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SUPER BOWL XXX

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Pittsburgh Steelers 17 vs. Dallas Cowboys 27

Sunday, January 28, 1996
1234Final
Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5-0)0701017
Dallas Cowboys (12-4-0)1037727

Game Info
Stadium Sun Devil Stadium
Start Time (ET) 6:33pm
Roof outdoors
Surface grass
Weather 54 degrees relative humidity 40%, wind 5 mph
Vegas Line Dallas Cowboys -13.5
Over/Under 51.0 (under)
Super Bowl MVP Larry Brown

Expected Points Summary

Expected points are an estimate of points per play based on down, distance, and yard line. Points given for offense and defense are offensive/defensive plays + penalties on which there was no play (eg, a false start). Special teams are all kicking + punting plays. Points are zeroed out at the end of halves.

Win Probability

Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Full Play-By-Play

Play Times Note
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail PIT DAL EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 PIT 30 -- 0 0 0 -0.87 85.7
1 1 10 DAL 29 -- 0 0 0.87 0.33 84.8
1 2 10 DAL 29 0 0 0.33 2.19 87.8
1 1 10 DAL 49 -- 0 0 2.19 3.71 89.9
1 1 10 PIT 28 -- 0 0 3.71 3.44 89.6
1 2 8 PIT 26 -- 0 0 3.44 2.74 88.6
1 3 8 PIT 26 -- 0 0 2.74 1.89 87.4
1 4 6 PIT 24 good 0 3 1.89 3 89.0
1 12:05 DAL 30 -- 0 3 0 -0.61 87.7
1 1 10 PIT 25 -- 0 3 0.61 0.33 88.1
1 2 8 PIT 27 -- 0 3 0.33 -0.1 88.8
1 3 6 PIT 29 0 3 -0.1 -1.11 90.2
1 4 1 PIT 34 0 3 -1.11 -0.61 89.5
1 9:58 1 10 DAL 25 -- 0 3 0.61 0.87 89.6
1 2 4 DAL 31 -- 0 3 0.87 0.43 89.0
1 3 2 DAL 33 (no play) 0 3 0.43 -0.23 88.0
1 3 7 DAL 28 0 3 -0.23 1.53 90.5
1 1 10 DAL 39 0 3 1.53 4.65 94.0
1 1 10 PIT 14 -- 0 3 4.65 4.71 94.0
1 2 6 PIT 10 -- 0 3 4.71 3.26 92.6
1 3 9 PIT 13 0 3 3.26 6.51 95.5
1 1 3 PIT 3 , touchdown 0 9 6.51 7 95.1
1 extra point good 0 10 0 0 95.9
1 5:23 DAL 30 -- 0 10 0 -0.74 95.3
1 1 10 PIT 27 -- 0 10 0.74 0.2 95.7
1 2 10 PIT 27 -- 0 10 0.2 -0.23 96.0
1 3 8 PIT 29 0 10 -0.23 1.6 94.5
1 1 10 PIT 40 Timeout #1 by Dallas Cowboys 0 10 0 0
1 1 10 PIT 40 -- 0 10 1.6 1.86 94.3
1 2 4 PIT 46 -- 0 10 1.86 1.16 94.9
1 3 4 PIT 46 -- 0 10 1.16 -0.13 95.9
1 4 1 PIT 49 -- 0 10 -0.13 2.32 93.8
1 1 10 DAL 49 -- 0 10 2.32 1.78 94.4
1 2 10 DAL 49 -- 0 10 1.78 1.36 94.7
1 3 8 DAL 47 0 10 1.36 3.18 92.9
1 1 10 DAL 36 -- 0 10 3.18 0.88 95.1
1 2 23 DAL 49 0 10 0.88 1.55 94.6
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail PIT DAL EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 5:23 3 13 DAL 39 -- 0 10 1.55 0.66 95.3
2 4 13 DAL 39 , touchback 0 10 0.66 -0.28 96.1
2 14:47 1 10 DAL 20 0 10 0.28 0.41 96.1
2 2 5 DAL 25 0 10 0.41 1.47 96.8
