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New England Patriots 23 at Buffalo Bills 21

Sunday, September 8, 2013
1234Final
New England Patriots (12-4-0)1070623
Buffalo Bills (6-10-0)0147021

Game Info
Stadium Ralph Wilson Stadium
Start Time (ET) 1:02pm
Roof outdoors
Surface a_turf
Duration 3:13
Attendance 69,519
Weather 65 degrees relative humidity 55%, wind 11 mph
Vegas Line New England Patriots -10.5
Over/Under 50.5 (under)
Officials
Referee Walt Anderson
Umpire Jeff Rice
Head Linesman Steve Stelljes
Field Judge Buddy Horton
Back Judge Billy Smith
Side Judge Michael Banks
Line Judge Byron Boston

Expected Points Summary

Expected points are an estimate of points per play based on down, distance, and yard line. Points given for offense and defense are offensive/defensive plays + penalties on which there was no play (eg, a false start). Special teams are all kicking + punting plays. Points are zeroed out at the end of halves.

Win Probability

Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Pass Targets

New England Patriots
Deep Left (1/1, 20 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Kenbrell Thompkins 1 1 20 0
Deep Middle (1/4, 24 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Danny Amendola 1 1 24 0
Julian Edelman 1 0 0 0
Kenbrell Thompkins 2 0 0 0
Deep Right (0/1, 0 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Shane Vereen 1 0 0 0
Short Left (5/14, 48 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Danny Amendola 3 1 6 0
Julian Edelman 1 1 9 0
Kenbrell Thompkins 7 1 16 0
Shane Vereen 3 2 17 0
Short Middle (10/14, 132 yards, 2 TD)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Danny Amendola 6 5 52 0
Julian Edelman 3 3 52 2
Michael Hoomanawanui 1 0 0 0
Kenbrell Thompkins 2 0 0 0
Shane Vereen 2 2 28 0
Short Right (12/18, 64 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Danny Amendola 4 3 22 0
Josh Boyce 2 0 0
Julian Edelman 4 3 18 0
Michael Hoomanawanui 1 1 5 0
Zach Sudfeld 1 0 0
Kenbrell Thompkins 2 2 6 0
Shane Vereen 4 3 13 0
Buffalo Bills
Deep Left (1/3, 18 yards, 1 TD)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
T.J. Graham 1 0 0
Steve Johnson 1 1 18 1
Robert Woods 1 0 0 0
Deep Middle (1/1, 19 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 1 1 19 0
Deep Right (1/2, 18 yards, 1 TD)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 1 0 0 0
Robert Woods 1 1 18 1
Short Left (2/4, 22 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Fred Jackson 1 1 14 0
Steve Johnson 3 1 8 0
Short Middle (7/9, 52 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 1 1 4 0
Fred Jackson 3 3 27 0
Steve Johnson 2 1 13 0
C.J. Spiller 3 2 8 0
Short Right (6/8, 22 yards)
Player Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 3 2 15 0
Marquise Goodwin 1 1 0 0
Fred Jackson 1 0 0 0
C.J. Spiller 3 3 7 0

Rushing

New England Patriots
LE (0 rushes, 0 yards)LT (9 rushes, 65 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
LeGarrette Blount 4 9 0
Stevan Ridley 1 0 0
Shane Vereen 4 56 0
LG (3 rushes, 32 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Stevan Ridley 1 20 0
Shane Vereen 2 12 0
MD (14 rushes, 51 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
LeGarrette Blount 2 2 0
Tom Brady 1 -1 0
Stevan Ridley 5 18 0
Shane Vereen 6 32 0
RG (0 rushes, 0 yards)RT (4 rushes, 6 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
LeGarrette Blount 1 4 0
Stevan Ridley 1 1 0
Shane Vereen 2 1 0
RE (0 rushes, 0 yards)
Buffalo Bills
LE (1 rush, 5 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
T.J. Graham 1 5 0
LT (1 rush, 2 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
C.J. Spiller 1 2 0
LG (6 rushes, 22 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Fred Jackson 3 12 0
C.J. Spiller 3 10 0
MD (17 rushes, 76 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Fred Jackson 9 54 0
EJ Manuel 1 1 0
C.J. Spiller 7 21 0
RG (4 rushes, 4 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
Fred Jackson 1 1 0
C.J. Spiller 3 3 0
