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SUPER BOWL XXV

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New York Giants 20 vs. Buffalo Bills 19

Sunday, January 27, 1991
1234Final
New York Giants (13-3-0)377320
Buffalo Bills (13-3-0)390719

Game Info
Stadium Tampa Stadium
Start Time 5:30pm
Surface grass
Weather 62 degrees, relative humidity 76%, wind 8 mph
Vegas Line Buffalo Bills -6.5
Over/Under 40.0 (under)
Super Bowl MVP Ottis Anderson

Win Probability

The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail NYG BUF EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 Matt Bahr kicks off 51 yards, returned by Don Smith for 20 yards 0 0 0 1.2 71.6
1 14:42 1 10 BUF 34 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Andre Reed 0 0 1.2 0.66 70.2
1 14:24 2 10 BUF 34 Jim Kelly pass complete to Andre Reed for 4 yards 0 0 0.66 0.5 69.8
1 14:06 3 6 BUF 38 Jim Kelly pass complete to Andre Reed for 5 yards 0 0 0.5 -0.52 67.0
1 13:48 4 1 BUF 43 Rick Tuten punts 46 yards 0 0 -0.52 -1 65.7
1 13:29 1 10 NYG 31 0 0 1 1.73 63.6
1 12:58 1 5 NYG 36 Dave Meggett for 4 yards 0 0 1.73 1.68 63.6
1 12:27 2 1 NYG 40 Maurice Carthon for 3 yards 0 0 1.68 1.8 63.2
1 11:56 1 10 NYG 43 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Howard Cross for 13 yards 0 0 1.8 2.65 60.6
1 11:25 1 10 BUF 44 Dave Meggett for 10 yards 0 0 2.65 3.31 58.5
1 10:54 1 10 BUF 34 Jeff Hostetler pass incomplete intended for Mark Bavaro 0 0 3.31 2.77 60.0
1 10:23 2 10 BUF 34 Dave Meggett for 3 yards 0 0 2.77 2.48 60.7
1 9:52 3 7 BUF 31 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Mark Ingram for 16 yards 0 0 2.48 4.58 54.2
1 9:21 1 10 BUF 15 Ottis Anderson for 3 yards 0 0 4.58 4.45 54.5
1 8:50 2 7 BUF 12 Jeff Hostetler for 1 yard 0 0 4.45 3.78 56.4
1 8:19 3 6 BUF 11 Jeff Hostetler pass incomplete intended for Mark Ingram 0 0 3.78 2.72 59.5
1 7:48 4 6 BUF 11 Matt Bahr 28 yard field goal good 3 0 2.72 3 58.5
1 7:14 Matt Bahr kicks off 60 yards, returned by Don Smith for 24 yards 3 0 0 0.87 61.1
1 7:03 1 10 BUF 29 Thurman Thomas for 2 yards 3 0 0.87 0.6 60.2
1 6:52 2 8 BUF 31 Jim Kelly pass complete to James Lofton for 61 yards 3 0 0.6 5.37 73.8
1 6:41 1 8 NYG 8 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Keith McKeller 3 0 5.37 4.57 71.7
1 6:30 2 8 NYG 8 Thurman Thomas for 3 yards 3 0 4.57 4.26 70.8
1 6:19 3 5 NYG 5 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Thurman Thomas 3 0 4.26 3.01 67.3
1 6:08 4 5 NYG 5 Scott Norwood 23 yard field goal good 3 3 3.01 3 67.2
1 5:51 Scott Norwood kicks off 65 yards, touchback 3 3 0 0.28 66.3
1 5:45 1 10 NYG 20 Ottis Anderson for 5 yards 3 3 0.28 0.41 65.9
1 5:17 2 5 NYG 25 Jeff Hostetler for 5 yards 3 3 0.41 0.94 64.3
1 4:49 1 10 NYG 30 Dave Meggett for 3 yards 3 3 0.94 0.8 64.6
