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Indianapolis Colts 22 at Pittsburgh Steelers 24

Sunday, October 12, 1997
1234Final
Indianapolis Colts (3-13-0)1003922
Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5-0)7100724

Game Info
Stadium Three Rivers Stadium
Start Time (ET) 8:00pm
Roof outdoors
Surface astroturf
Weather 57 degrees relative humidity 66%, wind 4 mph
Vegas Line Pittsburgh Steelers -10.5
Over/Under 41.0 (over)

Expected Points Summary

Expected points are an estimate of points per play based on down, distance, and yard line. Points given for offense and defense are offensive/defensive plays + penalties on which there was no play (eg, a false start). Special teams are all kicking + punting plays. Points are zeroed out at the end of halves.

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CLT PIT EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 CLT 30 Chris Gardocki kicks off 64 yards, returned by Will Blackwell for 20 yards 0 0 0 0 78.2
1 1 10 PIT 26 Jerome Bettis left for no gain (tackle by Dedric Mathis) 0 0 0 0 78.2
1 2 10 PIT 26 Kordell Stewart pass incomplete left intended for Yancey Thigpen 0 0 0 0 78.2
1 3 10 PIT 26 Kordell Stewart pass incomplete middle intended for Charles Johnson 0 0 0 0 78.2
1 4 10 PIT 26 Josh Miller punts 36 yards, returned by Brian Stablein for 12 yards (tackle by Chris Oldham) 0 0 0 0 78.2
1 13:54 1 10 CLT 50 Marshall Faulk right for 2 yards (tackle by Earl Holmes and Myron Bell) 0 0 0 0 78.0
1 2 8 PIT 48 Jim Harbaugh pass complete right to Sean Dawkins for 6 yards (tackle by Donnell Woolford) 0 0 0 0 78.0
1 3 2 PIT 42 Jim Harbaugh left for 1 yard (tackle by Mike Vrabel) 0 0 0 0 78.0
1 4 1 PIT 41 Marshall Faulk right for 16 yards (tackle by Myron Bell) 0 0 0 0 78.0
1 1 10 PIT 25 Jim Harbaugh pass complete left to Sean Dawkins for 5 yards (tackle by Carnell Lake) 0 0 0 0 78.0
1 2 5 PIT 20 Zack Crockett middle for 2 yards (tackle by Kevin Henry and Greg Lloyd) 0 0 0 0 78.0
1 3 3 PIT 18 Timeout #1 by Indianapolis Colts 0 0 0 0
1 3 3 PIT 18 Jim Harbaugh pass complete right to Marvin Harrison for 18 yards, touchdown 6 0 0 0 62.7
1 Cary Blanchard kicks extra point good 7 0 0 0 59.8
1 9:46 CLT 30 Chris Gardocki kicks off 60 yards 7 0 0 0 58.0
1 1 10 PIT 41 Kordell Stewart pass complete right to Courtney Hawkins for 11 yards 7 0 0 0 58.0
1 1 10 CLT 48 Jerome Bettis left for no gain (tackle by Tony Bennett). Jerome Bettis fumbles, recovered by Steve Morrison 7 0 0 0 58.0
1 8:53 1 10 CLT 48 Jim Harbaugh pass complete right to Marcus Pollard for 16 yards (tackle by Darren Perry) 7 0 0 0 57.6
1 1 10 PIT 36 Zack Crockett middle for 1 yard (tackle by Earl Holmes) 7 0 0 0 57.6
1 2 9 PIT 35 Timeout #2 by Indianapolis Colts 7 0 0 0
1 2 9 PIT 35 Jim Harbaugh pass complete right to Marcus Pollard for 11 yards (tackle by Levon Kirkland and Greg Lloyd) 7 0 0 0 57.6
1 1 10 PIT 24 Marshall Faulk right for 4 yards (tackle by Earl Holmes) 7 0 0 0 57.6
1 2 6 PIT 20 Marshall Faulk left for 1 yard (tackle by Kevin Henry and Earl Holmes) 7 0 0 0 57.6
1 3 5 PIT 19 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete left intended for Bradford Banta (defended by Kevin Henry) 7 0 0 0 57.6