RT (4 rushes, 24 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
EJ Manuel 1 19 0
C.J. Spiller 3 5 0
RE (1 rush, 3 yards)
Player Att Yds TD
EJ Manuel 1 3 0

Pass Tackles

New England Patriots
Deep LeftDeep Middle
Player
Steve Gregory 1
Deep Right
Short Left Short Middle Short Right
Buffalo Bills
Deep Left
Player
Leodis McKelvin 1
Deep Middle
Player
Ron Brooks 1
Deep Right
Short Left Short Middle Short Right

New England Patriots Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 15:00 NWE 14 7 2:55 42 Punt View Drive »
2 1 11:33 BUF 16 3 0:47 16 Touchdown View Drive »
3 1 8:30 50 9 3:43 20 Field Goal View Drive »
4 1 2:26 NWE 25 7 3:35 28 Punt View Drive »
5 2 11:42 NWE 20 3 1:00 7 Punt View Drive »
6 2 9:53 NWE 46 4 1:28 28 Fumble View Drive »
7 2 8:25 NWE 27 6 3:20 36 Punt View Drive »
8 2 3:45 BUF 32 4 1:50 32 Touchdown View Drive »
9 2 1:11 NWE 25 2 0:08 6 Interception View Drive »
10 2 0:34 NWE 20 1 0:34 -1 End of Half View Drive »
11 3 11:03 NWE 20 15 6:51 79 Fumble View Drive »
12 3 1:15 NWE 3 3 0:47 4 Punt View Drive »
13 4 14:17 NWE 15 9 3:29 70 Field Goal View Drive »
14 4 8:41 NWE 14 7 2:50 29 Punt View Drive »
15 4 4:31 NWE 34 12 4:26 49 Field Goal View Drive »

Buffalo Bills Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 12:05 BUF 10 2 0:32 3 Fumble View Drive »
2 1 10:46 BUF 20 6 2:16 18 Punt View Drive »
3 1 4:47 BUF 20 5 2:21 2 Punt View Drive »
4 2 13:51 BUF 28 5 2:09 28 Punt View Drive »
5 2 10:42 BUF 8 3 0:49 7 Punt View Drive »
6 2 5:05 BUF 11 5 1:20 24 Fumble View Drive »
7 2 1:55 BUF 20 3 0:44 8 Punt View Drive »
8 2 1:03 NWE 37 2 0:29 37 Touchdown View Drive »
9 3 15:00 BUF 20 11 3:57 80 Touchdown View Drive »
10 3 4:12 BUF 14 6 2:57 26 Punt View Drive »
11 3 0:28 NWE 42 3 1:11 -2 Punt View Drive »
12 4 10:48 BUF 12 6 2:07 37 Punt View Drive »
13 4 5:51 BUF 20 3 1:20 4 Punt View Drive »
14 4 0:05 BUF 20 1 0:05 9 End of Game View Drive »

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail NWE BUF EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 64 yards, returned by LeGarrette Blount for 13 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 0 0 0 0.28 22.4
1 14:56 1 10 NWE 14 Penalty on Marcell Dareus: Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards (no play) 0 0 -0.28 0.53 20.6
1 14:56 1 5 NWE 19 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Danny Amendola for 10 yards (tackle by Justin Rogers) 0 0 0.53 0.87 19.9
1 14:24 1 10 NWE 29 Stevan Ridley up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Manny Lawson). BUF challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was upheld. 0 0 0.87 0.73 20.3
1 13:47 2 7 NWE 32 Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Danny Amendola 0 0 0.73 0.04 21.9
1 13:42 3 7 NWE 32 Tom Brady pass complete deep middle to Danny Amendola for 24 yards (tackle by Ron Brooks) 0 0 0.04 2.65 16.6
1 13:02 1 10 BUF 44 Tom Brady pass incomplete deep middle intended for Kenbrell Thompkins 0 0 2.65 2.11 17.7
1 12:57 2 10 BUF 44 Stevan Ridley left tackle for no gain (tackle by Leodis McKelvin) 0 0 2.11 1.42 19.1
1 12:17 3 10 BUF 44 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Danny Amendola 0 0 1.42 0.33 21.6
1 12:14 4 10 BUF 44 Ryan Allen punts 34 yards, fair catch by Leodis McKelvin 0 0 0.33 0.38 21.5
1 12:05 1 10 BUF 10 C.J. Spiller right guard for 1 yard (tackle by Jerod Mayo and Tommy Kelly) 0 0 -0.38 -0.71 20.8
1 11:41 2 9 BUF 11 C.J. Spiller left tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Kyle Arrington). C.J. Spiller fumbles (forced by Kyle Arrington), recovered by Tommy Kelly at BUF-16 (tackle by Kraig Urbik) 0 0 -0.71 -4.51 13.5
1 11:33 1 10 BUF 16 Stevan Ridley for 7 yards 0 0 4.51 5.16 12.5
1 10:54 2 3 BUF 9 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Danny Amendola (defended by Nigel Bradham) 0 0 5.16 4.39 13.8
1 10:51 3 3 BUF 9 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Julian Edelman for 9 yards, touchdown 6 0 4.39 7 11.2
1 10:51 BUF 9 Stephen Gostkowski kicks extra point good 7 0 0 0 9.8
