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Carolina Panthers 23 at Buffalo Bills 24

Sunday, September 15, 2013
1234Final
Carolina Panthers (12-4-0)077923
Buffalo Bills (6-10-0)03111024

Game Info
Stadium Ralph Wilson Stadium
Start Time (ET) 1:02pm
Roof outdoors
Surface a_turf
Duration 3:05
Attendance 67,819
Weather 65 degrees relative humidity 59%, wind 10 mph
Vegas Line Carolina Panthers -3.5
Over/Under 43.5 (over)
Officials
Referee Walt Coleman
Umpire Roy Ellison
Head Linesman Jerry Bergman
Field Judge Greg Gautreaux
Back Judge Greg Yette
Back Judge Greg Yette
Side Judge Rick Patterson
Line Judge Rusty Baynes

Expected Points Summary

Expected points are an estimate of points per play based on down, distance, and yard line. Points given for offense and defense are offensive/defensive plays + penalties on which there was no play (eg, a false start). Special teams are all kicking + punting plays. Points are zeroed out at the end of halves.

Win Probability

Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats

Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense & Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Pass Targets

Carolina Panthers
Deep Left (1/4, 40 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Ted Ginn 3 1 40 1
Steve Smith 1 0 0 0
Deep Middle (0/2, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Brandon LaFell 1 0 0 0
Steve Smith 1 0 0 0
Deep Right (0/3, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Ted Ginn 2 0 0 0
Steve Smith 1 0 0 0
Short Left (10/11, 117 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Armanti Edwards 1 0 0 0
Brandon LaFell 2 2 9 0
Greg Olsen 3 3 49 0
Steve Smith 4 4 41 0
Mike Tolbert 1 1 18 0
Short Middle (1/3, 13 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Greg Olsen 2 1 13 1
Steve Smith 1 0 0 0
Short Right (9/15, 59 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Armanti Edwards 1 0 0 0
Ted Ginn 3 2 22 0
Brandon LaFell 3 2 4 0
Greg Olsen 3 3 22 0
Steve Smith 3 1 11 0
Mike Tolbert 2 1 0 0
Buffalo Bills
Deep Left (0/1, 0 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 1 0 0 0
Deep Middle (1/2, 28 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Steve Johnson 1 0 0 0
Robert Woods 1 1 28 0
Deep Right (2/4, 38 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
T.J. Graham 1 0 0 0
Steve Johnson 1 1 19 0
Robert Woods 2 1 19 0
Short Left (11/13, 110 yards, 1 TD)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 1 1 1 0
Steve Johnson 6 5 36 1
C.J. Spiller 1 1 3 0
Frank Summers 2 2 49 0
Robert Woods 3 2 21 0
Short Middle (4/7, 38 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 1 0 0 0
T.J. Graham 2 1 8 0
Fred Jackson 2 2 18 0
C.J. Spiller 2 1 12 0
Short Right (9/12, 82 yards)
Tgt Catches Yds TD
Scott Chandler 3 2 9 0
Tashard Choice 1 1 1 0
Fred Jackson 4 2 5 0
Steve Johnson 2 2 56 0
C.J. Spiller 2 2 11 0

Rushing

Carolina Panthers
LE (0 rushes, 0 yards)LT (3 rushes, 10 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 1 4 0
DeAngelo Williams 2 6 0
LG (3 rushes, 11 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 1 3 0
DeAngelo Williams 2 8 0
MD (16 rushes, 72 yards)
Att Yds TD
Mike Tolbert 4 20 0
DeAngelo Williams 12 52 0
RG (5 rushes, 21 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 1 6 0
Mike Tolbert 2 5 0
DeAngelo Williams 2 10 0
RT (5 rushes, 11 yards)
Att Yds TD
Cam Newton 1 2 0
DeAngelo Williams 4 9 0
RE (0 rushes, 0 yards)
Buffalo Bills
LE (1 rush, 5 yards)
Att Yds TD
Fred Jackson 1 5 0
LT (1 rush, -1 yards)
Att Yds TD
C.J. Spiller 1 -1 0
LG (5 rushes, 3 yards)
Att Yds TD
Fred Jackson 3 3 0
C.J. Spiller 2 0 0
MD (11 rushes, 40 yards)
Att Yds TD
Fred Jackson 5 17 0
EJ Manuel 1 3 0
C.J. Spiller 5 20 0
RG (10 rushes, 89 yards, 1 TD)
Att Yds TD
Fred Jackson 3 5 1
C.J. Spiller 7 84 0
RT (2 rushes, 3 yards)
Att Yds TD
C.J. Spiller 1 0 0
Robert Woods 1 3 0
RE (2 rushes, 11 yards)
Att Yds TD
EJ Manuel 2 11 0