1 4:21 2 7 NYG 33 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Stephen Baker for 17 yards 3 3 0.8 2.26 60.0
1 3:53 1 10 NYG 50 Ottis Anderson for 4 yards 3 3 2.26 2.25 59.9
1 3:25 2 6 BUF 46 Jeff Hostetler pass incomplete intended for Stephen Baker 3 3 2.25 1.55 62.0
1 2:57 3 6 BUF 46 Jeff Hostetler pass incomplete intended for Dave Meggett 3 3 1.55 0.2 66.1
1 2:29 4 6 BUF 46 Sean Landeta punts 46 yards, touchback 3 3 0.2 -0.28 67.5
1 1:57 1 10 BUF 20 Thurman Thomas for 3 yards 3 3 0.28 0.14 67.0
1 1:38 2 7 BUF 23 Jim Kelly pass complete to Andre Reed for 11 yards 3 3 0.14 1.2 70.1
1 1:19 1 10 BUF 34 Jim Kelly pass complete to Andre Reed for 4 yards 3 3 1.2 1.2 70.0
1 1:00 2 6 BUF 38 3 3 1.2 0.52 68.0
1 0:41 2 11 BUF 33 Jim Kelly pass complete to Andre Reed for 20 yards 3 3 0.52 2.46 73.6
1 0:22 1 10 NYG 47 Thurman Thomas for 6 yards 3 3 2.46 2.72 74.3
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail NYG BUF EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 2 4 NYG 41 Jim Kelly pass complete to Thurman Thomas for 13 yards 3 3 2.72 3.71 76.9
2 14:39 1 10 NYG 28 Kenneth Davis for 3 yards 3 3 3.71 3.57 76.5
2 14:18 2 7 NYG 25 Jim Kelly pass complete to Andre Reed for 9 yards 3 3 3.57 4.51 79.0
2 13:57 1 10 NYG 16 Thurman Thomas for 3 yards 3 3 4.51 4.39 78.6
2 13:36 2 7 NYG 13 Jim Kelly pass complete to Keith McKeller for 5 yards 3 3 4.39 6.28 83.1
2 13:14 1 4 NYG 4 Jamie Mueller for 3 yards 3 3 6.28 5.91 82.3
2 12:52 2 1 NYG 1 Don Smith for 1 yard, touchdown 3 10 5.91 7 84.7
2 12:30 Scott Norwood kicks off 55 yards, returned by Dave Duerson for 22 yards 3 10 0 1.07 82.4
2 12:21 1 10 NYG 32 Jeff Hostetler for 2 yards 3 10 1.07 0.8 83.0
2 11:59 2 8 NYG 34 Ottis Anderson for 2 yards 3 10 0.8 0.37 84.0
2 11:37 3 6 NYG 36 Jeff Hostetler pass incomplete intended for Troy Kyles 3 10 0.37 -0.98 86.7
2 11:15 4 6 NYG 36 Sean Landeta punts 37 yards 3 10 -0.98 -0.74 86.3
2 10:52 1 10 BUF 27 Thurman Thomas for 14 yards 3 10 0.74 1.66 88.1
2 10:40 1 10 BUF 41 Thurman Thomas for 4 yards 3 10 1.66 1.66 88.1
2 10:28 2 6 BUF 45 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Andre Reed 3 10 1.66 0.96 86.8
2 10:16 3 6 BUF 45 3 10 0.96 1.62 88.0
2 10:04 3 1 BUF 50 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Andre Reed 3 10 1.62 -0.06 84.7
2 9:52 4 1 BUF 50 Rick Tuten punts 43 yards 3 10 -0.06 0.38 85.7
2 9:38 1 10 NYG 7 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Ottis Anderson for 7 yards 3 10 -0.38 -0.25 85.4
2 9:15 2 3 NYG 14 3 10 -0.25 -0.78 86.5
2 8:52 2 10 NYG 7 Jeff Hostetler sacked for -7 yards, safety 3 12 -0.78 -2 88.9
2 8:27 -- 3 12 0 0.94 90.5
2 8:18 1 10 BUF 30 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Andre Reed 3 12 0.94 0.39 89.6