1 10:51 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 70 yards, touchback 7 0 0 -0.28 10.2
1 10:46 1 10 BUF 20 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to Scott Chandler for 8 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo) 7 0 0.28 0.81 11.0
1 10:18 2 2 BUF 28 C.J. Spiller right guard for no gain (tackle by Vince Wilfork) 7 0 0.81 0.1 10.0
1 9:52 3 2 BUF 28 EJ Manuel pass complete short middle to Steve Johnson for 13 yards (tackle by Aqib Talib) 7 0 0.1 1.66 12.3
1 9:35 1 10 BUF 41 C.J. Spiller right guard for 2 yards (tackle by Dont'a Hightower and Rob Ninkovich) 7 0 1.66 1.39 11.9
1 9:07 2 8 BUF 43 Penalty on Scott Chandler: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 7 0 1.39 0.72 10.9
1 8:56 2 13 BUF 38 EJ Manuel pass incomplete deep left intended for Robert Woods (defended by Alfonzo Dennard) 7 0 0.72 0.04 9.9
1 8:49 3 13 BUF 38 EJ Manuel pass complete short middle to C.J. Spiller for no gain 7 0 0.04 -0.85 8.8
1 8:42 4 13 BUF 38 Shawn Powell punts 43 yards, returned by Julian Edelman for 16 yards (tackle by Marcus Dowtin). Penalty on Arthur Moats: Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards 7 0 -0.85 -2.26 7.1
1 8:30 1 10 50 Tom Brady pass incomplete deep middle intended for Kenbrell Thompkins 7 0 2.26 1.71 7.8
1 8:24 2 10 50 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Kenbrell Thompkins for 2 yards (tackle by Kyle Williams and Mario Williams) 7 0 1.71 1.29 8.2
1 7:41 3 8 BUF 48 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Shane Vereen for 9 yards (tackle by Justin Rogers) 7 0 1.29 2.98 6.4
1 7:09 1 10 BUF 39 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Julian Edelman for 9 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin and Aaron Williams) 7 0 2.98 3.66 5.7
1 6:47 2 1 BUF 30 LeGarrette Blount up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Alex Carrington and Kiko Alonso) 7 0 3.66 3.64 5.8
1 6:20 1 10 BUF 29 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Kenbrell Thompkins 7 0 3.64 3.1 6.3
1 6:14 2 10 BUF 29 LeGarrette Blount left tackle for -1 yards (tackle by Arthur Moats and Alan Branch) 7 0 3.1 2.28 7.1
1 5:33 3 11 BUF 30 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Julian Edelman for no gain 7 0 2.28 1.41 8.1
1 4:51 4 11 BUF 30 Stephen Gostkowski 48 yard field goal good 10 0 1.41 3 6.4
1 4:51 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 69 yards, touchback 10 0 0 -0.28 6.6
1 4:47 1 10 BUF 20 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 8 yards (tackle by Steve Gregory) 10 0 0.28 0.81 7.2
1 4:22 2 2 BUF 28 Fred Jackson up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Rob Ninkovich and Jerod Mayo) 10 0 0.81 1 7.4
1 4:00 1 10 BUF 31 EJ Manuel pass complete short middle to Robert Woods for 19 yards (tackle by Steve Gregory). Penalty on Cordy Glenn: Illegal Use of Hands, 10 yards (no play) 10 0 1 0.34 6.7
1 3:38 1 20 BUF 21 Fred Jackson left guard for 3 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo) 10 0 0.34 -0.49 5.8
1 3:12 2 17 BUF 24 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to C.J. Spiller for -2 yards (tackle by Kyle Arrington) 10 0 -0.49 -1.42 5.0
1 2:39 3 19 BUF 22 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short middle intended for C.J. Spiller 10 0 -1.42 -1.9 4.6
1 2:35 4 19 BUF 22 Shawn Powell punts 53 yards, fair catch by Julian Edelman 10 0 -1.9 -0.61 5.7
1 2:26 1 10 NWE 25 Stevan Ridley up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Manny Lawson and Nickell Robey) 10 0 0.61 0.47 5.8
1 1:49 2 7 NWE 28 Stevan Ridley up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Kyle Williams and Manny Lawson) 10 0 0.47 0.17 6.1
1 1:08 3 4 NWE 31 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Danny Amendola for 6 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin) 10 0 0.17 1.4 5.0
1 0:32 1 10 NWE 37 Stevan Ridley left guard for 20 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 10 0 1.4 2.72 3.9