1 4 5 PIT 19 Cary Blanchard 37 yard field goal good 10 0 0 0 48.2
1 5:44 CLT 30 Chris Gardocki kicks off 68 yards 10 0 0 0 46.4
1 1 10 PIT 23 Jerome Bettis middle for 7 yards 10 0 0 0 46.4
1 2 3 PIT 30 Jerome Bettis right for 6 yards (tackle by Ellis Johnson) 10 0 0 0 46.4
1 1 10 PIT 36 Kordell Stewart pass complete right to Charles Johnson for 19 yards (tackle by Robert Blackmon) 10 0 0 0 46.4
1 1 10 CLT 45 Jerome Bettis middle for 1 yard (tackle by Quentin Coryatt) 10 0 0 0 46.4
1 2 9 CLT 44 Jerome Bettis left for 14 yards (tackle by Robert Blackmon) 10 0 0 0 46.4
1 1 10 CLT 30 Jerome Bettis middle for 6 yards (tackle by Robert Blackmon) 10 0 0 0 46.4
1 2 4 CLT 24 Jerome Bettis middle for 3 yards (tackle by Tony McCoy) 10 0 0 0 46.4
1 3 1 CLT 21 Jerome Bettis left for 8 yards (tackle by Damon Watts) 10 0 0 0 46.4
1 1 10 CLT 13 Kordell Stewart pass incomplete left intended for Charles Johnson 10 0 0 0 46.4
1 2 10 CLT 13 Jerome Bettis right for 4 yards (tackle by Tony McCoy and Robert Blackmon) 10 0 0 0 46.4
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CLT PIT EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 5:44 3 6 CLT 9 Kordell Stewart middle for 4 yards (tackle by Sammie Burroughs) 10 0 0 0 35.9
2 4 2 CLT 5 Norm Johnson 23 yard field goal good 10 3 0 0 47.1
2 14:10 PIT 30 Norm Johnson kicks off 64 yards, returned by Aaron Bailey for 21 yards 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 1 10 CLT 27 Zack Crockett middle for 6 yards (tackle by Greg Lloyd) 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 2 4 CLT 33 Jim Harbaugh left for 2 yards (tackle by Jason Gildon and Kevin Henry) 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 3 2 CLT 35 Penalty on Doug Widell: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 3 7 CLT 30 Jim Harbaugh pass complete middle to Aaron Bailey for 8 yards (tackle by Donnell Woolford) 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 1 10 CLT 38 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete right intended for Marshall Faulk 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 2 10 CLT 38 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete right intended for Marvin Harrison 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 3 10 CLT 38 Jim Harbaugh pass complete left to Aaron Bailey for 13 yards (tackle by Levon Kirkland) 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 1 10 PIT 49 Marshall Faulk left for 8 yards (tackle by Levon Kirkland) 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 2 2 PIT 41 Marshall Faulk middle for 5 yards (tackle by Greg Lloyd and Levon Kirkland) 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 1 10 PIT 36 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete right intended for Zack Crockett 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 2 10 PIT 36 Zack Crockett middle for 3 yards (tackle by Greg Lloyd and Kevin Henry) 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 3 7 PIT 33 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete intended for Marvin Harrison is intercepted by Donnell Woolford and returned for 34 yards 10 3 0 0 52.5
