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Buffalo Bills 17 at New England Patriots 9

Sunday, December 28, 2014
1234Final
Buffalo Bills (9-7-0)7100017
New England Patriots (12-4-0)33309

Game Info
Stadium Gillette Stadium
Start Time (ET) 1:02pm
Won Toss Patriots (deferred)
Roof outdoors
Surface fieldturf
Duration 2:43
Attendance 68,756
Weather 49 degrees relative humidity 74%, wind 9 mph
Vegas Line New England Patriots -6.5
Over/Under 44.0 (under)
Tickets Game Tickets
Officials
Referee Terry McAulay
Umpire Bryan Neale
Head Linesman Greg Bradley
Field Judge Dyrol Prioleau
Back Judge Gregory Steed
Side Judge James Coleman
Line Judge Tom Stephan

Expected Points Summary

Expected points are an estimate of points per play based on down, distance, and yard line. Points given for offense and defense are offensive/defensive plays + penalties on which there was no play (eg, a false start). Special teams are all kicking + punting plays. Points are zeroed out at the end of halves.

Win Probability

Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Pass Targets

Buffalo Bills
Deep Left (1/2, 20 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 1 1 20 0
Sammy Watkins 1 0 0 0
Deep Middle (2/2, 63 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Sammy Watkins 1 1 43 0
Robert Woods 1 1 20 0
Deep Right (0/1, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Chris Hogan 1 0 0 0
Short Left (3/5, 27 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Fred Jackson 2 1 4 0
Lee Smith 1 1 18 0
C.J. Spiller 1 0 0 0
Sammy Watkins 1 1 5 0
Short Middle (6/7, 41 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
MarQueis Gray 2 2 17 0
C.J. Spiller 1 1 2 0
Sammy Watkins 2 1 9 0
Robert Woods 2 2 13 1
Short Right (4/6, 25 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Anthony Dixon 1 1 8 0
MarQueis Gray 1 1 8 0
Chris Hogan 2 1 3 0
Fred Jackson 1 0 0 0
Robert Woods 1 1 6 0
New England Patriots
Deep Left (1/3, 18 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Brandon LaFell 1 0 0 0
Brian Tyms 2 1 18 0
Deep Middle (1/2, 20 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Michael Hoomanawanui 1 0 0
Brandon LaFell 1 1 20 0
Deep Right (0/2, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Danny Amendola 2 0 0 0
Short Left (9/11, 52 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Danny Amendola 3 3 17 0
Brian Tyms 4 3 21 0
Shane Vereen 1 1 6 0
James White 2 2 8 0
Tim Wright 1 0 0 0
Short Middle (6/8, 71 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Danny Amendola 2 1 7 0
Brandon LaFell 3 3 50 0
Shane Vereen 2 1 -1 0
Tim Wright 1 1 15 0
Short Right (1/6, 9 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Brandon Bolden 2 0 0
Brandon LaFell 1 0 0 0
Steve Maneri 1 0 0
Shane Vereen 1 1 9 0
Tim Wright 1 0 0 0

Rushing

Buffalo Bills
LE (2 rushes, 6 yards)
Att Yds TD
Fred Jackson 1 4 0
C.J. Spiller 1 2 0
LT (4 rushes, 9 yards)
Att Yds TD
Anthony Dixon 1 7 0
Fred Jackson 3 2 0
LG (4 rushes, 17 yards)
Att Yds TD
Fred Jackson 4 17 0
MD (12 rushes, 27 yards)
Att Yds TD
Anthony Dixon 2 -1 0
Fred Jackson 7 20 0
C.J. Spiller 3 8 0
RG (5 rushes, 23 yards, 1 TD)
Att Yds TD
Anthony Dixon 3 14 1
Fred Jackson 2 9 0
RT (1 rush, 7 yards)
Att Yds TD
C.J. Spiller 1 7 0
RE (2 rushes, 11 yards)
Att Yds TD
Fred Jackson 1 6 0
Sammy Watkins 1 5 0
New England Patriots
LE (4 rushes, 16 yards)
Att Yds TD
Jimmy Garoppolo 3 12 0
Brandon LaFell 1 4 0
LT (3 rushes, 3 yards)
Att Yds TD
LeGarrette Blount 1 0 0
Brandon Bolden 1 2 0
Shane Vereen 1 1 0
LG (3 rushes, 13 yards)
Att Yds TD
LeGarrette Blount 1 7 0
Brandon Bolden 1 -1 0
Tom Brady 1 7 0
MD (5 rushes, 3 yards)
Att Yds TD
LeGarrette Blount 3 -1 0
Brandon Bolden 1 2 0
Tom Brady 1 2 0
RG (5 rushes, 28 yards)
Att Yds TD
LeGarrette Blount 2 12 0
Brandon Bolden 2 12 0
Jimmy Garoppolo 1 4 0
RT (1 rush, 5 yards)
Att Yds TD
LeGarrette Blount 1 5 0
RE (3 rushes, 39 yards)
Att Yds TD
LeGarrette Blount 2 39 0
Shane Vereen 1 0 0