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail NWE BUF EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 1 10 BUF 43 Stevan Ridley right tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Justin Rogers and Kyle Williams) 10 0 2.72 2.31 4.2
2 14:29 2 9 BUF 42 Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Michael Hoomanawanui (defended by Marcell Dareus) 10 0 2.31 1.62 4.7
2 14:26 3 9 BUF 42 Tom Brady sacked by Da'Norris Searcy for -5 yards 10 0 1.62 0.13 6.1
2 13:59 4 14 BUF 47 Ryan Allen punts 19 yards, out of bounds 10 0 0.13 -0.81 7.1
2 13:51 1 10 BUF 28 Fred Jackson left guard for 7 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo) 10 0 0.81 1.21 7.6
2 13:28 2 3 BUF 35 Fred Jackson up the middle for 13 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo and Devin McCourty) 10 0 1.21 2.13 8.8
2 13:04 1 10 BUF 48 Fred Jackson up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Tommy Kelly) 10 0 2.13 1.85 8.5
2 12:45 2 8 50 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to C.J. Spiller for 7 yards (tackle by Aqib Talib) 10 0 1.85 2.08 8.8
2 12:27 3 1 NWE 43 C.J. Spiller up the middle for -1 yards (tackle by Joe Vellano and Tommy Kelly) 10 0 2.08 0.33 6.6
2 11:50 4 2 NWE 44 Shawn Powell punts 44 yards, touchback 10 0 0.33 -0.28 5.9
2 11:42 1 10 NWE 20 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Kenbrell Thompkins 10 0 0.28 -0.27 6.5
2 11:38 2 10 NWE 20 Shane Vereen left guard for 7 yards (tackle by Kiko Alonso and Nickell Robey) 10 0 -0.27 -0.03 6.2
2 10:59 3 3 NWE 27 Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Shane Vereen 10 0 -0.03 -1.57 8.0
2 10:53 4 3 NWE 27 Ryan Allen punts 65 yards 10 0 -1.57 0.38 5.7
2 10:42 1 10 BUF 8 EJ Manuel pass incomplete deep right intended for Scott Chandler 10 0 -0.38 -0.78 5.3
2 10:35 2 10 BUF 8 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 7 yards (tackle by Chandler Jones) 10 0 -0.78 -0.6 5.5
2 10:08 3 3 BUF 15 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short middle intended for Steve Johnson (defended by Kyle Arrington). Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was overturned. EJ Manuel pass incomplete short middle intended for Steve Johnson (defended by Kyle Arrington) 10 0 -0.6 -2.44 3.9
2 10:05 4 3 BUF 15 Shawn Powell punts 53 yards, returned by Julian Edelman for 14 yards (tackle by Chris Hogan) 10 0 -2.44 -1.99 4.2
2 9:53 1 10 NWE 46 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Shane Vereen for 14 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin). Penalty on Jerry Hughes: Defensive Offside (Declined) 10 0 1.99 2.92 3.5
2 9:32 1 10 BUF 40 Tom Brady pass incomplete deep right intended for Shane Vereen 10 0 2.92 2.37 3.9
2 9:26 2 10 BUF 40 Stevan Ridley up the middle for 11 yards (tackle by Nickell Robey and Aaron Williams) 10 0 2.37 3.64 3.0
2 9:07 1 10 BUF 29 Stevan Ridley right tackle for 5 yards (tackle by Justin Rogers). Penalty on BUF: Defensive 12 On-field, 5 yards (no play) 10 0 3.64 4.37 2.6
2 8:40 1 5 BUF 24 Stevan Ridley up the middle for -2 yards (tackle by Kiko Alonso). Stevan Ridley fumbles (forced by Kiko Alonso), recovered by Da'Norris Searcy at BUF-26 and returned for 74 yards, touchdown. Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was upheld. 10 6 4.37 -7 16.0
2 8:25 BUF 24 Dan Carpenter kicks extra point good 10 7 0 0 18.3
2 8:25 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 60 yards, returned by LeGarrette Blount for 22 yards (tackle by Brandon Burton) 10 7 0 -0.74 16.6
2 8:19 1 10 NWE 27 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Julian Edelman for 5 yards (tackle by Arthur Moats) 10 7 0.74 0.87 16.3
2 7:50 2 5 NWE 32 LeGarrette Blount up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Jerry Hughes and Kiko Alonso) 10 7 0.87 0.3 17.7
2 7:15 3 4 NWE 33 Penalty on Kyle Williams: Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards (no play) 10 7 0.3 1.47 15.0
2 6:57 1 10 NWE 38 Tom Brady pass complete deep left to Kenbrell Thompkins for 20 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin) 10 7 1.47 2.79 12.3