2 8:32 1 10 CLT 40 Penalty on John Jackson: Holding, 10 yards (no play) 10 3 0 0 49.1
2 1 20 PIT 50 Kordell Stewart pass incomplete left intended for Yancey Thigpen 10 3 0 0 49.1
2 2 20 PIT 50 Kordell Stewart pass complete left to Charles Johnson for 29 yards (tackle by Dedric Mathis) 10 3 0 0 49.1
2 1 10 CLT 21 Kordell Stewart pass complete left to Yancey Thigpen for 14 yards (tackle by Jason Belser) 10 3 0 0 49.1
2 1 7 CLT 7 Jerome Bettis right for 7 yards, touchdown 10 9 0 0 70.3
2 Norm Johnson kicks extra point good 10 10 0 0 73.4
2 6:33 PIT 30 Norm Johnson kicks off 64 yards, returned by Aaron Bailey for 21 yards 10 10 0 0 72.9
2 1 10 CLT 27 Marshall Faulk left for 5 yards (tackle by Earl Holmes and Joel Steed) 10 10 0 0 72.9
2 2 5 CLT 32 Timeout #3 by Indianapolis Colts 10 10 0 0
2 2 5 CLT 32 Zack Crockett middle for no gain (tackle by Levon Kirkland and Earl Holmes) 10 10 0 0 72.9
2 3 5 CLT 32 Penalty on Chris Oldham: Pass Interference, 6 yards (no play) 10 10 0 0 72.9
2 1 10 CLT 38 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete middle intended for Sean Dawkins (defended by Earl Holmes) 10 10 0 0 72.9
2 2 10 CLT 38 Jim Harbaugh pass complete left to Sean Dawkins for 9 yards (tackle by Carnell Lake) 10 10 0 0 72.9
2 3 1 CLT 47 Jim Harbaugh sacked by Carnell Lake for -9 yards. Jim Harbaugh fumbles, recovered by Carnell Lake and returned for 38 yards, touchdown 10 16 0 0 88.1
2 Norm Johnson kicks extra point good 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 3:53 PIT 30 Norm Johnson kicks off 63 yards, returned by Aaron Bailey for 18 yards. Penalty on Bertrand Berry: Holding, 10 yards 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 1 10 CLT 15 Penalty on Jay Leeuwenburg: Holding, 8 yards (no play) 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 1 18 CLT 7 Marshall Faulk right for -1 yards (tackle by Levon Kirkland and Jason Gildon) 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 2 19 CLT 6 Jim Harbaugh pass complete left to Sean Dawkins for 6 yards (tackle by Carnell Lake) 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 3 13 CLT 12 Jim Harbaugh sacked by Joel Steed for -4 yards 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 4 17 CLT 8 Chris Gardocki punts 58 yards, returned by Courtney Hawkins for 30 yards (tackle by Jason Belser) 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 3:53 1 10 CLT 36 Kordell Stewart right for 5 yards 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 2 5 CLT 31 Kordell Stewart pass incomplete right intended for Jerome Bettis 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 3 5 CLT 31 George Jones right for 10 yards (tackle by Quentin Coryatt) 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 1 10 CLT 21 Timeout #1 by Pittsburgh Steelers 10 17 0 0
2 1 10 CLT 21 Penalty on Mark Bruener: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 1 15 CLT 26 Kordell Stewart pass incomplete left intended for Courtney Hawkins 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 2 15 CLT 26 Kordell Stewart pass complete left to George Jones for -1 yards (tackle by Jason Belser) 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 3 16 CLT 27 Kordell Stewart left for 2 yards (tackle by Quentin Coryatt and Ellis Johnson). Kordell Stewart fumbles. Penalty on Quentin Coryatt: Taunting, 13 yards 10 17 0 0 89.9