Pass Tackles

Buffalo Bills
Deep Left Deep Middle Deep Right
Short Left Short Middle Short Right
New England Patriots
Deep Left Deep Middle Deep Right
Short Left Short Middle Short Right

Buffalo Bills Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 15:00 BUF 20 6 3:01 80 Touchdown View Drive »
2 1 10:47 BUF 22 5 2:12 29 Punt View Drive »
3 1 3:02 BUF 20 13 7:24 80 Touchdown View Drive »
4 2 9:22 BUF 48 2 0:51 -4 Fumble View Drive »
5 2 5:07 NWE 47 7 2:53 17 Field Goal View Drive »
6 3 13:34 BUF 31 3 1:31 -3 Punt View Drive »
7 3 5:51 BUF 14 6 2:56 16 Punt View Drive »
8 3 0:37 BUF 21 7 4:25 36 Punt View Drive »
9 4 4:46 BUF 11 8 2:56 30 Punt View Drive »
10 4 0:54 NWE 32 2 0:54 -3 End of Game View Drive »

New England Patriots Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 11:59 NWE 20 3 1:12 9 Punt View Drive »
2 1 8:35 NWE 14 13 5:33 80 Field Goal View Drive »
3 2 10:38 NWE 20 3 1:16 -4 Punt View Drive »
4 2 8:31 BUF 44 8 3:24 18 Field Goal View Drive »
5 2 2:14 NWE 20 5 2:14 7 End of Half View Drive »
6 3 15:00 NWE 20 3 1:26 2 Punt View Drive »
7 3 12:03 NWE 16 11 6:12 70 Downs View Drive »
8 3 2:55 BUF 44 5 2:18 27 Field Goal View Drive »
9 4 11:12 NWE 17 10 6:26 42 Punt View Drive »
10 4 1:50 NWE 25 4 0:56 8 Downs View Drive »