Pass Tackles

Carolina Panthers
Deep LeftDeep Middle Deep Right
Short Left Short Middle Short Right
Buffalo Bills
Deep LeftDeep MiddleDeep Right
Short Left Short MiddleShort Right

Carolina Panthers Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 15:00 CAR 28 7 3:02 46 Interception View Drive »
2 1 8:10 CAR 32 6 3:32 15 Punt View Drive »
3 1 2:34 CAR 23 6 2:49 15 Punt View Drive »
4 2 10:41 CAR 28 3 1:11 6 Punt View Drive »
5 2 7:31 CAR 40 6 2:16 4 Punt View Drive »
6 2 2:07 CAR 10 10 1:54 90 Touchdown View Drive »
7 3 10:49 CAR 20 8 3:57 80 Touchdown View Drive »
8 3 4:15 CAR 10 6 2:35 23 Punt View Drive »
9 3 0:59 BUF 16 7 3:15 7 Field Goal View Drive »
10 4 12:14 BUF 26 7 3:33 19 Field Goal View Drive »
11 4 7:13 CAR 20 12 5:35 59 Field Goal View Drive »
12 4 0:02 CAR 40 1 0:02 -16 End of Game View Drive »

Buffalo Bills Drives

# Quarter Time LOS Plays Length Yds Result
1 1 11:58 BUF 19 10 3:48 57 Missed FG View Drive »
2 1 4:38 BUF 7 5 2:04 27 Punt View Drive »
3 2 14:45 BUF 20 10 4:04 43 Field Goal View Drive »
4 2 9:30 BUF 26 4 1:59 -2 Punt View Drive »
5 2 5:15 BUF 17 7 3:08 38 Punt View Drive »
6 2 0:13 BUF 20 1 0:13 -1 End of Half View Drive »
7 3 15:00 BUF 20 14 4:11 78 Field Goal View Drive »
8 3 6:52 BUF 20 8 2:37 80 Touchdown View Drive »
9 3 1:40 BUF 16 2 0:41 0 Fumble View Drive »
10 4 12:44 BUF 20 2 0:30 1 Interception View Drive »
11 4 8:41 BUF 20 5 1:28 50 Field Goal View Drive »
12 4 1:38 BUF 20 9 1:36 80 Touchdown View Drive »