2 3:53 1 10 CLT 12 Marshall Faulk middle for 11 yards (tackle by Donnell Woolford) 10 17 0 0 89.9
End of Half101700
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CLT PIT EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 1:47 PIT 30 Norm Johnson kicks onside 13 yards 10 17 0 0 91.8
3 1 10 PIT 43 Jerome Bettis middle for 3 yards 10 17 0 0 91.8
3 2 7 PIT 46 Mike Tomczak pass incomplete right intended for Yancey Thigpen 10 17 0 0 91.8
3 3 7 PIT 46 Mike Tomczak pass incomplete right intended for Charles Johnson 10 17 0 0 91.8
3 4 7 PIT 46 Josh Miller punts 25 yards 10 17 0 0 91.8
3 0:28 1 10 CLT 29 Marshall Faulk right for 2 yards (tackle by Kevin Henry and Joel Steed) 10 17 0 0 92.2
3 2 8 CLT 31 Jim Harbaugh pass complete right to Marcus Pollard for 28 yards (tackle by Darren Perry) 10 17 0 0 92.2
3 1 10 PIT 41 Jim Harbaugh pass complete right to Lamont Warren for 8 yards (tackle by Myron Bell) 10 17 0 0 92.2
3 2 2 PIT 33 Marshall Faulk right for -3 yards (tackle by Donnell Woolford and Levon Kirkland) 10 17 0 0 92.2
3 3 5 PIT 36 Jim Harbaugh pass complete left to Sean Dawkins for 20 yards (tackle by Chad Scott) 10 17 0 0 92.2
3 1 10 PIT 16 Zack Crockett left for 2 yards (tackle by Earl Holmes and Darren Perry) 10 17 0 0 92.2
3 2 8 PIT 14 Jim Harbaugh pass complete left to Marshall Faulk for 4 yards (tackle by Carnell Lake) 10 17 0 0 92.2
3 3 4 PIT 10 Marshall Faulk middle for no gain (tackle by Levon Kirkland) 10 17 0 0 92.2
3 4 4 PIT 10 Cary Blanchard 27 yard field goal good 13 17 0 0 83.6
3 15:00 CLT 30 Chris Gardocki kicks off 70 yards 13 17 0 0 83.4
3 1 10 PIT 23 Jerome Bettis right for 1 yard (tackle by Robert Blackmon) 13 17 0 0 83.4
3 2 9 PIT 24 Jerome Bettis middle for 3 yards 13 17 0 0 83.4
3 3 6 PIT 27 Mike Tomczak pass complete left to Charles Johnson for 10 yards (tackle by Sammie Burroughs) 13 17 0 0 83.4
3 1 10 PIT 37 Mike Tomczak pass complete left to Jerome Bettis for 14 yards 13 17 0 0 83.4
3 1 10 CLT 49 Jerome Bettis middle for 5 yards (tackle by Tony McCoy) 13 17 0 0 83.4
3 2 5 CLT 44 Jerome Bettis middle for 2 yards (tackle by Tony McCoy) 13 17 0 0 83.4
3 3 3 CLT 42 Mike Tomczak pass complete right to Yancey Thigpen for 10 yards (tackle by Robert Blackmon) 13 17 0 0 83.4
3 1 10 CLT 32 Mike Tomczak pass incomplete right 13 17 0 0 83.4
3 2 10 CLT 32 Jerome Bettis left for 4 yards 13 17 0 0 83.4
3 3 6 CLT 28 Mike Tomczak pass complete left to Courtney Hawkins for 28 yards, touchdown 13 23 0 0 94.5
3 Norm Johnson kicks extra point good 13 24 0 0 95.6
3 14:06 PIT 30 Norm Johnson kicks off 67 yards, returned by Aaron Bailey for 20 yards 13 24 0 0 95.7
3 1 10 CLT 23 Marshall Faulk right for 3 yards (tackle by Kevin Henry) 13 24 0 0 95.7
3 2 7 CLT 26 Jim Harbaugh pass complete right to Lamont Warren for 10 yards (tackle by Donnell Woolford) 13 24 0 0 95.7
3 1 10 CLT 36 Marshall Faulk right for -1 yards (tackle by Nolan Harrison) 13 24 0 0 95.7