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail BUF NWE EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 65 yards, touchback 0 0 0 -0.28 67.8
1 15:00 1 10 BUF 20 Fred Jackson up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Chandler Jones) 0 0 0.28 0.14 68.2
1 14:30 2 7 BUF 23 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Lee Smith for 18 yards (tackle by Jonathan Casillas) 0 0 0.14 1.66 63.9
1 14:00 1 10 BUF 41 Fred Jackson up the middle for 6 yards (tackle by Jamie Collins and Vince Wilfork) 0 0 1.66 1.93 63.1
1 13:21 2 4 BUF 47 Kyle Orton pass complete deep middle to Sammy Watkins for 43 yards (tackle by Devin McCourty) 0 0 1.93 4.91 54.2
1 12:36 1 10 NWE 10 Fred Jackson up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Jonathan Casillas and Devin McCourty) 0 0 4.91 4.95 53.9
1 12:03 2 6 NWE 6 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Robert Woods for 6 yards, touchdown 6 0 4.95 7 50.5
1 12:03 NWE 6 Dan Carpenter kicks extra point good 7 0 0 0 47.5
1 12:03 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 65 yards, touchback 7 0 0 -0.28 48.4
1 11:59 1 10 NWE 20 Brandon Bolden right guard for 7 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams and Corey Graham) 7 0 0.28 0.68 49.6
1 11:30 2 3 NWE 27 Brandon Bolden left tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Preston Brown) 7 0 0.68 0.23 48.0
1 11:00 3 1 NWE 29 Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Brandon Bolden 7 0 0.23 -1.44 42.8
1 10:57 4 1 NWE 29 Ryan Allen punts 51 yards, returned by Marcus Thigpen for 23 yards (tackle by Brandon Bolden). Penalty on MarQueis Gray: Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards 7 0 -1.44 -0.41 45.9
1 10:47 1 10 BUF 22 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Chandler Jones) 7 0 0.41 0.14 46.6
1 10:13 2 8 BUF 24 Kyle Orton pass complete deep left to Scott Chandler for 20 yards (tackle by Devin McCourty) 7 0 0.14 1.86 41.2
1 9:39 1 10 BUF 44 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short left intended for C.J. Spiller 7 0 1.86 1.32 42.6
1 9:36 2 10 BUF 44 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Robert Woods for 7 yards (tackle by Jonathan Casillas) 7 0 1.32 1.55 41.9
1 8:52 3 3 NWE 49 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short right intended for Fred Jackson 7 0 1.55 0 46.4
1 8:45 4 3 NWE 49 Colton Schmidt punts 35 yards 7 0 0 0.28 45.4
1 8:35 1 10 NWE 14 Tom Brady pass complete deep left to Brian Tyms for 18 yards (tackle by Ron Brooks) 7 0 -0.28 1.07 49.6
1 8:03 1 10 NWE 32 Tom Brady pass incomplete deep left intended for Brian Tyms 7 0 1.07 0.53 47.7
1 7:57 2 10 NWE 32 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Shane Vereen for 6 yards (tackle by Ron Brooks) 7 0 0.53 0.63 48.0
1 7:19 3 4 NWE 38 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Brandon LaFell for 27 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 7 0 0.63 3.25 56.1
1 6:39 1 10 BUF 35 Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Steve Maneri 7 0 3.25 2.7 54.1
1 6:35 2 10 BUF 35 Brandon Bolden up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Jarius Wynn and Nickell Robey) 7 0 2.7 2.28 52.8
1 5:53 3 8 BUF 33 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Brian Tyms for 9 yards (tackle by Ron Brooks) 7 0 2.28 3.97 57.9
1 5:17 1 10 BUF 24 LeGarrette Blount up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 7 0 3.97 3.7 56.9
1 4:49 2 8 BUF 22 LeGarrette Blount right tackle for 5 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Corey Graham). Penalty on Nickell Robey: Face Mask (15 Yards), 9 yards 7 0 3.7 5.37 62.1
1 4:22 1 8 BUF 8 LeGarrette Blount up the middle for -2 yards (tackle by Preston Brown) 7 0 5.37 4.19 58.2
1 3:43 2 10 BUF 10 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Brian Tyms for 4 yards 7 0 4.19 4.04 57.6