Full Play-By-Play

Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CAR BUF EPB EPA Win%
1st Quarter
1 15:00 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 66 yards, returned by Ted Ginn for 29 yards (tackle by Brandon Burton) 0 0 0 -0.81 37.4
1 14:54 1 10 CAR 28 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Steve Smith for 9 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin) 0 0 0.81 1.48 35.6
1 14:34 2 1 CAR 37 DeAngelo Williams up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Arthur Moats and Marcell Dareus) 0 0 1.48 1.6 35.3
1 13:53 1 10 CAR 40 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Brandon LaFell (defended by Justin Rogers) 0 0 1.6 1.05 36.8
1 13:48 2 10 CAR 40 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Steve Smith for 9 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin) 0 0 1.05 1.55 35.4
1 13:20 3 1 CAR 49 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Greg Olsen for 31 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 0 0 1.55 4.24 28.2
1 12:43 1 10 BUF 20 Cam Newton sacked by Mario Williams for -6 yards 0 0 4.24 2.88 31.8
1 12:04 2 16 BUF 26 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Mike Tolbert is intercepted by Kiko Alonso at BUF-19 0 0 2.88 -0.15 40.4
1 11:58 1 10 BUF 19 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to Frank Summers for 34 yards (tackle by Jon Beason) 0 0 0.15 2.46 47.4
1 11:24 1 10 CAR 47 C.J. Spiller right guard for 1 yard (tackle by Quintin Mikell and Dwan Edwards) 0 0 2.46 2.05 46.2
1 10:57 2 9 CAR 46 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 10 yards (tackle by Charles Johnson and Josh Thomas) 0 0 2.05 3.18 49.7
1 10:29 1 10 CAR 36 Fred Jackson left guard for 5 yards (tackle by Quintin Mikell and Luke Kuechly) 0 0 3.18 3.31 50.2
1 10:06 2 5 CAR 31 EJ Manuel pass incomplete deep middle intended for Steve Johnson 0 0 3.31 2.61 48.1
1 10:01 3 5 CAR 31 Fred Jackson left end for 5 yards (tackle by Quintin Mikell and Luke Kuechly) 0 0 2.61 3.84 52.0
1 9:21 1 10 CAR 26 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to Robert Woods for 6 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis) 0 0 3.84 4.11 52.9
1 8:55 2 4 CAR 20 EJ Manuel pass incomplete deep left intended for Scott Chandler 0 0 4.11 3.4 50.8
1 8:51 3 4 CAR 20 Fred Jackson left guard for -4 yards (tackle by Star Lotulelei) 0 0 3.4 1.87 46.0
1 8:15 4 8 CAR 24 Dan Carpenter 42 yard field goal no good 0 0 1.87 -1.07 37.1
1 8:10 1 10 CAR 32 DeAngelo Williams up the middle for 8 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy and Kiko Alonso) 0 0 1.07 1.61 35.5
1 7:28 2 2 CAR 40 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep left intended for Ted Ginn 0 0 1.61 0.89 37.7
1 7:22 3 2 CAR 40 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Greg Olsen for 4 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 0 0 0.89 1.86 34.8
1 6:54 1 10 CAR 44 Cam Newton right tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 0 0 1.86 1.59 35.6
1 6:11 2 8 CAR 46 Cam Newton right guard for 6 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams and Manny Lawson) 0 0 1.59 1.69 35.3
1 5:24 3 2 BUF 48 Cam Newton sacked by Mario Williams and Manny Lawson for -5 yards 0 0 1.69 -0.26 41.4
1 4:49 4 7 CAR 47 Brad Nortman punts 46 yards 0 0 -0.26 0.38 39.4
1 4:38 1 10 BUF 7 C.J. Spiller right tackle for no gain (tackle by Luke Kuechly and Josh Thomas) 0 0 -0.38 -0.78 38.2
1 4:05 2 10 BUF 7 C.J. Spiller right guard for 21 yards (tackle by Josh Thomas and Quintin Mikell) 0 0 -0.78 0.81 43.3
1 3:41 1 10 BUF 28 Fred Jackson up the middle for 5 yards (tackle by Charles Godfrey and Quintin Mikell) 0 0 0.81 0.94 43.8
1 3:19 2 5 BUF 33 Fred Jackson right guard for 1 yard (tackle by Colin Cole and Kawann Short) 0 0 0.94 0.37 42.0
1 2:52 3 4 BUF 34 EJ Manuel pass incomplete deep right intended for Robert Woods 0 0 0.37 -1.11 37.3
1 2:48 4 4 BUF 34 Shawn Powell punts 55 yards, returned by Ted Ginn for 12 yards (tackle by Garrison Sanborn) 0 0 -1.11 -0.48 39.3
1 2:34 1 10 CAR 23 DeAngelo Williams right tackle for -1 yards (tackle by Kyle Williams and Arthur Moats) 0 0 0.48 -0.2 41.5