2 1 10 DAL 38 -- 0 10 1.47 0.92 96.4
2 2 10 DAL 38 0 10 0.92 2.26 97.3
2 1 10 DAL 50 -- 0 10 2.26 2.25 97.3
2 2 6 PIT 46 (no play) 0 10 2.25 2.93 97.6
2 2 1 PIT 41 -- 0 10 2.93 3.12 97.7
2 1 10 PIT 37 0 10 3.12 2.98 97.6
2 2 7 PIT 34 -- 0 10 2.98 2.54 97.4
2 3 5 PIT 32 0 10 2.54 1.72 97.0
2 4 1 PIT 28 -- 0 10 1.72 3.97 98.1
2 1 10 PIT 24 (no play) 0 10 3.97 3.31 97.8
2 1 20 PIT 34 0 10 3.31 4.85 98.4
2 2 1 PIT 15 -- 0 10 4.85 4.17 98.1
2 3 1 PIT 15 -- 0 10 4.17 2.32 97.3
2 4 4 PIT 18 good 0 13 2.32 3 97.6
2 6:03 DAL 30 -- 0 13 0 -1.07 97.3
2 1 10 PIT 32 -- 0 13 1.07 0.53 97.6
2 2 10 PIT 32 -- 0 13 0.53 -0.29 98.0
2 3 11 PIT 31 -- 0 13 -0.29 -1.31 98.4
2 4 11 PIT 31 0 13 -1.31 0.28 97.7
2 4:56 1 10 DAL 14 -- 0 13 -0.28 -0.75 97.5
2 2 10 DAL 14 -- 0 13 -0.75 -1.4 97.1
2 3 10 DAL 14 -- 0 13 -1.4 -2.47 96.3
2 4 10 DAL 14 0 13 -2.47 -1.99 96.7
2 3:52 1 10 PIT 46 -- 0 13 1.99 1.45 97.1
2 2 10 PIT 46 -- 0 13 1.45 -0.56 98.2
2 3 20 PIT 36 0 13 -0.56 0.27 97.8
2 4 1 DAL 45 -- 0 13 0.27 2.79 96.1
2 1 10 DAL 42 -- 0 13 2.79 2.24 96.5
2 2 10 DAL 42 -- 0 13 2.24 3.58 95.4
2 1 10 DAL 30 -- 0 13 3.58 3.44 95.5
2 2 7 DAL 27 -- 0 13 3.44 2.74 96.1
2 3 7 DAL 27 0 13 2.74 4.24 94.7
2 1 10 DAL 20 Timeout #1 by Pittsburgh Steelers 0 13 0 0
2 1 10 DAL 20 -- 0 13 4.24 2.48 96.4
2 2 19 DAL 29 0 13 2.48 2.61 96.2
2 3 13 DAL 23 Timeout #2 by Pittsburgh Steelers 0 13 0 0
2 3 13 DAL 23 0 13 2.61 5.83 92.8
2 1 6 DAL 6 Timeout #3 by Pittsburgh Steelers 0 13 0 0
2 1 6 DAL 6 , touchdown 6 13 5.83 7 92.6
2 extra point good 7 13 0 0 91.1
2 0:13 PIT 30 -- 7 13 0 -1.47 93.2
2 1 10 DAL 38 -- 7 13 1.47 0.79 91.0
End of Half7130.790
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail PIT DAL EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 DAL 30 -- 7 13 0 -1.6 87.9
3 1 10 PIT 40 -- 7 13 1.6 1.05 89.0
3 2 10 PIT 40 7 13 1.05 2.26 86.5
3 1 10 PIT 50 -- 7 13 2.26 3.25 84.1
3 1 10 DAL 35 -- 7 13 3.25 2.97 84.8
3 2 8 DAL 33 -- 7 13 2.97 2.28 86.4
3 3 8 DAL 33 -- 7 13 2.28 1.15 88.8
3 4 8 DAL 33 , touchback 7 13 1.15 -0.28 91.4
3 12:07 1 10 DAL 20 -- 7 13 0.28 -0.46 90.1
3 2 11 DAL 19 7 13 -0.46 1.27 93.0
3 1 10 DAL 35 -- 7 13 1.27 0.18 91.2
3 2 14 DAL 31 7 13 0.18 0.43 91.7
3 3 7 DAL 38 -- 7 13 0.43 -0.85 89.3
3 4 7 DAL 38 7 13 -0.85 -1.33 88.3
3 9:14 1 10 PIT 36 -- 7 13 1.33 1.33 88.1
3 2 6 PIT 40 -- 7 13 1.33 2.06 86.4
3 1 10 PIT 47 -- 7 13 2.06 1.65 87.4
3 2 9 PIT 48 -- 7 13 1.65 0.96 89.0
3 3 9 PIT 48 -- 7 13 0.96 -4.37 96.8
3 7:18 1 10 PIT 18 7 13 4.37 6.97 98.6
3 1 1 PIT 1 -- 7 19 6.97 7 98.1
3 extra point good 7 20 0 0 98.6
3 6:42 DAL 30 -- 7 20 0 0.22 98.7
3 1 10 PIT 15 -- 7 20 -0.22 -1.07 99.0
3 2 14 PIT 11 -- 7 20 -1.07 -1 99.0
3 3 7 PIT 18 7 20 -1 0.67 98.3