1 3:11 3 6 BUF 6 Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Shane Vereen 7 0 4.04 2.99 54.0
1 3:05 4 6 BUF 6 Stephen Gostkowski 24 yard field goal good 7 3 2.99 3 54.0
1 3:05 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 65 yards, touchback 7 3 0 -0.28 53.1
1 3:02 1 10 BUF 20 Anthony Dixon left tackle for 7 yards (tackle by Malcolm Butler) 7 3 0.28 0.68 51.7
1 2:19 2 3 BUF 27 C.J. Spiller left end for 2 yards (tackle by Jonathan Casillas and Patrick Chung) 7 3 0.68 0.23 53.0
1 1:44 3 1 BUF 29 Fred Jackson left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Jonathan Casillas) 7 3 0.23 1 50.2
1 1:06 1 10 BUF 31 Anthony Dixon right guard for 7 yards (tackle by Jonathan Casillas and Logan Ryan) 7 3 1 1.41 48.6
1 0:24 1 10 BUF 31 Timeout #1 by Buffalo Bills 7 3 0 0
1 0:24 2 3 BUF 38 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Anthony Dixon for 8 yards (tackle by Logan Ryan) 7 3 1.41 1.99 46.4
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail BUF NWE EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 1 10 BUF 46 Kyle Orton pass complete deep middle to Robert Woods for 20 yards (tackle by Malcolm Butler) 7 3 1.99 3.31 41.7
2 14:14 1 10 NWE 34 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to MarQueis Gray for 8 yards (tackle by Rob Ninkovich) 7 3 3.31 3.85 39.6
2 13:36 2 2 NWE 26 Sammy Watkins right end for 5 yards (tackle by Malcolm Butler and Rob Ninkovich) 7 3 3.85 4.17 38.2
2 12:59 1 10 NWE 21 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 5 yards (tackle by Chandler Jones and Jamie Collins) 7 3 4.17 4.37 37.2
2 12:25 2 5 NWE 16 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to MarQueis Gray for 7 yards (tackle by Chandler Jones and Jonathan Casillas) 7 3 4.37 5.14 34.4
2 11:53 1 9 NWE 9 Fred Jackson left end for 4 yards (tackle by Chandler Jones) 7 3 5.14 5.15 34.1
2 11:18 2 5 NWE 5 Fred Jackson up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Devin McCourty and Alan Branch) 7 3 5.15 5.17 33.7
2 10:40 3 1 NWE 1 Anthony Dixon right guard for 1 yard, touchdown 13 3 5.17 7 30.7
2 10:40 NWE 1 Dan Carpenter kicks extra point good 14 3 0 0 27.6
2 10:40 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 65 yards, touchback 14 3 0 -0.28 28.4
2 10:38 1 10 NWE 20 LeGarrette Blount right guard for 6 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy and Corey Graham) 14 3 0.28 0.54 29.2
2 10:02 2 4 NWE 26 LeGarrette Blount left tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Preston Brown). Penalty on Ryan Wendell: Offensive Holding, 10 yards (no play) 14 3 0.54 -0.94 24.5
2 9:39 2 14 NWE 16 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Brian Tyms. Penalty on Brian Tyms: Offensive Pass Interference (Declined) 14 3 -0.94 -1.69 22.2
2 9:34 3 14 NWE 16 Tom Brady pass incomplete 14 3 -1.69 -2.39 20.3
2 9:29 4 14 NWE 16 Ryan Allen punts 42 yards, returned by Marcus Thigpen for 6 yards (tackle by Matt Slater) 14 3 -2.39 -2.13 20.9
2 9:22 1 10 BUF 48 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to C.J. Spiller for 2 yards (tackle by Tavon Wilson and Sealver Siliga) 14 3 2.13 1.85 21.6
2 8:43 2 8 50 Kyle Orton sacked by Jamie Collins for -6 yards. Kyle Orton fumbles (forced by Jamie Collins), recovered by Jamie Collins at BUF-44 (tackle by Eric Wood) 14 3 1.85 -2.65 35.0
2 8:31 1 10 BUF 44 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Tim Wright 14 3 2.65 2.11 33.1
2 8:25 2 10 BUF 44 Brandon LaFell for 9 yards 14 3 2.11 2.61 34.7
2 7:52 3 1 BUF 35 Shane Vereen right end for no gain (tackle by Corey Graham) 14 3 2.61 1 29.1
2 7:14 4 1 BUF 35 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Shane Vereen for 9 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham) 14 3 1 3.84 38.4