2 8:12 2 10 BUF 30 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Keith McKeller 3 12 0.39 -0.3 88.4
2 8:06 3 10 BUF 30 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Keith McKeller 3 12 -0.3 -1.37 86.3
2 8:00 4 10 BUF 30 Rick Tuten punts 47 yards 3 12 -1.37 -0.48 88.1
2 7:53 1 10 NYG 23 Ottis Anderson for 3 yards 3 12 0.48 0.34 88.4
2 7:30 2 7 NYG 26 Ottis Anderson for 4 yards 3 12 0.34 0.17 88.7
2 7:07 3 3 NYG 30 Jeff Hostetler pass incomplete 3 12 0.17 -1.37 91.3
2 6:44 4 3 NYG 30 Sean Landeta punts 54 yards 3 12 -1.37 0.14 88.9
2 6:19 1 10 BUF 16 Thurman Thomas for 18 yards 3 12 -0.14 1.2 91.1
2 6:01 1 10 BUF 34 Thurman Thomas for 4 yards 3 12 1.2 1.2 91.2
2 5:43 2 6 BUF 38 Jim Kelly pass complete to Thurman Thomas for 10 yards 3 12 1.2 2.13 92.6
2 5:25 1 10 BUF 48 Jim Kelly pass complete to Thurman Thomas for 8 yards 3 12 2.13 2.66 93.3
2 5:07 2 2 NYG 44 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for James Lofton 3 12 2.66 1.95 92.4
2 4:49 3 2 NYG 44 3 12 1.95 1.29 91.5
2 4:31 3 7 NYG 49 Jim Kelly pass complete to Andre Reed for 5 yards 3 12 1.29 0.33 90.0
2 4:13 4 2 NYG 44 Rick Tuten punts 31 yards 3 12 0.33 0.32 90.0
2 3:49 1 10 NYG 13 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Mark Bavaro for 6 yards 3 12 -0.32 0.03 89.4
2 3:21 2 4 NYG 19 Ottis Anderson for 18 yards 3 12 0.03 1.4 86.8
2 2:53 1 10 NYG 37 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Mark Ingram for 22 yards 3 12 1.4 2.85 83.5
2 2:25 1 10 BUF 41 Dave Meggett for 17 yards 3 12 2.85 3.97 80.6
2 1:55 1 10 BUF 24 Jeff Hostetler pass incomplete intended for Maurice Carthon 3 12 3.97 3.43 82.1
2 1:50 2 10 BUF 24 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Maurice Carthon for 3 yards 3 12 3.43 3.14 82.9
2 1:17 3 7 BUF 21 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Howard Cross for 7 yards 3 12 3.14 4.65 78.7
2 0:39 1 10 BUF 14 Jeff Hostetler pass incomplete 3 12 4.65 4 80.6
2 0:35 2 10 BUF 14 Jeff Hostetler pass incomplete intended for Stephen Baker 3 12 4 3.11 83.1
2 0:30 3 10 BUF 14 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Stephen Baker for 14 yards, touchdown 10 12 3.11 7 71.0
2 0:25 Matt Bahr kicks off 61 yards, returned by Don Smith for 9 yards 10 12 0 -0.32 69.8
2 0:20 1 10 BUF 13 Jim Kelly for -1 yards 10 12 -0.32 -0.85 71.0
End of Half1012-0.850
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail NYG BUF EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 Scott Norwood kicks off 56 yards, returned by Dave Meggett for 16 yards 10 12 0 0.61 68.7
3 14:27 1 10 NYG 25 Jeff Hostetler pass incomplete intended for Howard Cross 10 12 0.61 0.06 70.7
3 13:54 2 10 NYG 25 10 12 0.06 -0.61 73.0
3 13:21 2 15 NYG 20 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Dave Meggett for 7 yards 10 12 -0.61 -0.36 72.1