2 6:33 1 10 BUF 42 LeGarrette Blount left tackle for 5 yards (tackle by Alan Branch) 10 7 2.79 2.92 12.1
2 5:57 2 5 BUF 37 LeGarrette Blount left tackle for no gain (tackle by Manny Lawson and Alex Carrington) 10 7 2.92 2.21 13.5
2 5:19 3 5 BUF 37 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Kenbrell Thompkins 10 7 2.21 0.79 16.7
2 5:14 4 5 BUF 37 Ryan Allen punts 26 yards 10 7 0.79 0.37 17.8
2 5:05 1 10 BUF 11 C.J. Spiller left guard for 5 yards (tackle by Chandler Jones and Tommy Kelly) 10 7 -0.37 -0.3 18.0
2 4:38 2 5 BUF 16 T.J. Graham left end for 5 yards (tackle by Alfonzo Dennard). Penalty on Alfonzo Dennard: Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards 10 7 -0.3 1.33 22.5
2 4:33 1 10 BUF 36 C.J. Spiller left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Alfonzo Dennard and Jerod Mayo) 10 7 1.33 1.06 21.7
2 4:10 2 8 BUF 38 EJ Manuel pass complete short middle to C.J. Spiller for 8 yards (tackle by Steve Gregory). Penalty on Scott Chandler: Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards 10 7 1.06 0.66 20.6
2 3:53 2 11 BUF 35 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to Marquise Goodwin for no gain (tackle by Kyle Arrington). Marquise Goodwin fumbles (forced by Kyle Arrington), recovered by Rob Ninkovich at BUF-35 and returned for 3 yards (tackle by Erik Pears). Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was upheld. 10 7 0.66 -3.45 11.1
2 3:45 1 10 BUF 32 Shane Vereen up the middle for 21 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams and Da'Norris Searcy) 10 7 3.45 4.84 8.7
2 3:06 1 10 BUF 11 Tom Brady sacked by Jerry Hughes and Marcell Dareus for 0 yards 10 7 4.84 4.14 9.8
2 2:24 2 10 BUF 11 Shane Vereen up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Marcell Dareus and Kyle Williams) 10 7 4.14 3.76 10.5
2 2:00 3 7 BUF 8 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Julian Edelman for 8 yards, touchdown 16 7 3.76 7 6.9
2 2:00 BUF 8 Stephen Gostkowski kicks extra point good 17 7 0 0 5.6
2 2:00 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 71 yards, touchback 17 7 0 -0.28 6.0
2 1:55 1 10 BUF 20 EJ Manuel pass complete short middle to Fred Jackson for 7 yards (tackle by Kyle Arrington) 17 7 0.28 0.68 6.5
2 1:43 2 3 BUF 27 EJ Manuel up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Chandler Jones and Vince Wilfork) 17 7 0.68 0.1 5.7
2 1:23 3 2 BUF 28 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short right intended for Scott Chandler (defended by Steve Gregory) 17 7 0.1 -1.5 4.1
2 1:20 4 2 BUF 28 Shawn Powell punts 47 yards, out of bounds 17 7 -1.5 -0.61 4.9
2 1:11 1 10 NWE 25 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Shane Vereen for 6 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 17 7 0.61 0.87 4.6
2 1:07 2 4 NWE 31 Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Zach Sudfeld is intercepted by Justin Rogers at NWE-37. Replay Assistant challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was overturned. Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Zach Sudfeld is intercepted by Justin Rogers at NWE-37 17 7 0.87 -3.12 10.2
2 1:03 1 10 NWE 37 EJ Manuel pass complete deep middle to Scott Chandler for 19 yards (tackle by Steve Gregory) 17 7 3.12 4.37 12.7
2 0:39 1 10 NWE 18 EJ Manuel pass complete deep right to Robert Woods for 18 yards, touchdown 17 13 4.37 7 16.5
2 0:39 NWE 18 Dan Carpenter kicks extra point good 17 14 0 0 19.2
2 0:39 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 70 yards, touchback 17 14 0 -0.28 18.5
2 0:34 1 10 NWE 20 Tom Brady kneels for -1 yards 17 14 0.28 -0.46 19.3
End of Half1714-0.460
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail NWE BUF EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 65 yards, touchback 17 14 0 -0.28 20.1
3 15:00 1 10 BUF 20 C.J. Spiller right tackle for 9 yards (tackle by Steve Gregory) 17 14 0.28 0.95 22.2