3 2 11 CLT 35 Jim Harbaugh pass complete left to Marvin Harrison for 19 yards (tackle by Darren Perry) 13 24 0 0 95.7
3 1 10 PIT 46 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete left intended for Sean Dawkins 13 24 0 0 95.7
3 2 10 PIT 46 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete left intended for Aaron Bailey. Penalty on Jim Harbaugh: Intentional Grounding, 23 yards 13 24 0 0 95.7
3 3 33 CLT 31 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete left intended for Sean Dawkins 13 24 0 0 95.7
3 4 33 CLT 31 Chris Gardocki punts 50 yards, returned by Courtney Hawkins for 9 yards (tackle by Derwin Gray) 13 24 0 0 95.7
3 9:25 1 10 PIT 28 Jerome Bettis left for 17 yards (tackle by Dedric Mathis) 13 24 0 0 96.2
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CLT PIT EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 3:43 1 10 PIT 45 Jerome Bettis middle for 2 yards (tackle by Quentin Coryatt and Steve Martin) 13 24 0 0 100.0
4 2 8 PIT 47 Mike Tomczak pass incomplete intended for Yancey Thigpen is intercepted by Jason Belser and returned for 37 yards 13 24 0 0 100.0
4 3:43 1 10 CLT 45 Penalty on Tony Mandarich: Holding, 10 yards (no play) 13 24 0 0 100.0
4 1 20 CLT 35 Jim Harbaugh sacked by Earl Holmes for -7 yards 13 24 0 0 100.0
4 2 27 CLT 28 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete left intended for Sean Dawkins 13 24 0 0 100.0
4 3 27 CLT 28 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete (defended by Jason Gildon) 13 24 0 0 100.0
4 4 27 CLT 28 Chris Gardocki punts 35 yards, returned by Courtney Hawkins for 20 yards (tackle by Ray McElroy) 13 24 0 0 100.0
4 0:24 1 10 CLT 43 Jerome Bettis left for 5 yards (tackle by Steve Martin and Ellis Johnson) 13 24 0 0 100.0
4 2 5 CLT 38 Penalty on Mark Bruener: Holding, 10 yards (no play) 13 24 0 0 100.0
4 2 15 CLT 48 Mike Tomczak pass complete left to Tim Lester for 4 yards (tackle by Steve Morrison and Dedric Mathis) 13 24 0 0 100.0
4 3 11 CLT 44 Mike Tomczak pass incomplete intended for Courtney Hawkins is intercepted by Dedric Mathis and returned for 31 yards 13 24 0 0 100.0
4 14:09 1 10 PIT 46 Jim Harbaugh pass complete left to Marshall Faulk for 4 yards (tackle by Myron Bell) 13 24 0 0 98.0
4 2 6 PIT 42 Jim Harbaugh pass complete left to Sean Dawkins for 14 yards (tackle by Earl Holmes) 13 24 0 0 98.0
4 1 10 PIT 28 Marshall Faulk right for 4 yards (tackle by Donnell Woolford) 13 24 0 0 98.0
4 2 6 PIT 24 Zack Crockett middle for 7 yards (tackle by Nolan Harrison) 13 24 0 0 98.0
4 1 10 PIT 17 Marshall Faulk left for no gain (tackle by Earl Holmes) 13 24 0 0 98.0
4 2 10 PIT 17 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete right intended for Zack Crockett 13 24 0 0 98.0
4 3 10 PIT 17 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete left intended for Sean Dawkins 13 24 0 0 98.0
4 4 10 PIT 17 Cary Blanchard 35 yard field goal good 16 24 0 0 94.5
4 13:06 CLT 30 Chris Gardocki kicks off 69 yards 16 24 0 0 94.9
4 1 10 PIT 26 Jerome Bettis middle for 12 yards 16 24 0 0 94.9
4 1 10 PIT 38 Jerome Bettis right for 5 yards 16 24 0 0 94.9