1 1:54 2 11 CAR 22 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep left intended for Steve Smith (defended by Leodis McKelvin) 0 0 -0.2 -0.89 43.8
1 1:48 3 11 CAR 22 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Brandon LaFell for 12 yards (tackle by Jerry Hughes) 0 0 -0.89 1.2 37.0
1 1:16 1 10 CAR 34 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Greg Olsen for 3 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 0 0 1.2 1.06 37.5
1 0:35 2 7 CAR 37 DeAngelo Williams right tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Aaron Williams) 0 0 1.06 0.5 39.4
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CAR BUF EPB EPA Win%
2nd Quarter
2 15:00 3 6 CAR 38 Cam Newton pass incomplete short middle intended for Greg Olsen (defended by Kyle Williams) 0 0 0.5 -0.85 43.9
2 14:54 4 6 CAR 38 Brad Nortman punts 62 yards, touchback 0 0 -0.85 -0.28 42.0
2 14:45 1 10 BUF 20 Robert Woods right tackle for 3 yards (tackle by Josh Thomas) 0 0 0.28 0.14 41.6
2 14:25 2 7 BUF 23 C.J. Spiller right guard for 5 yards (tackle by Charles Johnson and Luke Kuechly) 0 0 0.14 0.1 41.5
2 13:53 3 2 BUF 28 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to C.J. Spiller for 7 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn) 0 0 0.1 1.27 45.5
2 13:40 1 10 BUF 35 C.J. Spiller right guard for 5 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 0 0 1.27 1.4 46.0
2 13:12 2 5 BUF 40 Penalty on Colin Brown: False Start, 5 yards (no play) 0 0 1.4 0.72 43.7
2 13:05 2 10 BUF 35 Fred Jackson up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly) 0 0 0.72 0.56 43.2
2 12:40 3 6 BUF 39 EJ Manuel pass complete deep right to Steve Johnson for 19 yards (tackle by Quintin Mikell) 0 0 0.56 2.79 51.1
2 12:14 1 10 CAR 42 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short middle intended for Scott Chandler (defended by Charles Godfrey) 0 0 2.79 2.24 49.2
2 12:05 2 10 CAR 42 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to Fred Jackson for 3 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn) 0 0 2.24 1.95 48.2
2 11:31 3 7 CAR 39 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to Fred Jackson for 2 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis and Captain Munnerlyn) 0 0 1.95 0.79 44.2
2 10:46 4 5 CAR 37 Dan Carpenter 55 yard field goal good 0 3 0.79 3 52.2
2 10:46 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 73 yards 0 3 0 -0.81 49.3
2 10:35 1 10 CAR 28 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep right intended for Ted Ginn 0 3 0.81 0.26 51.3
2 10:29 2 10 CAR 28 DeAngelo Williams up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Nigel Bradham) 0 3 0.26 -0.3 53.4
2 9:49 3 9 CAR 29 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep middle intended for Steve Smith 0 3 -0.3 -1.44 57.7
2 9:44 4 9 CAR 29 Penalty on Manny Lawson: Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards (no play) 0 3 -1.44 -1.11 56.5
2 9:44 4 4 CAR 34 Brad Nortman punts 59 yards, returned by Leodis McKelvin for 19 yards (tackle by Chase Blackburn) 0 3 -1.11 -0.67 54.9
2 9:30 1 10 BUF 26 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Kawann Short) 0 3 0.67 0.54 54.5
2 9:10 2 7 BUF 29 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Jon Beason). Penalty on Lee Smith: Offensive Holding, 10 yards 0 3 0.54 -0.55 50.6
2 8:56 2 15 BUF 21 Fred Jackson up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly and Star Lotulelei) 0 3 -0.55 -0.96 49.2
2 8:17 3 13 BUF 23 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to Tashard Choice for 1 yard (tackle by Thomas Davis) 0 3 -0.96 -1.77 46.3
2 7:41 4 12 BUF 24 Shawn Powell punts 44 yards, returned by Ted Ginn for 8 yards (tackle by Marcus Dowtin) 0 3 -1.77 -1.6 47.0
2 7:31 1 10 CAR 40 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep right intended for Steve Smith 0 3 1.6 1.05 49.1
2 7:24 2 10 CAR 40 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Steve Smith (defended by Leodis McKelvin) 0 3 1.05 0.37 51.7
2 7:20 3 10 CAR 40 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Steve Smith for 11 yards (tackle by Kiko Alonso and Leodis McKelvin) 0 3 0.37 2.32 44.4