2 6:43 1 10 BUF 26 LeGarrette Blount left guard for 7 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy and Ron Brooks) 14 3 3.84 4.27 39.7
2 6:00 2 3 BUF 19 Tom Brady sacked by Stefan Charles for -7 yards 14 3 4.27 2.61 33.3
2 5:19 3 10 BUF 26 Tom Brady pass incomplete deep left intended for Brandon LaFell 14 3 2.61 1.74 29.9
2 5:12 4 10 BUF 26 Stephen Gostkowski 44 yard field goal good 14 6 1.74 3 34.2
2 5:12 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 61 yards, returned by Marcus Thigpen for 49 yards (tackle by Stephen Gostkowski) 14 6 0 -2.46 26.0
2 5:00 1 10 NWE 47 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short middle intended for Sammy Watkins 14 6 2.46 1.91 27.6
2 4:57 2 10 NWE 47 Fred Jackson right guard for 6 yards (tackle by Sealver Siliga) 14 6 1.91 2.01 27.2
2 4:17 3 4 NWE 41 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Fred Jackson for 4 yards (tackle by Logan Ryan and Jamie Collins) 14 6 2.01 3.12 23.3
2 3:41 1 10 NWE 37 Anthony Dixon right guard for 6 yards (tackle by Logan Ryan and Jamie Collins) 14 6 3.12 3.38 22.2
2 3:07 2 4 NWE 31 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Darius Fleming) 14 6 3.38 2.81 23.5
2 2:25 3 3 NWE 30 Kyle Orton pass incomplete deep left intended for Sammy Watkins 14 6 2.81 1.48 27.3
2 2:19 4 3 NWE 30 Dan Carpenter 48 yard field goal good 17 6 1.48 3 22.4
2 2:19 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 65 yards, touchback 17 6 0 -0.28 23.3
2 2:14 1 10 NWE 20 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Brian Tyms for 8 yards 17 6 0.28 0.81 24.9
2 2:00 2 2 NWE 28 Shane Vereen left tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Jerry Hughes and Kyle Williams) 17 6 0.81 0.23 22.9
2 1:29 3 1 NWE 29 Tom Brady up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Jarius Wynn) 17 6 0.23 1 25.0
2 1:05 1 10 NWE 31 Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Danny Amendola. Penalty on Nate Solder: Offensive Holding, 10 yards (no play) 17 6 1 0.34 22.6
2 1:01 1 20 NWE 21 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Shane Vereen for -1 yards (tackle by Ty Powell) 17 6 0.34 -1.03 18.5
2 0:27 2 21 NWE 20 Tom Brady left guard for 7 yards (tackle by Nickell Robey) 17 6 -1.03 -0.76 21.1
End of Half176-0.760
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail BUF NWE EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 BUF 35 Jordan Gay kicks off 65 yards, touchback 17 6 0 0.28 21.6
3 15:00 1 10 NWE 20 Jimmy Garoppolo pass complete short left to Danny Amendola for 5 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 17 6 0.28 0.41 22.0
3 14:40 2 5 NWE 25 Jimmy Garoppolo sacked by Jarius Wynn for -3 yards 17 6 0.41 -0.69 18.5
3 13:51 3 8 NWE 22 Jimmy Garoppolo pass incomplete short right intended for Tim Wright 17 6 -0.69 -1.9 14.8
3 13:45 4 8 NWE 22 Ryan Allen punts 51 yards, returned by Marcus Thigpen for 4 yards (tackle by Malcolm Butler) 17 6 -1.9 -1 17.0
3 13:34 1 10 BUF 31 Fred Jackson right guard for 3 yards (tackle by Tavon Wilson) 17 6 1 0.87 17.3
3 12:57 2 7 BUF 34 Kyle Orton pass incomplete deep right intended for Chris Hogan 17 6 0.87 0.17 18.8
3 12:51 3 7 BUF 34 Kyle Orton sacked by Akeem Ayers for -6 yards 17 6 0.17 -1.5 24.0
3 12:14 4 13 BUF 28 Colton Schmidt punts 48 yards, returned by Danny Amendola for 15 yards (tackle by Ty Powell). Penalty on Malcolm Butler: Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards 17 6 -1.5 0.14 18.3
3 12:03 1 10 NWE 16 LeGarrette Blount right guard for 6 yards (tackle by Preston Brown and Da'Norris Searcy) 17 6 -0.14 0.28 19.5
3 11:30 2 4 NWE 22 LeGarrette Blount right end for 34 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham) 17 6 0.28 2.65 27.0
3 10:58 1 10 BUF 44 LeGarrette Blount right end for 5 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham) 17 6 2.65 2.78 27.1