4 2 5 PIT 43 Penalty on Tom Myslinski: Illegal Block, 15 yards (no play) 16 24 0 0 94.9
4 2 20 PIT 28 Jerome Bettis left for 34 yards (tackle by Jason Belser) 16 24 0 0 94.9
4 1 10 CLT 38 George Jones middle for no gain. George Jones fumbles, recovered by Ellis Johnson 16 24 0 0 94.9
4 11:14 1 10 CLT 38 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete right intended for Marcus Pollard (defended by Levon Kirkland) 16 24 0 0 95.6
4 2 10 CLT 38 Jim Harbaugh pass complete right to Marvin Harrison for 15 yards (tackle by Donnell Woolford) 16 24 0 0 95.6
4 1 10 PIT 47 Penalty on Myron Bell: Pass Interference, 42 yards (no play) 16 24 0 0 95.6
4 1 5 PIT 5 Marshall Faulk middle for no gain (tackle by Earl Holmes and Jason Gildon) 16 24 0 0 95.6
4 2 5 PIT 5 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete middle intended for Marshall Faulk 16 24 0 0 95.6
4 3 5 PIT 5 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete left intended for Sean Dawkins (defended by Chris Oldham) 16 24 0 0 95.6
4 4 5 PIT 5 Jim Harbaugh pass complete right to Brian Stablein for 5 yards, touchdown 22 24 0 0 75.1
4 PIT 2 Penalty on Carnell Lake: Holding, 1 yards (no play) 22 24 0 0 75.1
4 PIT 1 Two Point Attempt: conversion fails 22 24 0 0 75.1
4 7:31 CLT 30 Chris Gardocki kicks off 68 yards 22 24 0 0 75.6
4 1 10 PIT 22 Jerome Bettis middle for 3 yards (tackle by Quentin Coryatt) 22 24 0 0 75.6
4 2 7 PIT 25 Timeout #1 by Indianapolis Colts 22 24 0 0
4 2 7 PIT 25 Jerome Bettis right for -1 yards (tackle by Quentin Coryatt). Jerome Bettis fumbles, recovered by Dan Footman 22 24 0 0 75.6
4 4:56 1 10 PIT 23 Marshall Faulk middle for -1 yards (tackle by Greg Lloyd) 22 24 0 0 76.9
4 2 11 PIT 24 Timeout #1 by Pittsburgh Steelers 22 24 0 0
4 2 11 PIT 24 Marshall Faulk right for -2 yards (tackle by Levon Kirkland) 22 24 0 0 76.9
4 3 13 PIT 26 Timeout #2 by Pittsburgh Steelers 22 24 0 0
4 3 13 PIT 26 Marshall Faulk middle for 2 yards (tackle by Levon Kirkland and Nolan Harrison) 22 24 0 0 76.9
4 4 11 PIT 24 Timeout #3 by Pittsburgh Steelers 22 24 0 0
4 4 11 PIT 24 Cary Blanchard 42 yard field goal no good 22 24 0 0 76.9
4 3:35 1 10 PIT 32 Jerome Bettis middle for 4 yards (tackle by Quentin Coryatt) 22 24 0 0 78.5
4 2 6 PIT 36 Timeout #2 by Indianapolis Colts 22 24 0 0
4 2 6 PIT 36 Jerome Bettis left for 3 yards (tackle by Tony McCoy and Steve Martin) 22 24 0 0 78.5
4 3 3 PIT 39 Timeout #3 by Indianapolis Colts 22 24 0 0
4 3 3 PIT 39 Mike Tomczak pass complete right to Tim Lester for 4 yards (tackle by Quentin Coryatt) 22 24 0 0 78.5
4 1 10 PIT 43 Jerome Bettis left for 2 yards (tackle by Dan Footman) 22 24 0 0 78.5
4 2 8 PIT 45 Jerome Bettis middle for 4 yards 22 24 0 0 78.5
4 3 4 PIT 49 Jerome Bettis middle for no gain (tackle by Steve Martin) 22 24 0 0 78.5
4 4 4 PIT 49 Penalty on Josh Miller: Delay of Game, 5 yards (no play) 22 24 0 0 78.5
4 4 9 PIT 44 Josh Miller punts 56 yards, touchback 22 24 0 0 78.5
4 3:11 1 10 CLT 20 Jim Harbaugh sacked by Steve Conley for -8 yards 22 24 0 0 79.2
4 2 18 CLT 12 Jim Harbaugh pass incomplete right intended for Aaron Bailey 22 24 0 0 79.2
End of Regulation222400
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).