2 6:41 1 10 BUF 49 DeAngelo Williams right guard for no gain (tackle by Mario Williams) 0 3 2.32 1.78 46.5
2 6:03 2 10 BUF 49 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep left intended for Ted Ginn 0 3 1.78 1.09 49.3
2 5:57 2 10 BUF 49 Timeout #1 by Carolina Panthers 0 3 0 0
2 5:57 3 10 BUF 49 Cam Newton sacked by Mario Williams for -7 yards 0 3 1.09 -0.46 55.2
2 5:22 4 17 CAR 44 Brad Nortman punts 39 yards, fair catch by Leodis McKelvin 0 3 -0.46 0.06 53.4
2 5:15 1 10 BUF 17 EJ Manuel pass complete deep right to Robert Woods for 19 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn). CAR challenged the ineligible receiver ruling, and the play was upheld. 0 3 -0.06 1.33 58.7
2 4:41 1 10 BUF 36 EJ Manuel pass incomplete deep right intended for T.J. Graham (defended by Captain Munnerlyn) 0 3 1.33 0.79 56.9
2 4:35 2 10 BUF 36 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to Steve Johnson for 9 yards (tackle by D.J. Moore) 0 3 0.79 1.29 58.8
2 4:10 3 1 BUF 45 Fred Jackson up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Mario Addison and Dwan Edwards) 0 3 1.29 2.13 62.1
2 3:49 1 10 BUF 48 Fred Jackson up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Mario Addison and Thomas Davis) 0 3 2.13 1.99 61.7
2 3:24 2 7 CAR 49 C.J. Spiller right guard for 2 yards (tackle by Frank Alexander and Dwan Edwards) 0 3 1.99 1.55 60.2
2 2:58 3 5 CAR 47 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to Scott Chandler for 2 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn and Kawann Short) 0 3 1.55 0.27 55.4
2 2:14 4 3 CAR 45 Shawn Powell punts 35 yards, fair catch by Ted Ginn 0 3 0.27 0.38 56.0
2 2:07 1 10 CAR 10 DeAngelo Williams right guard for 10 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 0 3 -0.38 0.28 53.4
2 2:00 1 10 CAR 20 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Steve Smith for 13 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin and Aaron Williams) 0 3 0.28 1.14 50.0
2 1:35 1 10 CAR 33 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Ted Ginn for 14 yards (tackle by Justin Rogers) 0 3 1.14 2.06 46.3
2 1:29 1 10 CAR 47 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Mike Tolbert for no gain 0 3 2.06 1.52 48.5
2 1:23 2 10 CAR 47 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep right intended for Greg Olsen. Penalty on Da'Norris Searcy: Defensive Holding, 5 yards (no play) 0 3 1.52 2.39 45.0
2 1:18 1 10 BUF 48 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Greg Olsen for 5 yards (tackle by Jerry Hughes) 0 3 2.39 2.52 44.5
2 1:13 2 5 BUF 43 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Mike Tolbert for 18 yards (tackle by Jerry Hughes) 0 3 2.52 3.91 38.9
2 0:47 1 10 BUF 25 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Ted Ginn for 8 yards (tackle by Justin Rogers) 0 3 3.91 4.55 36.4
2 0:24 2 2 BUF 17 Mike Tolbert up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Kiko Alonso and Jerry Hughes) 0 3 4.55 4.71 35.8
2 0:23 2 2 BUF 17 Timeout #3 by Carolina Panthers 0 3 0 0
2 0:23 1 10 BUF 13 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Ted Ginn 0 3 4.71 4.05 38.4
2 0:18 2 10 BUF 13 Cam Newton pass complete short middle to Greg Olsen for 13 yards, touchdown 6 3 4.05 7 30.9
2 0:18 BUF 13 Graham Gano kicks extra point good 7 3 0 0 27.3
2 0:18 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off 74 yards, touchback 7 3 0 -0.28 28.3
2 0:13 1 10 BUF 20 EJ Manuel kneels for -1 yards 7 3 0.28 -0.46 27.3
End of Half73-0.460
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CAR BUF EPB EPA Win%
3rd Quarter
3 15:00 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off no gain, touchback 7 3 0 0.28 28.3
3 15:00 1 10 BUF 20 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to Frank Summers for 15 yards (tackle by Jon Beason) 7 3 0.28 1.27 31.9
3 14:44 1 10 BUF 35 C.J. Spiller up the middle for -2 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly and Greg Hardy) 7 3 1.27 0.45 28.9
3 14:24 2 12 BUF 33 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to Robert Woods for 15 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis) 7 3 0.45 2.13 35.2