3 12:48 3 8 NYG 27 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Dave Meggett for 11 yards 10 12 -0.36 1.47 65.0
3 12:15 1 10 NYG 38 Dave Meggett for 4 yards 10 12 1.47 1.46 65.0
3 11:42 2 6 NYG 42 Ottis Anderson for 5 yards 10 12 1.46 1.42 65.0
3 11:09 3 1 NYG 47 Ottis Anderson for 24 yards 10 12 1.42 3.64 55.3
3 10:36 1 10 BUF 29 Maurice Carthon for 5 yards 10 12 3.64 3.78 54.5
3 10:03 2 5 BUF 24 10 12 3.78 2.42 60.4
3 9:30 2 15 BUF 34 Jeff Hostetler for 2 yards 10 12 2.42 2.02 62.0
3 8:57 3 13 BUF 32 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Mark Ingram for 14 yards 10 12 2.02 4.37 51.1
3 8:24 1 10 BUF 18 Ottis Anderson for 5 yards 10 12 4.37 4.61 49.6
3 7:51 2 5 BUF 13 Dave Meggett for 1 yard 10 12 4.61 4.03 52.1
3 7:18 3 4 BUF 12 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Howard Cross for 9 yards 10 12 4.03 6.51 39.9
3 6:45 1 3 BUF 3 Ottis Anderson for 2 yards 10 12 6.51 5.91 42.4
3 6:12 2 1 BUF 1 Ottis Anderson for 1 yard, touchdown 17 12 5.91 7 36.8
3 5:31 Matt Bahr kicks off 58 yards, returned by Al Edwards for 33 yards 17 12 0 1.6 44.1
3 5:21 1 10 BUF 40 Thurman Thomas for 8 yards 17 12 1.6 2.13 46.6
3 5:07 2 2 BUF 48 Jim Kelly for 5 yards 17 12 2.13 2.46 48.2
3 4:53 1 10 NYG 47 Thurman Thomas for 2 yards 17 12 2.46 2.18 46.6
3 4:39 2 8 NYG 45 17 12 2.18 0.83 39.6
3 4:25 2 18 BUF 45 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Al Edwards 17 12 0.83 0.17 36.1
3 4:11 3 18 BUF 45 Jim Kelly sacked for -7 yards 17 12 0.17 -0.85 31.0
3 3:57 4 25 BUF 38 Rick Tuten punts 20 yards 17 12 -0.85 -1.73 26.8
3 3:42 1 10 NYG 42 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Howard Cross for 10 yards 17 12 1.73 2.39 23.8
3 3:19 1 10 BUF 48 17 12 2.39 2.72 22.1
3 2:56 1 10 BUF 43 Ottis Anderson for no gain 17 12 2.72 2.18 23.9
3 2:33 2 10 BUF 43 Jeff Hostetler sacked for -1 yards 17 12 2.18 1.36 27.0
3 2:10 3 11 BUF 44 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Mark Ingram for 9 yards 17 12 1.36 0.99 28.3
3 1:47 4 2 BUF 35 Ottis Anderson for -2 yards 17 12 0.99 -1.4 40.1
3 1:19 1 10 BUF 37 Jim Kelly pass complete to Thurman Thomas for 9 yards 17 12 1.4 2.07 43.4
3 0:53 2 1 BUF 46 Jim Kelly pass complete to Kenneth Davis for 4 yards 17 12 2.07 2.26 44.2
3 0:27 1 10 BUF 50 Jim Kelly pass complete to Kenneth Davis for 19 yards 17 12 2.26 3.51 51.1
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail NYG BUF EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 1 10 NYG 31 Thurman Thomas for 31 yards, touchdown 17 19 3.51 7 70.5
4 14:52 Scott Norwood kicks off 52 yards, returned by Dave Meggett for 10 yards 17 19 0 0.48 68.0
4 14:43 1 10 NYG 23 Ottis Anderson for 3 yards 17 19 0.48 0.34 68.7
4 14:12 2 7 NYG 26 Jeff Hostetler pass incomplete intended for Mark Ingram 17 19 0.34 -0.36 72.4