3 1 10 PIT 26 -- 7 20 0.67 0.13 98.6
3 2 10 PIT 26 7 20 0.13 0.63 98.3
3 3 1 PIT 35 -- 7 20 0.63 1.53 97.8
3 1 10 PIT 39 7 20 1.53 2.07 97.4
3 2 2 PIT 47 -- 7 20 2.07 1.36 97.9
3 3 2 PIT 47 -- 7 20 1.36 -0.26 98.7
3 4 2 PIT 47 -- 7 20 -0.26 -2.46 99.4
3 1:26 1 10 PIT 47 -- 7 20 2.46 2.72 99.7
3 2 4 PIT 41 -- 7 20 2.72 2.01 99.6
3 3 4 PIT 41 -- 7 20 2.01 0.53 99.3
3 4 4 PIT 41 , touchback 7 20 0.53 -0.28 99.0
3 0:33 1 10 PIT 20 7 20 0.28 1.07 98.8
3 1 10 PIT 32 -- 7 20 1.07 1.2 98.7
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail PIT DAL EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 0:33 2 5 PIT 37 -- 7 20 1.2 2.19 100.0
4 1 10 PIT 49 7 20 2.19 3.25 100.0
4 1 10 DAL 35 7 20 3.25 2.97 100.0
4 2 8 DAL 33 7 20 2.97 2.94 100.0
4 3 3 DAL 28 7 20 2.94 4.17 100.0
4 1 10 DAL 21 7 20 4.17 3.9 100.0
4 2 8 DAL 19 -- 7 20 3.9 3.18 100.0
4 3 8 DAL 19 Timeout #1 by Pittsburgh Steelers 7 20 0 0
4 3 8 DAL 19 -- 7 20 3.18 1.59 100.0
4 4 17 DAL 28 good 10 20 1.59 3 100.0
4 11:20 PIT 30 -- 10 20 0 2.13 96.2
4 1 10 PIT 48 10 20 2.13 2.92 95.0
4 1 10 DAL 40 10 20 2.92 3.64 93.6
4 1 10 DAL 29 10 20 3.64 4.05 92.6
4 2 3 DAL 22 -- 10 20 4.05 4.44 91.7
4 1 10 DAL 17 10 20 4.44 4.89 90.4
4 2 4 DAL 11 10 20 4.89 6.06 86.6
4 1 5 DAL 5 -- 10 20 6.06 5.72 87.8
4 2 2 DAL 2 -- 10 20 5.72 5.17 89.6
4 3 1 DAL 1 -- 16 20 5.17 7 86.8
4 extra point good 17 20 0 0 82.8
4 6:36 PIT 30 -- 17 20 0 0.35 82.2
4 1 10 DAL 12 17 20 -0.35 1.2 89.7
4 1 10 DAL 34 -- 17 20 1.2 0.79 88.0
4 2 9 DAL 35 -- 17 20 0.79 -0.96 78.4
4 3 17 DAL 27 -- 17 20 -0.96 -1.57 74.2
4 4 17 DAL 27 17 20 -1.57 -1.07 77.7
4 4:15 1 10 PIT 32 -- 17 20 1.07 0.53 82.8
4 2 10 PIT 32 -- 17 20 0.53 -5.83 99.7
4 4:01 1 6 PIT 6 -- 17 20 5.83 5.34 99.6
4 2 4 PIT 4 Timeout #2 by Pittsburgh Steelers 17 20 0 0
4 2 4 PIT 4 -- 17 26 5.34 7 99.8
4 extra point good 17 27 0 0 99.9
4 3:43 DAL 30 -- 17 27 0 -0.54 99.9
4 1 10 PIT 24 17 27 0.54 1.27 99.8
4 1 10 PIT 35 17 27 1.27 1.94 99.6
4 2 1 PIT 44 (no play) 17 27 1.94 2.19 99.5
4 1 10 PIT 49 17 27 2.19 2.46 99.3
4 2 4 DAL 45 -- 17 27 2.46 1.75 99.6
4 3 4 DAL 45 17 27 1.75 2.92 99.0
4 1 10 DAL 40 -- 17 27 2.92 2.37 99.4
4 2 10 DAL 40 Timeout #1 by Dallas Cowboys 17 27 0 0
4 2 10 DAL 40 -- 17 27 2.37 1.68 99.7
4 3 10 DAL 40 -- 17 27 1.68 0.59 99.9
4 4 10 DAL 40 -- 17 27 0.59 -1.6 100.0
4 1:42 1 10 DAL 40 -- 17 27 1.6 1.05 100.0
4 2 10 DAL 40 Timeout #3 by Pittsburgh Steelers 17 27 0 0
4 2 10 DAL 40 -- 17 27 1.05 0.23 100.0
4 3 11 DAL 39 -- 17 27 0.23 -0.85 100.0
4 4 12 DAL 38 (no play) 17 27 -0.85 -1.18 100.0
4 4 17 DAL 33 17 27 -1.18 -1.73 100.0
4 0:03 1 10 PIT 42 -- 17 27 1.73 -2.79 100.0
End of Regulation1727-2.790
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).