13 0.23 -0.78 60.7
3 7:44 4 11 GNB 39 Tim Masthay punts 39 yards, fair catch by Marcus Thigpen 10 13 -0.78 -0.41 59.0
3 7:36 1 10 BUF 22 Fred Jackson left guard for 13 yards (tackle by Morgan Burnett and A.J. Hawk) 10 13 0.41 1.27 63.1
3 7:36 1 10 BUF 35 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Lee Smith for no gain 10 13 1.27 0.72 60.6
3 6:21 2 10 BUF 35 Anthony Dixon right tackle for 6 yards (tackle by Julius Peppers) 10 13 0.72 0.83 61.8
3 5:43 3 4 BUF 41 Kyle Orton pass complete deep left to Bryce Brown for 40 yards (tackle by Tramon Williams) 10 13 0.83 4.31 77.3
3 5:07 1 10 GNB 19 Bryce Brown left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Mike Daniels and Julius Peppers) 10 13 4.31 4.03 76.7
3 4:31 2 8 GNB 17 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short right intended for Sammy Watkins 10 13 4.03 3.26 74.1
3 4:27 3 8 GNB 17 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short middle intended for Fred Jackson (defended by Julius Peppers) 10 13 3.26 2.31 70.0
3 4:22 4 8 GNB 17 Dan Carpenter 35 yard field goal good 10 16 2.31 3 73.1
3 4:22 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 65 yards, touchback 10 16 0 -0.28 71.8
3 4:18 1 10 GNB 20 Eddie Lacy left tackle for 3 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams and Nigel Bradham) 10 16 0.28 0.14 72.5
3 3:40 2 7 GNB 23 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete deep left intended for Randall Cobb is intercepted by Bacarri Rambo at GNB-45 and returned for 16 yards 10 16 0.14 -3.64 86.8
3 3:30 1 10 GNB 29 Fred Jackson up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Sam Barrington) 10 16 3.64 3.37 86.1
3 3:00 2 8 GNB 27 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Lee Smith for 1 yard (tackle by Morgan Burnett) 10 16 3.37 2.81 84.9
3 2:15 3 7 GNB 26 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Sammy Watkins for 7 yards (tackle by Micah Hyde). Penalty on Cordy Glenn: Illegal Use of Hands, 10 yards (no play) 10 16 2.81 1.49 81.0
3 1:51 3 17 GNB 36 Kyle Orton sacked by Clay Matthews for -8 yards 10 16 1.49 0.33 76.7
3 1:12 4 25 GNB 44 Colton Schmidt punts 42 yards 10 16 0.33 0.38 77.5
3 1:03 1 10 GNB 2 Eddie Lacy up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Mario Williams and Preston Brown) 10 16 -0.38 -0.49 78.1
3 0:31 2 6 GNB 6 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete deep right intended for Jordy Nelson 10 16 -0.49 -0.95 80.6
3 0:25 3 6 GNB 6 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short right to Andrew Quarless for 7 yards (tackle by Nickell Robey) 10 16 -0.95 -0.32 78.1
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail GNB BUF EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 1 10 GNB 13 Eddie Lacy up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Marcell Dareus) 10 16 -0.32 -0.57 79.6
4 14:26 2 8 GNB 15 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete deep right intended for Andrew Quarless (defended by Nigel Bradham) 10 16 -0.57 -1.18 82.6
4 14:19 3 8 GNB 15 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short right to Jordy Nelson for 16 yards (tackle by Corey Graham) 10 16 -1.18 1 73.0
4 13:33 1 10 GNB 31 Randall Cobb up the middle for 12 yards (tackle by Corey Graham) 10 16 1 1.8 69.6
4 13:03 1 10 GNB 43 Randall Cobb right tackle for 3 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham) 10 16 1.8 1.66 70.9
4 12:23 2 7 GNB 46 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short right to Randall Cobb for 14 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham) 10 16 1.66 2.92 64.3
4 11:48 1 10 BUF 40 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short left to Davante Adams for 6 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 10 16 2.92 3.18 63.3
4 11:21 2 4 BUF 34 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete 10 16 3.18 2.48 68.1
4 11:15 3 4 BUF 34 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short middle intended for Jarrett Boykin is intercepted by Bacarri Rambo at BUF-20 and returned for 28 yards 10 16 2.48 -2.13 89.7
4 11:03 1 10 BUF 48 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Fred Jackson for 20 yards (tackle by Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) 10 16 2.13 3.45 93.4
4 10:43 1 10 GNB 32 Fred Jackson up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Nick Perry and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) 10 16 3.45 3.44 93.7