3 14:43 2 1 BUF 29 C.J. Spiller right tackle for no gain (tackle by Rob Ninkovich) 17 14 0.95 0.23 20.0
3 14:20 3 1 BUF 29 Fred Jackson up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Tommy Kelly and Jerod Mayo) 17 14 0.23 1 22.4
3 13:59 1 10 BUF 31 Fred Jackson up the middle for 10 yards (tackle by Steve Gregory) 17 14 1 1.66 24.7
3 13:39 1 10 BUF 41 Fred Jackson up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Tommy Kelly and Brandon Spikes) 17 14 1.66 1.66 24.7
3 13:17 2 6 BUF 45 EJ Manuel right tackle for 19 yards (tackle by Aqib Talib) 17 14 1.66 3.18 30.3
3 12:56 1 10 NWE 36 C.J. Spiller left guard for 3 yards (tackle by Brandon Spikes and Chandler Jones) 17 14 3.18 3.04 29.9
3 12:30 2 7 NWE 33 Fred Jackson right guard for 1 yard (tackle by Vince Wilfork and Rob Ninkovich) 17 14 3.04 2.48 27.9
3 12:06 3 6 NWE 32 EJ Manuel pass complete short middle to Fred Jackson for 11 yards (tackle by Devin McCourty) 17 14 2.48 4.17 34.7
3 11:38 1 10 NWE 21 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Steve Gregory and Joe Vellano) 17 14 4.17 4.04 34.3
3 11:09 2 7 NWE 18 EJ Manuel pass complete deep left to Steve Johnson for 18 yards, touchdown. Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was upheld. 17 20 4.04 7 43.0
3 11:09 NWE 18 Dan Carpenter kicks extra point good 17 21 0 0 47.4
3 11:09 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 65 yards, touchback 17 21 0 -0.28 46.2
3 11:03 1 10 NWE 20 Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Josh Boyce 17 21 0.28 -0.27 48.7
3 10:57 2 10 NWE 20 Shane Vereen left tackle for 20 yards (tackle by Jim Leonhard and Aaron Williams) 17 21 -0.27 1.6 40.5
3 10:32 1 10 NWE 40 Shane Vereen left guard for 5 yards (tackle by Jerry Hughes and Kiko Alonso) 17 21 1.6 1.73 40.1
3 10:08 2 5 NWE 45 Shane Vereen up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Jim Leonhard) 17 21 1.73 1.29 42.3
3 9:32 3 3 NWE 47 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Danny Amendola for 6 yards (tackle by Justin Rogers) 17 21 1.29 2.46 37.5
3 8:55 1 10 BUF 47 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Kenbrell Thompkins (defended by Leodis McKelvin) 17 21 2.46 1.91 40.3
3 8:50 2 10 BUF 47 Shane Vereen right tackle for no gain (tackle by Marcell Dareus and Da'Norris Searcy) 17 21 1.91 1.22 43.5
3 8:05 3 10 BUF 47 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Shane Vereen for 19 yards (tackle by Jim Leonhard). Penalty on Jerry Hughes: Defensive Offside (Declined) 17 21 1.22 3.71 32.7
3 7:33 1 10 BUF 28 LeGarrette Blount right tackle for 4 yards (tackle by Marcell Dareus and Da'Norris Searcy) 17 21 3.71 3.71 32.9
3 6:57 2 6 BUF 24 Shane Vereen up the middle for no gain (tackle by Marcell Dareus and Alex Carrington) 17 21 3.71 3.01 36.3
3 6:17 3 6 BUF 24 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Danny Amendola for 19 yards (tackle by Jim Leonhard) 17 21 3.01 6.06 23.6
3 5:34 1 5 BUF 5 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Kenbrell Thompkins for 4 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 17 21 6.06 5.91 24.3
3 4:59 2 1 BUF 1 Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Kenbrell Thompkins (defended by Leodis McKelvin) 17 21 5.91 5.17 27.4
3 4:54 3 1 BUF 1 Shane Vereen up the middle for no gain (tackle by Kiko Alonso and Da'Norris Searcy) 17 21 5.17 3.55 34.8
3 4:21 4 1 BUF 1 Tom Brady for no gain. Tom Brady fumbles, recovered by Kiko Alonso at BUF-1 and returned for 13 yards (tackle by LeGarrette Blount). Replay Assistant challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was upheld. 17 21 3.55 0.28 51.7
3 4:12 1 10 BUF 14 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to C.J. Spiller for 2 yards (tackle by Rob Ninkovich) 17 21 -0.28 -0.51 50.7
3 3:51 2 8 BUF 16 EJ Manuel right end for 3 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo) 17 21 -0.51 -0.8 49.5
3 3:32 3 5 BUF 19 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to Fred Jackson for 14 yards (tackle by Dont'a Hightower) 17 21 -0.8 1.14 60.0