4 13:41 3 7 NYG 26 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Mark Bavaro for 17 yards 17 19 -0.36 1.8 60.3
4 13:10 1 10 NYG 43 Ottis Anderson for 7 yards 17 19 1.8 2.2 57.7
4 12:39 2 3 NYG 50 Maurice Carthon for 4 yards 17 19 2.2 2.52 55.5
4 12:08 1 10 BUF 46 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Mark Bavaro for 19 yards 17 19 2.52 3.78 46.9
4 11:37 1 10 BUF 27 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Mark Ingram for 13 yards 17 19 3.78 4.65 40.7
4 11:06 1 10 BUF 14 Ottis Anderson for 4 yards 17 19 4.65 4.71 39.8
4 10:35 2 6 BUF 10 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Mark Bavaro for 1 yard 17 19 4.71 4.05 43.7
4 10:04 3 5 BUF 9 Dave Meggett for 6 yards 17 19 4.05 6.51 26.8
4 9:33 1 3 BUF 3 Ottis Anderson for -4 yards 17 19 6.51 4.76 37.4
4 9:02 2 7 BUF 7 Ottis Anderson for 4 yards 17 19 4.76 4.72 37.0
4 8:31 3 3 BUF 3 Jeff Hostetler pass incomplete 17 19 4.72 3.04 49.1
4 8:00 4 3 BUF 3 Matt Bahr 21 yard field goal good 20 19 3.04 3 48.9
4 7:20 Matt Bahr kicks off 58 yards, returned by Don Smith for 13 yards 20 19 0 0.28 50.6
4 7:11 1 10 BUF 20 Thurman Thomas for 4 yards 20 19 0.28 0.27 50.4
4 6:54 2 6 BUF 24 Jim Kelly pass complete to Thurman Thomas for 15 yards 20 19 0.27 1.53 61.0
4 6:37 1 10 BUF 39 Jim Kelly for 1 yard 20 19 1.53 1.12 57.4
4 6:20 2 9 BUF 40 Kenneth Davis for 1 yard 20 19 1.12 0.56 52.2
4 6:03 3 8 BUF 41 Jim Kelly pass incomplete intended for Al Edwards 20 19 0.56 -0.65 40.9
4 5:46 4 8 BUF 41 Rick Tuten punts 46 yards 20 19 -0.65 -0.94 37.7
4 5:25 1 10 NYG 30 Ottis Anderson for 5 yards 20 19 0.94 1.07 35.8
4 4:48 2 5 NYG 35 Ottis Anderson for 9 yards 20 19 1.07 1.86 27.1
4 4:11 1 10 NYG 44 Dave Meggett for no gain 20 19 1.86 1.32 30.1
4 3:33 2 10 NYG 44 Jeff Hostetler pass complete to Mark Bavaro for 7 yards 20 19 1.32 1.55 25.6
4 2:41 3 3 BUF 49 Jeff Hostetler for 1 yard 20 19 1.55 0.07 39.4
4 2:22 4 2 BUF 48 Sean Landeta punts 38 yards 20 19 0.07 0.38 34.0
4 2:16 1 10 BUF 10 Jim Kelly for 8 yards 20 19 -0.38 0.07 39.9
4 2:00 2 2 BUF 18 Jim Kelly for 1 yard 20 19 0.07 -0.37 32.3
4 1:48 3 1 BUF 19 Thurman Thomas for 22 yards 20 19 -0.37 1.66 64.0
4 1:20 1 10 BUF 41 Jim Kelly pass complete to Andre Reed for 4 yards 20 19 1.66 1.66 65.1
4 1:02 2 6 BUF 45 Jim Kelly for 9 yards 20 19 1.66 2.52 81.3
4 0:48 1 10 NYG 46 Jim Kelly pass complete to Keith McKeller for 6 yards 20 19 2.52 2.79 87.5
4 0:29 2 4 NYG 40 Thurman Thomas for 11 yards 20 19 2.79 3.64 98.1
4 0:09 1 10 NYG 29 Jim Kelly pass incomplete 20 19 3.64 3.1 99.6
4 0:08 2 10 NYG 29 Scott Norwood 47 yard field goal no good 20 19 3.1 -0.87 0.8
4 0:04 1 10 NYG 29 Jeff Hostetler for -1 yards 20 19 0.87 0.19 6.8
End of Regulation20190.190
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).