3 13:53 1 10 BUF 48 EJ Manuel pass complete deep middle to Robert Woods for 28 yards (tackle by Josh Norman) 7 3 2.13 3.97 42.7
3 13:21 1 10 CAR 24 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to C.J. Spiller for 3 yards (tackle by Josh Norman) 7 3 3.97 3.84 42.2
3 12:59 2 7 CAR 21 EJ Manuel up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Charles Johnson and Greg Hardy) 7 3 3.84 3.57 41.1
3 12:34 3 4 CAR 18 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to Steve Johnson for 7 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis and Josh Norman) 7 3 3.57 4.84 46.6
3 12:14 1 10 CAR 11 C.J. Spiller left guard for -9 yards (tackle by Charles Johnson and Luke Kuechly) 7 3 4.84 3.07 39.1
3 11:44 2 19 CAR 20 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short left intended for Robert Woods. Penalty on Robert Woods: Offensive Pass Interference (Declined) 7 3 3.07 2.41 36.3
3 11:43 3 19 CAR 20 EJ Manuel pass complete short middle to T.J. Graham for 8 yards (tackle by D.J. Moore and Luke Kuechly). Penalty on Jon Beason: Face Mask (15 Yards), 6 yards 7 3 2.41 5.83 51.2
3 11:29 1 6 CAR 6 C.J. Spiller right guard for 4 yards (tackle by Charles Johnson and Jon Beason) 7 3 5.83 5.72 50.8
3 11:01 2 2 CAR 2 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short left intended for Steve Johnson (defended by Charles Godfrey) 7 3 5.72 4.95 47.4
3 10:56 3 2 CAR 2 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short right intended for Scott Chandler 7 3 4.95 3.25 39.9
3 10:52 4 2 CAR 2 Dan Carpenter 20 yard field goal good 7 6 3.25 3 38.8
3 10:52 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 66 yards, touchback 7 6 0 -0.28 37.6
3 10:48 1 10 CAR 20 DeAngelo Williams up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Manny Lawson and Alex Carrington) 7 6 0.28 0 38.8
3 10:16 2 8 CAR 22 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Steve Smith for 6 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin). Penalty on Leodis McKelvin: Defensive Pass Interference, 9 yards (no play) 7 6 0 1 34.6
3 10:02 1 10 CAR 31 Cam Newton pass incomplete short middle intended for Steve Smith 7 6 1 0.46 36.9
3 9:56 2 10 CAR 31 DeAngelo Williams up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Kyle Williams and Marcell Dareus) 7 6 0.46 0.17 38.1
3 9:22 3 7 CAR 34 Cam Newton sacked by Mario Williams and Marcell Dareus for -11 yards 7 6 0.17 -1.83 47.3
3 8:56 4 18 CAR 23 Brad Nortman punts 53 yards, fair catch by Robert Woods. Penalty on Frank Summers: Defensive Holding, 6 yards (no play) 7 6 -1.83 0.87 35.1
3 8:48 1 10 CAR 29 DeAngelo Williams up the middle for 21 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 7 6 0.87 2.26 29.2
3 8:10 1 10 50 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Brandon LaFell for 9 yards (tackle by Nickell Robey) 7 6 2.26 2.93 26.4
3 7:40 2 1 BUF 41 Mike Tolbert right guard for 1 yard (tackle by Nickell Robey) 7 6 2.93 2.92 26.3
3 6:59 1 10 BUF 40 Cam Newton pass complete deep left to Ted Ginn for 40 yards, touchdown 13 6 2.92 7 15.5
3 6:59 BUF 40 Graham Gano kicks extra point good 14 6 0 0 12.8
3 6:59 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off 65 yards, touchback 14 6 0 -0.28 13.5
3 6:52 1 10 BUF 20 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to Scott Chandler for 7 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis and Captain Munnerlyn) 14 6 0.28 0.68 14.5
3 6:24 2 3 BUF 27 C.J. Spiller up the middle for 7 yards (tackle by Greg Hardy) 14 6 0.68 1.2 15.9
3 5:59 1 10 BUF 34 C.J. Spiller left tackle for -1 yards (tackle by Josh Norman) 14 6 1.2 0.52 13.7
3 5:44 2 11 BUF 33 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to Steve Johnson for 10 yards (tackle by Jon Beason) 14 6 0.52 1.16 15.5
3 5:15 3 1 BUF 43 Fred Jackson left guard for 2 yards (tackle by Star Lotulelei and Luke Kuechly) 14 6 1.16 1.93 17.7
3 4:47 1 10 BUF 45 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to Steve Johnson for 45 yards (tackle by Michael Mitchell) 14 6 1.93 4.91 29.2