3 3:08 1 10 BUF 33 Fred Jackson up the middle for 7 yards (tackle by Dont'a Hightower) 17 21 1.14 1.54 62.5
3 2:44 2 3 BUF 40 Fred Jackson left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo and Chandler Jones) 17 21 1.54 1.09 60.7
3 2:18 3 1 BUF 42 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to Fred Jackson for 15 yards (tackle by Aqib Talib). Penalty on Kraig Urbik: Illegal Use of Hands, 10 yards (no play) 17 21 1.09 -0.23 54.1
3 1:59 3 11 BUF 32 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to Steve Johnson for 8 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo) 17 21 -0.23 -0.72 51.7
3 1:26 4 3 BUF 40 Shawn Powell punts 57 yards 17 21 -0.72 0.38 58.4
3 1:15 1 10 NWE 3 Penalty on Marcus Cannon: False Start, 1 yards (no play) 17 21 -0.38 -0.42 58.9
3 1:15 1 11 NWE 2 Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Julian Edelman 17 21 -0.42 -0.85 61.3
3 1:11 2 11 NWE 2 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Shane Vereen 17 21 -0.85 -1.54 65.1
3 1:07 3 11 NWE 2 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Michael Hoomanawanui for 5 yards (tackle by Jim Leonhard) 17 21 -1.54 -2.49 70.0
3 0:35 4 6 NWE 7 Ryan Allen punts 35 yards, out of bounds 17 21 -2.49 -2.79 72.3
3 0:28 1 10 NWE 42 C.J. Spiller right tackle for -4 yards (tackle by Chandler Jones). Penalty on T.J. Graham: Offensive Holding (Declined) 17 21 2.79 1.7 66.9
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail NWE BUF EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 2 14 NWE 46 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Rob Ninkovich and Vince Wilfork) 17 21 1.7 1.29 65.4
4 14:33 3 12 NWE 44 EJ Manuel pass incomplete deep left intended for T.J. Graham 17 21 1.29 0.33 60.6
4 14:28 4 12 NWE 44 Shawn Powell punts 34 yards. Penalty on BUF: Illegal Formation, 5 yards 17 21 0.33 0.22 60.1
4 14:17 1 10 NWE 15 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Julian Edelman for 35 yards (tackle by Jim Leonhard) 17 21 -0.22 2.26 45.4
4 13:44 1 10 50 LeGarrette Blount left tackle for 5 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams and Arthur Moats) 17 21 2.26 2.39 45.1
4 13:03 2 5 BUF 45 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Kenbrell Thompkins for 16 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin) 17 21 2.39 3.64 38.0
4 12:27 1 10 BUF 29 Tom Brady pass incomplete deep middle intended for Julian Edelman 17 21 3.64 3.1 41.8
4 12:21 2 10 BUF 29 Shane Vereen left tackle for 19 yards (tackle by Duke Williams) 17 21 3.1 4.91 30.8
4 11:38 1 10 BUF 10 Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Josh Boyce 17 21 4.91 4.19 35.4
4 11:35 2 10 BUF 10 Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Julian Edelman. Penalty on BUF: Defensive 12 On-field, 5 yards (no play) 17 21 4.19 5.15 29.6
4 11:30 2 5 BUF 5 Tom Brady pass incomplete short middle intended for Kenbrell Thompkins 17 21 5.15 4.26 35.0
4 11:24 3 5 BUF 5 Tom Brady sacked by Kyle Williams for -10 yards 17 21 4.26 2.44 47.1
4 10:52 4 15 BUF 15 Stephen Gostkowski 33 yard field goal good 20 21 2.44 3 43.8
4 10:52 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 72 yards, returned by T.J. Graham for 19 yards (tackle by Chris White) 20 21 0 0.35 41.4
4 10:44 1 10 BUF 12 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short right intended for Fred Jackson. Penalty on Jerod Mayo: Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards 20 21 -0.35 0.74 49.0
4 10:39 1 10 BUF 27 Fred Jackson up the middle for 7 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo and Rob Ninkovich) 20 21 0.74 1.14 51.9
4 10:14 2 3 BUF 34 Fred Jackson up the middle for 6 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo and Tommy Kelly) 20 21 1.14 1.6 55.8
4 9:46 1 10 BUF 40 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Rob Ninkovich and Steve Gregory) 20 21 1.6 1.32 54.5
4 9:18 2 8 BUF 42 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to Scott Chandler for 7 yards (tackle by Jerod Mayo and Steve Gregory) 20 21 1.32 1.55 56.9