3 10:13 2 5 BUF 39 Jimmy Garoppolo sacked by Mario Williams for -1 yards 17 6 2.78 1.95 23.5
3 9:35 3 6 BUF 40 Jimmy Garoppolo sacked by Jerry Hughes for -3 yards. Penalty on Nickell Robey: Defensive Holding (Declined), Penalty on Corey Graham: Defensive Holding, 5 yards (no play) 17 6 1.95 3.25 27.8
3 9:17 1 10 BUF 35 Brandon Bolden right guard for 5 yards (tackle by Preston Brown) 17 6 3.25 3.38 28.0
3 8:37 2 5 BUF 30 Brandon LaFell left end for 4 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 17 6 3.38 3.2 26.8
3 7:59 3 1 BUF 26 Jimmy Garoppolo right guard for 4 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 17 6 3.2 4.11 29.9
3 7:25 1 10 BUF 22 LeGarrette Blount left tackle for no gain (tackle by Manny Lawson) 17 6 4.11 3.56 27.1
3 6:43 2 10 BUF 22 Jimmy Garoppolo pass incomplete deep right intended for Danny Amendola 17 6 3.56 2.87 23.8
3 6:35 3 10 BUF 22 Jimmy Garoppolo pass complete short middle to Brandon LaFell for 9 yards (tackle by Nickell Robey) 17 6 2.87 2.72 23.1
3 5:57 4 1 BUF 13 Jimmy Garoppolo left end for -1 yards (tackle by Ron Brooks) 17 6 2.72 0.28 14.4
3 5:51 1 10 BUF 14 Fred Jackson left guard for 8 yards (tackle by Tavon Wilson) 17 6 -0.28 0.42 12.4
3 5:24 2 2 BUF 22 Fred Jackson left guard for 1 yard (tackle by Sealver Siliga) 17 6 0.42 -0.32 14.1
3 4:54 3 1 BUF 23 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Chris Hogan for 3 yards (tackle by Patrick Chung) 17 6 -0.32 0.67 11.0
3 4:25 1 10 BUF 26 Kyle Orton pass complete short left to Sammy Watkins for 5 yards (tackle by Malcolm Butler) 17 6 0.67 0.81 10.3
3 3:47 2 5 BUF 31 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short right intended for Chris Hogan 17 6 0.81 0.1 11.5
3 3:43 3 5 BUF 31 Fred Jackson left tackle for -1 yards (tackle by Rob Ninkovich and Darius Fleming) 17 6 0.1 -1.37 15.6
3 3:06 4 6 BUF 30 Colton Schmidt punts 40 yards, returned by Danny Amendola for 26 yards (tackle by Colton Schmidt) 17 6 -1.37 -2.65 19.4
3 2:55 1 10 BUF 44 Jimmy Garoppolo pass complete deep middle to Brandon LaFell for 20 yards (tackle by Ron Brooks) 17 6 2.65 3.97 24.5
3 2:13 1 10 BUF 24 Jimmy Garoppolo pass complete short left to Danny Amendola for no gain 17 6 3.97 3.43 21.5
3 1:30 2 10 BUF 24 Jimmy Garoppolo pass incomplete deep middle intended for Michael Hoomanawanui (defended by Aaron Williams) 17 6 3.43 2.74 18.0
3 1:25 3 10 BUF 24 Jimmy Garoppolo pass complete short middle to Danny Amendola for 7 yards (tackle by Nickell Robey) 17 6 2.74 2.41 16.7
3 0:41 4 3 BUF 17 Stephen Gostkowski 35 yard field goal good 17 9 2.41 3 18.0
3 0:41 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 68 yards 17 9 0 -0.34 16.8
3 0:33 1 10 BUF 21 Fred Jackson right end for 6 yards (tackle by Tavon Wilson) 17 9 0.34 0.61 15.7
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail BUF NWE EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 2 4 BUF 27 Fred Jackson up the middle for 7 yards (tackle by Alan Branch) 17 9 0.61 1.2 13.1
4 14:22 1 10 BUF 34 Anthony Dixon for 7 yards 17 9 1.2 1.6 11.1
4 13:48 2 3 BUF 41 C.J. Spiller right tackle for 7 yards (tackle by Chris Jones) 17 9 1.6 2.13 9.1
4 13:14 1 10 BUF 48 Anthony Dixon up the middle for -1 yards (tackle by Chris Jones) 17 9 2.13 1.45 10.3
4 12:47 2 11 BUF 47 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to MarQueis Gray for 10 yards (tackle by Darius Fleming and Jonathan Casillas) 17 9 1.45 2.08 8.1
4 12:10 3 1 NWE 43 Anthony Dixon up the middle for no gain (tackle by Jonathan Casillas) 17 9 2.08 0.4 12.2
4 11:18 4 1 NWE 43 Colton Schmidt punts 26 yards, fair catch by Danny Amendola 17 9 0.4 0.06 12.2
4 11:12 1 10 NWE 17 Jimmy Garoppolo pass complete short middle to Brandon LaFell for 14 yards (tackle by Corey Graham) 17 9 -0.06 1 16.1