3 4:27 1 10 CAR 10 EJ Manuel right end for 2 yards (tackle by Frank Alexander). Penalty on Captain Munnerlyn: Defensive Holding, 4 yards 14 6 4.91 6.28 35.5
3 4:18 1 4 CAR 4 Fred Jackson right guard for 4 yards, touchdown 14 12 6.28 7 34.1
3 4:18 1 4 CAR 4 Two Point Attempt: EJ Manuel pass complete to Robert Woods, conversion succeeds 14 14 0 1 44.1
3 4:18 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 70 yards, returned by Ted Ginn for 15 yards (tackle by Marcus Easley) 14 14 0 0.38 46.1
3 4:12 1 10 CAR 10 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Steve Smith for 10 yards (tackle by Leodis McKelvin) 14 14 -0.38 0.28 42.7
3 3:34 1 10 CAR 20 DeAngelo Williams left guard for 1 yard (tackle by Arthur Moats and Kyle Williams) 14 14 0.28 -0.13 44.9
3 2:56 2 9 CAR 21 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Brandon LaFell for -3 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams and Manny Lawson) 14 14 -0.13 -1.33 51.5
3 2:09 3 12 CAR 18 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep right intended for Brandon LaFell. Penalty on Aaron Williams: Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards (no play) 14 14 -1.33 1.14 38.3
3 2:02 1 10 CAR 33 Cam Newton pass incomplete short left intended for Armanti Edwards 14 14 1.14 0.59 41.3
3 1:58 2 10 CAR 33 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Armanti Edwards (defended by Nickell Robey) 14 14 0.59 -0.1 45.1
3 1:54 3 10 CAR 33 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep right intended for Ted Ginn 14 14 -0.1 -1.18 51.1
3 1:48 4 10 CAR 33 Brad Nortman punts 51 yards, fair catch by Leodis McKelvin 14 14 -1.18 0.14 43.8
3 1:40 1 10 BUF 16 C.J. Spiller left guard for 9 yards (tackle by Michael Mitchell) 14 14 -0.14 0.69 48.4
3 1:14 2 1 BUF 25 EJ Manuel sacked by Quintin Mikell for -9 yards. EJ Manuel fumbles (forced by Quintin Mikell), recovered by Dwan Edwards at BUF-16 (tackle by Scott Chandler) 14 14 0.69 -4.51 21.8
3 0:59 1 10 BUF 16 DeAngelo Williams right tackle for 2 yards (tackle by Kiko Alonso and Justin Rogers) 14 14 4.51 4.21 23.0
3 0:15 2 8 BUF 14 DeAngelo Williams left guard for 7 yards (tackle by Aaron Williams) 14 14 4.21 4.85 19.9
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail CAR BUF EPB EPA Win%
4th Quarter
4 15:00 3 1 BUF 7 Cam Newton left guard for 3 yards (tackle by Manny Lawson and Aaron Williams) 14 14 4.85 6.28 14.4
4 14:16 1 4 BUF 4 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Brandon LaFell for -5 yards (tackle by Justin Rogers) 14 14 6.28 4.38 21.4
4 13:30 1 4 BUF 4 Timeout #1 by Carolina Panthers 14 14 0 0
4 13:30 2 9 BUF 9 DeAngelo Williams up the middle for no gain (tackle by Kyle Williams) 14 14 4.38 3.36 25.8
4 12:51 3 9 BUF 9 Cam Newton pass incomplete short right intended for Steve Smith (defended by Leodis McKelvin) 14 14 3.36 2.83 28.3
4 12:47 4 9 BUF 9 Graham Gano 27 yard field goal good 17 14 2.83 3 27.4
4 12:47 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off 65 yards, touchback 17 14 0 -0.28 28.9
4 12:44 1 10 BUF 20 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to Scott Chandler for 1 yard (tackle by Michael Mitchell) 17 14 0.28 -0.13 26.7
4 12:19 2 9 BUF 21 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short middle intended for T.J. Graham is intercepted by Luke Kuechly at BUF-26. Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was upheld. 17 14 -0.13 -3.84 10.8
4 12:14 1 10 BUF 26 DeAngelo Williams up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Kyle Williams) 17 14 3.84 3.43 12.1
4 11:32 2 9 BUF 25 Cam Newton pass incomplete deep middle intended for Brandon LaFell 17 14 3.43 2.74 13.9
4 11:27 3 9 BUF 25 Cam Newton pass complete short right to Greg Olsen for 13 yards 17 14 2.74 4.78 7.6
4 10:52 1 10 BUF 12 DeAngelo Williams left tackle for 1 yard (tackle by Kiko Alonso and Marcell Dareus) 17 14 4.78 4.27 8.4
4 10:13 2 9 BUF 11 DeAngelo Williams up the middle for 5 yards (tackle by Arthur Moats and Da'Norris Searcy) 17 14 4.27 4.38 7.6
4 9:30 3 4 BUF 6 Cam Newton sacked by Mario Williams for -1 yards 17 14 4.38 2.98 11.2
4 8:44 4 5 BUF 7 Graham Gano 25 yard field goal good 20 14 2.98 3 10.3