4 10:10 2 6 GNB 28 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short middle intended for Chris Hogan (defended by Nick Perry) 10 16 3.44 2.74 92.7
4 10:07 3 6 GNB 28 Kyle Orton sacked by Clay Matthews for -2 yards 10 16 2.74 1.41 88.8
4 9:28 4 8 GNB 30 Dan Carpenter 48 yard field goal good 10 19 1.41 3 94.1
4 9:28 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 55 yards, returned by DuJuan Harris for 8 yards (tackle by Ron Brooks) 10 19 0 -0.04 94.0
4 9:19 1 10 GNB 18 Eddie Lacy right tackle for 6 yards (tackle by Jerry Hughes) 10 19 0.04 0.41 93.3
4 8:47 2 4 GNB 24 Eddie Lacy left tackle for 21 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams). Penalty on Josh Sitton: Offensive Holding, 10 yards (no play) 10 19 0.41 -1.04 96.6
4 8:16 2 14 GNB 14 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short middle to Randall Cobb for 16 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams and Corey Graham) 10 19 -1.04 0.94 93.3
4 7:41 1 10 GNB 30 Randall Cobb left end for no gain (tackle by Stephon Gilmore). Penalty on Stephon Gilmore: Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards 10 19 0.94 1.93 91.2
4 7:30 1 10 GNB 45 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short right intended for Richard Rodgers 10 19 1.93 1.38 93.2
4 7:27 2 10 GNB 45 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short middle to Jordy Nelson for 20 yards (tackle by Bacarri Rambo) 10 19 1.38 3.25 86.5
4 6:54 1 10 BUF 35 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short left to Randall Cobb for 17 yards (tackle by Corey Graham and Bacarri Rambo) 10 19 3.25 4.37 81.8
4 6:22 1 10 BUF 18 Aaron Rodgers pass complete short right to Randall Cobb for -1 yards (tackle by Ron Brooks) 10 19 4.37 3.67 86.7
4 5:47 2 11 BUF 19 Aaron Rodgers left end for 3 yards (tackle by Mario Williams and Ron Brooks) 10 19 3.67 3.3 89.7
4 5:00 3 8 BUF 16 Aaron Rodgers pass incomplete short right intended for Randall Cobb 10 19 3.3 2.38 94.6
4 4:53 4 8 BUF 16 Mason Crosby 34 yard field goal good 13 19 2.38 3 92.9
4 4:53 GNB 35 Mason Crosby kicks off 65 yards, touchback 13 19 0 -0.28 93.8
4 4:51 1 10 BUF 20 Fred Jackson up the middle for 6 yards (tackle by Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and Morgan Burnett) 13 19 0.28 0.54 94.7
4 4:06 1 10 BUF 20 Timeout #2 by Buffalo Bills 13 19 0 0
4 4:06 2 4 BUF 26 Kyle Orton pass incomplete deep right intended for Robert Woods 13 19 0.54 -0.16 94.2
4 4:00 3 4 BUF 26 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Scott Chandler for 12 yards (tackle by Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) 13 19 -0.16 1.47 98.0
4 3:17 1 10 BUF 38 Anthony Dixon right guard for 3 yards (tackle by Julius Peppers). Anthony Dixon fumbles (forced by Julius Peppers), recovered by Anthony Dixon at BUF-41 13 19 1.47 1.33 98.7
4 3:06 1 10 BUF 38 Timeout #1 by Green Bay Packers 13 19 0 0
4 3:06 2 7 BUF 41 Penalty on Sam Barrington: Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards (no play) 13 19 1.33 2 99.4
4 3:06 2 2 BUF 46 Fred Jackson left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Morgan Burnett and Sam Barrington) 13 19 2 2.13 99.5
4 2:22 1 10 BUF 48 Fred Jackson up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Mike Daniels and Josh Boyd) 13 19 2.13 1.85 99.8
4 2:17 1 10 BUF 48 Timeout #2 by Green Bay Packers 13 19 0 0
4 2:17 2 8 50 Fred Jackson up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Letroy Guion and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) 13 19 1.85 1.55 99.7
4 2:12 2 8 50 Timeout #3 by Green Bay Packers 13 19 0 0
4 2:12 3 5 GNB 47 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short left intended for Sammy Watkins 13 19 1.55 0.13 98.9
4 2:07 4 5 GNB 47 Colton Schmidt punts 37 yards, returned by Micah Hyde for no gain 13 19 0.13 0.38 99.2
4 1:58 1 10 GNB 10 Aaron Rodgers sacked by Mario Williams for -7 yards. Aaron Rodgers fumbles (forced by Mario Williams), recovered by Eddie Lacy at GNB--1, safety 13 21 -0.38 -2 99.9
4 1:58 GNB 20 Mason Crosby kicks onside 13 yards 13 21 0 -3.38 100.0
4 1:50 1 10 GNB 33 Kyle Orton kneels for -2 yards 13 21 3.38 2.57 100.0
4 1:10 2 12 GNB 35 Kyle Orton kneels for -1 yards 13 21 2.57 1.75 100.0
4 0:33 3 13 GNB 36 Kyle Orton kneels for -1 yards 13 21 1.75 0.79 100.0
End of Regulation13210.790
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).