4 8:54 3 1 BUF 49 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short left intended for Steve Johnson 20 21 1.55 -0.13 44.7
4 8:50 4 1 BUF 49 Shawn Powell punts 37 yards, fair catch by Julian Edelman 20 21 -0.13 0.28 48.0
4 8:41 1 10 NWE 14 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Kenbrell Thompkins 20 21 -0.28 -0.75 51.8
4 8:37 2 10 NWE 14 Tom Brady pass incomplete short right intended for Danny Amendola (defended by Leodis McKelvin) 20 21 -0.75 -1.4 56.9
4 8:32 3 10 NWE 14 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Danny Amendola for 13 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 20 21 -1.4 0.74 40.4
4 7:50 1 10 NWE 27 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Julian Edelman for 13 yards 20 21 0.74 1.6 34.3
4 7:25 1 10 NWE 40 Shane Vereen right tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Marcell Dareus and Kyle Williams) 20 21 1.6 1.19 37.7
4 6:47 2 9 NWE 41 Shane Vereen left tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Ron Brooks) 20 21 1.19 0.76 41.8
4 6:06 3 7 NWE 43 Tom Brady pass incomplete short left intended for Kenbrell Thompkins (defended by Leodis McKelvin) 20 21 0.76 -0.52 54.2
4 6:00 4 7 NWE 43 Ryan Allen punts 57 yards, touchback 20 21 -0.52 -0.28 52.1
4 5:51 1 10 BUF 20 C.J. Spiller up the middle for no gain (tackle by Jerod Mayo) 20 21 0.28 -0.27 47.2
4 5:29 2 10 BUF 20 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short left intended for Steve Johnson 20 21 -0.27 -0.96 41.1
4 5:22 3 10 BUF 20 EJ Manuel pass complete short middle to Scott Chandler for 4 yards (tackle by Steve Gregory and Dont'a Hightower) 20 21 -0.96 -1.77 33.7
4 4:40 4 6 BUF 24 Shawn Powell punts 44 yards, returned by Julian Edelman for 2 yards (tackle by Marcus Easley) 20 21 -1.77 -1.2 39.4
4 4:31 1 10 NWE 34 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Shane Vereen for 2 yards (tackle by Justin Rogers and Kiko Alonso) 20 21 1.2 0.93 42.3
4 3:51 2 8 NWE 36 Tom Brady pass complete short right to Shane Vereen for 5 yards (tackle by Jim Leonhard) 20 21 0.93 0.89 43.5
4 3:12 3 3 NWE 41 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Danny Amendola for 6 yards (tackle by Jim Leonhard) 20 21 0.89 2.06 30.3
4 2:40 1 10 NWE 47 Shane Vereen up the middle for 6 yards (tackle by Mario Williams and Aaron Williams) 20 21 2.06 2.33 26.6
4 2:03 2 4 BUF 47 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Danny Amendola for 6 yards (tackle by Nigel Bradham and Aaron Williams) 20 21 2.33 2.85 19.2
4 1:58 1 10 BUF 41 Penalty on Daniel Connolly: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 20 21 2.85 2.52 22.7
4 1:58 1 15 BUF 46 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Danny Amendola for 4 yards (tackle by Jim Leonhard) 20 21 2.52 2.17 27.1
4 1:26 2 11 BUF 42 Tom Brady pass complete short left to Shane Vereen for 3 yards (tackle by Kiko Alonso) 20 21 2.17 1.88 29.9
4 1:20 3 8 BUF 39 Tom Brady pass complete short middle to Danny Amendola for 10 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 20 21 1.88 3.64 8.2
4 1:08 3 8 BUF 39 Timeout #1 by Buffalo Bills 20 21 0 0
4 1:08 1 10 BUF 29 Shane Vereen left tackle for 15 yards (tackle by Kiko Alonso) 20 21 3.64 4.65 2.2
4 0:56 1 10 BUF 29 Timeout #2 by Buffalo Bills 20 21 0 0
4 0:56 1 10 BUF 14 Tom Brady up the middle for -1 yards (tackle by Alex Carrington) 20 21 4.65 3.85 4.3
4 0:52 1 10 BUF 14 Timeout #3 by Buffalo Bills 20 21 0 0
4 0:51 2 11 BUF 15 Tom Brady kneels for -2 yards 20 21 3.85 2.93 10.8
4 0:09 2 11 BUF 15 Timeout #1 by New England Patriots 20 21 0 0
4 0:09 3 13 BUF 17 Stephen Gostkowski 35 yard field goal good 23 21 2.93 3 0.6
4 0:09 NWE 35 Stephen Gostkowski kicks off 65 yards, touchback 23 21 0 -0.28 1.6
4 0:05 1 10 BUF 20 EJ Manuel pass complete short middle to Fred Jackson for 9 yards. Fred Jackson fumbles, recovered by EJ Manuel at BUF-29 23 21 0.28 0.95 0.1
End of Regulation23210.950
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).