4 8:44 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off 65 yards, touchback 20 14 0 -0.28 11.3
4 8:41 1 10 BUF 20 C.J. Spiller right guard for 46 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis) 20 14 0.28 3.31 26.7
4 8:07 1 10 CAR 34 Fred Jackson right guard for no gain (tackle by Charles Johnson and Greg Hardy) 20 14 3.31 2.77 22.8
4 7:44 2 10 CAR 34 EJ Manuel pass complete short middle to Fred Jackson for 4 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis) 20 14 2.77 2.61 21.4
4 7:19 3 6 CAR 30 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short right intended for Fred Jackson 20 14 2.61 1.43 14.5
4 7:18 4 6 CAR 30 Dan Carpenter 48 yard field goal good 20 17 1.43 3 23.4
4 7:18 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 74 yards, touchback 20 17 0 -0.28 21.6
4 7:13 1 10 CAR 20 Cam Newton pass complete short left to Greg Olsen for 15 yards (tackle by Arthur Moats) 20 17 0.28 1.27 15.9
4 6:33 1 10 CAR 35 Mike Tolbert up the middle for 5 yards (tackle by Alex Carrington) 20 17 1.27 1.4 14.2
4 5:51 2 5 CAR 40 DeAngelo Williams up the middle for 3 yards (tackle by Kiko Alonso and Aaron Williams) 20 17 1.4 1.09 14.7
4 5:05 3 2 CAR 43 Cam Newton left tackle for 4 yards (tackle by Kiko Alonso) 20 17 1.09 2.06 8.7
4 4:20 1 10 CAR 47 DeAngelo Williams left tackle for 5 yards (tackle by Arthur Moats and Da'Norris Searcy) 20 17 2.06 2.19 6.8
4 3:37 2 5 BUF 48 DeAngelo Williams right tackle for 7 yards (tackle by Arthur Moats) 20 17 2.19 2.85 3.5
4 2:52 1 10 BUF 41 Mike Tolbert up the middle for 9 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy and Aaron Williams) 20 17 2.85 3.52 1.2
4 2:07 2 1 BUF 32 Mike Tolbert up the middle for 2 yards (tackle by Kiko Alonso and Alex Carrington) 20 17 3.52 3.58 0.5
4 2:00 1 10 BUF 30 DeAngelo Williams up the middle for 5 yards (tackle by Da'Norris Searcy) 20 17 3.58 3.71 0.3
4 1:53 1 10 BUF 30 Timeout #1 by Buffalo Bills 20 17 0 0
4 1:53 2 5 BUF 25 DeAngelo Williams up the middle for no gain (tackle by Kyle Williams and Alex Carrington) 20 17 3.71 3.01 0.6
4 1:48 2 5 BUF 25 Timeout #2 by Buffalo Bills 20 17 0 0
4 1:48 3 5 BUF 25 Mike Tolbert right guard for 4 yards (tackle by Arthur Moats) 20 17 3.01 2.21 1.3
4 1:42 3 5 BUF 25 Timeout #3 by Buffalo Bills 20 17 0 0
4 1:42 4 1 BUF 21 Graham Gano 39 yard field goal good 23 17 2.21 3 0.4
4 1:42 CAR 35 Graham Gano kicks off 65 yards, touchback 23 17 0 -0.28 0.6
4 1:38 1 10 BUF 20 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to Steve Johnson for 8 yards (tackle by Colin Jones) 23 17 0.28 0.81 1.0
4 1:28 2 2 BUF 28 EJ Manuel pass complete short middle to C.J. Spiller for 12 yards (tackle by Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis) 23 17 0.81 1.6 1.9
4 1:09 1 10 BUF 40 EJ Manuel pass complete short middle to Fred Jackson for 14 yards (tackle by Thomas Davis) 23 17 1.6 2.52 3.3
4 0:47 1 10 CAR 46 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short right intended for Fred Jackson (defended by Thomas Davis) 23 17 2.52 1.98 0.6
4 0:40 2 10 CAR 46 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to Steve Johnson for 11 yards (tackle by D.J. Moore) 23 17 1.98 3.25 3.2
4 0:33 1 10 CAR 35 EJ Manuel pass incomplete short middle intended for C.J. Spiller 23 17 3.25 2.7 0.8
4 0:29 2 10 CAR 35 EJ Manuel pass complete short right to C.J. Spiller for 4 yards 23 17 2.7 2.54 0.4
4 0:21 3 6 CAR 31 EJ Manuel pass incomplete deep middle intended for Steve Johnson is intercepted by Colin Jones at CAR-7 and returned for 4 yards. Penalty on Luke Kuechly: Defensive Pass Interference, 20 yards (no play) 23 17 2.54 4.84 15.2
4 0:14 1 10 CAR 11 EJ Manuel right end for 9 yards (tackle by Captain Munnerlyn and Luke Kuechly) 23 17 4.84 5.85 43.5
4 0:06 2 1 CAR 2 EJ Manuel pass complete short left to Steve Johnson for 2 yards, touchdown 23 23 5.85 7 49.7
4 0:06 CAR 2 Dan Carpenter kicks extra point good 23 24 0 0 90.6
4 0:06 BUF 35 Dan Carpenter kicks off 25 yards 23 24 0 -1.6 22.3
4 0:01 1 10 CAR 40 Cam Newton sacked by Kiko Alonso for -16 yards 23 24 1.6 -1.11 99.4
End of Regulation2324-1.110
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).