4 10:37 1 10 NWE 31 Jimmy Garoppolo left end for 4 yards (tackle by Ron Brooks) 17 9 1 1 15.2
4 9:49 2 6 NWE 35 Jimmy Garoppolo pass incomplete short right intended for Brandon Bolden 17 9 1 0.3 11.2
4 9:46 3 6 NWE 35 Jimmy Garoppolo left end for 9 yards (tackle by Kyle Williams) 17 9 0.3 1.86 17.6
4 9:02 1 10 NWE 44 Jimmy Garoppolo pass complete short left to Danny Amendola for 12 yards (tackle by Jerry Hughes) 17 9 1.86 2.65 20.2
4 8:22 1 10 BUF 44 LeGarrette Blount up the middle for -1 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams and Corey Graham) 17 9 2.65 1.98 15.6
4 7:40 2 11 BUF 45 Jimmy Garoppolo pass incomplete deep right intended for Danny Amendola 17 9 1.98 1.29 11.2
4 7:34 3 11 BUF 45 Jimmy Garoppolo pass incomplete short left intended for Tim Wright. Penalty on Ron Brooks: Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards (no play) 17 9 1.29 3.58 22.7
4 7:28 1 10 BUF 30 Brandon Bolden left guard for -1 yards (tackle by Duke Williams and Corbin Bryant) 17 9 3.58 2.9 18.4
4 6:51 2 11 BUF 31 Jimmy Garoppolo sacked by Manny Lawson and Jerry Hughes for -15 yards 17 9 2.9 0.23 6.2
4 6:02 3 26 BUF 46 Jimmy Garoppolo pass complete deep left to Brian Tyms for 18 yards. Penalty on Marcus Cannon: Offensive Holding, 10 yards (no play) 17 9 0.23 -1.09 2.5
4 5:35 3 36 NWE 44 Jimmy Garoppolo pass complete short middle to Tim Wright for 15 yards (tackle by Nickell Robey) 17 9 -1.09 0.53 4.8
4 4:53 4 21 BUF 41 Ryan Allen punts 30 yards, fair catch by Marcus Thigpen 17 9 0.53 0.37 3.3
4 4:46 1 10 BUF 11 Fred Jackson left tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Tavon Wilson and Darius Fleming) 17 9 -0.37 -0.63 3.7
4 4:08 2 8 BUF 13 Penalty on Seantrel Henderson: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 17 9 -0.63 -1 3.3
4 4:07 2 13 BUF 8 Kyle Orton pass complete short middle to Sammy Watkins for 9 yards 17 9 -1 -0.72 2.7
4 4:00 3 4 BUF 17 Kyle Orton pass complete short right to Robert Woods for 6 yards (tackle by Logan Ryan) 17 9 -0.72 0.48 1.1
4 3:17 1 10 BUF 23 Fred Jackson left guard for 6 yards (tackle by Darius Fleming and Duron Harmon) 17 9 0.48 0.74 0.4
4 2:33 2 4 BUF 29 Fred Jackson up the middle for -2 yards (tackle by Sealver Siliga) 17 9 0.74 -0.23 0.4
4 2:28 2 4 BUF 29 Timeout #1 by New England Patriots 17 9 0 0
4 2:28 3 6 BUF 27 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short right intended for Sammy Watkins. Penalty on Jonathan Casillas: Roughing the Passer, 15 yards (no play) 17 9 -0.23 1.73 0.0
4 2:25 1 10 BUF 42 Fred Jackson up the middle for -2 yards (tackle by Sealver Siliga). NWE challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was upheld. 17 9 1.73 0.92 0.1
4 2:08 2 12 BUF 40 Fred Jackson left tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Darius Fleming and Alan Branch) 17 9 0.92 0.37 0.1
4 2:01 2 12 BUF 40 Timeout #3 by New England Patriots 17 9 0 0
4 2:01 3 11 BUF 41 Kyle Orton pass incomplete short left intended for Fred Jackson 17 9 0.37 -0.65 0.2
4 1:58 4 11 BUF 41 Colton Schmidt punts 34 yards, returned by Danny Amendola for no gain 17 9 -0.65 -0.61 0.2
4 1:50 1 10 NWE 25 Jimmy Garoppolo pass complete short left to James White for 3 yards (tackle by Preston Brown) 17 9 0.61 0.47 0.1
4 1:27 2 7 NWE 28 Jimmy Garoppolo pass complete short left to James White for 5 yards (tackle by Ron Brooks) 17 9 0.47 0.43 0.0
4 1:06 3 2 NWE 33 Jimmy Garoppolo pass incomplete short right intended for Brandon LaFell 17 9 0.43 -1.18 0.0
4 0:58 4 2 NWE 33 Jimmy Garoppolo pass incomplete short middle intended for Danny Amendola 17 9 -1.18 -3.45 0.0
4 0:54 1 10 NWE 32 Kyle Orton kneels for -2 yards 17 9 3.45 2.63 0.0
4 0:35 2 12 NWE 34 Kyle Orton kneels for -1 yards 17 9 2.63 1.82 0.0
End of Regulation1791.820
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).